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Artificial Intelligence in Cancer: Diagnostic to Tailored Treatment PDF

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN CANCER: DIAGNOSTIC TO TAILORED TREATMENT ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN CANCER: DIAGNOSTIC TO TAILORED TREATMENT S B MARANDA ELCIUG AcademicPressisanimprintofElsevier 125LondonWall,LondonEC2Y5AS,UnitedKingdom 525BStreet,Suite1650,SanDiego,CA92101,UnitedStates 50HampshireStreet,5thFloor,Cambridge,MA02139,UnitedStates TheBoulevard,LangfordLane,Kidlington,OxfordOX51GB,UnitedKingdom ©2020ElsevierInc.Allrightsreserved. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronicor mechanical,includingphotocopying,recording,oranyinformationstorageandretrievalsystem,without permissioninwritingfromthepublisher.Detailsonhowtoseekpermission,furtherinformationaboutthe Publisher’spermissionspoliciesandourarrangementswithorganizationssuchastheCopyrightClearance CenterandtheCopyrightLicensingAgency,canbefoundatourwebsite:www.elsevier.com/permissions. ThisbookandtheindividualcontributionscontainedinitareprotectedundercopyrightbythePublisher(other thanasmaybenotedherein). Notices Knowledgeandbestpracticeinthisfieldareconstantlychanging.Asnewresearchandexperiencebroadenour understanding,changesinresearchmethods,professionalpractices,ormedicaltreatmentmaybecome necessary. Practitionersandresearchersmustalwaysrelyontheirownexperienceandknowledgeinevaluatingandusing anyinformation,methods,compounds,orexperimentsdescribedherein.Inusingsuchinformationormethods theyshouldbemindfuloftheirownsafetyandthesafetyofothers,includingpartiesforwhomtheyhavea professionalresponsibility. Tothefullestextentofthelaw,neitherthePublishernortheauthors,contributors,oreditors,assumeanyliability foranyinjuryand/ordamagetopersonsorpropertyasamatterofproductsliability,negligenceorotherwise,or fromanyuseoroperationofanymethods,products,instructions,orideascontainedinthematerialherein. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress BritishLibraryCataloguing-in-PublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN978-0-12-820201-2 ForinformationonallAcademicPresspublications visitourwebsiteathttps://www.elsevier.com/books-and-journals Publisher:Masucci,Stacy SeniorAcquisitionsEditor:Teixeira,Rafael EditorialProjectManager:Young,SamW. ProductionProjectManager:Raviraj,Selvaraj CoverDesigner:Hitchen,Miles TypesetbySPiGlobal,India Dedication In loving memory of myfather,Florin Gorunescu If you remember me, then Idon’t care if everyone elseforgets Haruki Murakami—Kafka on the Shore Iwillalways rememberyou, Dad! Foreword This is an exceptional book. It takes the scientist learn about the human journey reader through the cancer journey of a pa- and the real potential of relevant technical tient, explaining at each stage what exactly methods to alleviate suffering. it means for the patient and where artificial Assuchthebookisstructuredthroughthe intelligence (AI) can and is helping all stages of the cancer patient journey starting concernedtounderstandwhatishappening with the initial presentation of symptoms andamelioratethejourneyandthepath.As anddiagnosisthroughpathologyandtesting such it provides a very readable, yet techni- totreatment,involvingtheroleofAIinsur- cal, description of the whole area of AI for gery,oncologyusingBigDataanddosecon- thecancerpatientjourneythatcanbeunder- trol in radiology. This is followed by an stood and enjoyed by students and re- explanation of survival analysis, including searchers from many areas of computer lots of examples and case studies, so that science, mathematics, statistics, physics, the reader can better calculate and compute and related disciplines. Overall this is book future likelihood of remission, recurrence, which combines passion and emotion with andlife-expectancyofthepatient,following a comprehensive treatment of the whole their diagnosis and treatment. In the final area, providing a very scholarly approach chapter the future of cancer research is while communicating the basic ideas in a discussed,includingtheroleofAIinpallia- clearandunderstandablemanner.Through- tive care. outtherearelotsofexamples,web-linksand Overallthisisanoutstandingbookwhich illustrations that makeit easyfor thenovice grasps its topic with enthusiasm and com- or lay-person to appreciate the concepts, passionwhileshowcasingthebreadth,depth while the more experienced reader can em- andapplicabilityofAIintreatingthecancer pathize with the patient, their family and patient, as well as inspiring and motivating the healthcare professionals while enjoying thereadertolearnmoreabouttheseexciting thebackgroundanecdotes,instancesandex- new developments and possibilities. planations. Thus, the patient can learn to understand what is happening and how to SallyMcClean interpret the evidence while the student or Portrush, Northern Ireland ix Preface Dear reader, by continuing reading this thepatientsurvive?Wecomputethemwith book you