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Combining ability, Genetic Gains and Path Coefficient Analyses of Maize Hybrids developed from Maize Streak Virus and Downey Mildew Resistant Recombinant Inbred Lines Isack MATHEW A dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Plant Breeding School of Agricultural, Earth and Environmental Sciences College of Agriculture, Engineering and Science University of KwaZulu-Natal Pietermaritzburg, South Africa November 2015 GENERAL ABSTRACT Farmers in SSA continue to obtain low yields (less than two tonnes per hectare) despite the high potential yield (about 14 tonnes per hectare) that can be achieved. The development of improved and high yielding hybrids can help to reduce this gap significantly. Characterisation of maize inbred lines is crucial for developing high yielding maize hybrids. A line x tester analysis involving 38 crosses generated by crossing 19 maize inbred lines with two tropical testers was conducted for different agronomic traits. The maize inbred lines used in this study were sampled from a bi-parental inbred population developed by a shuttle breeding program at University of KwaZulu Natal. The objectives of the study were to estimate combining ability of inbred lines and hybrids, to evaluate the performance of the hybrids in agronomic traits and grain yield, to calculate breeding gains achieved through selection and to deduce the relationship between secondary traits and grain yield. In total 50 hybrids, including control hybrids were evaluated in the trial. The hybrids were planted in the summer season of 2014/15 under rainfed conditions at three sites, Cedara, Dundee and Ukulinga in five metre row plots and replicated twice in 5X10 alpha lattice design under recommended agronomic practices for maize. Data was collected using a CIMMYT protocol and subjected to statistical analyses using ANOVA and REML packages in GENSTAT 14th edition and PATHSAS macros in SAS 9.3 computer software. The results showed varying performances between the lines, crosses and control hybrids at the different sites. Inbred lines DMSR-8, DMSR-13, DMSR-30 and DMSR-35-5 were shown to have good combining ability while DMSR-21 and DMSR-73 showed positive specific combining ability. Selection across sites improved grain yield by 9.32% over the population mean and by 10.22% and 12.73% at Cedara and Dundee, respectively over commercial hybrids. Ranking by mean yield identified hybrids 15XH16, 15XH20 and 15XH28 at Cedara, Dundee and Ukulinga respectively, as the highest yielding hybrids for that particular environment. GGE biplot and AMMI analyses revealed that ii hybrids 15XH10, 15XH13, 15XH20, 15XH25, 15XH28, 15XH34 and 15XH39 were the most stable hybrids. Secondary traits were found to be associated with grain yield potential of hybrids. Ear prolificacy had the most important relationship with grain yield and was recommended for selection in grain yield improvement programs. Keywords: Combining ability, genetic gains, genotype X environment interaction, line X tester, path coefficient analysis. iii DECLARATION I, Isack MATHEW, declare that: 1. The research presented in this dissertation, except where otherwise indicated, is my original research. 2. This dissertation has not been submitted for any degree or examination at any other university. 3. This dissertation does not contain other scientists‘ data, pictures, graphs or other information, unless specifically acknowledged as being sourced from other scientists. 4. This dissertation does not contain other scientists‘ writing, unless specifically acknowledged as being sourced from other scientists. Where other written sources have been quoted, then: a) Their words have been re-written, but the general information attributed to them has been referenced; b) Where their exact words have been used, their writing has been placed in italics and inside quotation marks and referenced. 5. This dissertation does not contain text, graphics or tables taken from the internet, unless specifically acknowledged, and the source being detailed in the dissertation and in the references section. …………………………………………… Isack MATHEW (Candidate) As supervisor I agree to submission of the dissertation Professor John Derera iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Generation Challenge Program is acknowledged for funding prior development of lines used in this study. I would like to acknowledge my supervisor Prof J. Derera for his guidance and support. Jaysh Singh, a big thumbs up to you. A lot of gratuity to the support staff at Ukulinga for taking care of the trials and data collection at Ukulinga and Cedara. The staff at Dundee is also appreciated for managing trials. A big thank you to Onismo Muzah for helping in data collection in the sun and rain. Dr. Bezuidenhout at Cedara and Mr Kunz at UKZN Agromet are acknowledged for providing access to weather data. I am indebted to Dr. Gasura for his help in statistical analysis. My colleagues in office RS114 thank you for your company and support. Everyone who has contributed to the success of this work is appreciated. Special mention to Vince Ndou, a colleague and a friend, thanks a lot. A great deal of appreciation to Faith Kudzai Tanyanyiwa for moral support on too many days when it felt so overwhelming. I am forever grateful to Elizabeth and Stephen for all their support. Thank you and I love you! My brother and sisters for all your great love and affection. Thanks to my mom for her never ending prayers! I needed them every day of the journey. Above all, I am grateful to God Almighty for everything that I am and ever will be. v DEDICATIONS To God Almighty, who enables me. He is my Strength, Shield and Sanctuary. To my late father, for seeing it first. My father taught me to rise against all odds and adversity. To my family, for all your love. My mum, Julie Lyness, Elizabeth, Mary, Moses and Nastasia have always stood by me. I love you all vi Table of Contents GENERAL ABSTRACT ......................................................................................................... ii DECLARATION .................................................................................................................... iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .................................................................................................... v DEDICATIONS ...................................................................................................................... vi Table of Contents ................................................................................................................ vii List of Tables ..................................................................................................................... xiii List of Figures ...................................................................................................................... xv List of Acronyms and Abbreviations ................................................................................. xiii Chapter 1 : General Introduction ............................................................................................... 1 1.1. Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1 1.2. Importance of Maize ................................................................................................... 1 1.3. Overview of Production Constraints ........................................................................... 2 1.4. Prospects of Crop Improvement ................................................................................. 3 1.5. Problem Statement ...................................................................................................... 4 1.6. Significance of the Study ............................................................................................ 4 1.7. Research Goals and Objectives ................................................................................... 5 1.7.1. Goal of the Study ................................................................................................. 5 1.7.2. Specific Objectives .............................................................................................. 