DOCUMENT RESUME ED 426 098 TM 029 328 AUTHOR Frederick, Brigitte N. TITLE Fixed-, Random-, and Mixed-Effects ANOVA Models: A User-Friendly Guide for Increasing the Generalizability of ANOVA Results. PUB DATE 1999-01-00 23p.; Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southwest NOTE Educational Research Association (San Antonio, TX, January 21-23, 1999). Speeches/Meeting Papers PUB TYPE Guides Non-Classroom (055) (150) EDRS PRICE MF01/PC01 Plus Postage. *Analysis of Variance; *Mathematical Models; Research Design DESCRIPTORS IDENTIFIERS *Fixed Effects; Generality; Random Variables; *Rules of Thumb (Statistics) ABSTRACT Most researchers using analysis of variance (ANOVA) use a fixed-effects model. However, a random- or mixed-effects model may be a more appropriate fit for many research designs. One benefit of the random- and mixed-effects models is that they yield more generalizable results. This paper focuses on the similarities and differences between the various ANOVA models and the factors that should be considered when determining which model to use. An explanation of the "Rules of Thumb" for deriving the correct formulas for computing "F" statistics is also given. (Contains 2 tables and 15 references.) (SLD) ******************************************************************************** Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. ******************************************************************************** Running head: FIXED-, RANDOM-, AND MIXED-EFFECTS ANOVA MODELS U.S. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE AND Office of Educational Research and Improvement EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION DISSEMINATE THIS MATERIAL HAS CENTER (ERIC) BEEN GRANTED BY efriiis document has been reproduced as received from the person or organization originating it. edee i cI El Minor changes have been made to -t- improve reproduction quality. TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES Points of view or opinions stated in this INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC) document do not necessarily represent official OERI position or policy. Fixed-, Random-, and Mixed-Effects ANOVA Models: A User-Friendly Guide For Increasing the Generalizability of ANOVA Results Brigitte N. Frederick Texas A & M University CO (s1 Cy) CN1 CD Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southwest Educational Research Association, San Antonio, January, 1999. Random- and Mixed-Effects 2 Abstract employ fixed- ANOVA procedures a using Most researchers effects model. However, a random- or mixed-effects model may for many research designs. be a more appropriate fit One and mixed-effects models they that benefit random- is of yield more generalizable results. This paper focuses on the similarities and differences between the various ANOVA models and the factors that should be considered when determining which model to utilize. A description of the "Rules of Thumb" for deriving the correct formulas for computing F statistics will also be explained. 3 Random- and Mixed-Effects 3 Fixed-, Random-, and Mixed-Effects ANOVA Models: A User-Friendly Guide For Increasing the Generalizability of ANOVA Results variance analysis using Most researchers (ANOVA) of although they may procedures choose a fixed-effects model, not realize that they are making this choice or realize its models most Although are consequences. fixed-effects the common of the ANOVA models, they are not necessarily the most appropriate and/or useful experimental procedures for all designs. There are two additional types of ANOVA models that are less commonly used: random-effects (also called Model II) models and mixed-effects (also called Model III) models. A random-effects model is used when the researcher wants within generalize levels/conditions findings to to ways/factors beyond the levels that are represented in the Hays (1981) commented, study (Jackson & Brashers, "the 1994) . random-effects model is designed especially for experiments in which inferences are to be drawn about an entire set of including not distinct treatments some factor levels, or A mixed-effects model actually observed" is a 376). (p. combination of fixed- and random-effects models, comprised of one or more random ways and one or more fixed ways. the present paper The purpose of outline the to is differences between mixed- and random-effects the fixed-, way should on deciding whether ANOVA designs. be Tips a classified random will fixed also provided. be or as as well as the "rules of Computational differences, thumb" 4 Random- and Mixed-Effects 4 for deriving the correct formulas to compute F statistics in the random and mixed models will also be explained. Three Models the null hypothesis In a fixed-effect model, that is there are no differences between the means of the levels of In the way that are utilized in the study 1988) (Ostle, . random-effects tested hypothesis in contrast, the a model is that there are no differences in the means of in the of a way that are possible all of the levels was levels sample of levels population the that of not just in the sample of levels that is chosen from, utilized in the study 1988). Thus, random-effects (Ostle, models attempt to generalize beyond both the sampled people and the sampled levels. what researchers between There incongruence some is consider a random way. Some argue that any way that does not include all the possible levels should be treated as random Others diSagree. Wike Richter & Seay, 1987) 1973; (Clark, . outline three basic methods for selecting and Church (1976) a way to be used the First, study. levels in a the of a way researcher could use all of the possible levels of EQUALS the number of levels the in (number of levels, p, population of levels, P). Clearly, this is rarely the case in actual research. Second, the researcher could randomly choose a subset of all possible levels of a way to use in the study is less than the number of levels in (number of levels, p, 5 Random- and Mixed-Effects 5 with random selection of levels). Third, the population, P, the researcher could choose to nonrandomly select a subset of a way to use in the study the possible levels all of of is less than the number (number of levels in the sample, p, with nonrandom selection of of levels in the population, P, It seems clear that the p=P case must be treated as levels) . random selection the p<P case, fixed-effects model. In a model random-effects 1976). Church, implies (Wike a & and statistical typically treat the Mathematical formulas as fixed (Wike & nonrandom selection case) third case (p<P, However, some researchers argue that the third Church, 1976) . case should also be treated as a random-effects