agree on embarking on a roller- survival analysis. When the miracle phrase: coaster ride that will take you through the “you are in remission” is said, we jump up ups and downs of Artificial Intelligence ap- anddownwithjoy.Butalsowefindoutthat pliedincancerresearch.Youwillpassevery thenext5yearsarecrucial.Thewordrecur- single stage that is lived by a cancer patient: rencehitsusrightinthechest.Whatarethe findingoutthatshe/heissuspectedofhaving chances that the cancer will come back? the disease, followed by all the tests, blood ArtificialIntelligenceisheretohelpuscom- work and imaging, etc. The world collapses. putetheodds.Lastbutnotleast,inthefinal But wait, a sparkle, a little light appears at chapter, we learn what might come next in theendofthetunnel.Whatisthat?Itishope cancer research and how Artificial Intelli- intheshapeofArtificialIntelligence. gence hasstarted to enter thepalliative care Step by step, we see how the doctor’s also.WhetherArtificialIntelligencecanhelp suspicion rises, and how the diagnostic is our dreams become true or not, only time set using Artificial Intelligence. After that can tell. we go into the pathology lab and watch the Thisbookisaddressedtocomputerscien- pathologistatwork.WelearnhowArtificial tists, physicians, mathematicians, and the Intelligenceisappliedinhistology,immuno- general public. I decided to write it in a histochemistry, and genetics. One step fur- friendly way, so that you will want to keep ther and we find ourselves in the operating on reading it. I wanted you to understand room seeing the surgeon resecting tumors, that Artificial Intelligence is not voodoo, after she/he preplanned the operation, notmagic,norsnakeoil.Itismathandsuper learning everything about the tumor using computational power. In some parts of can- Artificial Intelligence. The surgery is over, cer research, Artificial Intelligence is just in the patient lives, and now she/he is about thebeginning.Ihopethatinthefuture doc- tomeettherestoftheoncologyteam.Using torsanddatascientistswillcontinuetowork BigData,ArtificialIntelligencehelpstheon- togetherindiscoveringnewwaysoffighting cologist establish a tailored treatment plan, this awful disease. taking into account everything she/he Thisbookisdedicatedtomyfather,Prof. knows about the patient, from genetic data Florin Gorunescu, whom I lost in 2018 to a toher/hiswayofliving. Maybechemother- rare aggressive form of esophageal cancer. apyisnottheonlyanswer,maybeweneedto So, when I wrote every chapter I had him follow the radiotherapist, and seehow she/ in mind and in my thoughts, and I relived he can determine the right radiation dosage everything. That is why you may feel my with the aid of Artificial Intelligence. emotions floating around in the pages of Through every step of the journey we the book. I am a data scientist, and still I have only one thing in mind: what are the did not know how to understand the num- oddsofbeatingthismonster?Howlongwill bers. I wanted a miracle, and unfortunately xi xii Preface the miracle did not happen for us. So, I will the time to review this book before being saythat thisbook isdedicated to my father, published, and more especially for always andtoallthepeoplethatarestrugglingwith being my friend. Last but not least, I would thisdisease,mayyousucceedinyourbattle, liketothankmyfamilyfortheirunderstand- and to those who have lost the battle, may ing,love, and unconditional support. you allrestin peace. As a final note, thank you Dad for being I want to express my gratitude to Rafael my mentor, my friend, and for teaching me Teixeira and Samuel Young for offering me Statistics. Until we meet again, may God this great opportunity of writing this book, hold yougentle in thepalm ofHishand. and who so warmly sustained this project. Many thanks go out to Prof. Sally McClean Smaranda Belciug for always supporting me, and for taking Craiova, Romania C H A P T E R 1 Life challenge. Cancer 1.1 Cancer throughout history CancerseemslikeaRussianroulette.Itislikeeverydayyouhearthatsomeoneyouknowor heardofhasjustbeendiagnosedwithit.Itisscary.Youfeelinsecureandthinkthatyoumight benext.Youcomfortyourselfwiththoughtsthatyouoryourfamilywon’tget“hit”byit.You eattherightfood,exercise,sleepwell,takeyourmineralsandvitamins,youdonotsmoke,nor drink,andmaybe,justmaybe,youhavenofamilyhistoryrecordswithit.Still,youmighthave heardofpeoplethatneversmoked,neverate“bad”food,werefit,andZen,andstillgotcancer. Alarmiststhatsaythatthecancerratesaregoingupfuelallthesethoughts.Aretheyright,orare theyjustaddingfiretothegeneralparanoia?Shouldyouliveinfear?Webelievenot.Doesour answer mean that you will live a long and healthy life, cancer free? Not quite. According to http://ourworldindata.org/cancer(AccessedMay3,2019),canceristhesecondleadingcause of death, after cardiovascular diseases. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)—https://www.healthdata.org (Accessed May 3, 2019) states that in 2017 between 9.2and9.7milliondeathswerecausedbyvariousformsofcancer.So,thingsarenotlooking great.Now,thealarmistsstepinandsaythatinthepasttherateswerelower.Thatmaybetrue, butweshouldtakeintoaccountthefactthatnowadaysthroughscreeningtestsandnewAr- tificialIntelligence(AI)technologywedetectcancermore.Thus,beforeembarkingonourcan- cer history trip, we suggest that you take a deep breath, relax, and enjoy the moment. Carpe diem!Youneverknowwhatmightcomenext,sodonotwasteyourtimefearingit,“Whatmust be,shallbe”—Juliet,fromWilliamShakespeare’sRomeoandJuliet. There are many types of cancer. Cancer can begin in any part of the body. The moment when a cell starts growing out of control and starts crowding out the healthy cells, that is where it all begins. Due to the fact that any cell can become cancerous implies the fact that cancerisnotjustasingledisease.Cancercanstartinanyorgan,orevenintheblood.Cancer that starts in the same type of cells are somehow alike, but still they are different in what regards their speedofgrowthandspread.Thatiswhatmakeseachcancerunique,andtai- lored accordinglyto the person that has it. Cancerdevelopsinanylivingorganism,whetheritisahumanbeingorananimal.Someof the first proofs of cancer have been found in Ancient Egypt among fossilized bone tumors. 1 ArtificialIntelligenceinCancer:DiagnostictoTailoredTreatment #2020ElsevierInc.Allrightsreserved. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-820201-2.00001-5 2 1. Lifechallenge.Cancer Osteosarcoma,orbonecancer,hasbeendiscoveredinmummies(HamadaandRida,1972).In 1862,atLuxor,EdwinSmith,anAmericanEgyptologist,cameintocustodyofamedicalpa- pyrusthatwasnamedafterhisowner—theEdwinSmithPapyrus.TheEdwinSmithPapyrusis the oldest known medical recording that dates back into 1700 BC, and it is thought to be a copy of the original manuscript dated in 3000 BC. It has 4.68m in length and it is divided in17pages.In1906,Smith’sdaughtergavethepapyrustotheNewYorkHistoricalSociety. The Edwin Smith Papyrus is a surgical document. In it, there are described eight cases of breasttumorsorulcerationsthatwereremovedthroughcauterizationwiththeuseofatool called fire drill. Regarding this disease it is written, “There is no treatment”. Georg Moritz Ebers, a German Egyptologist and novelist, acquired another ancient papyrus, in Thebes in 1872. The Ebers papyrus dates back from 1500 BC, and included information regarding anincurablediseasethatproducedtumorsfoundinskin,uterus,stomach,andrectum.Com- paredtotheEdwinSmithpapyrus,thispapyrusismedical,describingpharmacological,me- chanical and magical treatments (Haas, 1999). An example of a cancer remedy is: when dealingwith“atumoragainsttheGodXenus”therecommendationis“dothounothingthere against” (Hajdu, 2011). Around 400 BC, Hippocrates named the non-ulcer forming and ulcer-forming tumors carcinosandcarcinomaaftertheGreekwordfor“crab.”RememberthatitwasKarkinos,also knownasCarcinus,thegiantcrabthathelpedHydrainthelegendbattlewithHerakles(or Hercules) at Lerna. Even if Herackles’ foot crushed Karkinos, the goddess Hera placed it amongstthestars,astheconstellationcancer.Therearesomeexplanationstowhyhechose thisname:(a)malignanttumorstogetherwiththeirbloodvesselsthathaveswollen,itsad- herents,resemblethepictureofacrabwithitslegsspreadinacircle;(b)malignanttumors havehardtissuethatremindsofthehardnessofthecrab’sshell,and(c)thepaincausedbythe tumor can beassociated with the pinch o a crab’s claw (Hajdu, 2011; Mitrus et al., 2012). In what regards the term “oncology,” the name comes from the Ancient Greek word “onkos”atragicmaskwornintheaterplaysthatsymbolizedtheburdenscarriedbytheper- sonwhoworeit.Ontheotherhand,oncosinGreekmeansswelling.Aroundtheyear200AD, theGreekphysicianGalenintroducedthemedical termonkosfor alltumor types, whether they were malignant or benign. As time passed by and Rome had fallen, Galen’s teachings regarding cancer started to reach physicians inConstantinople, Cairo, Alexandria, and Athens. While in the West, sor- cerywasusedtocurediseases,inthispartoftheworldscientistsweretryingtounderstand and explain cancer. They agreed with Hippocrates’ conclusions that cancer was a result of excessofblackbile(amedievalbeliefthatahumorsecretedbykidneysorspleenthatcaused melancholy—according to Merriam Webster dictionary—https://www.merriam-webster .com/dictionary/black%20bile—AccessedMay2,2019).Hippocrateshypothesizedthatcan- cerwascorrelatedtotheimbalanceofthefourbodyhumors:blood,phlegm,yellowbile,and blackbile.Theyalsonotedthatcancerwascurableonlyinitsearlieststages.Thetreatment was based on arsenic. Fastforwarding totheMiddleAges,duetoreligiousbeliefsthatforbiddedscientificim- provement, cancer was supposedlybe aninfectiousdisease. The excess of black bile idea continued to be present until the 16th century. During the Renaissance, scientists started performing autopsies (remember Rembrandt’s The Anatomy Lesson of Dr. Nicolaes Tulp). Andreas Vesalius, a 16th century anatomist, demonstrated that

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