Carbon and Certain Alloy Steel Wire Rod From China, Germany, and Turkey Investigation Nos. 731-TA-1099-1101 (Preliminary) Publication 3832 January 2006 U.S. International Trade Commission COMMISSIONERS Stephen Koplan, Chairman Deanna Tanner Okun, Vice Chairman JenniferA. Hillman Charlotte R. Lane Daniel R. Pearson Shara L. Aranoff RobertA.Rogowsky DirectorofOperations Staffassigned MichaelSzustakowski,Investigator HarryLenchitz,IndustryAnalyst AmeliaPreece,Economist DavidBoyland,Accountant JuneBrown,Attorney JonathanEngler,Attorney StevenHudgens,Statistician DouglasCorkran,SupervisoryInvestigator Address all communications to Secretary to the Commission United States InternationalTrade Commission Washington, DC 20436 U.S. International Trade Commission Washington,DC20436 www.usitc.gov Carbon and Certain Alloy Steel Wire Rod From China, Germany, and Turkey Investigation Nos. 731-TA-1099-1101 (Preliminary) Publication 3832 January 2006 CONTENTS Page Determination................................................................... 1 Views of the Commission ......................................................... 3 Part I: Introduction .............................................................. I-1 Background .................................................................. I-1 Previous and related investigations................................................ I-1 Prior investigations ......................................................... I-1 Subsequent litigation ........................................................ I-3 Organization of the report ....................................................... I-4 Summary of data presented in the report ........................................... I-4 U.S. market summary .......................................................... I-4 The nature and extent of alleged sales at LTFV ...................................... I-5 The subject merchandise ........................................................ I-5 Commerce’s scope .......................................................... I-5 Tariff treatment ............................................................ I-5 The domestic like product....................................................... I-6 Physical characteristics and uses ............................................... I-6 Manufacturing process ...................................................... I-8 Channels of distribution...................................................... I-8 Price .................................................................... I-9 Domestic like product issues .................................................... I-9 Part II: Conditions of competition in the U.S. market ................................... II-1 Market characteristics .......................................................... II-1 U.S. channels of distribution..................................................... II-1 Supply and demand considerations................................................ II-2 U.S. supply ............................................................... II-2 U.S. demand .............................................................. II-5 Substitutability issues .......................................................... II-6 Part III: U.S. producers’ production, shipments, and employment .......................... III-1 U.S. producers ............................................................... III-1 U.S. capacity, production, and capacity utilization ................................... III-4 U.S. producers’ domestic shipments and export shipments ............................. III-6 U.S. producers’ direct imports and purchases ....................................... III-8 U.S. producers’ inventories ..................................................... III-8 U.S. employment, wages, and productivity ......................................... III-9 Part IV: U.S. imports, apparent U.S. consumption, and market shares ...................... IV-1 U.S. imports ................................................................. IV-1 Negligibility ................................................................. IV-4 Cumulation considerations ...................................................... IV-4 Fungibility ................................................................ IV-5 Geographic markets ......................................................... IV-10 Presence in the market ....................................................... IV-10 Apparent U.S. consumption ..................................................... IV-10 U.S. market shares ............................................................ IV-10 i CONTENTS Page Part V: Pricing and related information .............................................. V-1 Factors affecting prices ........................................................ V-1 Raw material and energy costs ................................................ V-1 U.S. inland transportation costs ................................................ V-2 Exchange rates ............................................................. V-2 Pricing practices .............................................................. V-2 Pricing methods ............................................................ V-2 Sales terms and discounts .................................................... V-4 Price data ................................................................... V-5 Lost sales and lost revenues ..................................................... V-6 Part VI: Financial experience of the U.S. producers ..................................... VI-1 Background .................................................................. VI-1 Operations on wire rod ......................................................... VI-1 Capital expenditures and research and development expenses ........................... VI-6 Assets and return on investment .................................................. VI-7 Capital and investment ......................................................... VI-7 Part VII: Threat considerations ..................................................... VII-1 The industry in China .......................................................... VII-1 The industry in Germany ....................................................... VII-5 The industry in Turkey ......................................................... VII-8 Subject countries combined ..................................................... VII-11 U.S. importers’ inventories ...................................................... VII-12 Dumping in third-country markets ................................................ VII-13 Global markets ............................................................... VII-13 Appendixes A. Federal Register notices....................................................... A-1 B. Conference witnesses ......................................................... B-1 C. Summary data............................................................... C-1 Note.--Information that would reveal confidential operations of individual concerns may not be published. Such information is indicated by asterisks. ii UNITED STATES INTERNATIONAL TRADE COMMISSION Investigation Nos. 731-TA-1099-1101 (Preliminary) Carbon and Certain Alloy Steel Wire Rod From China, Germany, and Turkey DETERMINATIONS On the basis of the record1 developed in the subject investigations, the United States International Trade Commission (Commission) determines, pursuant to section 733(a) of the Tariff Act of 1930 (19 U.S.C. § 1673b(a)) (the Act), that there is no reasonable indication that an industry in the United States is materially injured or threatened with material injury, or that the establishment of an industry in the United States is materially retarded, by reason of imports from China, Germany, and Turkey of carbon and certain alloy steel wire rod, provided for in subheadings 7213.91.30, 7213.91.45, 7213.91.60, 7213.99.00, 7227.20.00, and 7227.90.60 of the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States, that are alleged to be sold in the United States at less than fair value (LTFV). BACKGROUND On November 10, 2005, a petition was filed with the Commission and the U.S. Department of Commerce by Connecticut Steel Corp., Wallingford, CT; Gerdau AmeriSteel U.S. Inc., Tampa, FL; Keystone Steel & Wire Company, Peoria, IL; Mittal Steel USA Georgetown, Georgetown, SC; and Rocky Mountain Steel Mills, Pueblo, CO, alleging that an industry in the United States is materially injured and threatened with material injury by reason of LTFV imports of carbon and certain alloy steel wire rod from China, Germany, and Turkey. Accordingly, effective November 10, 2005, the Commission instituted antidumping duty investigation Nos. 731-TA-1099-1101 (Preliminary). Notice of the institution of the Commission’s investigations and of a public conference to be held in connection therewith was given by posting copies of the notice in the Office of the Secretary, U.S. International Trade Commission, Washington, DC, and by publishing the notice in the Federal Register of November 18, 2005 (70 FR 69988). The conference was held in Washington, DC, on December 1, 2005, and all persons who requested the opportunity were permitted to appear in person or by counsel. 1 The record is defined in sec. 207.2(f) of the Commission’s Rules of Practice and Procedure (19 CFR § 207.2(f)). VIEWS OF THE COMMISSION Based on the record in the preliminary phase of these investigations, we find that there is no reasonable indication that an industry in the United States is materially injured or threatened with material injury by reason of subject imports of carbon and certain alloy steel wire rod (“steel wire rod”) from China, Germany, and Turkey that are allegedly sold in the United States at less than fair value.1 I. THE LEGAL STANDARD FOR PRELIMINARY DETERMINATIONS The legal standard for preliminary antidumping duty determinations requires the Commission to determine, based upon the information available at the time of the preliminary determination, whether there is a reasonable indication that a domestic industry is materially injured or threatened with material injury, or that the establishment of an industry is materially retarded, by reason of the allegedly unfairly traded imports.2 In applying this standard, the Commission weighs the evidence before it and determines whether “(1) the record as a whole contains clear and convincing evidence that there is no material injury or threat of such injury; and (2) no likelihood exists that contrary evidence will arise in a final investigation.”3 The Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has stated that the purpose of preliminary determinations is to avoid the cost and disruption to trade caused by unnecessary investigations and that the “reasonable indication” standard requires more than a finding that there is a “possibility” of material injury.4 It also has noted that, in a preliminary investigation, the “statute calls for a reasonable indication of injury, not a reasonable indication of need for further inquiry.”5 Moreover, the Court of International Trade (“CIT”) has reaffirmed that in applying the reasonable indication “standard for making a preliminary determination regarding material injury or threat of material injury, the Commission may weigh all evidence before it and resolve conflicts in the evidence.”6 The Commission has collected comprehensive information in these preliminary investigations. Data on U.S. producers are based on the questionnaire responses of 10 firms that accounted for 100 percent of U.S. production in 2004. Importer questionnaire data accounted for 74.2 percent of the quantity of U.S. imports of the subject merchandise from China in 2004, 48.4 percent of imports from Germany, and 53.8 percent of imports from Turkey.7 The Commission collected comprehensive U.S. import data based on official Department of Commerce (“Commerce”) import statistics and utilized the same HTS statistical reporting numbers for purposes of data collection as those presented in the petition.8 Exports to the United States in 2004 reported by the subject country producers exceeded 84 percent of 1 Material retardation of the establishment of an industry was not an issue in these investigations. 