Heart and Lung Center Helsinki University Central Hospital University of Helsinki Helsinki, Finland Doctoral Programme in Clinical Research, University of Helsinki Helsinki, Finland Clinical and genetic risk factors in acute coronary syndromes Satu Vaara ACADEMIC DISSERTATION To be presented with the permission of the Medical Faculty of the University of Helsinki, for public examination in Meilahti Hospital, Lecture Hall 3, on January 27th 2017, at 12 noon. Helsinki 2017 SUPERVISOR Professor Juha Sinisalo Heart and Lung Center Helsinki University Central Hospital University of Helsinki Helsinki, Finland REVIEWERS Professor Ilkka Pörsti Department of Internal Medicine Tampere University Hospital Tampere, Finland Professor Katriina Aalto-Setälä Heart Center Tampere University Hospital Tampere, Finland and BioMediTech University of Tampere Tampere, Finland OFFICIAL OPPONENT Docent Heikki Ukkonen Heart Center Turku University Hospital University of Turku Turku, Finland ISBN 978-951-51-2820-1 (paperback) ISBN 978-951-51-2821-8 (PDF) http://ethesis.helsinki.fi Unigrafia Oy Helsinki 2017 Contents List of original publications 7 Most important abbreviations 8 Abstract 10 1. Introduction 12 2. Review of the literature 14 2.1. Epidemiology of CAD and ACS 14 2.2. Classification and diagnosis of stable CAD and ACS 15 2.3. Pathophysiology 19 2.3.1. Formation and composition of an atherosclerotic plaque 19 2.3.2. Pathophysiology of ACS 20 2.4. Clinical risk factors of atherosclerosis and ACS 22 2.5. Treatment of stable CAD and ACS 24 2.6. Genetics of CAD 25 2.6.1. Revealed genetic risk variants for CAD 25 2.7. Differences in pathophysiology and clinical characteristics between STEMI and NSTEMI 35 2.8. Prediction of CAD, MI and outcome 35 2.8.1. Traditional risk-prediction tools 35 2.8.2. Risk prediction using genetic information 38 2.9. Other manifestations of CVD 40 2.9.1. Peripheral artery disease 40 2.9.2. Stroke 41 3. Aims of the study 43 4. Methods 44 4.1. Design of the substudies 44 4.2. Study cohorts 45 4.2.1. Corogene (I-IV) 46 4.2.2. TACOS (III) 47 4.2.3 FINRISK (III-IV) 47 4.3 Definitions of study end-points 48 4.4 Genotyping 49 4.5. Statistical methods 50 4.5.1. Statistical tests 50 4.5.2. Calculation of GRS 51 5. Results 52 5.1. Overall patient characteristics in the Corogene cohort (I) 52 5.2. ACS patients (II) 55 5.2.1. Recurrent ACS during follow-up 55 5.2.2. Mortality of the ACS patients 56 5.2.3. Single SNP associations with outcome and with risk factors in ACS patients 57 5.2.4. GRS associations with outcome in ACS patients 57 5.2.5. GRS associations with subtype of ACS and clinical factors 58 5.3. Differences between STEMI and NSTEMI patients (III) 59 5.3.1. Clinical characteristics 59 5.3.2. Genetic variants associated with NSTEMI in GWAS 60 5.3.3. Association of previously reported CAD/MI risk loci with NSTEMI and STEMI (III) 62 5.4. Associations of variant rs656843 at 1p13.3 with cardiovascular risk factors, adverse outcome, and other manifestations of atherosclerosis (IV) 62 5.4.1. Associations of rs656843 genotypes with clinical characteristics 62 5.4.2. Associations of rs656843 with outcome and other manifestations of CVD 63 6. Discussion 65 6.1. Cohort evaluation 65 6.2. Genetics affecting outcome of ACS patients 67 6.3. Differences between STEMI and NSTEMI patients 69 6.4. The new risk variant for NSTEMI predisposing to PAD? 70 6.5. Limitations of the study 71 6.6. Clinical implications and future perspectives 72 7. Conclusions 74 8. Acknowledgements 75 9. References 77 List of original publications This thesis is based on the following publications: I Vaara S, Nieminen MS, Lokki ML, Perola M, Pussinen PJ, Allonen J, Parkkonen O, Sinisalo J. Cohort profile: The Corogene Study. Int J Epidemiol. 2012 Oct;41(5):1265-71. II Vaara S, Tikkanen E, Parkkonen O, Lokki ML, Ripatti S, Perola M, Nieminen MS, Sinisalo J. Genetic risk scores predict recurrence of acute coronary syndrome. Circ Cardiovasc Genet. 2016 Apr;9(2):172-8. III Salo PP, Vaara S, Kettunen J, Pirinen M, Sarin AP, Huikuri H, Karhunen PJ, Eskola M, Nikus K, Lokki ML, Ripatti S, Havulinna AS, Salomaa V, Palotie A, Nieminen MS, Sinisalo J, Perola M. Genetic variants on chromosome 1p13.3 are associated with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction and the expression of DRAM2 in the Finnish population. PLoS One. 2015 Oct 28;10(10):e0140576. IV Vaara S, Salo P, Perola M, Parkkonen O, Lokki ML, Havulinna A, Salomaa V, Nieminen MS, Sinisalo J. A risk locus for non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction on chromosome 1p13.3 is also associated with peripheral artery disease in patients with acute coronary syndrome. (Submitted to Scientific Reports) The publications are referred to in the text by their Roman numerals. Additional information not published in these articles is included and cited as “S.V. et al., unpublished results”. The original articles are reproduced with the permission of the respective copyright holders (I-III). 