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FINAL PROGRAM Census Data for Transportation Planning Preparing for the Future May 11–13, 2005 The National Academies Beckman Center Irvine, California Organizer Transportation Research Board Sponsors Federal Highway Administration Federal Transit Administration Bureau of Transportation Statistics National Cooperative Highway Research Program Cosponsors American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials U.S. Census Bureau The Transportation Research Board is a division of the National Research Council, which serves as an independent adviser to the federal government and TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD others on scientific and technical questions of national The National Academies Keck Center importance. The National Research Council is jointly 500 Fifth Street, NW administered by the National Academy of Sciences, the Washington, DC 20001 National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of 202-334-2934, Fax 202-334-2030 Medicine. The mission of the Transportation Research Board—one of six major divisions of the National Research Council—is to promote innovation and www.TRB.org progress in transportation through research. WELCOME The decennial census has long provided the transportation community with critical information needed to plan and manage transportation programs—data on household and workforce characteristics and journey-to-work flows. The U.S. Census Bureau is now making the transition to an ongoing annual household survey, the American Community Survey (ACS), to collect information traditionally gathered on the census long form. This conference provides a forum to help interested parties understand how the transportation com- munity uses the census and to evaluate how well the transition to the ACS is likely to serve transportation planning and pro- gramming processes. The conference planning committee, working with U.S. Ken Leonard Department of Transportation (DOT) administrations and Conference Chair the Census Bureau, has fashioned a strong program to enhance Cambridge Systematics, Inc. dialogue among transportation professionals to • Assess the uses of the 2000 census data, including case studies of applications by large and small metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs), state DOTs, transit operating agencies, and the private sector; • Review the current plans for the ACS and assess its usefulness for transportation programs; • Review ACS-related transportation research; • Review and assess future transportation data needs and recommend improvements of census methodology and products; and • Recommend actions that federal, state, and regional agencies can take to improve transportation agency use of current census products. Thank you for your participation in this important event. —Ken Leonard M a y 1 1 – 1 3 2 , 0 0 5 3 Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future CONFERENCE PLANNING TEAM CHAIR Kenneth J. Leonard, Cambridge Systematics, Inc. MEMBERS John S. Adams, Professor, University of Minnesota Dunbar Brooks, Baltimore Regional Transportation Board Ken Cervenka, Program Manager, Travel Forecasting, North Central Texas Council of Governments George T. Duncan, Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University Konstadinos G. Goulias, Professor, University of California, Santa Barbara Thomas Kane, Executive Director, Des Moines Area Metropolitan Planning Organization Paul Ong, Professor/Director, The Ralph & Goldy Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies, University of California, Los Angeles Alan E. Pisarski, Consultant Steven E. Polzin, Director, Public Transit Research, University of South Florida Charles L. Purvis, Senior Transportation Planner/Analyst, Metropolitan Transportation Commission Jeff Tayman, Director of Technical Services, San Diego Association of Governments Mary Lynn Tischer, Advisor to the Governor on Transportation Reauthorization, Virginia Department of Transportation LIAISONS William Bannister, Bureau of Transportation Statistics Ed Christopher, Federal Highway Administration David Clawson, American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials Ron Fisher, Federal Transit Administration Lawrence McGinn, Bureau of the Census Elaine Murakami, Federal Highway Administration John Neff, American Public Transportation Association Phillip A Salopek, Bureau of the Census Richard A. Weaver, American Public Transportation Association Edward Weiner, U.S. Department of Transportation STAFF Thomas M. Palmerlee, Transportation Research Board Brian Canepa, Transportation Research Board 5 0 0 2 3, 1 – 1 1 y a M Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 4 CENSUS DATA FOR TRANSPORTATION PLANNING CONFERENCE WEDNESDAY, MAY 11, 2005 7:30 a.m. Continental Breakfast—Dining Room 8:00 a.m. Session 1—Auditorium Introduction and Charge to Conference Welcome and Conference Objectives Kenneth J. Leonard, Cambridge Systematics, Inc., Conference Chair Census Bureau Tools for Transportation Jay Waite, Associate Director for Decennial Census, U.S. Census Bureau The conference opens with a general overview of the plans for reengineering the 2010 Census. It will include a description of the ACS, an update on the funding and operational plans for the 2010 Census, and a discussion of how these plans affect the transportation community. Transportation Policy Perspective George E. Schoener, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Transportation Policy, U.S. Department of Transportation The transportation community faces many challenges for which solid data will be needed to develop transportation policy options and programs. In the past, the DOT has had a successful partnership with the Census Bureau in collecting some of these data. In the future, the DOT expects to continue this partnership to evaluate past data and make improvements to ensure that the ACS provides useful data to address transportation issues at the federal, state, and local levels. State Department of Transportation Perspective Deb L. Miller, Secretary, Kansas Department of Transportation Chair of the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials’ Standing Committee on Planning and a former planning director, Secretary Miller will stress the importance of census data for developing transportation programs for state DOTs and their MPO partners. She will challenge participants to develop approaches to meet the data needed for M transportation’s evolving needs. a y 1 1 – 1 3 The National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) has provided 02 , 0 funding for commissioned resource papers for the conference. 