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Annu.Rev.Polit.Sci.1999.2:211(cid:150)41 Copyright'1999byAnnualReviews.Allrightsreserved 1 CIVIL-MILITARY RELATIONS PeterD.Feaver DepartmentofPoliticalScience,DukeUniversity,Durham,NorthCarolina27708- 0204;e-mail:[email protected] g or KEYWORDS: civiliancontrol,coups,militarypolitics,defensepolicy,armedforces, ws. principal-agentrelations e vi e nualrnly. ABSTRACT no urnals.anal use Wanhswoewritlhligsu,athrdetcheengtruaalrqduiaenssti?oPnoolfititchaelcsicviieln-mtisitlsitasirnycreePlaltaitoonhsasvuebfsioeuldg.hAttlo- wnloaded from arjo09/11/08. For perso ttltsvhiehcirvoedieeeuihnnrlga,icgghntehhag(cid:146)ceeseirsvofcotiiuolfec-gnlimrdhvteriilitlllabaaiitatxruiagnootriennyoalsoynurhmetifthlpooyaosctrofiuibooutseinrreetscswsuainoiestndanealnenotvrhatgsehetturiaeoyicnnnmodbg-nirisntolttrihagatoetadleorfsyosfi.uercaTlbdindjvhideriaiclesnc-tcmi,detvseiidiosnllaiinicstayaoconrmusfysusptosrrhaivcenesielegsaymittsnytiihoglpaenitottsarhle,erievytcpieeecrbornnayy--tl Doon renaissanceintheliteratureaswellasfruitfulavenuesforfutureresearch. 11-241. entucky Tsimphapecoeer)tsastnhatyecmfoonacnturyisbecusatsiooennssttuhtodeiooerusertaikncnadloewdmelepvdierglioecp.amlterneatst,mselnigtshttihnagth(faovreraelassoomnsadoef 2K ci. 1999.2:versity of INTRODUCTION olit. Sy Uni Csoicviial-lmsciileitnacrye.rHeliasttioorniasniss,soonceioolfotghieststr,uployliitnictearldsicsiceinptliisntasr,yanfdiepldosliocyf satnuadlyysitns Pb v. all have made major contributions to the field and, perhaps more surprising, e R regularlyreadandrespondtoeachother(cid:146)sworkinthisarea.Theinterdiscipli- u. n nary nature is neatly captured in the subfield(cid:146)s indispensable lead journal, n A ArmedForces&Society,andmayhelpexplainwhynominallymainstreambut increasinglyinsularpoliticalsciencejournalssuchasAmericanPoliticalSci- enceReviewhavemadelessofacontributiontothesubfieldinthepastfew decades. 1ThisessayadaptsmaterialspublishedvariouslyinFeaver1995,1997a,and1997bwiththeper- missionoftheCenterforStrategicandInternationalStudies,TransactionPublishers,andFunda- ci(cid:243)nAriasparalaPazyelProgresoHumano,respectively. 211 1094-2939/99/0616-0211$08.00 212 FEAVER This essay focuses on the political science component of the subfield, makingmentionofassociateddisciplinesasnecessary.Politicalscientists,as distinctfromhistorians,tendtolookforpatternedgeneralizationsofcauseand effect.Politicalscientistsseeknotsomuchtodescribewhathappenedinapar- ticularinstanceastoexplainwhathappensingeneraland,ifpossible,predict whatislikelytohappeninthenextcase,giventheceterisparibusconstraint. Asdistinctfromsociologists,politicalscientistsfocusprimarilyoninstitutions ofpoliticalcontrol.Factorsofdirectconcerntosociologists(cid:151)forinstance,the integration of the military with society(cid:151)are of interest only insofar as they may relate causally to the primary political question of who decides what, g or when,how,andwithwhateffect.Sociologistsandhistorianswouldnodoubt s. w balkattheprominencegiventopoliticalsciencetheoryinthisessay.Theno- e vi motheticversusideographicdebateplaysoutinthisareaasinothers,anditis e nualrnly. not clear that political science is the lead discipline in the study of civil- no military relations anyway. But sociologists and historians are likely to pay urnals.anal use gwroeualtderinatotethnetiropnotloitipcoallitsicciaelntcheesourbetfiicealdlsd.eTvheilsopism,tehnetns,iannthuinsafbiaesldhetdhlaynptahreoy- oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers clsmethraoiusAadetleldatrr,hnneovhieuinayegvteweheldloepirrecfreelttcauohttaceielocdhnpuaisopstlitiebaotdsiercsytawopllcoaeilsreaigctntiieeceldcanyilcdvdeipiaslhctcieaiiilvspnoiltslioa-nomnetphdshie.leimtprasrareyrf(cid:150)toiWlraitlteohrsroalpdtuhusWeraerne,adsrb,sIuIbtolrfoiotneyaerdeaalwtyrusir,tcehotohnane-t Doon antimilitarism,especiallyVagts(1937)andLasswell(1941).Thesecondlarge 1-241. ntucky wenatvisetsosftrliutgergalteudretocraemcoenicniltehetheeanrleyedCfooldraWpearrmpearnieondt,aansdAlamrgereicstaannsdoincgiaalrsmciy- 1e 2K withAmerica(cid:146)straditionalsuspicionsofthethreatstolibertyposedbystand- 99.2:y of ing armies (Kerwin 1948, Smith 1951, Lasswell 1950, Ekirch 1956, Mills olit. Sci. 19y Universit 1Sw9tra5itt6ete,(nM1s9ii5lnl7cis)e,ehwtaasaslbt1eh9een5c8aa)np.seHtxoupnnleitcitniotgotthorinis(cid:146)msepallrailncyditwmroeasrrkpk,osantnsueddytmo,oThsihtseoafSrgowuldhmiaeetrnhtaa.nsdbetehne v. Pb AfterHuntington,thefieldsplitalongtwodistincttracks.Thefirstandar- Re guablymorefruitfulwasasociologicallyorientedexaminationofthemilitary, u. firstintheUnitedStatesandthenextendingtoothercountries.Thelandmark n n A study,Janowitz(cid:146)sTheProfessionalSoldier(1960),spawnedliterallyhundreds offollow-onstudiesexploringtherelationshipbetweensocietyandthearmed forces (Moskos 1970, 1971; Larson 1974; Segal et al 1974; Sarkesian 1975; Segal1975;Bachmanetal1977;Janowitz1977;Moskos1977;Segal1986; Moskos&Wood1988;Edmonds1988;Burk1993;Sarkesianetal1995).The second track was an institutionally oriented examination of postcolonial civil-militaryrelationsindevelopingcountries,aprojectdominatedbypoliti- cal scientists (Finer 1962; Huntington 1968; Stepan 1971, 1988; Perlmutter 1977; Welch 1976; Nordlinger 1977) and largely focused on the problem of CIVIL-MILITARYRELATIONS 213 coups;thistrackhasspawnednumerousspecialtyliteraturesconsideringcivil- military relations in specific contexts(cid:151)in communist regimes (Kolkowicz 1966,Herspring&Volgyes1978,Colton1979,Rice1984,Colton&Gustaf- son1990,Zisk1993,Herspring1996),inethnicallydividedpolities(Horowitz 1980, 1985), in authoritarian and postauthoritarian regimes (Rouquie 1982, Frazer1994,Aguero1995),andsoon.2Althoughthisessayaddressesthelit- eratureacrosstheboard,specialattentionwillbegiventocivil-militaryrela- tions within democracies and, within that set, civil-military relations in the United States because the American case has figured so prominently in the theoreticaldevelopmentofthefield. g or Although the sociological school dominated the study of American civil- ws. military relations, the Vietnam War trauma produced a flurry of empirically e vi rich studies by political scientists that remain important even 20 or 30 years e nnualronly. lsaettetr&(KHoalnosdoznie1j917956;6B,eYttasrm19o7l7in)s.kTyhe19li7te1r,a1tu9r7e4c;oRnutsinseutetd&toSpteropvanef1r9u7it3fu;lR,uess-- urnals.anal use panecdiatlhlyeirtsolaenaolfyspeusbolficthoepiimnipolnica(tSiotineshmoft1h9e8e1n,d1o9f8t9h,e1d9ra9f6t;,gCeonhdeenris1s9u8e5s;, oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers Pslisentpeanattngrhradkeeeietnpudogestna1hou9efrl8tecdi7nmiov;amaiiRlst-iesunmasasnsienleccittetttHaior1ouyn9fn9iotas0ifstn)tut.geheTntiostshinboieisunsasltniattdooyeirr,dachJtinaouvnowriotle-ewpmgvrrieietelrzsai,etetatalnhyrntyecapeorandenrdliatarrdeotiibicfoguttnmhttsehesde.iConAtoroestlohtddiueciWrsaUculaunncrsdhishteaeearldds-- Doon States,muchofitastheoreticallyambitiousastheearlyworkofHuntington 1-241. ntucky aspnodnJsaentoowqiutze.stIifotnhserapiassetdisinatnhyegAumideer,icthaniscnoenwtexwt,owrki,llwgheincehrabteegaanlaragsearlriet-- 21Ke eraturetreatingcomparativequestionsinanewway. 