7 Most important abbreviations ABI ankle brachial index ACS acute coronary syndrome AMI acute myocardial infarction ARIC Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities ASAT aspartate aminotransferase AUC area under the receiver operating characteristics curve BMI body-mass index CABG coronary artery by-pass grafting CAD coronary artery disease CCTA computed coronary tomography angiogram CI confidence interval CKMBm creatine kinase-MB-mass CRP C-reactive protein CVD cardiovascular disease DNA deoxyribonucleic acid DRAM2 damage-regulated autophagy modulator 2 ECG electrocardiogram FDR false discovery rate GFR glomerular filtration rate GGT gammaglutamyltransferase GRACE Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events GRS genetic risk score GTEx Genotype-Tissue Expression project GUSTO Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries GWAS genome-wide association study EMMACE Evaluation of the Methods and Management of Acute Coronary Events HbA1c glycosylated hemoglobin A1c HDL high-density lipoprotein HR hazard ratio IQR interquartile range LDL low-density lipoprotein LD linkage disequilibrium MAF minor allele frequency MDRD Modification of Diet in Renal Disease MI myocardial infarction MONICA Multinational MONItoring of trends and determinants in CArdiovascular disease -Project NSTEACS non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome NSTEMI non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction OR odds ratio 8 PAD peripheral artery disease PCI percutaneous coronary intervention proBNP Type B N-terminal natriuretic propeptide PURSUIT Platelet Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in Unstable Angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy ROC receiver operating characteristics SD standard deviation SMC smooth muscle cell STEMI ST-elevation myocardial infarction SNP single nucleotide polymorphism SRI Simple Risk Index TACOS Tampere Acute Coronary Syndrome Study TIA transient ischemic attack TIMI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Study Group TnI cardiac troponin I TnT cardiac troponin T UAP unstable angina pectoris 9 Abstract Aims This study aimed to investigate how various genetic variants affect acute coronary syndrome (ACS): its subtype and the prognosis. More precisely, its objectives were to describe the characteristics of a Finnish cohort of consecutive angiography patients and to evaluate the importance of clinical risk factors and genetic risk scores (GRS) in predicting the ACS prognosis. Additionally, genetic differences were sought between patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The newly discovered NSTEMI risk variant was studied for effects on prognosis, clinical risk factors and other manifestations of atherosclerosis. Material and methods Studies I to IV are based on the Corogene cohort, consisting of 5 294 consecutive patients who underwent coronary angiography between 2006 and 2008. The patients with ACS or prior myocardial infarction (MI) were genotyped. Additionally, genotyped individuals from Tampere Acute Coronary Syndrome Study (TACOS) (Study III) and FINRISK cohorts (Studies III-IV) were included to further test the findings discovered of the Corogene Study. Study I was an observational cohort study of all the 5 294 consecutive coronary angiography patients included in the Corogene Study. It described the risk factor profiles, disease stability and severity, and the revascularization strategy of all these patients. Study II elucidated the recurrence rate and the mortality from coronary artery disease (CAD) in the 2 090 ACS patients during a median 5.5-year follow-up, and clinical factors affecting their prognosis. The GRS of 47 previously known CAD risk variants was formed and tested for association with recurrent ACS and CAD mortality. Clinical risk factors were studied for association with the GRS47. Patients with MI were selected for Study III, a genome-wide association study (GWAS), to discover new genetic variants conferring risk specifically for NSTEMI or STEMI. The variants passing a pre-defined statistical significance threshold were chosen for replication in the TACOS and FINRISK cohorts. In Study IV, data of all the genotyped ACS patients served for analysis of clinical characteristics and comorbidities associated with the variant discovered in the GWAS of Study III, with special emphasis on the variant’s effect on the prognosis and on incidence of peripheral artery disease (PAD). Main results The most common reason for coronary angiogram in the Corogene Study during the study period was ACS (2 090, 39%). Almost one-fourth of the patients (1 207, 23%) had no signs of obstructive CAD in coronary angiography. About half of all patients (2 854, 54%) were finally revascularized. Of the ACS patients, 263 (12.6%) had recurrent ACS, 455 (21.8%) died during the follow-up, and 259 (12.4%) had a CAD-related cause of death. The GRS47 was found associated with recurrent ACS, independent of clinical factors. When added to a risk- 10
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