EE A Joint Publication of the Asian Development Bank and the ADB Institute with Edward Elgar Publishing AASSIIAA’’SS FFRREEEE TTRRAADDEE AAGGRREEEEMMEENNTTSS HOW IS BUSINESS RESPONDING? wl Asian Noodle Bo Edited by Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja LIST OF PUBLICATIONS Also by Masahiro Kawai Asian Regionalism in the World Economy: Engine for Dynamism and Stability (co-edited with J.W. Lee and P. Petri) Asia’s Contribution to Global Economic Development and Stability (co-edited with S. Stone) Policy Coherence towards East Asia: Development Challenges for OECD Countries (co-edited with K. Fukasaku, M.G. Plummer and A. Trzeciak-Duval) Financial Development and Integration in East Asia (co-edited with C.Y. Ahn, T. Ito, and Y.C. Park) Financial Interdependence and Exchange Rate Regimes in East Asia (edited) Exchange Rate Regimes in East Asia (co-edited with G. de Brouwer) The New World Fiscal Order (co-edited with C.E. Steuerle) Also by Ganeshan Wignaraja Pan-Asian Integration: Linking East and South Asia (co-edited with J. Francois and P. Rana) National Strategies for Regional Economic Integration: South and East Asian Case Studies (co-edited with J. Francois and P. Rana) Competitiveness Strategies in Developing Countries (edited) Small States in Transition: From Vulnerability to Competitiveness (with M. Lezama and D. Joiner) Mauritius: Dynamising Export Competitiveness (with S. Lall) Technology and Enterprise Development: Ghana Under Structural Adjustment (with S. Lall, G.B. Navaretti and S. Teitel) Trade Liberalization in Sri Lanka: Exports, Technology and Industrial Policy The Postwar Evolution of Development Thinking (with C. Oman) M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd ii 12/11/10 12:20:04 Asia’s Free Trade Agreements How is Business Responding? Edited by Masahiro Kawai Dean and CEO, Asian Development Bank Institute, Japan Ganeshan Wignaraja Principal Economist, Offi ce of Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, Philippines A JOINT PUBLICATION OF THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK AND ADB INSTITUTE WITH EDWARD ELGAR PUBLISHING Edward Elgar Cheltenham, UK • Northampton, MA, USA M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd iii 12/11/10 12:20:04 © Asian Development Bank and Asian Development Bank Institute 2011 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical or photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher. Published by Edward Elgar Publishing Limited The Lypiatts 15 Lansdown Road Cheltenham Glos GL50 2JA UK Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc. William Pratt House 9 Dewey Court Northampton Massachusetts 01060 USA A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Control Number: 2010929041 ISBN 978 1 84980 386 1 Typeset by Servis Filmsetting Ltd, Stockport, Cheshire Printed and bound by MPG Books Group, UK M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd iv 12/11/10 12:20:04 Contents List of contributors vii Foreword by Haruhiko Kuroda ix Preface xi List of abbreviations xiii PART I OVERVIEW 1 Introduction 3 Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja 2 Main fi ndings and policy implications 33 Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja PART II NORTHEAST ASIA 3 Japan 77 Daisuke Hiratsuka, Ikumo Isono and Hitoshi Sato 4 People’s Republic of China 106 Zhang Yunling 5 Republic of Korea 130 Inkyo Cheong and Jungran Cho PART III ASEAN ECONOMIES 6 Singapore 159 Chia Siow Yue 7 Thailand 199 Ganeshan Wignaraja, Rosechin Olfi ndo, Wisarn Pupphavesa, Jirawat Panpiemras and Sumet Ongkittikul 8 Philippines 227 Ganeshan Wignaraja, Dorothea Lazaro and Genevieve De Guzman v M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd v 12/11/10 12:20:05 vi Contents PART IV CONCLUSION 9 Conclusion 261 Masahiro Kawai and Ganeshan Wignaraja References 270 Index 283 M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd vi 12/11/10 12:20:05 Contributors Inkyo Cheong is Director of Jungsuk Research Institute, Inha University, and Professor of Economics at Inha University, Incheon, Korea. Chia Siow Yue is Senior Research Fellow at the Singapore Institute of International Aff airs. Jungran Cho is Research Fellow at Jungsuk Research Institute, Inha University, Incheon, Korea. Genevieve De Guzman was a Consultant at the Asian Development Bank, Manila. Daisuke Hiratsuka is Director- General of the Research Planning Department, Institute of Developing Economies- Japan External Trade Organization (IDE- JETRO) and Director