model (Clark, 1973; Richter & Seay, 1987). This debate is clearly illustrated by Clark in (1973) his article, "Language-as-Fixed Effect Fallacy: A Critique of Using Language Statistics Research." Psychological the in Clark argued that words, example of language research, as random effects should be treated as well as participants, because the words that are selected for language studies do not extinguish all possibilities within the entire population if the researcher wishes to generalize of words. Therefore, results beyond the must ways study be scope the the of classified as random. Clark (1973) commented, treat investigator When should the The random effect? language as a answer is, whenever the language stimuli do not deplete the population from which Random- and Mixed-Effects 6 they were answer The not, drawn. is whenever the language stimuli used were chosen at random from this population. (p. 348) Richter and Seay (1987) agreed that classifying ways as further support statistical for random provides study replicated on They generalization a results. of recognition memory and found that when words were considered fixed there were three effects statistically significant at the .05 level and four statistically significant at the .01 level. However, when words were reclassified as random only remained statistically effects seven original the one of Although all results. presents these Table significant. 1 studies will not have findings that differ this dramatically the example illustrates the differences that across models, are possible when ways for the same data are classified as random instead of fixed. In response to Clark's article, Wike and Church ways classifying while argued as that (1976) errors, Type decrease can random lead in a to I overclassifying ways as random can lead to an increase in Type II errors. They also contended that generalization can not be assumed just because ways are classified as random. They noted, "generality is not obtained simply by selecting p levels randomly" (Wike & Church, 1976, p. 253). best would be way determine method One to a if classified as fixed or random is to see if the levels are (Jackson & Brashers, 1988). Ostle, "interchangeable" 1994; 7 Random- and Mixed-Effects 7 That is, could alternate levels of the way be substituted in the study without making a difference in the results? With a random way, a set of levels could be utilized on one run of the experiment and an entirely different set could be used on In a replication Hopkins, subsequent 1984) (Glass a & . way specific levels random-effects model of the a chosen to be utilized in a study are of no particular the levels can to the researcher. Therefore, interest fundamental changing without substituted the be research question. could studying researcher the be For example, a peer teaching tutoring, methods: effectiveness three of Instead assisted and computer lecturing. of instruction, from every grade kindergarten taking samples students of - through twelve, the researcher could randomly select a subset The researcher could of grades to be present in the study. then generalize the results of the study to all of the grades and randomly selected not possible, even those that are It would make no difference to present in the study. the researcher if the particular grades in the study were 1st, 10th, and 12th; the 5th, and 8th or 2nd, 4th, 7th, 3rd, 2nd, particular no are represented study of the grades in if the researcher were interest to the researcher. However, reading to use different kinds of instruction (for example, each selected grade text or parent from the tutoring) at the study would have an altered meaning. Therefore, level, this example would be a mixed study, where the grade of the 8 Random- and Mixed-Effects 8 a random way and the mode of instruction is students is a fixed way. a way should be A second method for determining if classified as random or fixed is based on what conclusions the researcher would like to draw from the results of the If the researcher wants to study (Jackson & Brashers, 1994) . make conclusions based only on the levels of the population that are used in the study it is appropriate to classify a if the researcher would like to draw way as fixed. However, are beyond levels populations that the conclusions about the way must classified be represented as the study, in random. Using the teaching method example to demonstrate this the conclusions that can be drawn if think of the point, It could be concluded, grade way is treated as fixed. for example, that peer tutoring is better than computer assisted instruction and lecturing for individuals in grades 2, 4, 7, if these were the grade levels actually studied. 10, and 12, In contrast, a conclusion that could be drawn when the grade way is classified as random would be that peer tutoring is better than computer assisted instruction and lecturing for students in all grades. and Depending on researcher desires the the the of classified be can ways research same the question, differently in various studies. The determination of whether a way should be classified as random or fixed ultimately the research context depends (Longford, 1993). on of the way determination will whether be a the However, of 9 Random- and Mixed-Effects 9 the data considered random or fixed must be made prior to collection and analysis. Hicks (1973) noted, It is not reasonable to decide after the whether collected been have data the fixed considered are be or levels to random. This decision must be made prior to the running of the experiment, and if they must random levels are to be used, be chosen from all possible levels by a random process. 173) (p. What are the repercussions of misclassifying a way? Of there are no absolutely right answers to how a way course, should be Coleman are classified. "there stated, (1979) usually analyze an ways experiment, correct several to a matter and...the better choice wisdom than more of is However, there are always mathematical correctness" 243) (p. . situations where it is most appropriate to classify a way in way particular situations these In way. a if a is misclassified, different undesirable consequences can occur. it will be If a fixed way is misclassified as random, statistical overly conservative subject test of to a significance and therefore the likelihood of making a Type II othesis) will increase error (not rejecting a false null h way random Church, Inversely, (Wike 1976). is if a & misclassified as fixed, there is a greater chance of making a rejecting Type hypothesis) error null (falsely true a I if a random way is classified as 1973). In addition, (Clark, 10
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