99.2:y of Theessayproceedsinsevenparts.Ibeginwithadiscussionofthecentral ci. 19versit pcirvoibl-lemmiliutanrdyeprlryoibnlgemalaltiaqnuael.yIsethseonfidceivnitli-fmyitlhitearthyrereelfaotiromnss,owfahnicahlysIisc(cid:151)allntohre- olit. Sy Uni mative,descriptive,andtheoretical(cid:151)thatcomprisepoliticalscience(cid:146)scontri- Pb butiontoourunderstandingofcivil-militaryrelations.Thenexttwosections v. e brieflyreviewthepoliticalscienceliteratureoncivil-militaryrelations,pars- R u. ing scholars according to the different dependent and independent variables n An stressed in their work. The antepenultimate section addresses in more detail therangeofciviliancontrolmechanismsidentifiedbytheliterature.Thepe- nultimate section highlights the recent renaissance in the study of American civil-militaryrelations.Iconcludewithabriefdiscussionofpromisingques- tionsforfutureresearch. 2 2Athirdtrack,thoughfurtherremovedfromthedevelopmentofcivil-militarytheory,isthe largeliteratureontheinterrelationshipbetweenwar,themilitary,andstatedevelopment(Tilly 1975,Downing1991,Goldstone1991,Holsti1996). 214 FEAVER THEPROBLEMATIQUE The civil-military problematique is a simple paradox: The very institution createdtoprotectthepolityisgivensufficientpowertobecomeathreattothe polity.3Thisderivesfromtheagencyinherentincivilization.Weformcom- munitiespreciselybecausewecannotprovideforallourneedsandtherefore mustdependonotherpeopleorinstitutionstodoourbidding.Civilizationin- volvesdelegation,assigningdecisionmakingfromtheindividualtothecollec- tive(intheformofaleaderorleaders)andconsigningthesocietalprotection functionfromtheleadertospecialistsorinstitutionsresponsibleforviolence. org Thecivil-militaryproblematiqueissovexingbecauseitinvolvesbalancing ws. twovitalandpotentiallyconflictingsocietaldesiderata.Ontheonehand,the e vi militarymustbestrongenoughtoprevailinwar.Onepurposebehindestab- e nualrnly. lfiosrhcien,getihtheemritloitaarttyaicnkthoethfeirrsgtrpoluacpesiosrthtoenweaerdd,oorffpaetrtcaecikvsedbyneoetdh,efrosr.mLiiklietaarny no urnals.anal use ashuotoumldobbeilea(cid:146)lswaaiyrbsarge,atdhyemevielintairfyiptriismnaervileyreuxsiesdts.aMsoargeuoavredr,agmaiilnitsatrdyissatrsetenrg.tIht Downloaded from arjoon 09/11/08. For perso sspmssheitooraroiovnynune(cid:151)tlbgsdwesenhbtwnoreeooorpunerssuggiiezrhtpeetcihdonnaasonafenuapngntcpootohrltnoeooiepsnndtragaietaabefatprleeilpnpsll.yehdrIoataatrtocgeapocnamrtuic.oneleItdsneettbctdottheetieheotahidenrpr,epatfahaorpnertreeecdirnnaeattatisaigpdoneoecndrqwosiun.tenhafArvrtefoeilunttnilmenttrioeginnlnaigovtetauiimttvrtihyseaieieltdiyesnpe,siobiatttilugtticuottgoytrinu.teoholsInde-tt 1-241. ntucky liunlgllienatdheersulitnitmoaatefamlsielictoarnyficdoenntcees,t.leadingthemtorashbehaviorandthenfail- 1e Ontheotherhand,justasthemilitarymustprotectthepolityfromenemies, 2K 99.2:y of somustitconductitsownaffairssoasnottodestroyorpreyonthesocietyitis ci. 19versit icnivteenpdoedwteor,ptrhoeteacbt.iBliteycatousfeotrhceemitisliwtairlyl monusotthfaecres.eBneumt cieose,rictimveusptohwaverecoofteern- Polit. Sby Uni gdiivreecstistetihzeurceaopfapboilliittyictaolpeonwfoerrcbeyittshwemilliloitnartyheisctohmetmraudnitiitoyntahlawtcorreryatoefdciitv.iAl- ev. militaryrelationstheoryandaconsistentpatterninhumanhistory.Lessobvi- R u. ous,butjustassinister,isthepossibilitythataparasiticmilitarywilldestroy n n societybydrainingitofresourcesinaquestforevergreaterstrengthasahedge A againsttheenemiesofthestate.Yetanotherconcernisthataroguemilitary couldinvolvethepolityinwarsandconflictscontrarytosociety(cid:146)sinterestsor expressedwill.And,finally,thereisaconcernoverthesimplematterofobedi- 3 3Ofcourse,themilitarymaynotbeestablishedsolelytoprotectthepolityagainstexternal threats.Othermotivations,e.g.preservingtheregime(cid:146)spoweroverthemassesorcreatingthe