BROADCAST VS PRECISE GPS EPHEMERIDES: A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE THESIS David L.M. Warren, BEng (Elec) Squadron Leader, Royal Australian Air Force AFIT/GSO/ENG/02M-01 DEPARTMENT OF THE AIR FORCE AIR UNIVERSITY AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE; DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED. Report Documentation Page Report Date Report Type Dates Covered (from... to) 26 Mar 02 Final Aug 2000 - Mar 2002 Title and Subtitle Contract Number Broadcast vs Precise GPS Ephemerides a Historical Perspective Grant Number Program Element Number Author(s) Project Number Squadron Leader, David L. M. Warren, RAAF Task Number Work Unit Number Performing Organization Name(s) and Performing Organization Report Number Address(es) AFIT/GSO/ENG/02M-01 Air Force Institute of Technology Graduate School of Engineering and Management (AFIT/EN) 2950 P Street, Bldg 640 WPAFB, OH 45433-7765 Sponsoring/Monitoring Agency Name(s) and Sponsor/Monitor’s Acronym(s) Address(es) Major David Goldstein, SMC/CZE 2435 Vela Way Sponsor/Monitor’s Report Number(s) Suite 1613 El Segundo, CA 90245-5500 Distribution/Availability Statement Approved for public release, distribution unlimited Supplementary Notes The original document contains color images. Abstract The Global Positioning System (GPS) Operational Control Segment (OCS) generates predicted satellite ephemerides and clock corrections that are broadcast in the navigation message and used by receivers to estimate real-time satellite position and clock corrections for use in navigation solutions. Any errors in these ephemerides will directly impact the accuracy of GPS based positioning. This study compares the satellite position computed using broadcast ephemerides with the precise position provided by the International GPS Service for Geodynamics (IGS) Final Orbit solution. Similar comparisons have been undertaken in the past, but for only short periods of time. This study presents an analysis of the GPS broadcast ephemeris position error on a daily basis over the entire period 14 Nov 1993 through to 1 Nov 2001. The statistics of these errors were also analysed. In addition, the satellite position computed using the almanac ephemeris was compared to the IGS precise final orbit to determine the long-term effect of using older almanac data. The results of this research provide an independent method for the GPS Joint Program Office (JPO) and the OCS to gauge the direct impact of Kalman filter modifications on the accuracy of the navigational information available to the GPS users. GPS engineers can compare future Kalman filter changes to the historical baseline developed by this thesis and readily assess the significance of each proposed engineering change. Subject Terms GPS, Global Positioning, Ephemeris, Ephemerides, Navigation, Error, Almanac, Broadcast Report Classification Classification of this page unclassified unclassified Classification of Abstract Limitation of Abstract unclassified UU Number of Pages 182 The views expressed in this document are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Department of Defense, the U.S. Government, or the Government of the Commonwealth of Australia. ii AFIT/GSO/ENG/02M-01 BROADCAST VS PRECISE GPS EPHEMERIDES: A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE THESIS Presented to the Faculty Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Graduate School of Engineering and Management Air Force Institute of Technology Air University Air Education and Training Command In Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Space Operations David L.M. Warren, BEng (Elec) Squadron Leader, Royal Australian Air Force March 2002 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE; DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED iii iv Acknowledgments I would like to express my sincere appreciation to my thesis advisor, Major John Racquet for his support and encouragement over the course of my studies. I would also like to thank my committee members, Dr. Steven Tragessor and Dr. Peter Maybeck for their guidance and advice. I have relied heavily upon the support provided by each of the committee members. I have been guided in this research by the efforts of Major David Goldstein, Ph.D. (Chief, Engineering Branch, Navstar GPS JPO) and the staff of the GPS JPO. I would also like to acknowledge the contribution made to my work by Angelyn Moore, Ph.D. (Deputy Director, IGS Central Bureau) and Ms. Carey Noll (Manager, Crustal Dynamics Data Information System) who provided the data files referenced throughout this thesis. I am very grateful to the Royal Australian Air Force for giving me the opportunity to study at AFIT and experience, for twenty months, American life and culture. While studying has been a privilege for me, my fondest memories will be of the people, social events and places. I must extend a special thank you to Annette, Jo, Lynne and Janet in the International Students Office for their untiring efforts in support of the international families. To my wife, I can only say ‘I love you. Thanks for sticking by me whilst I spent all those nights studying’. v Table Of Contents Page Acknowledgments.....................................................................................................................v Table Of Contents...................................................................................................................vi List Of Figures..........................................................................................................................x List Of Tables.........................................................................................................................xii Abstract.................................................................................................................................xiii I. Introduction......................................................................................................................1 Research Objectives........................................................................................................2 Motivation.......................................................................................................................2 