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Computational Biology Pietro Liò Paolo Zuliani    Editors Automated Reasoning for Systems Biology and Medicine Computational Biology Volume 30 Editors-in-Chief Andreas Dress CAS-MPG PartnerInstitute for Computational Biology,Shanghai, China Michal Linial HebrewUniversity of Jerusalem,Jerusalem, Israel OlgaTroyanskaya Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA Martin Vingron MaxPlanckInstitute for Molecular Genetics, Berlin,Germany Editorial Board Members RobertGiegerich, University of Bielefeld,Bielefeld, Germany Janet Kelso, MaxPlanckInstitute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany Gene Myers,MaxPlanck Institute of Molecular Cell Biology andGenetics, Dresden, Germany PavelPevzner, University of California,San Diego, CA,USA Advisory Editors Gordon Crippen, University of Michigan,Ann Arbor,MI,USA JosephFelsenstein, University of Washington,Seattle, WA,USA Dan Gusfield,University of California, Davis, CA,USA Sorin Istrail, Brown University, Providence,RI, USA ThomasLengauer, MaxPlanckInstitute forComputer Science, Saarbrücken, Germany Marcella McClure, MontanaState University, Bozeman,MT, USA Martin Nowak, HarvardUniversity, Cambridge, MA, USA DavidSankoff, University of Ottawa,Ottawa, ON,Canada RonShamir, TelAvivUniversity, TelAviv, Israel Mike Steel,University ofCanterbury, Christchurch, NewZealand Gary Stormo,Washington University in St.Louis, St.Louis, MO, USA Simon Tavaré,University ofCambridge, Cambridge, UK Tandy Warnow,University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA LonnieWelch, OhioUniversity, Athens, OH, USA Endorsed by the International Society for Computational Biology, the Computational Biology series publishes the very latest, high-quality research devotedtospecificissuesincomputer-assistedanalysisofbiologicaldata.Themain emphasis is on current scientific developments and innovative techniques in computational biology (bioinformatics), bringing to light methods from mathemat- ics, statistics and computer science that directly address biological problems currently under investigation. The series offers publications that present the state-of-the-art regarding the problemsinquestion;showcomputationalbiology/bioinformaticsmethodsatwork; and finally discuss anticipated demands regarding developments in future methodology. Titles can range from focused monographs, to undergraduate and graduate textbooks, and professional text/reference works. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/5769 ò Pietro Li Paolo Zuliani (cid:129) Editors Automated Reasoning for Systems Biology and Medicine 123 Editors Pietro Liò PaoloZuliani Department ofComputer Science Schoolof Computing andTechnology Newcastle University University of Cambridge Newcastle, UK Cambridge, UK ISSN 1568-2684 ISSN 2662-2432 (electronic) Computational Biology ISBN978-3-030-17296-1 ISBN978-3-030-17297-8 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17297-8 ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregard tojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface ThisbookoriginatesfromtheInternationalWorkshoponAutomatedReasoningfor Systems Biology and Medicine (ARSBM 2016) that was held on 20 September 2016,attheComputerLaboratoryoftheUniversityofCambridge.ThisInstitution —truly a place of innovators—has a long, successful tradition for cultivating interdisciplinarity and multidisciplinarity. In the same spirit, this volume presents theverybestresearchinanexcitingnew,multidisciplinaryarea:theapplicationof formal, automated reasoning techniques for analysing complex models and data in Systems Biology and Systems Medicine. Automated reasoning is the field of computer science devoted to the develop- ment ofalgorithms that return trusted answers, sothat soundlogical reasoningcan be built upon. The main focus of the workshop was on the theory of delta-decidability (Gao, Avigad, Clarke. Delta-Decidability over the Reals, LICS 2012) and its biological and biomedical applications. However, in reality, the variety of scientific topics discussed ranged from computational modelling, to formal methods, to machine learning and other fields of computer science. The workshop predated the conference CMSB 2016 so it generated cross-fertilisation andresonanceparticularlybetweenfundamentalissuesandinnovativeapplications. SystemsBiologyandSystemsMedicinestartedinthepast20yearsaseffortsto understand the enormous complexity of life from a computational point of view. This has generated a wealth of new knowledge in the form of both computational models and data, whose staggering complexity makes manual analysis methods infeasible.Sound,trustedandautomatedwaystoanalysemodelsanddataarethus required in order to be able to trust the models’ predictions and data analysis outcomes. Overall, this is crucial to engineering safe biomedical devices and safe clinical protocols, and reducing our reliance on wet-lab experiments and clinical trials, thus reducing both economic and societal costs. Some examples of the questions tackled in the area include: can we automati- cally revise medications in patients with multiple chronic conditions? Again, can we verify that an artificial pancreas system delivers insulin in a way that Type 1 diabeticpatientsneversufferfromhyperglycaemiaorhypoglycaemia?Finally,can we predict the effect of a mutation on cancer cells? v vi Preface These aspects are clearly