trappings of the modern state for symbolic purposes, may also come into play. Nevertheless, regardlessofthemotivationforcreatingtheinstitution,oncecreated,themilitaryraisesthesame controlproblematiquedescribedinthetext. CIVIL-MILITARYRELATIONS 215 ence:Evenifthemilitarydoesnotdestroysociety,willitobeyitscivilianmas- ters, or will it use its considerable coercive power to resist civilian direction andpursueitsowninterests? Thisisavariantofthebasicproblemofgovernancethatliesatthecoreof politicalscience:makingthegovernmentstrongenoughtoprotectthecitizens butnotsostrongastobecometyrannical.Thetensionbetweenthetwodesid- erataisinherentinanycivilization,butitisespeciallyacuteindemocracies, where the protectees(cid:146) prerogatives are thought to trump the protectors(cid:146) at everyturn(cid:151)wherethemetaphoricaldelegationofpoliticalauthoritytoagents is enacted at regular intervals through the ballot box.4 Democratic theory is g or summedintheepigramthatthegovernedshouldgovern.Peoplemaychoose ws. politicalagentstoactontheirbehalf,butthatshouldinnowaymeanthatthe e vi people have forfeited their political privileges. Most of democratic theory is e nnualronly. caosnpcreorfneessdiowniathlsdceovnisdiuncgtwthaeybsutosiinnessusreofthgaotvtehrenpmeeonptl.eCreivmila-imniilnitacroyntrreolalteivoenns urnals.anal use aproelijtuicsatlaagspenectsiaclo,netxrtorlelminegdcaesseigfnoarteddemmoilcitraartyicatgheenotrsy., involving designated oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers cdvmieivalifIyiaatlnicifanstonoflasalprocoeowtvwsbesueerptrtphphfoaaoetlvsi,mtoeiidrncislsitattoahadserreyuemm,smueiolaavicitlena(cid:151)rnartychit.nhyeRe,cpteeahogxseleaeisrtrhidcicwileasehrlesaesmorrcoefahfpstyhhoteoeworwsfue.nrdsWdtierneojhrpunliuyrlgeerintshdaugueeitdctmhoiissofiitlroreiiitnntbaydrumystf(cid:151)iaaiosvkn,ioitcnoriigssf- Doon politicswithinthecontextofaparticularnormativeconceptionofwhosewill 1-241. ntucky sthheoiurlcdopmrepveateiln.cCeiivnilaiapnacrtoimcupleatresnecnesein;tthhaetgise,nceirvaillisaennsseareexmteonrdaslleyvaenndbpeyoolintid- 21Ke callycompetenttomakethedecisionseveniftheydonotpossesstherelevant 99.2:y of technicalcompetenceintheformofexpertise(Dahl1985).Thisisthecoreof ci. 19versit tmhaeyduenmdoecrsratatincdathlteerinssautievebettotePr,ltahtoe(cid:146)esxppheirltoissonpohteirnkaipnogs.iAtioltnhotoudgehtethrmeienxeptehret olit. Sy Uni value that the people attach to different issue outcomes. In the civil-military Pb context,thismeansthatthemilitarymaybebestabletoidentifythethreatand v. e theappropriateresponsestothatthreatforagivenlevelofrisk,butonlytheci- R u. viliancansetthelevelofacceptableriskforsociety.Themilitarycanpropose n An thelevelofarmamentsnecessarytohaveacertainprobabilityofsuccessfulde- 4 4Thistensionisalsopresentinauthoritarianregimesandevenmilitarydictatorships.Thevery existence of political power creates the delegation-agency problem. In military regimes, even thoughpoliticalleadersandfightinggroupsalikewearuniforms,responsibilityisdividedbetween thosewhodothefightingandthosewhoremainbehindtowieldpoliticalpower.Wearingthesame uniformdoesnotpreventthosewhostaybehindfromworryingaboutwhetherthefightersare adequatetodefendthemorwhetherthefightersareliabletoturnaroundandunseatthem,asthe manycoupsandcountercoupsinmilitarydictatorshipsattest.ThisiswhatStepan(1971)hascalled thedistinctionbetweenthe(cid:147)militaryasaninstitution(cid:148)andthe(cid:147)militaryasgovernment.