I E A S T A T I S T I C S Please note that this PDF is subject to specific restrictions that limit its use and distribution. The terms and conditions are available online at http://www.iea.org/t&c 2015 EDITION CO EMISSIONS 2 FROM FUEL COMBUSTION Secure Sustainable Together 2015 EDITION CO EMISSIONS 2 FROM FUEL COMBUSTION In recognition of fundamental changes in the way governments approach energy related environmental issues, the IEA has prepared this publication on CO emissions 2 from fuel combustion. This annual publication was first published in 1997 and has become an essential tool for analysts and policy makers in many international fora such as the Conference of the Parties, which will be meeting in Paris, France from 30 November to 11 December 2015. The data in this book are designed to assist in understanding the evolution of the emissions of CO from 1971 to 2013 for more than 140 countries and regions by 2 sector and by fuel. Emissions were calculated using IEA energy databases and the default methods and emission factors from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. (61 2015 29 1 E1) €132 ISBN 978-92-64-24596-9 ISSN 2219-9446 -:HSTCQE=WYZ^[^: 2015 EDITION CO EMISSIONS 2 FROM FUEL COMBUSTION INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The International Energy Agency (IEA), an autonomous agency, was established in November 1974. Its primary mandate was – and is – two-fold: to promote energy security amongst its member countries through collective response to physical disruptions in oil supply, and provide authoritative research and analysis on ways to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy for its 29 member countries and beyond. The IEA carries out a comprehensive programme of energy co-operation among its member countries, each of which is obliged to hold oil stocks equivalent to 90 days of its net imports. The Agency’s aims include the following objectives: n Secure member countries’ access to reliable and ample supplies of all forms of energy; in particular, through maintaining effective emergency response capabilities in case of oil supply disruptions. n Promote sustainable energy policies that spur economic growth and environmental protection in a global context – particularly in terms of reducing greenhouse-gas emissions that contribute to climate change. n Improve transparency of international markets through collection and analysis of energy data. n Support global collaboration on energy technology to secure future energy supplies and mitigate their environmental impact, including through improved energy efficiency and development and deployment of low-carbon technologies. n Find solutions to global energy challenges through engagement and dialogue with non-member countries, industry, international organisations and other stakeholders. IEA member countries: Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland This publication reflects the views of the International Energy Agency France (IEA) Secretariat but does not necessarily reflect those of individual IEA member countries. The IEA makes no representation or Germany warranty, express or implied, in respect to the publication’s Greece contents (including its completeness or accuracy) and shall not be responsible for any use of, or reliance on, the publication. Hungary Ireland This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, Italy to the delimitation of international frontiers and Japan boundaries, and to the name of any territory, city or area. Korea (Republic of) Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic © OECD/IEA, 2015 Spain International Energy Agency Sweden 9 rue de la Fédération Switzerland 75739 Paris Cedex 15, France Turkey www.iea.org United Kingdom United States Please note that this publication is subject to specific restrictions The European Commission that limit its use and distribution. The terms and conditions are also participates in available online at www.iea.org/t&c/ the work of the IEA. Page02_2015_20x27_NB_STATS.indd 1 02-12-2014 15:35:44 CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) - iii 2 FOREWORD In recent years, we have seen a fundamental shift in the way governments around the world approach energy- related environmental issues. Promoting sustainable development and combating climate change have become integral aspects of energy planning, analysis and policy making both within International Energy Agency (IEA) member countries, and beyond. Because energy accounts for two-thirds of total greenhouse gas emissions and 80% of CO , any effort to reduce emissions and mitigate climate change must include the energy sector. As a 2 result, climate change has become a key focus of IEA work. Any energy-related policy to address climate change needs to be based on accurate data. In the lead-up to the UN climate negotiations at COP 21 in Paris, France, the latest information on the level and growth of CO emissions 2 from fuel combustion, their source and geographic distribution will be essential in laying the foundation for a global agreement. Therefore, the IEA Secretariat has prepared this publication to provide the most comprehensive estimates of CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion across the world and across the sectors of the global economy. The purpose of this publication is to place up-to-date and detailed information in the hands of those who need it, including in particular the participants and decision makers in the UNFCCC process. Most of the data presented in this publication are for CO emissions from fuel combustion only. Therefore, they 2 may differ from countries' official greenhouse gas inventory submissions to the UNFCCC Secretariat, which include emissions of other greenhouse gases and from other sources. This edition includes data from 1971 to 2013 for more than 140 countries and regions worldwide, by sector and by fuel; as well as a number of CO -related indicators. It is our hope that this breakdown will assist the reader in 2 better understanding the evolution of emissions worldwide. The IEA will continue to provide evidence-based policy recommendations on climate change and to provide accurate data to shape the debate. Fatih Birol Executive Director INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY iv - CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) 2 What’s New? Updates of methodologies In this edition, the IEA has transitioned from the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, in line with Annex I Party reporting to the UNFCCC. The new CO emissions total is now called “CO emis- 2 2 sions from fuel combustion”. For further information on the impact of this changeover, see Part I, Chapter 3: IEA estimates: Changes under the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Revisions