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China’s Infinite Transition and its Limits Economic, Military and Political Dimensions Edited by Alexei D. Voskressenski China’s Infinite Transition and its Limits Alexei D. Voskressenski Editor China’s Infinite Transition and its Limits Economic, Military and Political Dimensions Contribution by Alexei D. Voskressenski, Mikhail Karpov, Vasily Kashin Editor Alexei D. Voskressenski Center for Comprehensive Chinese Studies MGIMO University Moscow, Russia With Contribution by Mikhail Karpov Vasily Kashin MGIMO University MGIMO University Higher School of Economics Moscow, Russia Moscow, Russia ISBN 978-981-15-6270-9 ISBN 978-981-15-6271-6 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-6271-6 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such namesareexemptfromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreefor general use. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinforma- tion in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeen made.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmaps and institutional affiliations. Cover illustration: © John Rawsterne/patternhead.com This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:152BeachRoad,#21-01/04GatewayEast,Singapore 189721, Singapore Preface This book was prepared within the MGIMO University the Center for Comprehensive Chinese Studies and Regional Projects (Moscow, the RussianFederation).Allthreeauthorsareworkingthereintheircapacities ofadirector(fulltime)andresearchleads(parttime),allparticipatedina series of discussions and roundtables of the Russian academic and analyt- icalcommunityorganizedundertheauspicesoftheCentrewithabenefit to absorb knowledge from sinologists of various generations. Some of thesediscussionswereoninvitationonly,somebasedonanopenregistra- tion’sbasesbringingmorethan70participantsandmorethan50presen- ters to discuss the book, published in October 2019: Model(cid:2) pazviti(cid:3) covpemennogo Kita(cid:3): ocenki, dickyccii, ppognozy [China’s Devel- opment Model: Appraisals, Discussions, Prognostications]/Pod ped. A.D. Bockpecenckogo. M.: MGIMO Univepcitet/Ctpategiqeckie izyckani(cid:3); Moscow: MGIMO University: Strategic Studies Publishing House, 2019. Some of these discussions were published on open access base in the peer-reviewed academic journal “Comparative Poli- ticsRussia”(www.comparativepolitics.org).ThementionedRussianbook, which happened to become the most comprehensive study of contem- porary China in Russian presented by Russian and Chinese authors of four generations, other discussions and roundtables at MGIMO helped greatly to define the theme and the scope of this short book. Authors are grateful for all roundtables’ participants for their stimulating v vi PREFACE intellectual interventions concerning contemporary China and its model of development. This is worth mentioning because the Center for Comprehensive Chinese Studies and Regional Projects is a new venture within the MGIMO university structures dedicated to deep integrated research on relativelyspecificissueofacomprehensivenature:IR/Politicsinrelation- ship to China, China’s changing place in the world, Chinese and other regional projects in comparative perspectives, with special focus on Asia and Eurasia. Main directions of the Center’s academic activities are as follows: (cid:129) The Chinese model of development, its key political, economic and social characteristics, strengths and weaknesses; (cid:129) Transformation of the political system of the Peoples Republic of China (PRC), including the mechanism of elites’ rotation, changes in power equilibrium, ideological and political struggle; (cid:129) Domestic policy, correction of the political course, economic and social policy of the PRC; (cid:129) China’s civilizational foundations, ideological archetypes of the Chinese civilization, the current ideology of the contemporary Chinese state in its different territorial manifestations; (cid:129) National policy, interethnic relations, religions and religious policy of the PRC; (cid:129) Foreign policy and international strategy of the PRC, its changing place in global structures, relations with other world powers and world regions, and its participation in integration, cross-border, regional, and transregional processes; (cid:129) China’s successful and unsuccessful experience in realization of state programs of regional development in comparative perspective; (cid:129) Strategy and practice of finding the right balance between region- alism, globalization, and transregionalism in the Chinese develop- mental model; (cid:129) The Chinese model of regionalism, China’s vision of the world system’s architecture; (cid:129) Transformation of the global order, the Chinese model of the regional order and other regional orders; (cid:129) Integration processes, and key Eurasian and Chinese regional and interregional projects in comparative perspective; PREFACE vii (cid:129) International relations in Asia and their China-centric/non-China- centric interpretation; (cid:129) Regional models of economic integration, security problems, main trends and models of development, cross-civilization interactions, and transformations of the regional order in Asia; (cid:129) Cooperation and conflict between key actors in Eurasia, and