Challenges to the Global Trading System International trade continues to expand robustly in East Asia and elsewhere, but global trade negotiations have collapsed and globalization is widely criticized. One line of argument is that ‘real world’ trade policy favours rich countries and the strongest producers within them. Another sees globalization as the cause of varied social ills, including income inequality, environmental degradation, violations of labour and human rights, and the destruction of culture. In this book, the participants of the 30th Pacific Trade and Development Conference—including the then-Director General of the World Trade Organization, leading government officials, academics and executives from a dozen major Pacific Rim economies—debate whether global negotiations have ended once and for all, or are suffering temporarily from ‘globalization fatigue’, whether East Asia’s new regional partnerships will advance or undermine the global trading system; and whether the region’s trade tensions with the United States will intensify or subside. They provide new empirical evidence on how trade affects the distribution of income, the location of pollution-intensive industries, the causes of ‘outsourcing’, the structure of the intellectual property regime and international security. They also probe the implications of adjustment to globalization: how can countries reap the benefits of trade while controlling the risks faced by the poor and, perhaps more importantly, the politically strong? Offering an unusually wide-ranging perspective on the adjustment problems caused by trade, as well as strategies for managing these problems, Challenges to the Global Trading System is an invaluable resource for students and scholars of Asia-Pacific studies, international relations and development studies, as well as those with a more general interest in Asian studies. Peter A. Petri is the Carl J. Shapiro Professor of International Finance at Brandeis University. Sum ner J. La Croix is a Senior Fellow at the East-West Center and professor and chair of the Department of Economics, University of Hawaii. Pacific Trade and Development Conference Series Edited by Peter A. Petri and Sumner J. La Croix Titles published by Routledge in association with the PAFTAD International Secretariat and the Australia–Japan Research Centre, The Australian National University include: Business, Markets and Government in the Asia Pacific Edited by Rong-I Wu and Yun-Peng Chu Asia Pacific Financial Deregulation Edited by Gordon de Brouwer and Wisarn Pupphavesa Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation/APEC: Challenges and Tasks for the 21st Century Edited by Ippei Yamazawa Globalization and the Asia Pacific Economy Edited by Kyung Tae Lee The New Economy in East Asia and the Pacific Edited by Peter Drysdale Competition Policy in East Asia Edited by Erlinda M. Medalla Reshaping the Asia Pacific Economic Order Edited by Hadi Soesastro and Christopher Findlay Challenges to the Global Trading System Adjustment to globalization in the Asia-Pacific region Edited by Peter A. Petri and Sumner J. La Croix Challenges to the Global Trading System Adjustment to globalization in the Asia-Pacific region Edited by Peter A. Petri and Sumner J. La Croix First published 2007 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada by Routledge 270 Madison Ave, New York, NY 10016 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2007. “To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledge’s collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.” Publisher’s note: This book has been prepared from camera-ready copy provided by PAFTAD International Secretariat. © 2007 PAFTAD International Secretariat for selection and editorial matter; individual chapters, the contributors All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Pacific Trade and Development Conference (30th : 2005 : Honolulu, Hawaii) Challenges to the global trading system : adjustment to globalization in the Asia-Pacific region / edited by Peter A. Petri and Sumner La Croix. p. cm. — (Pacific Trade and Development Conference series ; 8) Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978-0-415-42986-3 (hardback : alk. paper) 1. Asia—Commerce—Congresses. 2. Pacific Area—Commerce—Congresses. 3. International trade—Congresses. I. Petri, Peter A., 1946- II. La Croix, Sumner J., 1954- III. Title. HF3751.7.P32 2005 382.095—dc22 2006039009 ISBN 0–203–44186–9 Master e-book ISBN ISBN 10 0-415-42986-2 (hbk) ISBN 10 0-203-44186-9 (ebk) ISBN 13 978-0-415-42986-3 (hbk) ISBN 13 978-0-203-44186-2 (ebk) Contents List of figures vii List of tables and boxes viii List of contributors x Preface xiii List of abbreviations xv 1 New challenges to the global trading system 1 Sumner J. La Croix and Peter A. Petri 2 The challenge of policy in the era of globalization 9 Supachai Panitchpakdi 3 Globalization fatigue, not globalization backlash 15 Douglas A. Irwin 4 The emergence of ‘intra-mediate trade’: implications for the Asia-Pacific region 21 Yumiko Okamoto 5 The political economy of the proliferation of FTAs 43 Yung Chul Park, Shujiro Urata and Inkyo Cheong 6 US trade policy towards China: discrimination and its implications 58 Chad P. Bown and Rachel McCulloch 7 Does trade lead to a race to the bottom in environmental standards? Another look at the issues 83 Erlinda M. Medalla and Dorothea C. Lazaro 8 What’s new about outsourcing? 115 Justin Yifu Lin and Ying-Yi Tsai 9 Have developing countries gained from the marriage between trade agreements and intellectual property rights? 