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Capital Formation In Canada, 1896-1930 PDF

273 Pages·1974·11.313 MB·English
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Capital Formation in Canada 1896-1930 This page intentionally left blank Capital Formation in Canada 1896-1930 By KENNETH BUCKLEY With an Introduction by M. C. Urquhart The Carleton Library No. 77 McClelland and Stewart Limited THE CARLETON LIBRARY A series of Canadian reprints and new collections of source material relating to Canada, issued under the editorial supervision of the Institute of Canadian Studies of Carleton University, Ottawa. DIRECTOR OF THE INSTITUTE Davidson Dunton GENERAL EDITOR Michael Gnarowski EXECUTIVE EDITOR James H. Marsh EDITORIAL BOARD B. Carman Bickerton (History) Dennis Forcese (Sociology) J. George Neuspiel (Law) Thomas K. Rymes (Economics) Derek G. Smith (Anthropology) Michael S. Whittington (Political Science) Capital Formation in Canada, 1896-1930 was first published in 1955 as the second volume in the series Canadian Studies in Economics published by the University of Toronto Press. © McClelland and Stewart Limited, 1974 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 0-7710-9777-8 The Canadian Publishers McClelland and Stewart Limited 25 Hollinger Road, Toronto 374 Printed and bound in Canada by T. H. Best Printing Company Limited Table of Contents Introduction to the Carleton Library Edition vi Author's Preface xiv 1. Introduction 1 2. Investment in the Wheat Economy 18 3. Investment in Transportation 38 4. Urban Building 54 5. Public Investment 80 6. Savings and Capital Flows 95 7. The Volume of Construction, 1896 to 1930 112 8. Investment in Machinery and Equipment 142 9. Investment in Inventories 162 10. Balance of International Payments, Current Transactions 171 11. Transportation, Housing, and Direct Government Investment; and Indexes of Building and Real Estate Activity 172 Appendix 197 Notes 230 Index 249 Introduction to the Carleton Library Edition It is a great pleasure for me to write the introduction to this republi- cation of Kenneth Buckley's Capital Formation in Canada, 1896- 1930. In doing it, I have acceded gladly to the request of the man- agers of the series that I include some biographical material about Ken Buckley. I first met him in the summer of 1944, worked quite closely with him at that time and again fifteen years later, and kept fairly well in touch with him until his death in 1970. Kenneth Buckley's Capital Formation in Canada, 1896-1930 is the best original work on Canadian economic history of the post World War II period. Its capital formation estimates for 1896 to 1930-the first such data available for the years before 1926-con- tinue to be the standard estimates for that period; and its still rele- vant analysis of the part played by capital formation in the eco- nomic history of the time remains a model of clarity and elegance. This book emerged from Ken Buckley's Ph.D. thesis, which was presented at the London School of Economics and Political Science in 1950. Whilst it represents his first work in economics, it established both the subject matter of his lifetime work - the growth of the Canadian economy - and the conceptual design of the analyt- ical model which shaped nearly all his work. I shall say more on these matters, but first I believe it worthwhile to turn briefly to the formative forces of his earlier years, which besides being of interest in themselves, throw light on the direction of his work. First, there was his background in and his deep attachment to the Prairies; he was born in Saskatchewan in 1918 and aside from relatively short periods of absence, mainly connected with further- ing his education, spent his entire life in that province. The settle- ment of Saskatchewan and Alberta had taken place sufficiently recently that he personally knew many of the original settlers - his own parents were among them. He knew from them, first hand, the conditions of early settlement, much of the course of settlement and many of the problems of settlement. The period covered by the life of these settlers was to be the early focus of his studies of Canadian growth; it was the period during which the developing wheat econ- INTRODUCTION TO THE CARLETON LIBRARY EDITION Vll omy provided the force that merged the segregated parts of Canada into an integrated economy. Second, Kenneth Buckley's age group contained those who reached their teens at the onset of the Depression and who spent the next twenty years of this formative period of life in the depres- sion of the 1930's and in the wartime years and their immediate aftermath in the 1940's. The years of depression in Saskatchewan were dreadful. Net income received by farm operators from farm production in that province was negative in five of the ten years from 1930 to 1939. Personal income per capita in Saskatchewan fell from $465.00 in 1928 to $124.00 in 1933; it was still only $161.00 in 1937. In many municipalities, both rural and urban, the propor- tion of families on relief varied from a fifth of all families upward. It was not an easy period in which to grow up. How Ken Buckley managed to get to University - he was the only member of a family comprising four brothers and four sisters to do so -1 do not know, for his family was among those that were hard hit by the depres- sion. Whether it was this experience that made him the rebel in spirit he was is open to question - I should guess not entirely. But I have not much doubt that it helped shape the direction of the research work that he did later. Third, as a graduate student he spent the summers of 1944 and 1945 in Ottawa in the public service, where, more or less by acci- dent, he was assigned to a position in which he participated in the preparation of the first estimates of capital formation in Canada, a topic related to his major interest in his later life on which point I will elaborate shortly. He had graduated from the University of Saskatchewan, having specialised in English, in 1942, had then spent some months in the R.C.A.F. but had been mustered out for reasons of health in 1943, and was taking an M.A. in economics at the University of Toronto in 1943 to 1945 where he was a student of Harold Innis. His experience in Ottawa, at this time, comple- mented his