Table Of Content

British Journal of Political Science Volume 37 Editors: Sarah Birch, David Sanders, Hugh Ward and Albert Weale Editorial Board James Alt Junko Kato Brian Barry Anthony King Hugh Berrington Charles King Archie Brown Desmond King Chris Brown Stein Kuhnle Randall Calvert Michael Laver Gary Cox Patrick LeGales lvor Crewe Joni Lovenduski Fiona Devine David McKay Cécile Fabre lain McLean Morris P. Fiorina Susan Mendus Robert E. Goodin Helen Milner Fred I. Greenstein Jack Nagel Jack Hayward Carole Pateman Christopher Hill Peter Riddell Simon Hix Steven Smith Peter John Duncan Snidal Peter Jones Graham K. Wilson Max Kaase Editorial Assistant: Heather Bliss Secretary to the Editors: Jayne Daldry CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS 2007 Contents PART 1 JANUARY 2007 Articles page SOPHIE DUCHESNE AND FLORENCE HAEGEL, Avoiding or Accepting Conflict in Public Talk SEUNG-WHAN CHOI AND PATRICK JAMES, Media Openness, Democracy and Militarized Interstate Disputes BEN CLIFT AND JIM TOMLINSON, Credible Keynesianism? New Labour Macro- economic Policy and the Political Economy of Coarse Tuning MATTHEW J. LEBO AND HELMUT Norpotu, The PM and the Pendulum: Dynamic Forecasting of British Elections MARK ASPINWALL, Government Preferences on European Integration: An Empirical Test of Five Theories Eric C. C. CHANG AND MIRIAM A. GOLDEN, Electoral Systems, District Magnitude and Corruption HOWARD LAVINE AND THOMAS GSCHWEND, Issues, Party and Character: The Moderating Role of Ideological Thinking on Candidate Evaluation DANIEL STEVENS, Mobilization, Demobilization and the Economy in American Elections Notes and comments COLIN HAy, What’s in a Name? New Labour’s Putative Keynesianism PART 2 APRIL 2007 Articles JAMES L. GIBSON AND MARC MorseE HOWARD, Russian Anti-Semitism and the Scapegoating of Jews D. SUNSHINE HILLYGUs, The Dynamics of Voter Decision Making Among Minor-Party Supporters: The 2000 Presidential Election in the United States SAMUEL BERLINSKI, TORUN DEWAN AND KEITH DOWDING, The Length of Ministerial Tenure in the United Kingdom, 1945-97 ERNESTO CALVO, The Responsive Legislature: Public Opinion and Law Making in a Highly Disciplined Legislature page THOMAS KONIG, BJORN LINDBERG, SANDRA LECHNER AND WINFRIED POHLMEIER, Bicameral Conflict Resolution in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis of Conciliation Committee Bargains EMILY CLOUGH, Strategic Voting Under Conditions of Uncertainty: A Re-Evaluation of Duverger’s Law Review Article JUSTIN GREENWOOD, Organized Civil Society and Democratic Legitimacy in the European Union Notes and comments ADRIAN VATTER AND MARKUS FREITAG, The Contradictory Effects of Consensus Democracy on the Size of Government: Evidence from the Swiss Cantons MARCUS ALEXANDER, Determinants of Social Capital: New Evidence on Religion, Diversity and Structural Change BEN CLIFT AND JIM TOMLINSON, Complexity, Constraint and New Labour’s Putative Neo-liberalism: A Reply to Colin Hay PART 3 JULY 2007 Articles PETER JONES, Making Sense of Political Toleration EDWARD D. MANSFIELD, HELEN V. MILNER AND JON C. PEVEHOUSE, Vetoing Co-operation: The Impact of Veto Players on Preferential Trading Arrangements EITAN Y. ALIMI, The Israeli Political Arena and Palestinian Contention: The Case of the ‘First’ Intifada SHAUN BOWLER AND TODD DONOVAN, Reasoning About Institutional