Climate Change Adaptation in Eastern Europe: Managing Risks and Building Resilience to Climate Change

396 Pages·2019·14.77 MB·English

by  Walter Leal Filho

Climate Change Management
Walter Leal Filho
Goran Trbić
Editors
Dejan Filipovic   
Climate Change
Adaptation in
Eastern Europe
Managing Risks and Building Resilience
to Climate Change
Climate Change Management
Series editor
Walter Leal Filho, Faculty of Life Sciences, Research and Transfer Centre,
“Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg
University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg, Germany
The aim of this book series is to provide an authoritative source of information on
climate change management, with an emphasis on projects, case studies and
practical initiatives—all of which may help to address a problem with a global
scope,buttheimpactsofwhicharemostlylocal.Astheworldactivelyseeksways
to cope with the effects of climate change and global warming, such as floods,
droughts, rising sea levels and landscape changes, there is a vital need for reliable
information and data to support the efforts pursued by local governments, NGOs
and other organizations to address the problems associated with climate change.
Thisserieswelcomesmonographsandcontributedvolumeswrittenforanacademic
and professional audience, as well as peer-reviewed conference proceedings.
Relevant topics include but are not limited to water conservation, disaster
prevention and management, and agriculture, as well as regional studies and
documentation of trends. Thanks to its interdisciplinary focus, the series aims to
concretely contribute to a better understanding of the state-of-the-art of climate
change adaptation, and of the tools with which it can be implemented on the
ground.
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8740
ć
Walter Leal Filho Goran Trbi
(cid:129)
Dejan Filipovic
Editors
Climate Change Adaptation
in Eastern Europe
Managing Risks and Building Resilience
to Climate Change
123
Editors
Walter LealFilho Dejan Filipovic
Faculty of LifeScience Faculty of Geography
HAWHamburg University of Belgrade
Hamburg,Germany Belgrade, Serbia
Goran Trbić
Faculty of NaturalSciences
andMathematics
University of BanjaLuka
BanjaLuka,Bosnia andHerzegovina
ISSN 1610-2002 ISSN 1610-2010 (electronic)
Climate Change Management
ISBN978-3-030-03382-8 ISBN978-3-030-03383-5 (eBook)
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5
LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2018960197
©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019
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Preface
Climate change affects countries in Eastern Europe, i.e. the Western Balkans and
Southeast Europe in a variety of ways. Apart from severe floods, there are records
of decreasing water reserves in the southern part and of gradual changes in bio-
diversity and agricultural production. In the South Caucasus area, for instance,
climate change models project a decline in precipitation by the end of the century
and suggest that it will continue to become drier this century.
ManyEasternEuropeancountries,especiallythenon-EUones,arecharacterized
by the fact that national climate policies on the one hand and transboundary col-
laboration on the other are rather weak and by the fact that the engagement of the
general public on matters related to climate change is still rather limited. Climate
change thus poses a serious threat to the economic stability and development of
manyEasternEuropeancountriesandtothesustainabledevelopmentoftheregion.
The above state of affairs illustrates the need for a better understanding of how
climate change influences Eastern Europe and for the identification of processes,
methodsandtoolswhichmayhelpthecountriesandthecommunitiesintheregion
toadapt.Thereisalsoaperceivedneedtoshowcasesuccessfulexamplesofhowto
cope with the social, economic and political problems posed by floods/droughts in
the region, especially the ways of increasing the resilience of agricultural systems
and of communities.
Itisagainstthisbackgroundthatthisbookhasbeenprepared.Itcontainsasetof
papers presented at the “International Scientific Conference on Climate Change
Adaptation in Eastern Europe” being organized by the University of Banja Luka,
UniversityofBelgrade,theResearchandTransferCentre“SustainableDevelopment
andClimateChangeManagement”oftheHamburgUniversityofAppliedSciences
(Germany), the International Climate Change Information Programme (ICCIP),
Fund forEnvironmentalProtectionand EnergyEfficiency oftheRepublikaSrpska
and Center for Climatic Research (CCR Banja Luka), as well as additional contri-
butions. The book is a very interdisciplinary piece, mobilizing scholars, social
movements, practitioners and members of governmental agencies, undertaking
researchand/or executingprojects focusingon climate change inEastern Europe.
v
vi Preface
Thanks toits scope, thebook will serve thepurpose of showcasingexperiences
from research, field projects and best practice to foster climate change adaptation
among countries in the region, which may be useful or implemented elsewhere.
Hamburg, Germany Walter Leal Filho
Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina Goran Trbić
Belgrade, Serbia Dejan Filipovic
Winter 2018/2019
Contents
Towards Resilient Cities in Serbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Branko Protić, Velimir Šećerov, Bogdan Lukić and Marija Jeftić
Projected Changes in Multi-day Extreme Precipitation Over
the Western Balkan Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Vladimir Djurdjevic, Goran Trbić, Aleksandra Krzic
and Danijela Bozanic
Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature
Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Dragan Burić, Jovan Dragojlović, Ivana Penjišević-Sočanac,
Jelena Luković and Miroslav Doderović
Analysis of the Climate Change in the Doboj Municipality
and Adaptation Options. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Dragana Vidić and Dragica Delić
An Analysis of Problems Related to Climate Change in Serbian
Planning Documents. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
Dejan Filipovic and Ljubica Duskov
Climate Change Impact on River Discharges in Bosnia
and Herzegovina: A Case Study of the Lower Vrbas
River Basin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
Slobodan Gnjato, Tatjana Popov, Goran Trbić and Marko Ivanišević
Water Body Extraction and Flood Risk Assessment Using Lidar
and Open Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93
Gordana Jakovljević and Miro Govedarica
Resilient Functional Urban Regions: Spatial Planning in the Light
of Climate Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Marija Jeftić, Dragutin Tošić and Teodora Nikolić
vii
viii Contents
Climate Change and Protection Against Floods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127
Cedomir Crnogorac and Vesna Rajcevic
Duration of the Snow Cover and the Need for Artificial
Snow—A Challenge for Management in Ski-Centres of Serbia . . . . . . . 137
Marko Joksimović, Dejan Šabić, Snežana Vujadinović, Rajko Golić
and Mirjana Gajić
Sustainability of Rural Areas in Bosnia and Herzegovina Under
the Global Climate Change Conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
Mira Mandić, Milenko Živković and Dragan Papić
Alleviation of Negative Climate Change Effects on Maize Yields
in Northern Bosnia by Liming and Phosphorus Fertilization. . . . . . . . . 169
Mihajlo Markovic, Ilija Komljenovic, Vlado Kovacevic, Vojo Radic,
Jurica Jovic, Goran Trbić, Dusica Pesevic and Mirjana Markovic
Temperature Risk Assessment in Urban Environments During Heat
Wave Periods: A Case Study on the City of Novi Sad (Serbia) . . . . . . . 185
Stevan Savić, Daniela Arsenović, Vladimir Marković
and Dragan Milošević
Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Requirements
of Orchards in Bosnia and Herzegovina. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199
Ružica Stričević, Goran Trbić, Mirjam Vujadinović, Ana Vuković,
Aleksa Lipovac, Ivan Bogdan and Raduška Cupać
Effects of Changes in Extreme Climate Events on Key Sectors
in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Adaptation Options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213
Tatjana Popov, Slobodan Gnjato and Goran Trbić
Promoting Adaptation Within Urban Planning: Case Study
of the General Regulation Plan of the City of Požarevac . . . . . . . . . . . . 229
Tijana Crnčević, Ana Niković and Božidar Manić
Hail as a Natural Disaster in Bosnia and Herzegovina. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245
Tihomir Dejanovic, Goran Trbić and Tatjana Popov
Aggravated Occupational Heat Stress Recognition and Mitigation
in Slovenia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
TjašaPogačar,ZalaŽnidaršič,ZalikaČrepinšekandLučkaKajfežBogataj
Impacts of Future Climate Change on Runoff in Selected
Catchments of Slovakia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279
Peter Rončák, Kamila Hlavčová, Silvia Kohnová and Ján Szolgay
Adaptation Strategies to Reduce the Impact of Climate Change
on Yield Loss in Northern Carpathians, Slovakia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293
Matej Žilinský, Jozef Takáč and Bernard Šiška
Contents ix
Adaptation of Eastern Europe Regional Agriculture to Climate
Change: Risks and Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307
Dara V. Gaeva, Galina M. Barinova and Evgeny V. Krasnov
Cross-Boundary Cooperation Between Bosnia and Herzegovina
and Their Neighboring Countries Focusing on an Efficient Hail
Protection as an Active Response to Global Climate Changes . . . . . . . . 321
Milenko Živković, Tihomir Dejanović and Mira Mandić
Analysis of Existing Disaster Risk Reduction Programs
and Enhancement of Capacity Development for Health Risks
from Floods in Western Balkan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 335
Gethmini Pabasara Appuhamilage, Jelena Barbir
and Xavier Rodriguez Lloveras
Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources of the Republic
of Srpska (Entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina)—Geopolitical Aspect . . . 351
Igor Zekanović
Good Practices for Disaster Risk Reduction in Agriculture
in the Western Balkans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369
Tamara van ‘t Wout, Reuben Sessa and Vlado Pijunovic