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Children of austerity : impact of the Great Recession on child poverty in rich countries PDF

363 Pages·2017·1.774 MB·English
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CHILDREN OF AUSTERITY Children of Austerity Impact of the Great Recession on Child Poverty in Rich Countries Edited by BEA CANTILLON, YEKATERINA CHZHEN, SUDHANSHU HANDA, AND BRIAN NOLAN Published by The United Nations Children’s Fund and Oxford University Press 1 3 GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,OX26DP, UnitedKingdom OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries ©UNICEF2017 Themoralrightsoftheauthorshavebeenasserted FirstEditionpublishedin2017 Impression:1 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016,UnitedStatesofAmerica BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016950867 ISBN 978–0–19–879796–8 PrintedinGreatBritainby ClaysLtd,StIvesplc LinkstothirdpartywebsitesareprovidedbyOxfordingoodfaithand forinformationonly.Oxforddisclaimsanyresponsibilityforthematerials containedinanythirdpartywebsitereferencedinthiswork. Thedesignationsemployedandthepresentationofmaterialinthisinformationproduct donotimplytheexpressionofanyopinionwhatsoeveronthepartofTheUnitedNations Children’sFund(UNICEF)concerningthelegalordevelopmentstatusofanycountry, territory,city,orareaorofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationofitsfrontiersor boundaries.Thementionofspecificcompaniesorproductsofmanufacturers,whetherornot thesehavebeenpatented,doesnotimplythatthesehavebeenendorsedorrecommendedby UNICEFinpreferencetoothersofasimilarnaturethatarenotmentioned.Theviews expressedinthisinformationdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsorpoliciesofUNICEF. Contents ListofFigures vii ListofTables xiii ListofContributors xv 1. Introduction:ScopeandMethods 1 YekaterinaChzhen,SudhanshuHanda,BeaCantillon, andBrianNolan 2. ImpactoftheEconomicCrisisonChildreninRichCountries 8 YekaterinaChzhen,BrianNolan,BeaCantillon,and SudhanshuHanda 3. Belgium:CreepingVulnerabilityofChildren 30 JulieVinck,WimVanLancker,andBeaCantillon 4. ChildPovertyduringtheRecessioninGermany 56 ThomasBahleandPeterKrause 5. TheImpactoftheGreatRecessiononChildPovertyinGreece 94 ManosMatsaganis 6. Recession,Recovery,andRegimeChange:EffectsonChild PovertyinHungary 118 AndrásGábosandIstvánGyörgyTóth 7. ChildrenoftheCelticTigerduringtheEconomicCrisis:Ireland 146 BrianNolanandBertrandMaître 8. TheImpactoftheGreatRecessiononChildPoverty: TheCaseofItaly 170 LuisaNataliandChiaraSaraceno 9. TheRecessionandthePolicyResponseforChildPoverty inJapan 191 AyaK.Abe 10. GrowingupinPoverty:ChildrenandtheGreatRecession inSpain 219 SaraAyllón 11. Sweden:ChildPovertyduringTwoRecessions 242 JanO.JonssonandCarinaMood vi Contents 12. ImpactoftheRecessiononChildrenintheUnitedKingdom 275 JonathanBradshaw,YekaterinaChzhen,andGillMain 13. USAChildPoverty:TheImpactoftheGreatRecession 297 ChristopherWimerandTimothyM.Smeeding 14. LearningtheLessons:EnhancingCapacitytoProtectChildren 320 BrianNolan,BeaCantillon,SudhanshuHanda, andYekaterinaChzhen Index 335 List of Figures 2.1. Annualeconomicgrowth(realGDPpercapita,annual%) 10 2.2. RealGDPpercapitagrowth(%)peaktotrough(2007–2014) 11 2.3. RealGDPpercapita(2007=100) 12 2.4. Unemploymentrates(2007–2014) 14 2.5. Childpovertyrates(2008–2014)in31Europeancountries 17 2.6. In-workpovertyratesamonghouseholdswithchildren(2008–2014) in31Europeancountries 18 2.7. Proportionofchildrenlivinginlowworkintensityhouseholds (2008–2014)in31Europeancountries 19 2.8. Proportionofchildrenlivinginmateriallydeprivedhouseholds (2008–2014)in31Europeancountries 21 2.9. Shareofchildrenwhocannotinvitefriendsroundtoplayfromtime totime(2009and2014)in27Europeancountries 22 2.10. SocialprotectionbenefitsspendingasashareofGDP(2005–2013) in41countries 24 2.11. Changesinspendingonfamilyrelatedbenefitsasashareoftotal socialprotectionspending(2005–2013)in32countries 25 2.12. Percentchangesinrealpercapitaspendingonoldageandfamily benefits(2008–2013)in32countries 26 2.13. Changesineffectivenessofsocialtransferstoreducechildandelderly poverty(2008–2014)in31countries 27 3.1. QuarterlyGDPgrowthrate(leftaxis)andGDPrelativeto2010level (rightaxis),Belgium(2000–2015) 32 3.2. Quarterlyunemploymentrate,Belgiumandneighbouring countries(2005–2015) 33 3.3. Percentagepointchangeinemploymentratesbyageandeducation, Belgiumandneighbouringcountries(2008–2010) 34 3.4. RelativepovertyriskinBelgium,before,during,andafterthecrisis (incomeyears2005–2013) 35 3.5. AnchoredpovertyriskinBelgium,before,during,andafterthecrisis (incomeyears2005–2013) 35 3.6. SeverematerialdeprivationinBelgium,before,during,andafterthe crisis(surveyyears2006–2014) 36 3.7. Childpovertyriskbyhouseholdworkintensity,Belgiumand neighbouringcountries(incomeyear2013) 39 viii ListofFigures 3.8. Shareofchildrenandshareofpoorchildrenbyfamilycharacteristics: singleparents,non-EUhousehold,andhighesteducationallevelofthe parents,Belgium(2014) 42 3.9. Childrenlivinginsingle-parenthouseholds(leftpanel)andnon-EU households(rightpanel):shareandpovertyrisksoverhouseholdwork intensity,Belgium(incomeyear2013) 44 3.10. Childrenlivinginhouseholdswithlow,medium,orhigh-skilledparents: shareandpovertyriskoverworkintensity,Belgium(2013) 44 3.11. Socialspendingonactive-agepersons(under65)asapercentageofGDP, functionaldistribution,Belgium(1985–2011) 45 3.12. Absolutechildpovertyreductionbytransfers(excludingpensions), VLWIhouseholds,Belgium(incomeyear2009),percent 50 4.1. ChangesinGDP,Germany(1991–2015) 58 4.2. Unemploymentrates,Germany(1993–2014) 59 4.3. GDP,governmentdebt,andsocialexpenditure,Germany(1995–2014) 60 4.4. Impactofshort-termworkprogramme,Germany(2005–2013) 62 4.5. Povertyrates,Germany(1994–2013) 63 4.6. (a–d).TrendsinincomedistributioninGermanybefore,during, andaftertheGreatRecession 64 4.7. Trendsinmediandisposableincomeandpovertyrates,Germany (2001–2013) 66 4.8. Povertygaps,Germany(2001–2013) 67 6.1. GDPgrowthandunemploymentlevelsbygender,Hungary(2000–2014) 120 6.2. DevelopmentofnetandgrossrealincomesinHungary(2000–2014, quarterly,asapercentofthepreviousyear) 121 6.3. EmploymentratesbygenderandeducationinHungary(1993–2013) (percentofpopulationaged15–64) 122 6.4. At-risk-of-povertyrateamongchildreninHungaryandintheEU (2005–2014),percent 130 6.5. At-risk-of-povertyrateanchoredin2008amongchildreninHungary andinthenewEUMemberStates(2008–2014),percent 132 6.6. SeverematerialdeprivationrateamongchildreninHungaryandin theEU(2005–2014),percent 132 6.7. Shareofchildren(leftaxis)andat-risk-of-povertyrate(rightaxis) amongchildrenbyhouseholdwork-intensitylevelinHungary (2005–2014),percent 136 6.8. Povertyreductionindexofsocialtransfers(excludingpensions) amongchildren,Hungary,EU-27,andNMS-12(2005–2014),percent 139 6.9. ChangeinincidenceoffamilyallowancesovertimeinHungary (1992–2014)(shareoftotalfamilyallowancesreceivedbythevarious quintiles,basedonpersonequivalenthouseholdincomes),percent 140 ListofFigures ix 6.10. ChangeinincidenceofmaternitybenefitsovertimeinHungary (1992–2014)(shareoftotalfamilyallowancesreceivedbythevarious quintilesbasedonpersonequivalenthouseholdincomes),percent 141 7.1. Percentageofpersonsbelow60percentofmediandisposable income,byage,Ireland(2007–2014) 150 7.2. Percentageofpersonsbelow‘anchored’threshold(60percentof2008 mediandisposableincome,adjustedforchangesinconsumerprices),by age,Ireland(2008–2013) 150 7.3. Percentageofpersonsreportingmaterialdeprivation,byage,Ireland (2007–2014) 158 7.4. Impactofdirecttaxincreasesandsocialwelfarereductionsonhousehold disposableincome,byquintile,Ireland(2008–2012),percent 163 8.1. Trendsinchild(0–17)povertybydifferentmeasures2008–2013/2014 175 8.2. Trendsinchild(0–17)absolutepovertybygroup(2008–2013) 179 9.1. GDPgrowth,Japan(1980–2016),percent 193 9.2. Numberofworkersbytypeofemployment(Seiki/Hiseiki) (1985–2014)(100,000persons) 194 9.3. Unemploymentrate,Japan,byage(2006–2015),percent 196 9.4. Averageincomeofhouseholdswithchildren(nominal,in 10,000yen),Japan(2004–2013) 196 9.5. Percentageofchildrenbelow60percentofmediandisposableincome, Japan(2006–2012):relativeandanchoredratesat2007povertylines 198 9.6. Anchoredchildpovertyrates,byfamilytype,Japan(2006–2012) 199 9.7. Percentageofchildrenlivinginlow-work-intensityhouseholds,by householdtype,Japan(2007–2013) 206 9.8. Childpovertyratebyworkintensity:two-andone-parenthouseholds, Japan(2006–2012) 207 9.9. PercentageofchildrenLivinginHiseikihouseholds,byhousehold type,Japan(2007-2013) 208 9.10. Childpovertyrate,byhouseholdworkstatus,fortwo-andone-parent households,Japan(2006–2012) 209 9.11. Family-relatedexpenditure,totalamountandasapercentage oftotalsocialexpenditure,Japan(2007–2013) 213 9.A1. Childpovertyrate(50percentofmedian)beforeandafter redistribution:1985,1994,2003,2006,2009,2012 217 10.1. Percentagerateofinter-annualvariationinrealgrossdomestic product(quarterlydata),Spain(1996–2015) 220 10.2. (a)Unemploymentrate(quarterlydata)and(b)long-term unemploymentrate,Spain(2002–2015),percent 221 10.3. Relativeandanchoredpovertyratetrends,byagegroupinSpain (2008–2014),percent 224

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