(cid:148) 216 FEAVER fense against our enemies, but only the civilian can say what probability of successsocietyiswillingtounderwrite.Themilitarycandescribeinsomede- tailthenatureofthethreatposedbyaparticularenemy,butonlythecivilian can decide whether to feel threatened, and if so, how or even whether to re- spond.Themilitaryassessestherisk,thecivilianjudgesit. Thedemocraticimperativeinsiststhatthisprecedenceappliesevenifcivil- ians are woefully underequipped to understand the technical issues at stake. Regardlessofhowsuperiorthemilitaryviewofasituationmaybe,thecivilian view trumps it. Civilians should get what they ask for, even if it is not what theyreallywant.Inotherwords,civilianshavearighttobewrong. g or Thetwocentraldesiderata(cid:151)protectionbythemilitaryandprotectionfrom ws. the military(cid:151)are in tension because efforts to assure the one complicate ef- e vi fortstoassuretheother.Ifasocietyrelentlesslypursuesprotectionfromexter- e nnualronly. nmaillietanreymsioeas,sittocgaunarbdaangkariunpsttaitsmeillfi.taIrfyssoeciizeutyremofinpiomliitziceasltphoewsetrre,nitgctahnolfeatvhee urnals.anal use iptrsoeclfurveulanegroaobdlelytoamproeudnattioofnsbofrthomkinexdtseronfaplreonteecmtiioesn.(cid:151)ItcmeratayinbleypthoessUibnleitetod oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers SblaatytpiacEsateenavscdaesttnifeevreiioifmttmhiaesesrttshoeionexchtimawrevetihyemliichteaaha,crdbyhtha(cid:151)iseetutvclbmeecusfeitilseaitstlrdadaiernddqyeseuocefaeafctfanuestreliaaenntnvggtdehaalcegsloeamou.rfpgaIt,eragtrsmheisnemuersraeaasainiurnsecrsaeeidnroaaiefgfnvfpagiiricteonautsoblettflceutpt.oitrotoeenbrnlbsceouomtrlhe-- Doon thatthemilitaryisbothcapableofdoingandwillingtodowhatciviliansask. 1-241. ntucky Tofhcuos,n(cid:147)trsoollvoinngan(cid:148)tohnegporionbglebmasiosf.coupsdoesnotneutralizethegeneralproblem 1e 2K 99.2:y of THREEFORMSOF ANALYSIS olit. Sci. 19y Universit Ienmgpeirniecraal/ld,epsoclriitpictiavles,cainednctheecoornetsiicsatsl.oEfacthhrecoemfopromnsenotfmaankaelyssiims:pnoortramntatciovne-, v. Pb tributionstothestudyofcivil-militaryrelations.Normativeanalysisaskswhat Re oughttobedone,howmuchciviliancontrolisenough,andwhatcanbedone u. toimprovecivil-militaryrelations.Becauseciviliancontrolofthemilitaryis n n A ofsuchgreatpolicyimportance,thenormativeapproachoftenplaysacentral roleinthestudyofcivil-militaryrelations.Politicalscience(cid:146)sanswerstothe normativequestionsarevariouscriteriaconcerninghowmuchcontrol(andof whattype)isenoughtosatisfythedefinitionofciviliancontrolorciviliansu- premacy(Huntington1957,Colton1979,Edmonds1988,Aguero1995,Kemp &Hudlin1992,BenMeir1995,Kohn1997,Boene1997). The normative lens draws explicitly on the empirical/descriptive lens, which seeks to describe cases in accurate detail. Applied to the problem of civil-militaryrelations,theempirical/descriptivelensinvolvesdevelopingty- CIVIL-MILITARYRELATIONS 217 pologies of various forms of civilian control or lack thereof(cid:151)for instance, Welch(cid:146)s(1976)distinctionbetweenmilitaryinfluenceandmilitarycontrolor Ben Meir(cid:146)s (1995) fivefold typology of military roles (advisory, representa- tive,executive,advocacy,andsubstantive).Thekeytaskforthiskindofanaly- sisisdistinguishingbetweenrealityandrhetoric,betweenwhatappearstobe thecaseandwhatinfactisthecase.Measuredbysheervolume,thebulkofthe civil-military relations literature consists of empirical/descriptive treatments ofthecivil-militarysceneindifferentcountriesorregions.Areastudiesspe- cialistshavelongnotedthecentralityofcivil-militaryissuestopoliticallifein variousregions(cid:151)indeed,civil-militaryrelationsisacentralpreoccupationin g or most area studies subliteratures, except those dealing with the United States ws. andWesternEurope.Asaconsequence,thereisarichliteraturedescribingthe e vi ebb and flow of relations between the armed forces and the polity (Boene e nnualronly. 1L9o9v0e,llZ&agAorlsbkriig1h9t9129,9D7a,nZoapmouolroas1&99W7)a.tson1996,Diamond&Plattner1996, urnals.anal use formAlosofainmaplylisciist,itnheththeenoorermticaatlivleenlse.nTshaerethceoonrectliucsailoanpspdroraawchnmfraoymaltshoebtehgirind oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers (wsoswttfaaithttaheeecmrttsieyhoeponYnoutswillsodoig(cid:147)tfhdybcooeadutuXtetesvmrebe(cid:148)elaaotcnkhpadianmunegsefeZfnae)tntc.h,teiTb.mnuhItpteYiltsithchwieiemtinolplprierohtetsaidmscpiiacpboltelvieanvep,tesopacornrolneadacictmooohmthoadmedfirsvewctanianindusgcesaueeZicsapehnrwroedtaisplielonbfshefcieattowcipoutpe:nreesaAnnel Doon the things to be explained/predicted, called dependent variables (DVs)(cid:151)for 1-241. ntucky epxlaaimnipnlge/,pcroeudpicstionrgr,ocbaullsetndeisnsdoefpecnivdielinatnocroenxtprolaln(cid:151)ataonrdytvhaeritahbinlegss(dIVoisn)g,stuhceheaxs- 21Ke the degree of military professionalism or the type of civilian governmental 99.2:y of structure.ThetheoreticalapproachspecifieswaysinwhichchangesintheIVs ci. 19versit aproelirteicfalelcstceidenincec(cid:146)hsacnognetrsibinuttihoenDtoVtsh.eAsusbthfieelfdololfowciivnigl-mtwiloitsaeryctrieolnastidooncsucmanenbte, olit. Sy Uni evaluatedintermsofsuccessivetheoreticaldebatesoverwhatthemostimpor- Pb tantDVsandIVsare. v. e R nu. WHATIS THEDEPENDENTVARIABLE? n A Traditionally,civil-militaryrelationstheoryhasfocusedonthedirectseizure ofpoliticalpowerbythemilitary,i.e.thecoup.Withtheremarkablespreadof democraticgovernanceoverthepastseveraldecades,thequestionofcoupsre- mainsinteresting,butitisbynomeanstheonlyinterestingcivil-militaryphe- nomenontobeexplained.Accordingly,itmakessensetodistinguishbetween avarietyofDVs,anyoneofwhichmightbethemostimportantorinteresting inaparticularregionataparticulartime.Thenextfivesubsectionsdescribea listofDVsadaptedfromDesch(1999).Theevaluationofthelistismyown. 218 FEAVER Coups Coupsarethetraditionalfocusofcivil-militaryrelationsbecausetheysodra- maticallysymbolizethecentralproblemofthemilitaryexploitingtheircoer- civestrengthtodisplacecivilianrulers.Underthegeneralheadingofcoups, politicalscientistshavelookedattworelatedbutdistinctquestions:ontheone hand,theinstanceorfrequencyofcoups(orcoupsattempted),andontheother hand,theprobabilitythatacoupwillbesuccessful.Classicalcivil-militaryre- lationstheoryhasprimarilyaddressedtheformer.BothHuntington(1957)and hisearliestcritic,Finer(1962),addressthepropensityofmilitaryinstitutions g tocoup,asdosubsequentstudiesbyBienen(1968),Nordlinger(1977),Hor- or s. owitz (1980), Thompson (1975, 1976), Jackman (1978), Perlmutter (1977), w vie O(cid:146)Kane(1981),Zimmermann(1983),Johnsonetal(1984),Bienen&Vande nualrenly. Winaalnleic(o1n9o9c0l)a,sLtiocnadnraelgyasnis&,aPddoroelses(e1d9t9h0e),seacnodnFdraqzueers(ti1o9n9o4f).hLouwtttwoacko(n1d9u7c9t)a, no urnals.anal use cBoiuenpesnu&cceVsasfnudlley,Wanaldleco(1u9p9s0u)c,caensdsFisraazlesro(c1o9v9e4r)e.dinZimmermann(1983), oo Coupsareaproblematicfocusforfuturestudiesofcivil-militaryrelations, wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers hAafclcaoetlcwcooptreiursnvopgetchrmet,ehsabsemy.emcIiilnaniiutldtaishitrecaiysarlytoswe(cid:146)uosampkyipini,nrlatieghtbsaoeisrlenyidtslyoy.sgtBtaroettuhngctagoeittttuhdpcw,oasahentcasalatnenliaostusotwtnbicdanaonerdmrtkisecmpsatthatiaerrmyeomdaubtgietelohimtthtathhierleyeimtonawotroheyrraeemikrnpanpfolleowupslesioetn,rliiccfrtueaei--ll. 11-241. Doentucky on attaannidnt,lydfoolrges.assMcferoerrtqeauoinevnientrg,inwwmhhiealtenhyceorreuogprisonnhosat,vthaeennddoetthmeenoctciorrauecplyysdiusicsrcaoepbspusesrata,rtetehdhe,atmhseoayrlseaoirmfeapclloeerrn-- 2K ci. 