Blackjack Ace Prediction: The Art Of Advanced Location Strategies For The Casino Game Of Twenty-one

164 Pages·2004·5.961 MB·English

by  David McDowell

- BLACKJACK
ACE PREDICTION
DAvID McDowELL
: SPUR OF THE MOMENT PUBLISHING
Digitized by the Internet Archive
in 2021 with funding from
Kahle/Austin Foundation
https://archive.org/details/blackjackacepred000O0mcdo
BLACKJACK ACE PREDICTION
The art of advanced location strategies for the
casino game of twenty-one
For Flora
BLACKJACK
ACE PREDICTION
The art of advanced location
strategies for the casino game of
twenty-one
DAVID MCDOWELL
With a foreword by Michael Dalton
Copyright © 2004 by Spur of the Moment Publishing
First edition / First printing
~ Printed in the United States of America
09 08 07 06 05 04 OSS]. Guat See) 1
ISBN 1-879712-10-5
Library of Congress Control Number: 2004110090
McDowell, David.
Blackjack Ace Prediction: The art of advanced location strategies for
the casino game of twenty-one.
Includes appendices, bibliographical references and index.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be
translated, reproduced, or transmitted in any form or by any
means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and
recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system,
without the express written permission of the copyright owner.
Inquiries should be addressed to Spur of the Moment
Publishing, P.O. BOX 541967, Merritt Island, FL 32954-1967
USA.
Visit our web site at www.BJRnet.com to order copies of this
book and for possible updates, errata and to participate in our
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[email protected] or contact us at the address above.
Blackjack Review Network
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PUBLISHER / EDITOR:
Michael Dalton, Spur othe Moment Publishing, Merritt Island, Florida,
[email protected] |w ww.BJRnet.com.
COVER ARTWORK CREDIT:
Copyright © Directional Publishing, Inc., “Ace of Spades” by Abigail T.
Kamelhair.
PHOTOGRAPHIC CREDITS:
Edward Thorp, courtesy of New Mexico State University Library Archives,
Las Cruces.
William Earl Walden, courtesy of Washington State University Library
Archives, Pullman.
Edward Thorp at University of California, Irvine, from I Have a
Photographic Memory by Paul Richard Halmos, courtesy of the American
Mathematical Society, Providence, Rhode Island.
Shoulder holster, courtesy of Warren of California, San Diego,
www. travelsecurityaccessories.com, 800-932-4465.
DISCLAIMER:
Although the author and publisher have exhaustively
researched all sources to ensure the accuracy and
completeness of the information contained in this book, we
assume no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or
any other inconsistency herein. Any slights against people or
organizations are unintentional.
Gambling infers risk. The author and publisher accept no
legal responsibility or financial liability whatsoever for any
reader’s application of the information contained in this book.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Tables and Figures icc.: :-sscsacecaecsseeqenrst Wracacnancnsecce-eeeessueeec.er d 10
A CKNOWICASINENES: jc ccc.cc:sesbc csecsaasdeacasrsennacnececreeecsecvannrdisune s 12
About the Cover: Art sasiizi.scssstevsaceechsaceutsvscescsvetcacweseereneeds 14
Foreword by Michael Dalton .............c.sscsccssscssessesccenscenees Lbs
Chapter] =A. ce Prediction i... s1ecc hess nae coe ee 17
Doing ShufflesAnalyses- Seiee nee eee ee ee 19
Dome Computer Simmlcrians 2, eeeeee e e 20
Usine ihe Hx peciation Honmulge ee. . ee ee cn |
Other’ BOOKS: sist sci, Reena the kolo 22
Published Referencesmet.. so. a ee ee 23
“How I Invented Ace Prediction ””—Ed Thorp ..............-.- 30
Table of Contents
Chapter 2 - Non-Random Shuffling ........ccccccscscsscsceeseeeees 32
Permutations by Cutting and Shuffling .....cccccccccccc0c0000000+. aL
Thorp’s Non-Random Shuffling Analysis.........0cc0c00000000-+. 34
Epstein’s Analysis of the Imperfect Shuffle..........c0ccc000. a7
Casino Card Shuffles: How Random Are They? .............. 39
inpormation Loss Card Shujpline sates ena 40)
Babiana; Mystery: Charles T. JOP vitcstsscpsu concesaseese: 43
Chapter 3 - Analyzing Shuffles..........cccssssssecssscesssoveseareres 45
DPIVINg NOT pS SHUI ANOIVSISU se|eu e .eps ee 45
ELORCTE SCQUCHGES < MErn Sate. ues Seen ee 54
OUNMNS INE BICAKSocnencosss0 ee Rise ee Be ee 2s)
EMOUADINILY Of BI OBEN, SEQUCNCES 00a eee ect ee 59
DraKenisequences Dy. COMPULEIiit. teenieeee cee 60
PEC LNOL EeI UGS, SITIOS AGB OX MOUS wens. rete ee 61
PATI TLEVID LO LOT OMG ch etait tia cate fons oases eee ee ate eee 64
Chapter 4 - Exploiting Shufflles ............ssccssssscsssssereesscesees 66
Applying Hannum ’s Shuffling ANALYSIS .......2c00sc0evereere 66
SIC MleS IRO TEINGNAOMMES Sa 2 scapes -opsondescewsir apr er 69
VACHS SILI CW) COIICSSC S Sc cacoacerr ceares ncetr ernsseeeece a ce 72
HoweReliable Are the Weaknesses? t.nccusss.nvsosasevacsenncnn/242- 74
Prearcine Exel POsitions Of CATAS 0. sse.-oh-ticecns-ncnseosntte 76
MCN OTN OICI IU ite voce pve alae naan dace rads oieh sere danevegetr ana si
Table of Contents
Chapter 5 - Locating ACES ........sssseseesesssssrsrenseerencensesensnees 79
ACE LOCALION Wsicucsc a eee eric nee, eae eee 79
ACE SIUGS «.ncncnnsnnsect tis Does tay settee e ten Met dae Oana ates ee era 80
A Stepladder Shuffl ei a eve cetacean eee &3
4 Two-Pass ComboiShufflese. ee eres eee 85
The. Greek Syndicate:.:, eee cee ne eee 8&7
Chapter 6 - Predicting ACES ..........:cssscssssseerecerssserssenesseees 89
Card PeGQiCtiOn caro ea ee coe eee 8&9
The Prediction Problemac ae ea ee eee 90
Applying Epstein 's Prediction Theorem..w255-..-veae= 91
ine Prediction Problem S0ived. 122.2500 94
A Prediction Rule nmin RRR ee 96
How to. Memorize-Key Cards) 96
Memorizing the Target Ace. pom. a eee ee ee 97
ISLCETING LCA CES se cnscirastasetn aaetea ncnniy 99
ECUS CA CN. C CICS en rss Stia 6 eree 100
POULET CAPASSO aA nD RT tO a 102
Putting ICANT O@eihery. «ance ee ete ee ee 104
Te: GUrse: OF WONG a. cexacscur, oes eee Genre ete nee 106
8 Table of Contents