5 5 Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 9:30 a.m. Break—Atrium 10:00 a.m. Session 2—Auditorium Using Census Data for Transportation Ken Cervenka, North Central Texas Council of Governments, presiding This session focuses on the importance of an accurate worker count and on how work travel relates to daily travel patterns. Experiences with the use of national censuses from other countries are also explored. Following a discussion period and overview of the poster session, the charge for the breakout workshops will be announced. It’s All About the Workers: The Importance of Comprehensive Worker Counts Alan E. Pisarski, Consultant Transportation’s central element of interest in the census journey-to-work data set is the worker, including that worker’s characteristics and behavior. Given that, getting the count and characteristics of workers right is essential. This presentation examines potential gaps in our knowledge of the workforce. It explores future alternatives to improve the breadth and depth of our knowledge about workers. Improving the Quality of Labor Force Estimates from the American Community Survey by Measuring and Understanding the Differences Between the Labor Force Estimates of Census 2000 and the American Community Survey and Those of the Current Population Survey Thomas J. Palumbo, Chief, Labor Force and Transfer Program Statistics, Housing and Household Economic Statistics Division, U.S. Census Bureau Census 2000 tended to underestimate employment and to overestimate unemployment relative to the Current Population Survey (CPS), which is generally considered to be the standard of quality for household-survey estimates of employment status. To a lesser but still significant degree, the same tendency marks the relationship between the CPS and the ACS, whose methods of measuring the labor force are closely patterned after those of Census 2000. This presentation gives an overview of the differences, the research findings on their causes, and the steps being taken to improve the ACS data. The presentation describes the results of the work of the Census Bureau, in collaboration with other government agencies, to develop an improved set of questions, which the Census Bureau plans to include in the 2006 content test for the ACS, and, if those questions are successful, to implement in the 2008 ACS. The Journey to Work in the Context of Daily Travel (Sides) (Full Paper) Nancy McGuckin, Travel Behavior Analyst 5 While work trips are declining as a share of all trips, the journey to work still appears to be a 0 0 2 key factor for understanding overall travel behavior. This summary of a commissioned paper 3, 1 reviews the role of the work trip in the context of daily travel and examines future relevancy of – 1 1 the continuation of the journey-to-work questions in the ACS for tabulations of census small- y Ma area flows. Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 6 International Experience in Journey-to-Work Data from National Censuses (Sides) (Full Paper) Ram M. Pendyala, University of South Florida This summary of a commissioned paper documents census experiences from other countries. Experiences of transportation analysts and survey researchers from these countries provide valuable background for a discussion about approaches in the United States. Discussion Rapporteur of Application Posters (Sides) (Full Paper) Ed Christopher, Federal Highway Administration This presentation provides a “road map” to help conferees navigate through the posters. Many of the questions and discussions surrounding the ACS deal with the use and application of the data. The poster session is designed to provide attendees with a common understanding of the breadth of census applications in the transportation community and to stimulate discussion. Charge to the Breakout Workshops Kenneth J. Leonard, Cambridge Systematics, Inc., Conference Chair 12:00 noon Lunch—Dining Room 12:45 p.m. Session 3—Atrium Application Poster Session The poster session addresses the census data used in the application, the way they were used, the value created, and the problems or issues encountered. Among the types of applications are descriptive analysis and reporting, GIS analysis, travel modeling and microsimulation, public involvement, and special studies, such as transit service planning and emergency preparedness planning. 1. The PUMS and IPUMS of the 2000 Census Edreece Azimi, Virginia Department of Transportation 2. ACS Data in the Analysis of Race and Ethnicity—Specific Travel Behavior Joost Berman and Siim Soot, University of Illinois at Chicago 3. Florida Journey to Work GIS Website Martin Catala, University of South Florida 4. Comparison of 2000 JTW Census Data, Gravity Model, and O-D SMARTRAQ M a Travel Survey in the Development of the Distribution Model y 1 1 Laura Chen and Guy Rousseau, Atlanta Regional Commission – 1 3 2 , 0 0 5 7 Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 5. Smart Moves: Utilizing Census Data for Transit Planning Caitlin Cottrill, Mid–America Regional Council 6. Environmental Justice for Long-Range Regional Transportation Plans: Using Census Data to Target Communities of Concern Rachel Gossen, Metropolitan Transportation Commission 7. TriMet’s Transportation Investment Plan (TIP): Ensuring Transit Equity with the