1999.2:versity of (cinZotauegpreowsrtsioknuigl1da9ny9di6ei,lmdHpfuoanritrtaelynrtc1co9hn9as8ni)gs.teeTsnhitnunsthu,eltlhnpearoteurdireeiscoteifoxcnpisvlaiilin-nmimniglainttayhreycarpesrleoaspt,ieomnnsisistosyivntegor olit. Sy Uni toitmheer.iMssousetsr.ecent work on civil-military relations, therefore, has focused on Pb v. e R MilitaryInfluence u. n n A Becausethecoup/no-coupdichotomymissesmuchoftheinterestinggiveand takeincivil-militaryrelations,sometheoristshavepreferredtostudymilitary influence instead. Whereas the coup variable is dichotomous, the influence variableiscontinuous,oratleastoffersmorethantwogradations.Thefocus onmilitaryinfluencecapturestheideathatthemilitaryinstitutionmaybepo- litically powerful even (or perhaps especially) when it does not seize direct powerthroughaforcefultakeover. Eventheclassictextsoncivil-militaryrelationsrecognizedthattheprob- lemofcivil-militaryrelationswaslargerthanaquestionofcoups.Huntington CIVIL-MILITARYRELATIONS 219 (1957:20)observed,forinstance,that(cid:147)theproblemofthemodernstateis not armed revolt but the relation of the expert to the politician.(cid:148) Finer (1962) and Janowitz (1960) likewise acknowledged the utility of a non- dichotomousvariable.Fineraddedathirdpossibility,covertintervention,and Janowitz,althoughnotexplicitonthepoint,treatedcivil-militaryrelationsasa continuum. Subsequent theorists, including Stepan (1971, 1988), Welch (1976), Nordlinger (1977), Colton (1979), Rice (1984), Pion-Berlin (1992), andBrooks(1999),alladdadditionalgradationstothemilitaryinfluencevari- able. Militaryinfluenceismuchhardertomeasurethancoups,however,andthe g or measurementproblemlimitsitstheoreticalusefulness.Nordlinger(1977)ad- s. w dressed this problem by inventing a tripartite typology of praetorianism, e vi consistingofmoderators,guardians,andrulers.Histypology,however,only e nualrnly. captures varieties of overt military control and misses the far more nuanced no andmoreinterestingsituationwherethemilitaryisabletoshapegovernment urnals.anal use accivtiiolinasnwcoitnhtoroult,dtihreecetxlytecnotnotfromlliilnitgarthyeimns.tSittuetpioanna(cid:146)slp(1re9r8o8g)astievceosn,dismaesauspuererioorf oo wnloaded from arj09/11/08. For pers girctnwaoansnuougtgbricenoooglrod,dfhifinronigonwasmft(cid:151)eilouvdneeleonrfb,wceyientaisfbsneoednrcpcoahoetu.ilagiscSevhyteei(rttphyoeaesxnteahpnltelsrsiaociltceiithegvlsaayeslpmisnaryeec(cid:147)trslromtuiegcdmo;aedths.ieevAmreaasslitlleoSit(cid:148)thwtaercrsopayufatoegbngrhedoeh1seraysf1veiniinionestrsisatushclehlriyevoaeiorrlteniiaoanlnysf- Doon stances:activemilitaryparticipationinthecabinet,theroleofthepolice,and 1-241. ntucky tohpeemraitliiotnaraylirzoalteioinnostfattheeeinntfelrupernisceesD).VCoblytodnis(t1in9g7u9i)sohfifnegrsbaetswtiellemnfooruersteynpseitsivoef 1e 2K policy issues over which the military exercises influence (internal, institu- 99.2:y of tional, intermediate, and societal) and by distinguishing between the four olit. Sci. 19y Universit mftiooerncasen)os.fCumsoielldtiotan(ro(cid:146)ysfifanicpfilpaurleonapccreehrsoohgfofarettriosvfeca,ocneoxsuipdpee,rrtbaubatldeivtaiiscnena,olytptcoiclleaitalirclteahvlaetbrhaaerggesauoicnvcienersgs,qfuuaelnlsyd- v. Pb overcomestheproblemofhiddeninfluenceandcivilianabdication. Re ArelatedproblemoftheinfluenceDVisthataparticularnormativeclaim u. ofwhatoughttobethepropersphereofmilitaryinfluenceisoftenimplicitin n n A theconcept.Whilethenormativelinemaybeeasytodrawinthecoupsetting, itisdebatableinothersettings.Shouldthemilitarydecidetacticalquestions only?Whatabouttacticalquestionsofspecialimportance,suchasnucleartac- tics?Insomecountries,mostnotablytheUnitedStates,thechallengeofde- signingtheproperdivisionoflaborbetween(cid:147)militarymatters(cid:148)and(cid:147)civilian matters(cid:148) has driven much of the civil-military conflict (Feaver 1992, 1996). Indeed,theoldestdebateincivil-militaryrelationsconcernsfusionism,the argument that the line between the military and the political has become so blurredthatthedistinctionhaslostitsmeaning(Boene1990). 