Change: Winners, Losers and Support for Electoral Reforms JOHN SIDES AND JACK CITRIN, European Opinion About Immigration: The Role of Identities, Interests and Information HAHRIE HAN AND DaviD W. BRADY, A Delayed Return to Historical Norms: Congressional Party Polarization after the Second World War Review Article Marc STEARS, Liberalism and the Politics of Compulsion Notes and comments SAUNDRA K. SCHNEIDER AND WILLIAM G. JACOBY, Reconsidering the Linkage between Public Assistance and Public Opinion in the American Welfare State page GEOFFREY BRAHM LEveY, Beyond Durkheim: A Comment on Steven Lukes’s ‘Liberal Democratic Torture’ 567 STEVEN LUKES, Torture and Liberal Democracy: Response to Levey 571 PART 4 OCTOBER 2007 Articles DANIEL G. ARCE AND TODD SANDLER, Terrorist Signalling and the Value of Intelligence DONALD D. SEARING, FREDERICK SOLT, PAMELA JOHNSTON CONOVER AND Ivor CREWE, Public Discussion in the Deliberative System: Does It Make Better Citizens? PABLO BERAMENDI AND DAVID RUEDA, Social Democracy Constrained: Indirect laxation in Industrialized Democracies ADRIAN VERMEULE, Absolute Majority Rules JEEYANG RHEE BAuM, Presidents Have Problems Too: The Logic of Intra-branch Delegation in East Asian Democracies ROBERT THOMSON, RENE TORENVLIED AND JAVIER ARREGUI, The Paradox of Compliance: Infringements and Delays in Transposing European Union Directives LAWRENCE J. GROSSBACK, DAviD A. M. PETERSON AND JAMES A. STIMSON, Electoral Mandates in American Politics Review Article IAN O’ FLYNN, Divided Societies and Deliberative Democracy Notes and comments Net J. MITCHELL, KERRY G. HERRON, HANK C. JENKINS-SMITH AND Guy D. WHITTEN, Elite Beliefs, Epistemic Communities and the Atlantic Divide: Scientists’ Nuclear Policy Preferences in the United States and European Union SAMUEL BERLINSKI, TORUN DEWAN AND KEITH DOWDING, Correction for: The Length of Ministerial Tenure in the United Kingdom, 1945—97 INDEX TO AUTHORS Alexander, M., 368 Jenkins-Smith, H. C Alimi, E. Y., 433 Jones, P., 383 Arce, D. G., 57 Arregui, J., 685 Konig, T., 281 Aspinwall, M., 89 Lavine, H., 139 Baum, J. R., 659 Lebo, M. J., Beramendi, P., 619 Lechner, S., 281 Berlinski, S., 245, 765 Levey, G. B., 567 Bowler, S., 455 Lindberg, B., 281 Brady, D. W., 505 Lukes, S., 5 ‘alvo, E., 263 Mansfield,| “hang, E. C. C., 115 Milner, H. \ ‘hoi, Seung-Whan, 23 Mitchell, N itrin, J., 477 ‘lift, B., 47, 378 Norpoth, H ‘lough,E ., 313 onover, P. J., 53 O'Flynn, L., 731 rewe, | Peterson, D. A. M., 711 Dewan, T., 245, 7 Pevehouse, J. C., 403 Donovan, T 95 Pohlmeier, W., 281 Dowding. K Duchesne, S Rueda, D., 619 Sandler, T., 573 Schneider, S. K., 555 Gibson, J. I Searing, D. D., 587 Golden, M . ) Sides, J., 477 Greenwood, J., 333 Solt, F., 587 Grossback, Stears, M., 533 Gschwend 13 Stevens, D Sumson, J Haegel Han, H Thomson, R., Hay, C., Tomlinson Herron, K 53 Torenvlied Hillygus, D. S., 225 Howard, M. M., 193 Vatter, A Vermeule, Jacoby, W. G., 555 James, P., 23 Whitten, G HI BY THE PRESS SYNDICATE OF HI NIVERSITOYF The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 IRP MBRIDGI NIVERS The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 8RU, United Kingdom 32 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10013-2473, USA mst Road, Port Melbourne, VIC 3207, Austral Alarc6n 13, 28014 Madrid, Spain Cambridge University Press, 2007 Printed in the