U.S. Census Ida Hardin, Tri–County Metropolitan Transportation District of Oregon 8. Using the American Community Survey to Monitor the State of the System Shimon Israel, Metropolitan Transportation Commission 9. How Census 2000 and Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP) 2000 Data Helped Us in the Use of Regional Travel Demand Forecast Model Sharon Ju, Houston–Galvestion Area Council 10. Adding a Land Use Class Dimension to Correct, Improve, and Enlarge Employment Data in the ACS Edward Limoges, Consultant 11. Comparing Decennial Flow Data to Place of Work Data from the Local Employment Dynamic Program Wende Mix, Buffalo State College 12. Synthesizing Parcel-Level Households Using Census 2000 Data Delores Muller, Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 13. A Compendium of 2000 Census Commute Analyses for the Hampton Roads Region Andrew Pickard, Hampton Roads Planning District Commission 14. Getting Around Rounding and Suppression Issues with CTPP Kristen Rohanna, San Diego Association of Governments 15. Enhanced Inputs for Travel Demand Modeling: Using American Community Survey (ACS) with Land Cover Data Saket Sarraf, Varkki George Pallathucheril, Zhanli Sun, and Brian Deal, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign 16. Size Matters: Using Census Block, Block-Group and Tract Polygons in Transit Planning Jesse Simon, Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority 5 0 0 2 3, 1 – 1 1 y a M Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 8 17. Disclosure and Utility of Census Journey-to-Work Flow Data from the American Community Nandu Srinivasan and Ed Christopher, Federal Highway Administration 18. Using Census Data to Develop a New Kentucky Statewide Traffic Model Kenneth Walker, Wilbur Smith Associates, and Amy Thomas, Kentucky Transportation Cabinet 19. Using Census Data to Examine the Pedestrian Friendliness of the Built Environment Hannah Young and Daniel Rodriquez, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill 20. Evaluation of CTPP 2000 for the Delaware Valley Region Thabet Zakaria, Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission 1:30 p.m. Session 4—Breakout Rooms Workshop on Census 2000 Applications: What Worked and What Didn’t Work The poster session and an NCHRP project have documented census data uses. Census data products most used by the transportation community following Census 2000 include Summary File 3, CTPP 2000, and Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS). The Census Bureau also conducted a test of the ACS in two ways: a national survey in 1,200 counties, sometimes called the supplemental survey, and a test in 36 counties to test small geographic reporting (tracts). These small breakout sessions are devoted to sharing information on the data: use, applications, and problems and benefits. 3:30 p.m. Break—Atrium 4:00 p.m. Session 5—Auditorium Transitioning to the ACS Paul Ong, University of California, Los Angeles, presiding This panel discusses the operational plans for the ACS, how it will replace the decennial long form, and the general timetable for collecting and disseminating ACS data. The list of topics includes sample selection, the trimodal data collection system, questionnaire design, data processing and coding, statistical weighting and estimating, and data products. The session also covers new opportunities for the transportation community that current and timely annual data present. Status Report on the Operations and Plans for the ACS Lawrence McGinn, Chief of the American Community Survey Office, U.S. Census Bureau M a y 1 1 This presentation will provide a short overview of the ACS, especially the data collection and 1– 3 general processing. 2 , 0 0 5 9 Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future Sample Design, Estimation, and Weighting in the ACS David Hubble, Assistant Division Chief, Demographic Statistical Studies Division, U.S. Census Bureau Hubble will provide a general overview of the statistical aspects of the survey. He will explain the sample selection, including the oversampling for nonresponse, the statistical weighting, and the estimation procedures. ACS Data Products for Use in Transportation Planning Phillip Salopek, Chief, Journey to Work and Migration Statistics Branch, U.S. Census Bureau This overview will emphasize the differences between the ACS data products and the Census 2000 products. Overview of the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program at the U.S. Census Bureau Jeremy Wu, Project Manager, LED Program, Demographic Surveys Division, U.S. Census Bureau Wu will preview the LED presentation in Session 8. 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. Reception—Fountain Courtyard THURSDAY, MAY 12, 2005 8:00 a.m. Continental Breakfast—Dining Room 8:30 a.m. Session 6—Auditorium Issues and Usage of the ACS for Transportation George T. Duncan, Carnegie Mellon University, presiding This session presents the results of several research projects involving current or future use of census data for transportation. Learning to Use the ACS for Transportation Planning: Key Concepts and Potential Products Kevin Tierney, Cambridge Systematics, Inc. NCHRP initiated a project that will be nearing completion by conference time: to develop a practitioner guidebook for incorporating ACS data into the transportation planning processes at national, state, metropolitan, and local levels. The guidebook will evaluate ACS data and 05 products and demonstrate their uses within a wide range of transportation planning applications. 0 3, 2 This presentation, by the principal investigator, summarizes key results of the study. 1 – 1 1 y a M Census Data for Transportation Planning: Preparing for the Future 10

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Census Data for Transportation Planning Preparing for the Future May 11–13, 2005 The National Academies Beckman Center Irvine, California FINAL PROGRAM
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