220 FEAVER Fusionismaroseoutofthepublicmanagementschoolasalogicalresponse totheWorldWarIIexperienceoftotalwar,andappearedevenmorereason- ableinthefaceofsuchColdWarexigenciesasapermanentandlargemilitary establishment and the threat of nuclear annihilation (Sapin & Snyder 1954). Huntington (1957) positioned his treatise as a self-conscious rejection of fusionism.Everyhalfdecadeorsosince,someonerevivesfusionismasthein- evitable consequence of whatever military mission seems ascendant at that time:nuclearstrategyandlimitedwar(Lyons1961,Janowitz1960),counter- insurgency(Barrett1965,Russett&Stepan1973,Slater1977),crisismanage- ment(Betts1977),orpeacekeepingoperations(Tarr&Roman1995,Roman g s.or &Tarr1995,Hahn1997).Whatispuzzlinginfusionism(cid:146)scyclicalrebirthis w e thatitisnotclearwhoiskillingit;inotherwords,whymustthefusionistin- vi nualrenly. sniegghattibneg.reItvoivveedrreevacehryesfibvyecyoenafruss?inMgyovoewrlnapanbsewtweereinstthheatfufunscitoionnissmofitshseeclfi-- no urnals.anal use vspilhiaenresanadremnielicteasrsyarsiplyhearneaslywtiicthallaymdiesrtginincgt(cid:151)ofatdhiestisnpchteiorensththaetmdeserilvveess.frTohme oo democratic theory and the agency inherent in political community(cid:151)and so Downloaded from arjon 09/11/08. For pers epmsthcvoaeheitynortytelparorfsrousfwvsfdiiihondeenpdetiahtserhtevtauristdrctteehhh.neoecTlipaerhorseoulfifibcsnopjydevhcsmeetrrshaleairksmepepsar-erwwoeatrieeatahhdlsrelsotyrhsareneeleuavfcnciebvtiisfeevosgtiarihtmrnieienlsyiiodnoredgfanisaaootcnitfnt(cid:151)eodcwritafsfnifefnrdrrooepmsmnorcatefdchutieeifsvcfiseeeoar(cid:151)nnemiansiesttt 1-241. ntucky sthpahteirtesis. Ionvesrhloaridt,ownhaatnmevaeknesmthoereofvuenrdlaapmoefntfaulnscetipoanrsatiinotner(eWstiilnlgiamissth1e99fa7c)t. 1e Thisisnottosaythatfusionismprovidesnoinsights.Onthecontrary,itisa 2K 99.2:y of logicalpointofdeparturefordescriptiveempiricalwork,andsomeofthebest ci. 19versit e1m99p5ir)i.cIatlhwaso,rhkowonevtehre,psurobvjeecntliesssfufsruioitnfiusltf(oBretnheMoreyirde1v9e9l5o,pmTaernrt.& Roman olit. Sy Uni Civil-MilitaryFriction Pb v. Re Afocusoncivil-militaryconflictcompensatesforthedifficultiesthatattend u. thecoupandinfluenceDVs.Eveninacoup-freesociety,therearestilllikelyto n n A beepisodesoffrictionandconflict,sothisDVisgeneralizable.Indeed,the recentrenaissanceofthestudyofAmericancivil-militaryrelationsdiscussed inthepenultimatesectionofthisessayhasbeentriggeredbytheheightened acrimony that has characterized the civil-military relationship over the past fiveorsixyears.Stepan(1988)makesfrictionanintegralpartofhisanalysis ofBraziliancivil-militaryrelations,callingit(cid:147)militarycontestation,(cid:148)anditis centraltoBenMeir(cid:146)s(1995)analysisoftheIsraelicaseaswell.Frictioncanbe measuredasthedegreetowhichthemilitaryiswillingtodisplaypublicoppo- sitiontoanannouncedcivilianpolicy.Moreover,frictionisnotatrivialcon-

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ing scholars according to the different dependent and independent variables stressed in their .. overcomes the problem of hidden influence and civilian abdication. A related .. norm supporting democratic traditions, it always costs the military more to dis- obey in . The Triangle Institute for. Sec
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