Aditya Narain INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND MONETARY AND CAPITAL MARKETS April 27, 2010 Contents (cid:190)The Problem (cid:190)The Reform Agenda (cid:190)Risks (cid:190)Role of the Fund 04/05/2010 2 04/05/2010 3 What went wrong MACRO FINANCIAL Very low interest SYSTEM rates and abundant Excessive leverage and liquidity risk taking, under‐ pricing of risk and overvaluation of assets Conditions present for a perfect storm 04/05/2010 4 What went wrong (cid:121) Excessive optimism, risk taking and leverage – with poor governance and risk management (cid:121) Poor liquidity management but widespread dependence on volatile funding models (cid:121) Insufficient capital for the risks taken, and not enough buffers to weather sustained stress (cid:121) Supervision unprepared – focus on being market friendly, inadequate attention on systemic risks (cid:121) Untested crisis management systems MAR 18, 2010 Where were the failures 04/05/2010 6 04/05/2010 7 ..to finance solid and ..with stable sufficient growth. dynamism and innovatio Build a safer n financial system 04/05/2010 8 Many players ‐‐ requires effective coordination 04/05/2010 9 Who does what in the reform process G20 FSB Standard Setters BIS National Authorities IMF 04/05/2010 10
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