forma- tion of the system of macro-regional interaction; (cid:129) Russia’s role in Eurasia and Asia, Russia’s policy on these direc- tions, its potential for and risks of participation in transregional and regional projects; (cid:129) Russia-China relations. TheabilityoftheCentertoattractanattentionnotonlyofthespecial- ists on China but also of a broader circle of academics, analysts, journal- ists in global matters, IR, economics, history, human geography, politics, sociology, military, and regional studies reflects a new trend that is still difficult to accept for many—China is not only going global but influ- ences all facets of our life everywhere notwithstanding the character of these influences. So, we need to understand all consequences of China’s developments,understandadequatelyChina’sreflectionsonwhatisgoing on in the world as well as trying to analyze how to incorporate these perceptions in our own policies toward China. If it is done from all sides adequatelyandwithoutmalignperceptions,itwillbepossibletoimprove our world in which we are living now. This was the main lesson that we took from our discussions concerning China. However, instead of collaboratingsomecountries,allegedlythemostpowerfulones,including certainlyboththeUSAandChina,choserhetoricalbattleswithdifficultly appeasing consequences and not too much real cooperation. So, collec- tive leadership and global governance is still a distant option. How these developmentswillaffectforeignpolicyandattitudestowardglobalization? We tried to reflect at least some of these issues pertaining to our subject of interest in this short book. However, only readers can judge to what extent we are successful in our endeavor. Initially,theintroductionofthetext(Chapter1)wasdraftedbyme,the second chapter by Mikhail Karpov, the third—by Vasily Kashin. The last chapter and the conclusion also by me. However, while going through editing and having further discussions with my colleagues I came to a viii PREFACE conclusionthatwe,astheauthors,movedtothestageofthejointauthor- shiptoahigherextentthanIthoughtitcouldbepossibleatthebeginning of our project. Thus, this joint authorship is reflected on the cover page of the book. Moscow, Russia Alexei D. Voskressenski Director and Editor Praise for ChinasInfiniteTransition ’ anditsLimits “China’s Infinite Transition and its Limits tackles the issue of China’s unfinished transitions from bureaucratic socialism toward market economy, and from agriculture to industrialized economy. The volume challenges conventional assumptions of China incrementally advancing toward market reforms. Instead, it argues that the Chinese party-state, bymaintainingatightgrip,producesaneconomythatisneithercentrally plannednormarket-driven.Thevolumeexpertlyrevealsthemechanisms, institutions and instruments that are driving China’s economic, political, and military rise.” —Gaye Christoffersen, Professor, Johns Hopkins University, SAIS, Nanjing Center “Hova(cid:3) ctadi(cid:3) (cid:4)konomiqeckix pefopm v Kitae zatponet vce ctopony kita(cid:5)cko(cid:5) (cid:6)izni. Ba(cid:6)no, qtoby pefopmy ne navpedili l(cid:7)d(cid:3)m i okpy(cid:6)a(cid:7)we(cid:5) ix cpede, dali l(cid:7)d(cid:3)m ppiemlemye yclovi(cid:3) cywectvovani(cid:3)iblagopolyqie.Botckpytoepoclanie(cid:4)to(cid:5)knigi.” —Covetnik Pocci(cid:2)cko(cid:2) Akademii Hayk, akademik Bladimip M(cid:3)cnikov ix x PRAISE FOR CHINA’S INFINITE TRANSITION AND ITS LIMITS “A new stage of economic reform in China covers all aspects of China’s life. It is important that they do not harm people and the environment, providethepeopleofChinawithdecentlivingconditionsandprosperity. This is the hidden message of this book.” —Vladimir S. Myasnikov, Advisor to the Russian Academy of Sciences, Academician “A unique and indispensable resource for those who want to under- stand the conundrum of the Chinese party’s vitality. The authors have written an excellent guide for those exploring the mechanisms, institu- tions, and instruments of the Chinese economic and military develop- ment. The book’s coverage is comprehensive and provides an excellent blend of economic and geopolitical arguments.” —Csaba Moldicz, Head of Research, Oriental Business and Innovation Center, Budapest Business School “Thisbookisafundamentalreadingforanyonewhowantstounderstand theinternalstrengthsandimperfectionsofChinesepoliticalandeconomic system – the country that has changed the global balance of power and opened the new age of the international politics. It deserves wider and deeper practical attention as one of the most significant contributions to the systematic study of China and its role in the international politics.” —Timofei Bordachev, “Valdai” Club Program Director “中国是世界的中国,世界是中国的世界。“中国模式”的形成得益于世界发 展的优秀经验,同时“中国模式”又将为世界发展注入新活力。这本书为您 了解中国和世界之间复杂 而又有趣的互动打开了视野” —王晨星,中国俄罗斯东欧中亚学会副秘书长 “China is the world’s China, and the world is China’s world. Forma- tion of ‘China Model’ benefits from the excellent experience of world’s development. At the same time, ‘China Model’ inject new vitality into worlddevelopment.Thisbookopensyoureyestowatchcomplicatedand fascinating interaction between China and the world.” —Dr. WANG Chenxing, Deputy-Secretary General, Chinese Association of Russian, East European and Central Asian Studies

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