2 19 U.S.C. § 1673b(a); see also, e.g., Co-Steel Raritan, Inc. v. United States, 357 F.3d 1294 (Fed. Cir. 2004); Sensient Technologies Corp. v. United States, Slip Op. 04-11 (Ct. Int’l Trade Sept. 10, 2004); Committee for Fair Coke Trade v. United States, Slip Op. 04-68 (Ct. Int’l Trade June 10, 2004); Ranchers-Cattlemen Action Legal Foundation v. United States, 74 F. Supp.2d 1353, 1368-69 (Ct. Int’l Trade 1999); Aristech Chemical Corp. v. United States, 20 CIT 353, 354-55 (1996); American Lamb Co. v. United States, 785 F.2d 994, 1001-04 (Fed. Cir. 1986). 3 American Lamb, 785 F.2d at 1001; see also Texas Crushed Stone Co. v. United States, 35 F.3d 1535, 1543 (Fed. Cir. 1994). 4 American Lamb, 785 F.2d at 1004. 5 Texas Crushed Stone, 35 F.3d at 1543. 6 Ranchers-Cattlemen, 74 F. Supp.2d at 1368. 7 Confidential Staff Report (“CR”) at I-5; Public Staff Report (“PR”) at I-4. 8 Compare CR at IV-1 n.1, PR at IV-1 n.1, with Petition at 7, Exhibits 3 and 6. 3 U.S. imports from each country, as reported by official Commerce statistics.9 Thus, although the Commission did not receive questionnaire responses from all producers of subject merchandise in all subject countries, the subject country producers that did respond represent the vast majority of exports of steel wire rod from each country to the United States during the period examined. The Chinese producers responding to the Commission’s questionnaires accounted for 43.8 percent of 2004 Chinese production of steel wire rod; the responding German producers accounted for 70.7 percent of 2004 German steel wire rod production; and the responding Turkish producers accounted for 71.3 percent of 2004 Turkish steel wire rod production.10 The sales price data collected by the Commission cover a large and representative portion of overall sales, accounting for 43.3 percent of the quantity of U.S. producers’ U.S. commercial shipments of steel wire rod for the period January 2002 through September 2005, 70.5 percent of reported imports from China, 24.6 percent of reported imports from Germany, and 82.2 percent of reported imports from Turkey.11 Although, as is customary in preliminary investigations, the Commission did not send questionnaires to purchasers, a number of important purchasers participated in the conference, submitted briefs, and were contacted regarding lost sales and lost revenue allegations. We see no likelihood that any evidence we would have obtained in any final phase of these investigations would change our determinations that the domestic industry is neither materially injured nor threatened with material injury by reason of subject imports from China, Germany, and Turkey. II. SUMMARY We find that there is no reasonable indication that an industry in the United States is materially injured by reason of the subject imports. Throughout the period examined the U.S. industry has lacked the capacity to meet U.S. demand for steel wire rod. This shortage of domestic supply was exacerbated by significant production curtailments and work stoppages by domestic producers that are not attributable to subject imports in any significant respect. These production curtailments and work stoppages largely coincided with a significant increase in apparent U.S. consumption from 2003 to 2004. As a result of this combination of increased apparent U.S. consumption and uncertain domestic supply, purchasers and domestic producers increasingly were forced to turn to imports to meet their needs. Subject import volume increased only from 2003 to 2004 and declined in every other period. The increase in subject imports in 2004 also occurred as imports from nonsubject sources increased. The increase in import volume, both subject and nonsubject, occurred to meet U.S. demand that U.S. producers could not meet. Therefore, we do not find the volume or increase in volume of subject imports to be significant, either absolutely or relative to production or consumption. U.S. prices increased significantly during the period examined. U.S. prices peaked in 2004 even as subject imports reached their highest levels, both absolutely and relative to U.S. consumption. U.S. prices declined somewhat during January-September (“interim”) 2005, but remained at levels well above those experienced early in the period examined. Therefore, we do not find that subject imports depressed U.S. prices to a significant degree. Nor do we find that subject imports suppressed U.S. prices to any significant degree. In 2004 and interim 2005, when subject imports had their greatest market share, the U.S. industry increased unit sales values at a rate faster than the increase in their unit raw material costs. Although the U.S. industry’s total unit costs increased slightly relative to U.S. prices in interim 2005, the ratio of total costs to sales value was still below that experienced by the U.S. industry earlier in the period examined. Moreover, we find that the increase in costs relative to prices in interim 2005 largely reflects 9 CR at VII-1, VII-6, VII-10; PR at VII-1, VII-5, VII-8. 10 CR at VII-1, VII-6, VII-10; PR at VII-1, VII-5, VII-8 (as reported by ***). 11 CR at V-7, PR at V-6. 4
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