reflected in the book, which contains 17 high-quality chaptersfromworld-leadingresearchersworkingonrelatedfields.Eachchapterhas been peer-reviewed by at least two independent reviewers from an international pool of experts (see the Reviewers list below). The chapters are grouped in four different clusters based on the technique used: (cid:129) Model Checking (cid:129) Formal Methods and Logic (cid:129) Stochastic Modelling and Analysis (cid:129) Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence To help the reader with a life sciences background, another organisation of the chapters can be given in terms of application areas touched upon: Applicationarea Chapter(s) Artificialpancreas 4 Autophagy/apoptosis 3 Calciumdynamics 13 Cancer 5,7,10,15,17 Cardiaccells 3 Cellcycle 1 Clinicalenvironments&guidelines 8,9 Diabetes(seeArtificialpancreas) Epidemics 6 Epidermaldifferentiation 2 Geneticcircuits(seeSyntheticbiology) Ironhomeostasis 6 Metabolicnetworks 7,15 Myeloiddifferentiation 2 Pharmacokinetics 14 Remyelination 11 Signallingpathways 1,3,7,10,13 Stemcells 2 Syntheticbiology 12,16 Thisvolumemakesthemostadvancedcontributionoftheinternationalcommu- nitytotheresearchissuessurroundingthefascinatingworldofautomatedreasoning inSystemsBiologyandSystemsMedicine.Wehopethatyouenjoythechaptersas muchasweenjoyedorganisingtheworkshopandputtingthiscollectiontogether. Preface vii We thank the invited speakers to the workshop and the authors who submitted their work to this volume, and we thank the reviewers for their hard work in reviewing the submissions and taking part in post-review discussions. Finally, we would like to express our sincere thanks to Springer for their support during the production of the volume. Cambridge, UK Pietro Liò Newcastle, UK Paolo Zuliani Contents Part I Model Checking 1 Model Checking Approach to the Analysis of Biological Systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Nikola Beneš, Luboš Brim, Samuel Pastva and David Šafránek 2 Automated Reasoning for the Synthesis and Analysis of Biological Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Sara-Jane Dunn and Boyan Yordanov 3 Statistical Model Checking-Based Analysis of Biological Networks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Bing Liu, Benjamin M. Gyori and P. S. Thiagarajan 4 Models, Devices, Properties, and Verification of Artificial Pancreas Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 Taisa Kushner, B. Wayne Bequette, Faye Cameron, Gregory Forlenza, David Maahs and Sriram Sankaranarayanan 5 Using State Space Exploration to Determine How Gene Regulatory Networks Constrain Mutation Order in Cancer Evolution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 Matthew A. Clarke, Steven Woodhouse, Nir Piterman, Benjamin A. Hall and Jasmin Fisher Part II Formal Methods and Logic 6 Set-Based Analysis for Biological Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 Thao Dang, Tommaso Dreossi, Eric Fanchon, Oded Maler, Carla Piazza and Alexandre Rocca 7 Logic and Linear Programs to Understand Cancer Response. . . . . 191 Misbah Razzaq, Lokmane Chebouba, Pierre Le Jeune, Hanen Mhamdi, Carito Guziolowski and Jérémie Bourdon ix x Contents 8 Logic-Based Formalization of System Requirements for Integrated Clinical Environments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215 Cinzia Bernardeschi, Andrea Domenici and Paolo Masci 9 Balancing Prescriptions with Constraint Solvers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 Juliana K. F. Bowles and Marco B. Caminati 10 MetastableRegimesandTippingPointsofBiochemicalNetworks with Potential Applications in Precision Medicine. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 Satya Swarup Samal, Jeyashree Krishnan, Ali Hadizadeh Esfahani, Christoph Lüders, Andreas Weber and Ovidiu Radulescu Part III Stochastic Modelling and Analysis 11 Stochastic Spatial Modelling of the Remyelination Process in Multiple Sclerosis Lesions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299 Ludovica Luisa Vissat, Jane Hillston and Anna Williams 12 Approximation Techniques for Stochastic Analysis of Biological Systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327 Thakur Neupane, Zhen Zhang, Curtis Madsen, Hao Zheng and Chris J. Myers 13 A Graphical Approach for Hybrid Modelling of Intracellular Calcium Dynamics Based on Coloured Hybrid Petri Nets . . . . . . . 349 Amr Ismail, Mostafa Herajy and Monika Heiner 14 Methods for Personalised Delivery Rate Computation for IV Administered Anesthetic Propofol. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369 Alena Simalatsar, Monia Guidi, Pierre Roduit and Thierry Buclin Part IV Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence 15 Towards the Integration of Metabolic Network Modelling and Machine Learning for the Routine Analysis of High-Throughput Patient Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401 Maria Pires Pacheco, Tamara Bintener and Thomas Sauter 16 Opportunities and Challenges in Applying Artificial Intelligence to Bioengineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 425 Fusun Yaman, Aaron Adler and Jacob Beal 17 Deep Learning with Convolutional Neural Networks for Histopathology Image Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 453 Dragan Bošnački, Natal van Riel and Mitko Veta Index .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 471

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