Summary.........................................................................................................................2 II. Background And Literature Review................................................................................4 Introduction.....................................................................................................................4 GPS System Overview...................................................................................................4 Background 4 Space Segment................................................................................................................6 Operational Control Segment (OCS) 8 User Segment 10 Space Segment Error Sources.......................................................................................10 Earth Oblateness Perturbations 11 Third Body Gravitational Perturbations 12 Solar Radiation Pressure (SRP) Torque 13 Yaw-Bias 13 Fixed Body Tides 14 Earth’s Albedo 14 Aerodynamic Torque / Drag 14 Gravity Gradient Torque 15 Satellite Clock Phase Error 15 Non Space Segment Error Sources...............................................................................16 Miscellaneous 16 vi Page Foliage attenuation 16 Selective Availability (SA) 16 Relativistic Effects 17 Multipath 18 Ionosphere 18 Troposphere 19 Scintillation 19 Receiver Noise 20 Geometric Dilution Of Precision (GDOP) 20 GPS Navigational Errors..............................................................................................20 Operational Control Segment Performance Measures.................................................22 Observed Range Deviations (ORD) 22 Estimated Range Deviations (ERDs) 23 NAVigational SOLutions (NAVSOLs) 24 Smoothed Measurement RESidual Generator (SMRES) 24 A Posteriora Analysis...................................................................................................25 Orbit and Clock State Comparisons 26 Laser Ranging Residuals 27 Previous Analysis.........................................................................................................28 GPS OCS Performance Analysis and Reporting (GOSPAR) 28 University of New Brunswick Study 29 Other Studies 29 Orbit Generation...........................................................................................................30 Broadcast / Almanac Orbit 30 IGS Final Orbit 31 Data Formats.................................................................................................................32 Broadcast Ephemeris 32 Almanac Ephemeris 32 IGS Final Orbit 33 Summary.......................................................................................................................33 III. Analysis and Modelling Methodologies........................................................................34 Introduction...................................................................................................................34 Required Outputs..........................................................................................................34 Required Inputs.............................................................................................................35 Method of Analysis.......................................................................................................35 Overview of the Process...............................................................................................36 Broadcast Orbit 36 Almanac Orbit 37 Analysis Parameters and Assumptions.........................................................................39 Study Analysis Period 39 Ephemeris Data 39 The Sampling Interval 40 Orbit Analysis...............................................................................................................42 vii Page Precise Orbit Analysis 42 Broadcast Ephemeris Analysis 42 Almanac Ephemeris Analysis 43 Error Analysis 43 Data Format..................................................................................................................49 Summary.......................................................................................................................49 IV. Presentation and Analysis of Results.............................................................................50 Introduction...................................................................................................................50 Broadcast Orbit Position Error Results.........................................................................50 Outlier Filtering 50 Along-Track, Cross-track and Radial 53 Statistical Analysis 60 3D ACR Broadcast Position Error 65 SISRE 69 Almanac Orbit Position Error Results..........................................................................72 Outlier Filtering 72 Along-Track, Cross-track and Radial 72 Statistical Analysis 75 SISRE 76 Summary.......................................................................................................................78 V. Summary and Conclusions............................................................................................79 Summary – Broadcast Ephemeris.................................................................................79 Summary – Almanac Ephemeris..................................................................................80 Conclusions...................................................................................................................81 Recommendations.........................................................................................................82 Appendix A: Data Format.......................................................................................................83 Poserr 83 Rms 84 Stats 85 Sisre 86 Appendix B: Along-Track, Cross-track and Radial Broadcast Position Error.......................87 1 Nov 1994...................................................................................................................87 1 Nov 1997.................................................................................................................100 1 Nov 2000.................................................................................................................113 Appendix C: RMS ACR Broadcast Position Error...............................................................127 viii
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