5 1.8. Research Hypotheses .................................................................................................. 6 1.9. Structure of Dissertation ............................................................................................. 6 vii Chapter 2 : Literature Review .................................................................................................... 8 2.1. Introduction ................................................................................................................. 8 2.2. Importance of Superior Seed....................................................................................... 8 2.3. Line X Tester Analysis ............................................................................................... 9 2.4. Combining Ability .................................................................................................... 10 2.4.1. General Combining Ability (GCA) ................................................................... 11 2.4.2. Specific Combining Ability (SCA) ................................................................... 11 2.5. Importance of Tester Lines ....................................................................................... 12 2.6. Application of Combining Ability ............................................................................ 13 2.6.1. Prediction of Hybrid Performance ..................................................................... 13 2.6.2. Evaluation of Inbred Lines ................................................................................ 13 2.6.3. Determination of Gene Action ........................................................................... 14 2.7. Genetic Gains ............................................................................................................ 15 2.7.1. Genetic Gains Achieved in Grain Yield over the years ..................................... 16 2.7.2. Some Genetic Gains Achieved in Secondary Traits over the years .................. 17 2.8. Factors Influencing Genetic Gains Achieved through Selection .............................. 19 2.8.1. Selection Pressure .............................................................................................. 19 2.8.2. Heritability and Genetic Variance ..................................................................... 19 2.8.3. Genetic Variability ............................................................................................. 20 2.8.4. Genotype X Environment (GXE) Interactions .................................................. 20 2.8.5. Heterosis ............................................................................................................ 23 2.8.6. Transgressive Segregation ................................................................................. 23 viii 2.9. Measuring Genetic Gains .......................................................................................... 24 2.10. Correlation, Regression and Path Coefficient Analyses ........................................... 25 2.10.1. Grain Yield and its Relationship with Secondary Traits ................................... 26 2.10.2. Importance of Secondary Traits ......................................................................... 28 2.10.3. Efficiency of Selecting Secondary Traits in Grain Yield Improvement ............ 30 2.11. Summary and Conclusion ......................................................................................... 31 Chapter 3 : Materials and Methods .......................................................................................... 33 3.1. Introduction ............................................................................................................... 33 3.2. Description of Germplasm ........................................................................................ 33 3.3. Description of Sites ................................................................................................... 37 3.4. Experimental Layout and Crop Management ........................................................... 39 3.5. Data Collection ......................................................................................................... 40 3.6. Data Analyses ........................................................................................................... 42 3.6.1. Mean Performance .................................................................................................... 42 3.6.1.1. Grain Yield ........................................................................................................ 42 3.6.1.2. ANOVA and Mean Separation Test .................................................................. 43 3.6.1.3. Frequency Distribution and Mean Ranking ....................................................... 44 3.6.2. Line X Tester Analysis ............................................................................................. 44 3.6.2.1. ANOVA ............................................................................................................. 44 3.6.2.2. General Combining Ability (GCA) ................................................................... 45 3.6.2.3. Specific combining ability (SCA) ..................................................................... 45 3.6.3. Genetic Gains ............................................................................................................ 46 ix 3.6.3.1. Phenotypic and Genotypic Variances ................................................................ 46 3.6.3.2. Broad-sense Heritability .................................................................................... 47 3.6.3.3. Coefficients of Variation ................................................................................... 47 3.6.3.4. Predicted Genetic Gain ...................................................................................... 48 3.6.3.5. Estimation of Realised Genetic Gains ............................................................... 48 3.6.4. Relation between Grain Yield and Secondary Traits ................................................ 50 3.6.4.1. Correlation Analysis .......................................................................................... 50 3.6.4.2. Regression Analysis ........................................................................................... 50 3.6.4.3. Path Analysis ..................................................................................................... 51 3.6.5. Genotype X Environment Interaction ....................................................................... 51 3.6.5.1. Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Analysis (AMMI) ......... 51 3.6.5.2. Genotype and Genotype X Environment Interaction Analysis (GGE) ............. 52 3.6.5.3. Cultivar Superiority Index ................................................................................. 52 3.6.5.4. Cultivar Stability and Mean Rank Analysis ...................................................... 53 Chapter 4 : Results ................................................................................................................... 54 4.1. Analysis of Variance ................................................................................................. 54 4.2. Frequency Distribution ............................................................................................. 56 2.3. Mean Performance of the Hybrids ............................................................................ 62 2.4. Line X Tester Analysis ............................................................................................. 64 2.5. Combining Ability .................................................................................................... 65 2.6. Genetic Gains ............................................................................................................ 70 2.7. Relationship between Grain Yield and Secondary Traits ......................................... 79 x

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deal of appreciation to Faith Kudzai Tanyanyiwa for moral support on too many days when it .. Genotype X Environment (GXE) Interactions .
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