INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY SERIES General Editor: Timothy M. Shaw, Professor of Political Science and Inter national Development Studies, and Director of the Centre for Foreign Policy Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia Recent titles include: Pradeep Agrawal, Subir V. Gokam, Veena Mishra, Kirit S. Parikh and Kunal Sen ECONOMIC RESTRUCTURING IN EAST ASIA AND INDIA: Perspectives on Policy Reform Gavin Cawtbra SECURING SOUTH AFRICA'S DEMOCRACY: Defence, Development and Security in Transition Steve Chan (editor) FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN A CHANGING GLOBAL POLITICAL ECONOMY Jennifer Clapp ADJUSTMENT AND AGRICULTURE IN AFRICA: Farmers, the State and the World Bank in Guinea Seamus Cleary THE ROLE OF NGOs UNDER AUTHORITARIAN POLITICAL SYSTEMS Robert W. Cox (editor) THE NEW REALISM: Perspectives on Multilateralism and World Order Diane Ethier ECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT IN NEW DEMOCRACIES: Lessons from Southern Europe Stephen Gill (editor) GLOBALIZATION, DEMOCRATIZATION AND MULTILATERALISM Jacques Hersh and Johannes Dragsbaek Schmidt (editors) THE AFTERMATH OF 'REAL EXISTING SOCIALISM' IN EASTERN EUROPE, Volume 1: Between Western Europe and East Asia David Hulme and Michael Edwards (editors) NGOs, STATES AND DONORS: Too Close for Comfort? Staffan Lindberg and Ami Sverrisson (editors) SOCIAL MOVEMENTS IN DEVELOPMENT: The Challenge of Globalization and Democratization Anne Lorentzen and Marianne Rostgaard (editors) THE AFTERMATH OF 'REAL EXISTING SOCIALISM' IN EASTERN EUROPE, Volume 2: People and Technology in the Process of Transition Laura Macdonald SUPPORTING CIVIL SOCIETY: The Political Role of Non-Governmental Organizations in Central America Stephen D. 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E-co-no-m-y Series Series Standing Order ISBN 978-0-333-71110-1 (outside North America only) You can receive future titles in this series as they are published by placing a standing order. Please contact your bookseller or, in case of difficulty, write to us at the address below with your name and address, the title of the series and the ISBN quoted above. Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England Caribbean Political Economy at the Crossroads NAFTA and Regional Developmentalism Don D. Marshall Research Fellow Institute of Social and Economic Research University of the West Indies Bridgetown Barbados First published in Great Britain 1998 by MACMULLANPRESSLTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 978-1-349-40328-8 ISBN 978-0-230-38986-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230389861 First published in the United States of America 1998 by ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 ISBN 978-0-312-21462-3 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Marshall, Don D. Caribbean political economy at the crossroads: NAFfA and regional developmentalism I Don D. Marshall. p. cm. - (International political economy series) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-312-21462-3 I. Caribbean, English-speaking-Economic policy. 2. Caribbean, English-speaking-Economic conditions. 3. Canada. Treaties, etc. 1992 Oct. 7. 4. Capitalism--Caribbean, English-speaking. 5. North America-Economic integration. 6. Economic development. I. Title. II. Series. HCI55.5.M37 1998 338.9729-<1c21 98-5592 CIP © Don D. Marshall 1998 Softcover reprint of the hardcover lst edition 1998 978-0-333-71434-8 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WIP 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. 10987654 321 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 Contents List of Tables VII Preface viii Acknowledgements x List of Abbreviations xii Introduction 1 1 Beyond the Paradigmatic Interregnum in Development Theory: Rethinking Ascent in the International System 7 State-Centric Views of Ascent: Key Modernization Arguments 10 Conclusions: Theorizing Ascent in the World System 33 Notes 38 2 The State and the Carihbean Development Experience 43 British Colonization of the Caribbean (1623-1945) 44 US Hegemony and the Caribbean: Transition and Transformation 60 Conclusions 81 Notes 84 3 Global Restructuring and World System Continuity 90 Globalization Reconsidered 92 Globalization as Epoch 96 Twenty-First Century Capitalism and Upward Mobility 104 Conclusion 116 Notes 118 4 The Crisis of the National Option in the Caribbean 123 Key Economic Sectors 130 The State and Domestic Capital 141 Conclusion: the Caribbean and Twenty-First Century Capitalism 144 Notes 147 V vi Contents 5 NAFTA/FTAA and the New Articulation in the Americas: 'Re-Colonization' or Structural Opportunity? 153 NAFTNFTAA: Caribbean Responses and Perceptions 155 The Re-colonization Thesis: a Critique 159 NAFTA and the Onset of Strategic Positioning 162 Conclusion 174 Notes 176 6 Reconstituting State Power at the Regional Level: The Road to Achieving Ascent in the Next Century 182 Part I: The Politics of Regional Development 184 Part II: Caribbean Offshore Services - Origins, Prospects and Challenges 204 Conclusion 220 Notes 222 Select Bibliography 227 Index 248 List of Tables 2.1 Triangular Trade Balance with Britain (circa 1697) 50 2.2 External Aid in the Cold War Years 77 4.1 Commonwealth Caribbean: Major Economic Indicators (1990) 124 4.2 1992 Product Composition of Commonwealth Caribbean Exports to the OECD 127 4.3 The Geographic Destination of Commonwealth Caribbean Exports (1990) 127 4.4 Caribbean Export-Preferential Profile in the US Market (1992) 129 4.5 St. Lucian Banana Revenue Earnings 140 4.6 Share of Total Windward Island Banana Exports (1990-95) 140 4.7 Commercial Bank Lending in the Eastern Caribbean 143 vii Preface CARIBBEAN POLITICAL ECONOMY AT THE CROSSROADS: NAFTA AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTALISM This book examines the record of development and the prospects for ascent in the anglophone Caribbean. It argues that a trans formative dialectic is operating through the reconfiguring Americas. NAFTA and its expansion open up possibilities for business link ages, joint venture arrangements, and investment and trade creation opportunities for participating countries. This is a structural devel opment opportunity that Caribbean state managers can least ignore. Certainly the region's historical legacy has been marked by missed or squandered opportunities. Since the independence period, developmentalist projects have been stultified by populist-statism and the circulation ism of merchant capital in the individual coun tries. For most of the last thirty years, however, the island-national option appeared a secure one. The politics (Cold War) and struc ture (trade network preferences) of the international political economy proved beneficial for the newly independent Caribbean states. Today, the shifting competitive dynamics of the international system have very far-reaching implications for the nature of the Caribbean political economy. Economies of scope and scale are increasingly being favoured. The region has been caught napping because capital accumulation remains rooted in distribution infra structures and not production ones. Indeed, the hegemony of cir culation over production in these parts points to the special circumstances that attended the new political class at the time of independence in the 1960s. The stability goal took paramount im portance. State managers and the old commercial oligarchy became united by a lowest common-denominator interest, that is, to reap and extend the benefits of the status quo. The nature of this post colonial arrangement meant that state managers would fail to deepen the process of capital accumulation and industrialize. This book argues that the Commonwealth Caribbean will be on better ground to pursue economic recovery through a deeper form of regional ization. The point stressed is that export-orientated development Vlll Preface IX is a social transformation venture that goes beyond new fiscal meas ures and market reforms. A new economic class of industrial en trepreneurs must be engendered. The book concludes by considering the form deeper regionalization should take as a precondition for seizing opportunities presented by the NAFTA expansion process.