studies at the University of Toronto. My own contact with Ken Buckley began when he joined the government unit to which I belonged, in Ottawa, in 1944. At that time I was with an economic research unit - its director was Dr. W. A. Mackintosh - in the Department of Reconstruction (later Reconstruction and Supply). Its purpose was to do research related to problems of post-war reconstruction and post-war adjustment. One of the projects being undertaken within this unit at that time was the preparation of the first estimates of capital formation in Canada, covering the period 1926 to 1941, estimates which ulti- mately appeared in a document prepared for the Dominion- Vlii CAPITAL FORMATION IN CANADA 1896-1930 Provincial Conference on Reconstruction which was held in August, 1945. O. J. Firestone was in charge of the preparation of estimates of direct government expenditure - that is, expenditure by Government departments - in capital formation. I was in charge of estimation of private and commercially-oriented public capital for- mation including capital formation in both privately-owned and publicly-owned public utilities. Ken Buckley worked with me in the summers of 1944 and 1945 on the part of the capital formation estimates for which I was responsible. How far it is fair to say that his experience in Ottawa at this time shaped his later work is conjectural. However, it is perti- nent, I believe, that he was, on this occasion, immersed in the preparation of these estimates of capital formation and saw their emergence with the information that they provided for a period of time which had spanned prosperity, depression and then the onset of war. Further, the Keynesian Revolution was widely accepted by then and the importance of the critical role of capital formation in determining levels of economic activity was better understood than ever before. The unemployment of the 1930's had disappeared with the war but there was concern that it might reappear afterward. The Federal Government had pledged itself to the goal of main- taining full employment and was preparing bold proposals to be made to the Provinces for the maintenance of high levels of eco- nomic activity and the improvement of social well-being at the Dominion Provincial Conference of 1945. I think it probably fair to say that much of Ken Buckley's interest in capital formation, which plays a major part in his research through the rest of his life, came from this time. My other main experience of working in direct collaboration with Ken Buckley occurred when the Historical Statistics project, which culminated in the publication of the volume Historical Sta- tistics of Canada in 1965, was under way. I should like to record here his contribution to it. I believe that it was Ken Buckley who first suggested looking into the possibility of a historical statistics volume for Canada at the first meeting of the Committee on Statis- tics of the Canadian Political Science Association, in 1958, under Gideon Rosenbluth's chairmanship. In any event, he was asked to see if there appeared to be enough material for a volume of histori- cal statistics in Canada and to report back on the matter. After his report that there were adequate statistics, the project then pro- ceeded and he became Assistant Editor. He and I laid out a design of the volume and did the necessary collation of the work planned for each of the sections at the time that the contents of the various INTRODUCTION TO THE CARLETON LIBRARY EDITION IX sections were decided upon. This collation work had to be repeated, of course, at the time the final editing was done. Ken Buckley himself did three of the sections in the volume for all of which he was eminently the most suitable person. In addition to the work on his own sections, he did a very considerable amount of work in editing the introductory write-ups in other sections. In this last regard he did a substantial amount of work on the sections on the Balance of International Payments, etc., on Agriculture, and on Minerals and Fuel. But in addition he helped with the editing of much of the rest of the volume. As well as the substantial amounts of time devoted to the project in Saskatoon, he spent a summer in Ottawa on it and the major parts of two other summers in Kings- ton. Before touching more directly on his work in economics, I shall make brief allusions to his other contributions as an academic. First, he did a substantial amount of work in trying to further the well-being of academia itself. He was strongly committed to his own university (even although, at times, he was critical of what was being done with it). And, especially in his early years, he put a good deal of effort into trying to maintain and strengthen it as an aca- demic institution. Related in part to the foregoing, he put a sub- stantial amount of effort in the 1950's into trying to improve sala- ries and other staff amenities mainly through his local faculty asso- ciation but also through national bodies by way of contribution of material to the C.A.U.T. Bulletin and the N.C.C.U. Proceedings in 1954-55. At that time academic salaries were relatively very low as they had been from the end of the war. Ken Buckley worked up much of the data to provide the background for the presentation of the case for salary improvement. In the first instance, it was, I believe, for use at his own institution. But it became more widely available and used more widely than in the University of Saskatche- wan itself. And it was an important element in the presentation of a brief by the Canadian Association of University Teachers to the Royal Commission on Canada's Economic Prospects of which Walter Gordon was chairman, which marked, at least in time and I believe also as a causal factor a turning point toward improvement in University salaries. It is well known also that he did considerable amounts of work in trying to arrange improved pension plans for academics. While an imaginative plan proposed by him and a col- league in the Department of Mathematics in his University was not accepted, their efforts helped to draw attention to pension problems and indirectly contributed to improvement in pension plans. Ken Buckley contributed to these activities in the 1950's through his

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