of the ERIA Support Offi ce, JETRO, Tokyo. Ikumo Isono is Research Fellow at the Bangkok Research Center, Institute of Developing Economies- Japan External Trade Organization (IDE- JETRO), Tokyo. Masahiro Kawai is Dean and CEO of the Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo. Dorothea Lazaro is Program Coordinator at the ASEAN–Australia–New Zealand FTA Support Unit, ASEAN Secretariat, Jakarta. Rosechin Olfi ndo was a Consultant at the Asian Development Bank, Manila. Sumet Ongkittikul is Research Specialist at the Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI), Bangkok. Jirawat Panpiemras is Research Specialist at the Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI), Bangkok. Wisarn Pupphavesa is Advisor at the Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI), Bangkok. Hitoshi Sato is Research Fellow at the Development Studies Center, vii M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd vii 12/11/10 12:20:05 viii Contributors Institute of Developing Economies- Japan External Trade Organization (IDE- JETRO), Tokyo. Ganeshan Wignaraja is Principal Economist at the Offi ce of Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, Manila. Zhang Yunling is Professor and Director of the Institute of Asia- Pacifi c Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Science (CASS), Beijing University. M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd viii 12/11/10 12:20:05 Foreword Asia’s economic importance in the world economy has been shaped by rapid globalization alongside progressive regionalization. The region was transformed from an underdeveloped backwater into a global factory through structural reforms and liberalization and 50 years of outward- oriented development strategies, infrastructure investment and upgrading of human capital. Over time, ‘factory Asia’ developed deeper regional roots as production networks and supply chains increasingly connected various economies in diff erent stages of development. The rapid expansion of Asian trade and investment briefl y stalled during the global fi nancial crisis of 2008–09 but is expected to pick up in the next few years. Amidst slow progress in the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha trade talks, protectionism remains a risk to Asia’s trade prospects. Since the millennium, free trade agreements (FTAs) are increasingly being used to pursue trade and investment liberalization in Asia. East Asia has emerged at the forefront of Asia’s FTA spread with 47 FTAs in eff ect as of June 2010 and another 90 or so in various stages of preparation. The rapid spread of FTAs since 2000 has sparked concerns about the ‘Asian noodle bowl’ eff ect of multiple, overlapping agreements particularly on small and medium- sized enterprises (SMEs). In response to such concerns, Masahiro Kawai, Dean of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), and Ganeshan Wignaraja, Principal Economist at the Asian Development Bank’s Offi ce of Regional Economic Integration, spearheaded this study on the business impact of Asian FTAs by using enterprise surveys in several East Asian economies. This study, the fi rst of its kind to shed light on the FTA debate, shows that concerns about the Asian FTA noodle bowl eff ect may be overstated and SMEs have not been unduly aff ected, at least in this point in time. But as the number of FTAs grows and business increasingly uses FTA preferences, we may expect more concerns about the Asian noodle bowl to arise in the future. The region needs to think about appropriate measures to overcome the Asian FTA noodle bowl in the future. The study suggests several practical measures, including encouraging rationalization and fl exibility of rules of origin, upgrading origin administration, improving business participation in FTA consultations, and strengthening institutional support systems for SMEs. The study also suggests two additional proposals to mitigate ix M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd ix 12/11/10 12:20:05 x Foreword the Asian FTA noodle bowl, albeit long- run initiatives: crafting a region- wide FTA and multilateralizing Asian regionalism. Concluding the Doha Round and avoiding protectionism are, of course, vital. It is hoped that this study will contribute to strengthening regional trade policies in Asia and compatibilities with global trade rules. Haruhiko Kuroda President, Asian Development Bank M2443 - WIGNARAJA TEXT.indd x 12/11/10 12:20:05
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