to data: People’s Republic of China In September 2015, the National Bureau of Statistics of China published China’s energy statistics for 2013, as well as revised statistics for the years 2000 to 2012. NBS supplied the IEA with detailed energy balances for 2011 to 2013. Using these, the IEA revised its 2011-2013 data based on these newly available figures, as pub- lished in this document. The revisions show significant changes both on the supply and demand side for a num- ber of energy products, resulting in breaks in time series between 2010 and 2011. Revised data for the years 2000-2010 will be published in the next edition of this publication. The revised energy balances released by the NBS integrate findings from a national economic census for all years since 2000. These revised data solve several detailed issues, most importantly the unallocated coal de- mand that appeared in the recent years of the Chinese energy balance (shown as statistical difference), has been primarily allocated to final consumption in the industrial sector. Indicators: decomposition of emissions from electricity generation In this edition, new graphs present a decomposition of the change in CO emissions from electricity generation 2 over time into the sum of the change in four drivers: CO intensity of the fossil fuel mix, fossil fuel share of 2 electricity generation, thermal efficiency of fossil fuel-fired electricity generation, and total electricity output. This decomposition helps to assess the relative contributions of these different factors in trends in CO emis- 2 sions from electricity generation. The layout of the country graphs in Part II has been modified accordingly. For a complete description of the methodology used, please see Part I, Chapter 2: Indicator sources and methods. Geographical coverage The IEA continues to try to expand the coverage of its statistics reports and encourage more countries to col- laborate on data exchange. This year data have become available for Niger from 2000 to 2013, and have been included in this edition. Therefore Niger, published separately, has been removed from the region Other Africa for those years. Data have also become available for South Sudan for the years 2012 and 2013. Therefore data for Sudan and South Sudan are presented separately for those years. In addition, data for the former Netherlands Antilles have been separated into its constituent islands from 2012 onwards. Data for Curaçao include the former Netherlands Antilles until 2011, after which data refer to Curaçao only, with data for the remaining islands (Bonaire, Saba, Saint Eustatius and Sint Maarten) included in Other Non-OECD Americas. In addition, in accordance with Decision 10/CP.17 of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC (effective from 9 January 2013), Cyprus1 has been included in the Annex I regional grouping in this publication. 1. Please refer to Part I, Chapter 4, Geographical Coverage. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) - v 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2013 CO EMISSIONS OVERVIEW 2 Key trends in CO emissions from fuel combustion ............................................................................................... xiii 2 PART I: METHODOLOGY 1. Understanding the IEA CO emissions 3. IEA estimates: Changes under the 2006 IPCC 2 estimates ........................................................... I.3 Guidelines ....................................................... I.21 2. Indicator sources and methods ....................... I.13 4. Units and conversions ..................................... I.27 5. Geographical coverage ................................... I.29 PART II: CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION 2 SUMMARY TABLES Total CO emissions from fuel combustion ............ II.4 Population ............................................................. II.40 2 CO emissions from international marine CO emissions /TPES .......................................... II.43 2 2 bunkers ........................................................... II.16 CO emissions /TFC ............................................ II.46 2 CO emissions from international aviation CO emissions /GDP ............................................ II.49 2 2 bunkers ........................................................... II.19 CO emissions /population ................................... II.55 2 CO emissions by sector in 2013 .......................... II.22 Per capita emissions by sector in 2013 ................. II.58 2 CO emissions with electricity and heat Electricity output .................................................. II.61 2 allocated to consuming sectors in 2013 ......... II.25 CO emissions per kWh ........................................ II.64 2 Total primary energy supply ................................. II.28 CO emissions and drivers 2 GDP ....................................................................... II.34 (Kaya decomposition) .................................... II.76 GLOBAL AND REGIONAL TOTALS World .................................................................... II.96 OECD Europe ..................................................... II.120 Annex I Parties .................................................. II.98 European Union - 28 ........................................... II.122 Annex II Parties ........................................... II.100 Non-OECD Total ................................................ II.124 North America ......................................... II.102 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia ......................... II.126 Europe ..................................................... II.104 Africa .................................................................. II.128 Asia Oceania ........................................... II.106 Asia (excluding China) ....................................... II.130 Economies in Transition.............................. II.108 Non-Annex I Parties ........................................ II.110 China (including Hong Kong, China) ................. II.132 Annex I Kyoto Parties ..................................... II.112 Non-OECD Americas ......................................... II.134 OECD Total ........................................................ II.114 Middle East ......................................................... II.136 OECD Americas .................................................. II.116 G20 ..................................................................... II.138 OECD Asia Oceania ........................................... II.118 COUNTRY TABLES Albania ................................................................ II.142 Austria ................................................................ II.154 Algeria ................................................................. II.144 Azerbaijan ........................................................... II.156 Angola ................................................................. II.146 Bahrain ............................................................... II.158 Argentina ............................................................. II.148 Bangladesh ......................................................... II.160 Armenia ............................................................... II.150 Belarus ................................................................ II.162 Australia .............................................................. II.152 Belgium .............................................................. II.164 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY vi - CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) 2 Benin ................................................................... II.166 Jamaica ............................................................... II.272 Plurinational State of Bolivia .............................. II.168 Japan ................................................................... II.274 Bosnia and Herzegovina...................................... II.170 Jordan ................................................................. II.276 Botswana ............................................................. II.172 Kazakhstan ......................................................... II.278 Brazil ................................................................... II.174 Kenya .................................................................. II.280 Brunei Darussalam .............................................. II.176 Korea .................................................................. II.282 Bulgaria ............................................................... II.178 Kosovo ................................................................ II.284 Cambodia ............................................................ II.180 Kuwait ................................................................ II.286 Cameroon ............................................................ II.182 Kyrgyzstan .......................................................... II.288 Canada ................................................................. II.184 Latvia .................................................................. II.290 Chile .................................................................... II.186 Lebanon .............................................................. II.292 People’s Republic of China ................................. II.188 Libya ................................................................... II.294 Colombia ............................................................. II.190 Lithuania ............................................................. II.296 Congo .................................................................. II.192 Luxembourg ....................................................... II.298 Costa Rica ........................................................... II.194 Malaysia ............................................................. II.300 Côte d’Ivoire ....................................................... II.196 Malta ................................................................... II.302 Croatia ................................................................. II.198 Mauritius ............................................................. II.304 Cuba .................................................................... II.200 Mexico ................................................................ II.306 Curaçao ............................................................... II.202 Republic of Moldova .......................................... II.308 Cyprus ................................................................. II.204 Mongolia ............................................................. II.310 Czech Republic ................................................... II.206 Montenegro ......................................................... II.312 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea ............. II.208 Morocco .............................................................. II.314 Democratic Republic of Congo ........................... II.210 Mozambique ....................................................... II.316 Denmark .............................................................. II.212 Myanmar ............................................................. II.318 Dominican Republic ............................................ II.214 Namibia .............................................................. II.320 Ecuador ............................................................... II.216 Nepal................................................................... II.322 Egypt ................................................................... II.218 Netherlands ......................................................... II.324 El Salvador .......................................................... II.220 New Zealand ....................................................... II.326 Eritrea .................................................................. II.222 Nicaragua ............................................................ II.328 Estonia ................................................................. II.224 Niger ................................................................... II.330 Ethiopia ............................................................... II.226 Nigeria ................................................................ II.332 Finland ................................................................ II.228 Norway ............................................................... II.334 Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia .......... II.230 Oman .................................................................. II.336 France .................................................................. II.232 Pakistan............................................................... II.338 Gabon .................................................................. II.234 Panama ............................................................... II.340 Georgia ................................................................ II.236 Paraguay ............................................................. II.342 Germany .............................................................. II.238 Peru ..................................................................... II.344 Ghana .................................................................. II.240 Philippines .......................................................... II.346 Gibraltar .............................................................. II.242 Poland ................................................................. II.348 Greece ................................................................. II.244 Portugal............................................................... II.350 Guatemala ........................................................... II.246 Qatar ................................................................... II.352 Haiti ..................................................................... II.248 Romania .............................................................. II.354 Honduras ............................................................. II.250 Russian Federation ............................................. II.356 Hong Kong, China .............................................. II.252 Saudi Arabia ....................................................... II.358 Hungary ............................................................... II.254 Senegal ............................................................... II.360 Iceland ................................................................. II.256 Serbia .................................................................. II.362 India .................................................................... II.258 Singapore ............................................................ II.364 Indonesia ............................................................. II.260 Slovak Republic .................................................. II.366 Islamic Republic of Iran ...................................... II.262 Slovenia .............................................................. II.368 Iraq ...................................................................... II.264 South Africa ........................................................ II.370 Ireland ................................................................. II.266 South Sudan ........................................................ II.372 Israel .................................................................... II.268 Spain ................................................................... II.374 Italy ..................................................................... II.270 Sri Lanka ............................................................ II.376 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) - vii 2 Sudan ................................................................... II.378 Turkmenistan ...................................................... II.402 Sweden ................................................................ II.380 Ukraine ............................................................... II.404 Switzerland .......................................................... II.382 United Arab Emirates ......................................... II.406 Syrian Arab Republic .......................................... II.384 United Kingdom ................................................. II.408 Chinese Taipei ..................................................... II.386 United States ....................................................... II.410 Tajikistan ............................................................. II.388 Uruguay .............................................................. II.412 United Republic of Tanzania ............................... II.390 Uzbekistan .......................................................... II.414 Thailand .............................................................. II.392 Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela ...................... II.416 Togo .................................................................... II.394 Viet Nam ............................................................ II.418 Trinidad and Tobago ........................................... II.396 Yemen................................................................. II.420 Tunisia ................................................................. II.398 Zambia ................................................................ II.422 Turkey ................................................................. II.400 Zimbabwe ........................................................... II.424 PART III: GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS 1. Trends in GHG emissions ............................. III.3 3. Total GHG emissions .................................. III.19 2. Sources and methods ..................................... III.9 Kyoto Protocol base years The year 1990 should be the base year for the estimation and reporting of inventories. According to the provisions of Article 4.6 of the Convention and Decisions 9/CP.2 and 11/CP.4, the following Annex I Parties that are undergoing the process of transi- tion to a market economy, are allowed to use a base year or a period of years other than 1990, as follows: Bulgaria: to use 1988 Hungary: to use the average of the years 1985 to 1987 Poland: to use 1988 Romania: to use 1989 Slovenia: to use 1986 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY viii - CO EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION (2015 Edition) 2 ABBREVIATIONS Btu: British thermal unit GJ: gigajoule GtC: gigatonnes of carbon GWh: gigawatt hour J: joule kcal: kilocalorie kg: kilogramme kt: thousand tonnes ktoe: thousand tonnes of oil equivalent kWh: kilowatt hour MJ: megajoule Mt: million tonnes MtCO: million tonnes of carbon dioxide 2 Mtoe: million tonnes of oil equivalent m3: cubic metre PJ: petajoule t: metric ton = tonne = 1 000 kg tC: tonne of carbon Tcal: teracalorie TJ: terajoule toe: tonne of oil equivalent = 107 kcal BKB: brown coal briquettes (braunkohlebriketts) CEF: carbon emission factor CHP: combined heat and power GCV: gross calorific value GDP: gross domestic product HHV: higher heating value = GCV LHV: lower heating value = NCV NCV: net calorific value PPP: purchasing power parity TPES: total primary energy supply Annex I: See Chapter 4, Geographical coverage Annex II: See Chapter 4, Geographical coverage CDM: Clean Development Mechanism Convention: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change COP: Conference of the Parties to the Convention EITs: Economies in Transition (see Chapter 4, Geographical coverage) G20: Group of Twenty (see Chapter 4, Geographical coverage) IEA: International Energy Agency IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change OECD: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development UN: United Nations UNECE: United Nations Economic Commission for Europe UNFCCC: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change e estimated .. not available - nil x not applicable + growth greater than 1 000% INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY