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Christopher Farrell - Day Trade Online (2nd Ed.). - Trading Software PDF

213 Pages·2008·2.29 MB·English
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OVER 100,000 SOLD! N A T I O N A L B E S T S E L L E R day trade online S E C O N D E D I T I O N C H R I S T O P H E R A . F A R R E L L A WALL STREET TRADING CLASSIC BEAT WALL STREET AT ITS OWN GAME LEARN TO PROFITABLY TRADE THE NYSE FROM TRADING 101 TO CUTTING-EDGE TRADING STRATEGIES make money in any market condition • Incorporate short-term trading techniques that were once only known by highly paid Wall Street traders— such as the practice of exploiting the bid-ask spread— into your online trading endeavors • See the market from the perspective of an NYSE specialist or NASDAQ market maker, and profit from this newfound view • Learn why the fair order handling rules and recent changes to the NYSE can be your ticket to profit • Discover how to quickly spot trading opportunities before others, by using the NYSE’s specialist system, and its so-called “house edge,” to your advantage • And much more The independent online trader can compete and thrive in a marketplace dominated by large Wall Street trading houses, but only by knowing their secrets and beating them at their own game. The Second Edition of Day Trade Online will show you exactly how. CHRISTOPHER A. FARRELL is a national bestselling author and former Wall Street bond trader who currently runs the Farrell Preferred Stock Arbitrage Fund, LP, a hedge fund. He has been a guest on numerous television and radio programs, including CNBC and BBC World News, featured in magazines such as BusinessWeek and Worth, and has been a guest speaker at MIT. His works have been translated into numerous languages worldwide, including Korean, German, Russian, and Italian. Farrell is also the author of The Day Trader’s Survival Guide (HarperCollins). He has over thirteen years of trading experi- ence, and has traded over three billion dollars worth of stock since going out on his own. Farrell is a graduate of Colgate University and can be reached at www.farrelltrading.com. T he First Edition of Day Trade Online became a world- wide phenomenon—and reached the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, BusinessWeek, and USA Today business bestseller lists. Since it was first written, the stock market has evolved, and so too have the opportunities for profit. That’s why renowned trading expert Christopher Farrell has created a fully revised and updated Second Edition of his popular guide. Written in a straightforward and accessible style, Day Trade Online, Second Edition provides a comprehensive overview of how to consistently capture profits as you trade stocks over the Internet. It skillfully examines all aspects of this exciting field—from what it takes to get started to an in-depth analysis of which trading techniques work, which don’t, and why. Most importantly, this book will show you how to beat Wall Street at its own game, by exploiting the buying and selling of the investing public in the same manner that the Street’s most powerful brokerage firms and trading houses do. Opening with a detailed discussion of how Wall Street works—and what it takes to make it as either a part- or full-time online trader—this reliable resource quickly moves on to reveal the inner workings of the short-term movements of the market and how stocks actually trade. From here, Farrell examines the mechanics of the market maker system, the role of the “specialist” on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), and the importance of the bid-ask spread; while laying the groundwork for trading NYSE stocks and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) stocks. With this information in hand, you’ll become familiar with specific strategies that will help you quickly spot trading opportunities and take advantage of short-term inefficiencies in today’s market. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this step-by-step guide will help you: • Get started in online trading, avoid common pitfalls, and – c o n t i n u e d o n b a c k f l a p – – c o n t i n u e d f r o m f r o n t f l a p – $29.95 USA/$32.95 CAN “If you’ve been thinking about joining the estimated five million online trad- ers, then this book is for you.” —Amazon.com “Successful at creating a realistic picture of the life of an online trader.” —Amey Stone, BusinessWeek “Compared with many day-trading books, which seem to promise readers an easy road to riches, hedge fund manager Christopher Farrell injects a healthy dose of reality into this book.” —Forbes.com “Useful descriptions of how the NASDAQ market maker system and the New York Stock Exchange specialist system work.” —Worth magazine “My sincere wish is that when you, the reader, finish this book, you will never look at the stock market in the same way again. Once you see the market through the mindset not as an investor, but as a market maker, an NYSE specialist, you will view buying and selling in a way that you have never done before: from the perspective of the person taking the other side of your trade.” —From the Preface When it was first published, Day Trade Online became a worldwide phenomenon and reached the Wall Street Journal, BusinessWeek, USA Today, and the New York Times business bestseller lists. Now fully updated for today’s markets, Day Trade Online, Second Edition shows you how to short-term trade successfully from trading low-risk, low-volatility stocks to strategies and tactics for seeking greater reward through more risky opportunities in volatile stocks. Your comprehensive guide to trading online from start to finish including negotiating trade commissions to real-time quote systems, Day Trade Online, Second Edition shows you how to beat Wall Street at its own game. With an emphasis on simplicity, this book will get you started and keep you profitable. Photo: Tara Nash F A R R E L L day trade online SECOND EDITION Praise from the First Edition FFOORR SSAALLEE && EEXXCCHHAANNGGEE w ww ww w..ttrraaddiinngg--ssooffttw waarree--ccoolllleeccttiioonn..ccoom m M Miirrrroorrss:: wwwwww..ffoorreexx--wwaarreezz..ccoom m wwwwww..ttrraaddeerrss--ssooffttwwaarree..ccoom m wwwwww..ttrraaddiinngg--ssooffttwwaarree--ddoowwnnllooaadd..ccoom m JJooiinn M Myy M Maaiilliinngg LLiisstt P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD day trade online P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publish- ing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and market- ing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ profes- sional and personal knowledge and understanding. The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional, or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future. For a list of available titles, please visit our Web site at www.Wiley Finance.com. P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD day trade online Second Edition CHRISTOPHER A. FARRELL John Wiley & Sons, Inc. P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD Copyright C⃝ 2009 by Christopher A. Farrell. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 750-4470, or on the web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages. For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800) 762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or fax (317) 572-4002. Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print may not be available in electronic books. For more information about Wiley products, visit our web site at www.wiley.com. ISBN-13 978-0-470-39520-2 Printed in the United States of America. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD This revision is dedicated in the memory of my father, who lost his battle with cancer in December 2001, but won in the game of life. “I have fought the good fight. I have finished the race. I have kept the faith.” P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD CONTENTS Preface xiii Acknowledgments xix Introduction 1 SECTION I THE WORLD OF THE DAY TRADER 5 Chapter 1. Exploiting the Excesses of Capitalism 7 The House Edge 9 The Bid-Ask Spread 11 SECTION II INTRODUCTION TO DAY TRADING 17 Chapter 2. Trading 101: Buying on Bad News and Selling on Good News 19 The Mind-set of an Online Day Trader 19 A Buyer When the Market Needs Buyers 20 Hit Singles, Not Home Runs 20 Brokerage Commissions Can Destroy Profits 21 Buy in on Fear, Sell in on Greed 22 The Slow Execution 23 Is the NYSE an Easier Market to Trade? 24 SECTION III HOW TO BEAT WALL STREET AT ITS OWN GAME 25 Chapter 3. Exploiting Wall Street’s Conflict of Interest: Market Orders versus Limit Orders 27 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD viii Contents Understanding Wall Street’s Conflict of Interest 27 Price Makers versus Price Takers 29 The Bargaining Process 30 Price Negotiation—Market versus Limit Orders 32 Wall Street’s Prey 34 Prelude to the Bid-Ask Spread 35 Chapter 4. The Day Trader’s Crystal Ball: Understanding the Bid-Ask Spread 37 A Snapshot of a Moving Picture 37 The Mechanics of Price Movement—Understanding What Makes a Stock Move Higher 39 Example 1: The Quote—Snapshot of a Moving Picture 41 Example 2: The Market Order to Sell—Hitting the Bid 46 Example 3: The Market Order to Buy—Lifting the Offer 48 Example 4: The Limit Order to Buy—Bidding for Stock 50 Day Orders versus Good-until-Canceled (GTC) Orders 52 Example 5: The Limit Order to Sell—Offering Stock 54 Haggling Over Nickels and Dimes 56 Example 6: Moving the Stock Higher 57 Chapter 5. The Role of the Specialist on the New York Stock Exchange 61 Using the Specialist System to Your Advantage 64 What If There Were No NYSE Specialist? 