131 Sumner J. La Croix and Denise Eby Konan vi Contents 10 Economic interdependence and security in the Asia Pacific 155 Rong-I Wu, Chyuan-Jenq Shiau and Chi-Chen Chiang Policy Perspectives 183 11 Practitioner’s perspectives on trade and development 184 Mari Pangestu 12 US trade strategy and the Asia-Pacific region 190 Lisa Coen 13 Balancing regional and multilateral commitments: the case of Iceland 192 Geir H. Haarde 14 Globalization and politics 194 Doug Bereuter Business Perspectives 197 15 New dimensions of globalization 198 Narongchai Akrasanee 16 California: a microcosm of Pacific Rim trade issues 200 Richard M. Rosenberg 17 Globalization at the University of Hawaii 203 David McClain 18 Competition and fairness in the execution of globalization 205 Arthur L. Goldstein 19 International opportunities and national choices 209 Pang Eng Fong Academic Perspectives 211 20 Adverse trends in trade negotiations 212 Peter Drysdale 21 Sustaining the multilateral trading system 215 Hugh Patrick 22 Adjustment, compensation and contingent protection 217 Peter A. Petri 23 First- and second-order adjustments to globalization 220 Hadi Soesastro 24 Managing adjustments to globalization 222 Kim Song Tan Index 224 Figures 4.1 The new pattern of trade and productivity growth 29 4.2 Conventional measure of trade openness and productivity growth 29 4.3 The link between the degree of integration and changes in investment ratios 30 4.4 The link between the degree of integration and skill upgrading 31 4.5 The link between the degree of integration and innovation activities 32 7.1 Trade structure of pollution-intensive products: industrial chemicals 94 7.2 Trade structure of pollution-intensive products: iron and steel 94 7.3 Trade structure of pollution-intensive products: pulp and paper 94 7.4 Trade structure of pollution-intensive products: non-metallic minerals 94 7.5 Trade structure of pollution-intensive products: non-ferrous minerals 94 7.6 Growth of environmental goods trade, 1990–2002 106 8.1 Growth of semiconductor (SC) content in the electronics system 120 8.2 Cycle of the semiconductor industry 121 8.3 IDM vs. fabless business model 122 8.4 Worldwide semiconductor capital spending by region 123 Tables and boxes 4.1 Ratios of trade to GDP 25 4.2 Shares of capital goods, parts and components and machinery 27 4.3 Shares of exports and imports by end-use categories in Australia and New Zealand 28 4.4 Wage inequality: decreased or increased? 33 4.5 Shares of exports and imports by end-user categories for new ASEAN members 35 4.6 Growth performance of ASEAN countries 37 5.1 Progress of major FTAs in East Asia 45 5.2 Impact of FTAs on GDP 49 5.3 Impact of FTAs on regional GDP in East Asia 50 5.4 Impact of FTAs in East Asia on regional capital stock 52 5.5 Effects of tariff elimination and stringency of ROO on trade 53 5.6 Tariff elimination in FTAs 53 5.7 Summary of ROO in major FTAs 54 5.8 Overall assessment of quality of FTAs 54 6.1 US antidumping actions against its ten most frequently investigated trading partners, 1980–2003 62 6.2 China’s relative performance in multi-country US antidumping investigations that ended in duties against at least one country 64 6.3 China safeguard investigations by the United States under Section 421 67 6.4 Examples of China textile safeguard investigations by the United States in 2004 68 6.5 Recent examples of US preferential trade agreements 70 6.6 Preferential trade agreement partners’ 2003 textile and apparel exports to the United States, compared with China 71 6.7 Sources of US, Australian and Japanese imports of textiles and clothing, 2003 72 6.8 Percentage change in export values in constant US dollars 73 7.1 Average share of trade products, per country group, by pollution classification 1996–2000 90 Tables ix 7.2 Revealed comparative advantage index 91 7.3 Share of product group by pollution classification in total exports, per country group 1996–2000 92 7.4 Classification of pollution-intensive industries 93 7.5 Trade share of selected pollution-intensity products, per country group 1991–2000 95 7.6 Revealed comparative advantage per product classification 96 7.7 Existing environmental regulations of selected (APEC) developing countries 98 7.8 National eco-labelling programmes 107 7.9 List of developed and developing countries 108 7.10 MEAs with trade implications 110 9.1 Major features of the TRIPs Agreement 136 9.2 Estimates of net royalty and licence transfers in selected EU and APEC countries 141 9.3 Estimates of losses from piracy in selected Asia-Pacific countries (2003) 147 9.4 WCT and WPPT contracting parties in Asia 148 10.1 Trade development in selected Asia-Pacific countries 160 10.2 Merchandise exports within regional trade blocs 161 10.3 Trade dependence index of 14 economies 162 10.4 FDI flows in Asia and the Pacific 163 10.5 Development indicators of East Asian and Pacific developing countries, 1986–2003 164 10.6 Inflows of foreign workers of selected countries 165 10.7 Registered foreign workers in Taiwan, by origin 165 10.8 Overseas workers from the Philippines, by destination 166 10.9 The proliferation of FTAs in the Asia Pacific 167 10.10 Military expenditure, selected countries, 1989–2003 169 10.11 Cross-Strait exchanges, 1988–2003 172 Box 7.1 Five main environmental effects of trade liberalization 96 Box 7.2 Differentiating government environmental regulation approaches 97 Box 7.3 The green provisions in the WTO 100 Box 7.4 A disguised restriction on international trade? A note from WTO dispute settlement decisions 102 Box 7.5 How the WTO relates to environmental agreements 104
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