PALGRAVE STUDIES IN ECONOMIC HISTORY CHINA’S RISE IN THE AGE OF GLOBALIZATION Myth or Reality? Jianyong Yue Palgrave Studies in Economic History Series editor Kent Deng London School of Economics London, UK Palgrave Studies in Economic History is designed to illuminate and enrich our understanding of economies and economic phenomena of the past. The series covers a vast range of topics including financial his- tory, labour history, development economics, commercialisation, urban- isation, industrialisation, modernisation, globalisation, and changes in world economic orders. More information about this series at http://www.palgrave.com/series/14632 Jianyong Yue China’s Rise in the Age of Globalization Myth or Reality? Jianyong Yue London School of Economics and Political Science London, UK Palgrave Studies in Economic History ISBN 978-3-319-63996-3 ISBN 978-3-319-63997-0 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63997-0 Library of Congress Control Number: 2017964225 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and trans- mission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. 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Cover illustration: © Best View Stock / Alamy Stock Photo Printed on acid-free paper This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland Acknowledgments This book is developed on the basis of a Ph.D. thesis completed during my studies at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). It is the result of a decade-long observation and intellectual think- ing about the interactive relationship between China’s domestic politics and international politics. My own experience as a manager in Chinese and Western firms and as a journalist and political economy analyst in domestic media provided me with a unique “insider advantage” in assess- ing the gains and losses of China’s “reform and opening” from a scholar’s as well as a practitioner’s perspective. Relevant research had been done concerning globalization and China’s economic development and foreign policy in the past two decades. I am deeply grateful to my two supervisors, Dr. Chun Lin and Professor Odd Arne Westad. Both scholars taught me how to make the thesis a seminal work by broadening the theoretical perspective not limited to political science but involving the paradigms of international relations and development studies, and by having greater historical depth. I am also very thankful to Professor Guoguang Wu (University of Victoria), LSE Professors Kent Deng, Robert Wade, Michael Cox, MacGregor Knox, David Held, Chris Alden, and Peter Wilson, and Professor Peter Nolan (University of Cambridge). Discussions with them, their advice on my work, and their outstanding academic contributions v vi Acknowledgments in their respective fields are valuable sources of inspiration for my book writing from a multidisciplinary perspective. During the doctoral research and the book writing, in particular, I interviewed a lot of old friends, who introduced me to new friends in academia and government institutions. For understandable reasons, I cannot divulge their names; however, I very much appreciate their enthu- siastic assistance to my research. Also, I am very grateful to our depart- ment’s Research Student Award and the Dorothy Hodgkin Award that funded my research at LSE. Lastly, I am heavily indebted to my dear wife Diana, who gave me love, confidence, and the most unselfish and warm- hearted support. Without her, this book would never have been completed. About the Book China’s reform and opening from the late 1970s is considered an irrevers- ible process of the country’s integration into the capitalist world system. After nearly 40 years of sustained rapid growth, China arguably has risen by riding the waves of globalization and is poised to overtake the USA as the new global hegemon in the not-too-distant future. Skeptical of this “rise of China” thesis, this book will shed new light on the mystified reform and opening process. The author argues that the particular way the Chinese Communist regime quested for legitimacy after the Tiananmen Incident in 1989 dramatically radicalized its previous experi- ment of market socialism in the 1980s into an unbridled capitalism. By politicizing growth performance as its top priority, the Chinese regime implemented a de facto shock therapy reform from the mid-1990s onward at the expense of social justice. Deng Xiaoping played a crucial role in this transformative process. The demise of socialism and the soft- ening of the strong Leninist party state as a result of state capture by the nomenclatura elite fatally eroded the social and institutional foundations for internal integration, making it extremely difficult for China to achieve a self-sustaining growth on a self-reliant basis. Deeper integration into the world economy, therefore, became the logical solution to achieving an export-led growth. This was made possible by the regime’s renounce- ment of economic nationalism that underpinned China’s national devel- opment strategy throughout the 1990s in terms of ceasing import vii viii About the Book substitution and liberalizing trade and investment on a massive scale in exchange for wider access to developed countries’ markets. China’s radical embrace of neoliberalism was well in line with the US grand strategy of fully integrating China into the international system precisely through globalizing the Chinese economy. The unholy alliance formed between Chinese market Leninism and global capitalism led to crony comprador capitalism flourishing at the turn of the century. Set on a dependent path of development, China, despite having achieved an amazing Ricardian growth miracle since the WTO accession in 2001, has failed thus far to escape dependency in any meaningful way. Far from being an economic success story, the incomplete economic transformation of China has engendered increasing social and political instability, which as a conse- quence prompted the Chinese regime’s intuitive “totalitarian turn.” This, along with an illusory global power shift toward China, casts a shadow on the country’s democratic transition and a lasting world peace. Nevertheless, stuck in a quagmire of dependent development, what circumstances would incentivize China to overturn the existing liberal order that has enabled its “success”—and with which the market Leninist regime has been deeply contented—remains an open question. About the Boo k ix Important Moments from Mao Zedong to Xi Jinping 1949 The founding of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) 1950 Sino-Soviet alliance 1950–1953 China joined the Korean War 1953–1956 The socialist transformation 1953–1957 The first “Five-Year Plan” 1958–1961 The Great Leap Forward 1966–1976 The Cultural Revolution 1969 Climax of Sino-Soviet split 1971 The PRC’s lawful seat in the United Nations restored 1972 Nixon visited China 1976 Death of Mao; the arrest of the Gang of Four; Hua Guofeng as party chairman 1978 The Third Session of the 11th CCP Central Committee, reform begins 1979 Sino-US diplomatic relations established; Deng Xiaoping visited the USA; Sino-Vietnamese border war 1980 Chen Yun and “feeling the stone to cross the river” 1982 China’s “one-child policy”; Chen Yun’s “birdcage” theory 1984 Sino-UK agreement on handover of Hong Kong in 1997 1987 The 13th National Party’s Congress; Zhao Ziyang’s “preliminary stage of socialism” 1989 Tiananmen crackdown; Zhao Ziyang was removed from the General Secretary post; Jiang Zemin became the new General Secretary 1992 Deng Xiaoping’s journeys to southern provinces; the 14th National Party’s Congress: legalizing “market economy” 1993 Zhu Rongji’s market Leninist reform begins 1997 End of Deng Xiaoping era; the 15th National Party’s Congress; UK handover of Hong Kong to China 1998 Zhu Rongji became Premier 1999 US bombing of Chinese embassy in Belgrade; Sino-US deal on WTO 2000 Jiang Zemin’s “Three Represents” theory 2001 Sino-US relations improved after 9/11; China joined the WTO 2002 The 16th National Party’s Congress; Jiang Zemin stepped down; Hu Jintao became the new General Secretary 2003 Zhu Rongji stepped down; Wen Jiabao became the new Premier; Hu Jintao’s “scientific development outlook” and “peaceful rise” of China 2004 Hu Jintao’s “harmonious society” 2005 First Sino-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED) held in Beijing
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