CERTAIN SPECIAL QUALITY HOT-ROLLED AND SEMIFINISHED CARBON AND ALLOY STEEL PRODUCTS FROM BRAZIL Determination of the Commission in Investigation No. 731-TA-572 (Preliminary) Under the Tariff Act of 1930, Together With the Information Obtained in the Investigation ..... , __, ·; .. ·. . ·.: USITC PUBLICATION 2537 JULY 1992 .. ~-~ :: . . .: - .~.-..' ;-·;\"-. _.,_. .. .. ·. .· · ates International Trade Commission on, DC 20436 UNITED STATES INTERNATIONAL TRADE COMMISSION COMMISSIONERS Don E. Newquist, Chairman Peter S. Watson, Vice Chairman David B. Rohr Anne E. Brunsdale Carol T. Crawford Janet A. Nuzum Robert Rogowsky DirccLor of Operations ------------ Staff assigned: Diane J. Mazur, Investigator SLephanie Kaplan, Commodity-Industry Analysl Clark Workman, Economisl Chand Mehta, Accountant/Auditor Scou Andersen, Auomcy Robert Carpenter, Supervisory Investigator Address all communications to Secretary to the Commission United States International Trade Commission \Vashington, DC 20436 CONTENTS Determination ............................................................ . 1 Views of Chairman Newquist, Vice-Chairman Watson, and Commissioner Nuzum ..................................................... . 3 Separate Views of Commissioner David B. Rohr ............................ . 37 Dissenting Views of Commissioners Brunsdale and Crawford ................ . 55 Information obtained in the investigation ............................... . I-1 Introduction .......................................................... . I-3 Previous and related investigations ................................... . I-4 General steel products investigations ............................... . I-4 Investigations of special quality carbon steel products ............. . I-4 The product .................................................. ; ........ . I-4 Description ..........................................· . .............. . 1-4 Free-machining steels ............................•................. 1-7 Manufacturing process ................................................ . I-8 Melt stage ........................................................ . 1-8 Casting stage ..................................................... . I-10 Hot-rolling stage ......................................· ........... . I-12 Semifinished vs. hot-rolled steel. .............................. . I-13 Cut-lengths vs. coiled ............................................ . I-13 Bars vs. rods .................................................... . I-14. Uses ..................................................... ·.·.··.· .. ··· I-15 Questionnaire responses ......... , ................................. . I-16 Imported and domestic product comparison .......................... . I-16 Substitute products .................................· ................ . I-18 U.S. tariff treatment ................. ·. .............................. . I-19 Voluntary restraint agreements ...................................... . I-20 Bilateral consensus agreements/multilateral consensus agreement ..... . I-21 Like product considerations ......................................... ·. . I-22 The nature and extent of alleged sales at less than fair value ........ . I-22 The U.S. market .................... , .................................. . I-23 U.S. producers ...............; ....................................... . I-23 Company profiles .................................................. . I-23 Other special quality steel producers ............................. . I-28 Product lines ..., .................................................... . I-28 Minimills .....................· ................. ·. ................... . I-29 U.S. importers ...................................................... . 1-30 U.S. producers' imports ........................•................... I-30 Apparent U.S. consumption ........................................... . I-31 Market trends ...................................................... . 1-31 Trends in apparent consumption .................................... . I-32 U.S. producers' share of apparent consumption ..................... . I-32 Channels of distribution ............................................ . I-32 ii CONTENTS Information obtained in the investigations--Continued Consideration of alleged material injury to an industry in the United States ......... : ... : ................................ . I-41 U.S. production, capacity, and capacity utilization ................. . I-42 U.S. producers' U.S. shipments ....................................... . I-42 U.S. producers' exports ............... , ............................. . I-42 U.S. producers' inventories ........................................ . I-54 U.S. producers' employment and wages ............................... . I-56 Financial experience of U.S. producers ............................. . I-61 Subject special quality steel products ........................... . I-61 Semi finished .................................................... . I-61 Cut bars and rods ...................................... ·. ........ . I-63 Semifinished and cut bars and rods combined .................... . I-69 Free-machining steel products .................................... . I-69 Semif inished ................................................... . I-69 Bars and rods ........................ ·. ......................... . I-70 All special quality steel products ............................... . I-70 s'eniifinished ................................................... . I-70 B'ars and rods .................................................. . I-77 Investment in productive facilities .............................. . I-77 Capital expenditures ............................................. . I-77 Research ·and development expenses ...............· ................. . I-77 Impact of imports on capital and investment ...................... . I-88 Consideration of the q11estion of threat: of material injury ........... . I-89 Ability of foreign producers to generate exports and the availability of export markets other than the United States .... . I-90 Respondents' data ................................................ . I-,91 Additional information regarding the Brazilian industry .......... . I-91 · Respondents represented by counsel. ............................ . I-91 Other Brazilian manufacturers/exporters ........................ . I-96 EC dumping duty· order ............................................ . I-97 U.S. importers' inventories ........................................ . I-97 Consideration of the causal relationship be.tween imports of the subject products and alleged material injury ..................... . 1-98 Imports ............................................................. . 1-98 Market· penetration of imports ...................................... . I-99 Prices: ............ ., ............................................... . I-114 Market characteristics ........................................... . I-114 Questionnaire price data ......................................... . I-115 Price trends ..................................................... . I-116 Price comparisons ................................................ . I-116 Exchange rates ..................................................... . I-118 Lost sales and lost revenues ....................................... . 1-118 iii CONTENTS Appendices A. The Commission's and Commerce's Federal Register notices............ A-1 B. List of witnesses appearing at conference........................... B-1 C. Glossary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C-1 D. Comments on differences and similarities in physical/metallurgical characteristics and uses of semifinished and hot-rolled products.. D-1 E. Comments on differences and similarities in manufacturing processes of semifinished and hot-rolled products........................... E-1 F. Tariff headnotes and nomenclature................................... F-1 G. Available information on alternative "like product" industries...... G-1 H. Summary data on operations of traditional and minimill producers.... H-1 J. Effects of imports on producers' existing development and production efforts, growth, investment, and ability raise ~o capital ........................................................... J-1 K. EC preliminary dumping decision ................... ·•................. K-1 L. Market shares of imports on a cumulated basis....................... L-1 Figures 1. Simplified steelmaking flowchart ........................... _. ..... . I-9 2. Steel products and processes ..................................... . I-11 G-1. Like-product scenarios: Certain steel products .................. . G-2 Tables 1. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: Previous and related investigations since 1921.......... ... .............. .. . I-5 2. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: Shares of shipments of U.S.-produced product, by end uses, 1991 ............. I-17 3. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. producers, location of producing facility, position on petition, and share of production in 1991................................................ I-24 4. Carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. producers' production capabilities, by types, 1991. ..................................... I-28 SA. Subject special-quality steel products: U.S. shipments of domestic product, U.S. imports, and apparent U.S. consumption, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-33 SB. Free-machining steel products: U.S. shipments of domestic product, U.S. imports, and apparent U.S. consumption, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-35 SC. All special-quality ste~l products: U.S. shipments of domestic product, U.S. imports, and apparent U.S. consumption, by produ~ts, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-37 iv CONTENTS Tables--Continued 6. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: Shares of shipments of product (in percent), by channels of distribution, 1991.............................................................. I-39 7. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. capacity, production, and capacity utilization, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-43 BA. Subject special quality carbon and allow steel products: Shipments by U.S. producers, by products and by types, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992............... I-45 SB. Free-machining carbon and allow steel products: Shipments by U.S. producers, by products and by types, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ...... : ........ I-48 SC. All special quality carbon and allow steel products: Shipments by U.S. producers, by products and by types, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-51 9. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. producers' U.S. shipments (domestic shipments and company transfers), by types, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ..... ;........................................... I-54 10. Special quality carbon and alloy steel products: End-of period inventories of U.S. producers, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ....................... I-55 11. Average number of U.S. production and related workers producing special-quality steel products, hours worked, wages and total compensation paid to such employees, and hourly wages, productivity, and unit production costs, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ............... I-57 12. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality carbon steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, arid January-March 1992 ........................ ~ .................... ;.. I-62 13. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality alloy steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ....................................... ;........ I-64 14. Income-and-loss experience of U. s-. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality carbon and alloy steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992............................................ I-65 15. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality carbon steel cut bars and rods fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992................................................ I-66 16. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality alloy steel cut bars and rods fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992................................................ I-67 v CONTENTS Tables--Continued 17. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing subject special-quality carbon and alloy steel cut bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ..... ·. .................. ; . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I.-68 18. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing free-machining semifinished carbon steel lead and bismuth products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992............................................ 1-69 19. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing free-machining carbon steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992... I-71 20. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing free-machining alloy steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992 ... I-72 21. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing free-machining carbon and alloy steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992 ... I-73 22. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality carbon steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992... I-74 23. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality alloy steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992 ... 1-75 24. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality carbon and alloy steel semifinished products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992........... ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1-76 25. lncome-·and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality carbon steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992 ... 1-78 26. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality alloy steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992... 1-79 27. Income-and-loss experience of U.S. producers on their operations producing special-quality carbon and alloy steel bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991,and January-March 1992... 1-80 28A. Value of assets and return on assets of U.S. producers of semifinished steel products, fiscal years 1989-91, January- March 1991, and January-March 1992 ................................ 1-81 28B. Value of assets and return on assets of U.S. producers of subject special quality cut bars and rods, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ........................ 