66 Buyer of Last Resort 67 Is the Profit the Specialist Makes Justified? 68 A License to Steal? 68 The Specialist’s Limit Order Book 69 Being on Both Sides of the Market 71 Narrowing the Bid-Ask Spread 72 Wide Spreads Protect the Specialist from Volatility 73 Handling a Large Sell Order 74 The Real Intentions of the Specialists 77 Beware When the Specialist Takes the Other Side of Your Trade 77 The Day Trader as a Shadow Specialist 78 The NYSE’s Fair Order Handling Rules 80 Never Reveal Your Hand 85 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD Contents ix How Can You Determine Where the Specialist Lurks in the Stock? 85 Jockeying for Position 87 How Do You Know Where You Stand in Line? 89 When in Doubt, Ask the NYSE Floor 89 Tipping the Odds in Your Favor 92 Beware of the Specialist 93 SECTION IV INTRODUCTION TO SCALPING THE NYSE: TAKING FOOD OUT OF THE SPECIALIST’S MOUTH 95 Chapter 6. The Day Trader’s Secret Weapon: Exploiting the Bid-Ask Spread 97 How Can You Make Money Trading Stocks that Don’t Move? 98 The Role of the Scalper 99 Hit Singles, Not Home Runs 100 Operating under the Radar 100 Avoiding the Glamour Stocks 102 Exploiting the Bid-Ask Spread 103 Finding the Trade’s Sweet Spot 103 Simplifying a Complex Process 104 Other Moving Parts to This Trade 105 A Bet with the House? 109 Too Much Work for Only $100 in Gross Profits? 110 A Few Words on Risk 110 SECTION V TRADING THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM: HOW TO PROFIT FROM VOLATILITY 113 Chapter 7. Exploiting Market Volatility and Momentum: Strategies for Trading Volatile Stocks 115 The Specialist and the Upper Hand 116 Playing the Gap Open—A Strategy for Betting with the House 117 Buying on Bad News 118 Betting on the Specialist 119 Parameters of the Gap-Opening Trade 122 How to Tell If the Opening Trade Will “Clear” the Specialist’s Limit Order Book 124 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD x Contents Selling before the Second Wave 125 Trading Tick for Tick with the Market Indexes 127 Why Limit Orders Don’t Work in a Rally 127 Using the S&P Futures to Gauge the Sustainability of a Rally 129 Lightning-Fast Market Upsurge: How Offers Vanish in the Vapor Trail 129 Stock for Sale Becoming Scarce 130 Nasdaq and the Role of the Market Makers 131 A Few Words on Short Selling 135 Two Methods for Day Trading Nasdaq Stocks 136 The Apple Computer Trade 139 Buying Strong Stocks on Pullbacks 140 Opening the Stock Abnormally High 141 The Dangers of Buying a Strong Stock on the Opening Trade 141 Inflicting Heavy Damage on the Market Makers by Attacking Their Vulnerability 142 Chapter 8. The Day Trader’s Ticket to the Poorhouse: How I Managed to Lose $12,000 in Less than 24 Hours 145 The Pain of Missing a Trade 147 How Could the Stock Go Any Lower? 147 The Terrifying Feeling of Getting Caught in a Downdraft 148 A Feeling of Irresistible Greed 148 The Need to Break Even 150 Buying the Stock for the Third Time 151 Feeling of Devastation Leads to Useful Insights 152 Learning from the Mistake and Moving On 156 Can the Quoted Market Always Be Trusted? 156 A Fool and His Money Are Soon Parted 159 Appendix A. The Day Trader’s Arsenal: Online Brokers, Trade Commissions, Real-Time Quote Systems, and the Home Office 161 Choosing an Online Broker 161 Negotiate the Best Possible Commission Rate 163 Make Sure that the Broker Can Route Directly to the NYSE 163 Per-Share versus Per-Trade Commission Rates 164 Setting up at Least Two Accounts 164 System Crashes and the Late Fill 165 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD Contents xi Customer Service, Back-Office Problems, and Trade Discrepancies 167 The Remedy—Keep Good Trading Records 167 The Home Office and the Virtual Trading Floor 169 Appendix B. Considerations for Trading for a Living: The Allocation of Trading Capital, the Pattern Day Trader Rule, Using Margin and Trading Part-Time vs. Full-Time 173 Allocation of Trading Capital 174 The Pattern Day Trader Rule 177 Trading on Margin 177 Margin Calls 178 Part-Time versus Full-Time Trading 179 Index 183 P1: OTE FM JWBT030-Farrell October 18, 2008 7:30 Printer: TBD

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