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TECHNICAL REPORT Cataract Blindness and Simulation-Based Training for Cataract Surgeons An Assessment of the HelpMeSee Approach James R. Broyles, Peter Glick, Jianhui Hu, Yee-Wei Lim Sponsored by HelpMeSee, Inc. HEALTH The research described in this report was sponsored by HelpMeSee, Inc. and was conducted within RAND Health, a unit of the RAND Corporation. The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. R ® is a registered trademark. © Copyright 2012 RAND Corporation Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND documents are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND permissions page (http://www.rand.org/publications/ permissions.html). Published 2012 by the RAND Corporation 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202-5050 4570 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-2665 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information, contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002; Fax: (310) 451-6915; Email: [email protected] Preface An estimated 20 million people around the world are blind from cataracts, mostly in devel- oping countries, where blindness and visual impairment can have enormous negative impacts on the quality of life, in addition to reducing life expectancy and economic productivity. The great majority of cataract cases can be cured by quick and inexpensive surgical procedures that have been shown to have very high success rates in developing country contexts. However, a shortage of trained cataract surgeons makes it unlikely that the need for such surgeries can be met under current practices. To address this problem, HelpMeSee, Inc. (HMS) is developing an innovative approach to cataract surgery training and delivery. The HMS approach includes: use of high-fidelity sim- ulator technology for high-volume training in cataract surgery; an HMS-supported system of independent private surgery practitioners (a contrast to traditional highly centralized, hospital- based systems); and the training of significant numbers of nondoctors in cataract surgery, with the expectation that such individuals will be willing to live and work in underserved areas. HMS approached RAND to undertake an assessment of its approach, with the objective of learning whether it could significantly reduce the problem of cataract-caused blindness and low vision in the developing world, and whether it would be a cost-effective means of doing so. The analysis in this report develops a model to forecast the prevalence of cataract-caused visual impairment in Africa, Asia, and Latin America under the “status quo” as well as several HMS scenarios. The model estimates the potential effects of HMS on the prevalence of cataract- caused visual impairment, Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), and economic losses from blindness and visual impairment. We also assess the potential cost-effectiveness of the HMS model. Finally, we consider a range of potential challenges to the success of the approach, and discuss how a pilot study can assess some of these factors. This research should be of interest to researchers, practitioners, and policymakers involved in vision care and eye health in developing countries, as well as those with a more general inter- est in the use of technology for training health care workers and those interested in different approaches to health service delivery in developing countries. The report was funded by HelpMeSee, Inc. under contract No. HELPMESEE_09.16.10. The research was conducted as part of the Global Health Initiative in RAND Health, a division of the RAND Corporation. A profile of RAND Health, abstracts of its publications, and ordering information can be found at www.rand.org/health. Comments or questions on this report should be addressed to the project leader, Peter Glick. He can be reached by email at [email protected]. iii Contents Preface ........................................................................................................... iii Figures ........................................................................................................... ix Tables ............................................................................................................ xi Summary ......................................................................................................xiii Acknowledgments ............................................................................................ xxi Abbreviations ................................................................................................ xxiii ChAPTer One Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 Objectives of the Study .......................................................................................... 2 Outline of the Report ............................................................................................ 3 ChAPTer TwO Global Cataract Problem and Cataract Surgery Backlog ............................................... 5 Cataract Burden in the Developing World ................................................................... 5 Defining Blindness, Low Vision, and Visual Impairment .................................................. 5 Cataracts .......................................................................................................... 6 Cataract Surgery Techniques ................................................................................... 7 Types of Cataract Surgery and Relative Costs/Benefits ..................................................... 7 Cataract Surgery Shortfall ...................................................................................... 9 Constraints to Expanding Cataract Surgery Coverage ....................................................10 ChAPTer Three existing Models of Cataract Surgery Training and Delivery .........................................11 Aravind (India) ..................................................................................................11 Tilganga (Nepal) ...............................................................................................13 Project Vision (China) ..........................................................................................14 He Eye Care System (China) ..................................................................................14 Experiences in Africa ...........................................................................................15 Summary: Common Characteristics of Approaches .......................................................16 ChAPTer FOur The helpMeSee Approach ....................................................................................19 Simulator Training ..............................................................................................19 HelpMeSee Learning Centers .................................................................................21 Composition of Surgical Trainees ........................................................................... 22 v vi Cataract Blindness and Simulation-Based Training for Cataract Surgeons Service Delivery Model ....................................................................................... 23 Private Practices .............................................................................................. 24 Financing System ............................................................................................ 24 Quality Assurance and Monitoring .......................................................................... 24 ChAPTer FIve Forecasting the Burden of Cataract ....................................................................... 27 Introduction .................................................................................................... 27 Regional Breakdown for the Analysis ..................................................................... 27 Forecasts of Prevalence of Cataract-Caused Visual Impairment ..........................................29 Methodological Approach ...................................................................................29 Forecasts of Prevalence by Region ..........................................................................31 Disease Burden—Disability Adjusted Life Years ............................................................33 Forecasts of Productivity Loss Due to Cataracts ............................................................35 Methodology ..................................................................................................35 Results ........................................................................................................ 36 Summary .........................................................................................................37 ChAPTer SIx Modeling the Impacts of helpMeSee ......................................................................39 Assumptions of the Model .....................................................................................39 Uptake .........................................................................................................41 Impacts on Number of Surgeons and Surgical Capacity .................................................. 42 Impacts on Prevalence of Cataract-Caused Visual Impairment ......................................... 44 Sensitivity Analysis ...........................................................................................47 Impacts on Disease Burden and Economic Productivity ...................................................49 Implications for the Viability of Individual Practices ...................................................... 54 Summary ........................................................................................................57 ChAPTer Seven Analysis of Costs and Cost-effectiveness .................................................................59 Costs ..............................................................................................................59 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis ....................................................................................63 Impact of HelpMeSee on Disability Adjusted Life Years and Productivity Loss ......................63 Cost-Effectiveness of the HelpMeSee Intervention .......................................................65 Summary ....................................................................................................... 66 ChAPTer eIGhT Potential Challenges to the helpMeSee Approach .....................................................69 Mobilization and Screening ....................................................................................69 Quality and Supervision .......................................................................................71 Ability of the Simulator Approach to Produce Skilled Surgeons ........................................71 Nondoctors as Cataract Surgeons ...........................................................................71 Monitoring Performance ....................................................................................72 The Surgeon-Entrepreneur Model ............................................................................73 Cataracts-Only Practices .......................................................................................74 Contents vii Long-Term Viability of Surgical Practices ...................................................................75 Legal and Regulatory Environment ......................................................................... 77 ChAPTer nIne Summary of Findings and Conclusions ...................................................................79 Learning from a Pilot Study ...................................................................................82 APPenDIxeS A. Modeling Approach, Methodology, and Data Sources ..............................................85 B. Sensitivity Analysis—Practitioner Attrition and Trainee Intake ................................ 97 C. Detailed Input Costs and Methodology .............................................................. 99 references ..................................................................................................... 107
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