1-84 28C. Value of assets and return on assets of U.S. producers' establishments wherein all special quality steel products are produced, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992................................................ 1-85 vi CONTENTS Tables--Continued 29. Capital expenditures by U.S. producers of special quality steel products, by products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March ·1992............................................ I-87 30. Research and development expenditures of U.S. producers of special quality steel products, by products, fiscal years 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ........................ I-88 31. Subject special-quality carbon and alloy steel products: Brazilian capacity, production, capacity utilization, and shipments, 1989-91, January-March 1991, January-March 1992, and projected 1992................................................ I-92 32. Certain special-quality semifinished and hot-rolled cut~length carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. imports, by products and by sources, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ................................................ I-100 33A. Subject special-quality semifinished and hot-rolled cut-length carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. shipments of domestic product, U.S. imports, and U.S. apparent consumption, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ...... , ........ ·. ............................... I-102 33B. Free-machining special-quality semifinished and hot-rolled carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. shipments of domestic product, U.S. imports, and U.8. apparent consumption, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992 ......................... ·..................... I-106 33C. Total special-quality semifinished and hot-rolled carbon and alloy steel products: U.S. shipments of domestJc product, U.S. imports, and U.S. apparent consumption, by products, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.............................................. I-110 34. Weighted-average net f .o.b. prices of product 1 reported by U.S. producers and importers, and margins of underselling (overselling), by quarters, January 1989-March 1992 ............... I-117 35. Weighted-average net f .o.b. prices of product 2 reported by U.S. producers and importers, and margins of underselling (overselling), by quarters, January 1989-March 1992 ............... I-117 36. Weighted-average net f.o.b. prices of product 3 reported by U.S. producers and importers, and margins of underselling (overselling), by quarters, January 1989-March 1992 ............... I-117 37. Weighted-average net f.o.b. prices of product 5 reported by U.S. producers and importers, and margins of underselling (overselling), by quarters, January 1989-March 1992 ............... I-117 38. Weighted-average net f.o.b. prices of product 6 reported by U.S. producers and importers, and margins of underselling (overselling), by quarters, January 1989-March 1992 ............... I-117 vii CONTENTS' Tables--Continued 39. Exchange rates: Indexes of nominal and real exchange rates of the Brazilian cruzeiro, and indexes of producer prices in the United States and Brazil, by quarters, January 1989-March 1992........................................... I-117 G-1. Subject special-quality.carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992. .. .. . . . .......... ... . G-4 G-2. Lead & bismuth free-machining carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. .. . . .. ........ .. . .. . G-4 G-3. All free-machining carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992. ... .. .. ..... .. . .. . .. . G-4 G-4. All special-quality carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.... .. ......... .. .. .. . G-4 G-5. Merchant-quality carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.... .. ... .... .. ....... G-4 G-6. All carbon steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.... .. ... ... . . . .... .. . G-4 G-7. Subject special-quality alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerningthe U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. .. .. ... .. . . . . . ... .. . G-4 G-8. Lead & bismuth free-machining alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning .the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992. ... .. ... . . . . .. . ... .. . G-4 G-9. All free-machining alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992. .. . . . ... . . . ... ....... G-4 G-10. All free-machining alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. ....... ...... .... .. . G-4 G-11. Subject special-quality carbon & alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, · January-March 1991, and January-March 1992... ... . . . . . . ... . .. . . . . G-4 G-12. Lead & bismuth free-machining carbon & alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the u.s; market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992... ... . . . . .. ... ....... G-4 G-13. All free-machining carbon & alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. ... .. . . ...... ... . . . . G-5 viii CONTENTS Tables--Continued G-14. All special-quality carbon & alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. ·market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992... .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . G-6 G-15. All carbon & alloy steel semifinished products: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. ... .. . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . G-7 G-16. Subject special-quality carbon steel cut bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. .. . . . . . . . . .. .. . .. . . . G-7 G-17. Subject special-quality alloy steel cut bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992............. .. . .. .. . . . G-7 G-18. Subject special-quality carbon & alloy steel cut bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, an.d January-March 1992............. G-7 G-19. Certain special-quality carbon steel coiled bars: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992...... .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . G-7 G-20. Certain special-quality alloy steel coiled bars: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January•March 1991, and January-March 1992.. ... ... .. . . . . . .. . . .. . G-7 G-21. Certain special-quality carbon & alloy steel coiled bars: Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992... ..... .. . . . . . .. . .... G-7 G-22. Certain special-quality carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. ... .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . G-7 G-23. Lead & bismuth free-machining carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . G-7 G-24. All free-machining carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992.. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . G-7 G-25. All special-quality carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992............... .. . . .. . G-7 G-26. Merchant-quality carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992..... ... ... .. . . . .. . . . . G-7 G-27. All carbon steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992...... .. ... .. . . ... . .. . G-7 G-28. Certain special-quality alloy steel bars (including cut rods): Summary data concerning the U.S. market, 1989-91, January-March 1991, and January-March 1992...... .. ... .. . . . .. . .. . G-7
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