Appleton & Lange's Review of EPIDEMIOLOGY & BIOSTATISTICS FOR THE USMLE . MD GANGADHAR MADUPU, MBBS, MS = APELBTON & LANGE Norwalk, Conesticut ISBN 0-9985-0046-8 Notin'T thorn god the publnher af th volume have taken cre the the Snformalion sad acme tine stale herein ere acre and eprpatible ‘ah the standards goneralysccopted at tha ne of puntication. Never, {tds aitcuth to eomsre tht all thoinfarmatin given is ential accurate Gorell ezeuartnnees ‘The publisher drain iobity, lose, or darage Incurred asa conoequence, directly ot indizeely the ube sod wpplcaton cfany ofthe coments of Dis velume. a Copyright ©1984 by Appteton & Longe ‘Berean Publahing Businoes and Proteedonal Coup Siro & Schustar Busines and Profeasinal Group ‘A ighta reserved. Tha baok, orang parte tharenf may not be used or ‘epredutod in ang manner wihost written permdmton: For flog ‘dress Appleton & Lange 25 Van Zant Stent, Boat Norwalk, Cnetiout 6885, 9405 9597 paso ST ES4S21 rentios Hal Internotione! (UH) Limited, Lonlon Prentice Hell of oetealia ty. Lila, Sycnay ‘reotice Hall Canada Ine, 7orondo ‘rootice Hell Hspaneamericar S.A, Masioo Bronte Hell of Inn Private itt, Naa Det ‘Prenle Hall etTpan, Ine, Tango loon & Schuster Auda Pox Ly Singapore [alta Panice Hall do Beal Lda. fo de Fonairo Brant Hal, Engloocod Cif, New Jersey Libvary of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Flaneghan, Baward J “Appleton & Lange's review of epidericlogy & biosatistis forthe ‘USRILE award Hanahan, Gangedhar Madu ors Inde nex, IBN 0-6058-0246 1 Bpldimislogy—Beamlnatens, questions, 2 Bierclay saminatlan, questions, et. 8. Siatistico—Uraminations, queria ola. 4 Medial reatstioe—Ssminetins, ques.o08, gE Meco, Gangedhar, 1, Title. IE. ite Aypltan and Lange's roviow of opidemiolog & biostotitics fr the UEASLE, By. Tier Epicelogy & blestatiotes fr the USE. ONLM: 1. Rpidemicegy—snaminntion gestions, & Statitiee— examination quctions, WA 1SH2460 1994], RABER.74f06 1904 pverrated DNLSEDLC sera6 ow Acgutetons Bar Jame Ls Mount ‘Production Bdtor Sondra Greenteld Designer: TopDeek Pubichere Group PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMBRICA ISeN a- 8385-0244-X ui i Contents Preface. Introduction How ta Use This Book. ‘Acknowledgments Essential Concepts. Chapter 1. Epidemiological Terminology. Chupler 2, Classifications of Epidemics. Chapter &, The 2-by-2 Table and Its Concepts, Chapter 4. Hypothesis Testing Chapter 5. Minsures af Morbidity and Slortality Chapter 6. Bpidamiotogial Study Neng and Measures EBA cnn Chapter 7. The N Chapter 8. Statistical Teste... Chapter 9. The Correlation Guclfsiont ant Regression Aualysis, Chapter 10, Practice Te Answers and Explanations Appendix A. Formula Summary. ‘Appendix B. Students t Distribution Table ‘Appendix C. Chi-square Distributiua Table.. ‘Appendix D, Commonly Used Statistical Symbols. Index Practice Test Answer Sheet. Anewers to Chapter Questions. Preface ‘This bovk hus heen wrilien primarily for medical students and {intamnational medical graduates preparing for the United States Medical Liosnsing Examinations. Itz aim is to present the core material that the modical etudent needs to euooesufully completa the epidemiology and biostatistics sections of those examinations. ‘Thia hook is not designed to he a comsprehensive text but, rather, an outline of the essentials thnt eau be xead and reviewed in a limited amet of ima, ‘The authors feel that the essentials of epidemiology and bio- statisties enn be mastered very quickly with the una of this ra- ‘view, and they sugzest that it be read from cover to cover, Gongudhar Madupa, MBBS, MB Introduction In the contemporary arena of modical certification, board exami nations administered hy the National Board of Medical Exemin- erm (NTN) have become increasingly difficult. Madieul sudeats ‘and international medical graduates ara constantly on the look ‘out for a concisa book in every subject, including epidemiology ‘and biosLaListies, to facllitate preparation for thece examinations, ‘The right kind of review must he broad in scope to permit atten- aa to the important aspects of each discipline, yet enncie enough te facilitate lewrning within time cmetraints, The United States Medical Licensing Examinations USWLR) Step 1, Slop 2, and Step 3 hav been designed to measvre comprehensive knowl edge and the ubilily to apply thot knowledge eliaically. the NBME recammends that the most appropriaie preparation is 9 gencral and thorough review of the haste and clinical seienca. ‘Mast of the backs written on the topics of epidemiology and bio statistice exceed 300 payes in length. ‘They lack the brevity Lat. time constraints necossilatc in the burgeoning enrriculam of the ‘medical examinve. Beeause questions pertaining to epidemiology and biostatistics appear in all three eteps of the USMLE, our on eavor is to inLsidues a shot, eoncise review book that (1) clearly (gets ta the paint on the essential material, (2) proscuts core mate- ial clearly and succinctly in a medically relovant and clinically ‘understandable format, and (2) most important, teste the reader swith hoard types of questions both within the topie discussions as ‘well aa in a eeparate timed examination. ‘The Baiors ond the Publisher How to Use This Book ‘Thia back assiste your proparation for the USMLE by providing aan aulline of etudy deaigns, statistion) methods, aad their clinieal significance in oonlemporusy snvdical practice, It lustrates how sthien may Int compared (ANOVA, chi-square, ¢ tes, correlie ‘Hon, and near recession analysis, and 90 on); hnss relative and attribulable sisha aud odds ratiog characterize indapandent varie fables as they relate to optcome (dependant variables), how a par~ ticular treatment regimen can be shown to he superior to another bby using standard statistical melhodclogies; how primary preven- tion atrategien revtucn the invidenco of disease, a9 Well as the mer- Fhidity and mortality associated sith neenndary und Lertiary pre- ‘ventioa; and finally, how to view a sruph, table, or chiart to Aclormine exactly what it eonvuys. All these concepts are tusted Lupies on Step 1 and Step 2 of the USNILE smd are presented here for your review in a rapid read ing format. The fuudusneutal goal of this book is to deliver a con ‘oeptuitizalion that can be ready aasimited and lu equip you swith the ability to quickly answer questions on opidemiology and ‘ioutatistis, ‘Hor those of you with a strong proficicney in these two areas of mmediicine, go straight to Appendix A, review the formulus, and proceed diruelly lo Lhe imed examination at the end of the buck. ‘After completing the test, check your angwery uid review the ap- propriate sections for the quertiona that ware answered incor eelly. For a more comprehensive reviews begin with the frst chapter and review ench lopic before taking the prectice examination, ‘Qnuw you samplete the subject review, take the praclice examina tion. Chock your answere, and review the weolions (a second time) that are appropriate for the incorrectly answered questions. ‘The authors wish to express their confidence thet the time taken by USMLE candidates to master this sbudy guide will be time wisely spent. Edward J. Hanrahan, MD a Acknowledgments I would Jike to express: my indebtedness to Elizabeth Storm, ‘PhD, MS, chairperson of the Department of Epidemivlugy and Biostatistics at Rose Univeraiy School of Medicine, without whose distinguished lectures my interest in epidemiologic and hiostatis tical methodologies in medicine might nevor have materialized. ‘To my closest frierd, Bill Beach, Til bo clernally grateful for all, his PC exportive and personal sacrifices that made this book a re- ality. And alchough it is impossible ever to adequately thunk. ny family for sll the support and encouragement that they have siven me throughout the years, Mom. . . Hove you, Rawerd J. Hanrahan, MD Tam deeply indebted to the fueulty of the Department of Social and Preventative Medicine (Epidemiology) of the State Univer- pity of New York at Buifalo, Special thanks to Tim E. Byera, MD, MPH, a distinguished cancer epidemiclogist, and Maria ulvang, PhD, biostatistician, an outstanding toncher whose de- partmaental lectures for mavter'r-level graduule studies at the State University of New York at Bullalo served as the knowledge base for thie hook. Yam also thankful to my family members, e- pecially my brother Murali for his financial agsistance during my years of schooling at Duffalo, Finally, [would dike te thank all the ‘students to whom I have taught epidemiology and biostatistics {nr providing me with the necessary experience Lo make this hook possible. Gangadhar Madupv, MEBS, MS, at CHAPTER t Epidemiological Terminology 11 Epidomiotogy Epidemiology refers to the inventiqution of factors that determine the frequency and distribution aT disease or other health-related conditions within s defined human population during a specified period. 12 Epidemics ‘An epidemic is an inereace in the incidence of disouses, condi- tions, or othar hoolih-related events in a defined human popula tion that fe eloorly in excoss of that which waa expected during a specified periud. Although the presence of the disuse or event is typically occasional in a particular eummmunity, ils opidemicity is alwaya rolative to ite penal frequency ia terms of time, place, and population, Outhreska thet affee. lange numbers of animals are referred to as epizootic. 18 Endemies Endomis are diseases, conditions, or health-velated behaviors ‘that are convtantly present in a human papolation. An endemic ‘may he referred to as the usual prevalence of an event ar ooeur- anes in a defined community, Endemies that oecasionally or sear sonally bocome epidemic are refurred to a8 endemoepidemécs, and those that are present at a high rate of incidence and affect all ages equally are called Ayperendemics. 44 Pandomics Pandemies are widesproad epidemics that achieve large geo- ‘graphic proportions, Example During the influenza pandemic of the 19th cankury, millions of ‘people neross the continents were uffevied. Today, AIDS is consid ‘ered lo be the most alarming pandemic of the century. ec Sg at Sts 1.8 Primary Prevention Primary prevention is a reduction in the incidence of disease through immunization, sanitation, education, or other means of ‘liniuating pathogenic contamination in the humen environ mont. Examples Preschool diphtheriv/pertuscivlctanus (DPT) immunization of childzen, polio and in uenza vaccinations, and so gn. QL. All the fillowing activities meot (ho criteria for primary prevention except (A) telanus vaccination for taenayers (B) measles/mornpefrubella (MALE) vaccination for fist time-pregnant mothers (©) duerifiestion of water ) pap pmuene norcening (B) sax education 16 Secondary Prevontion ‘Secondary prevention is the early detection and treatment of dise Example Pap smears for the early detection of cervical emneer and surgical interventinn i necessary. 1.7 Tertiary Prevention ‘Tertiary prevention ip tha reduction of the complications of dis- eases and the improvemant in the patient's Ievel of funelion ‘through palliative treatment and rehabilitation therapy. Example Shortly after the occurrence of hemiplegia secondary ta stroke, ‘bed care and physiotherapy are employed to prevent the develop ‘ment of decubitus ulecrs and flexion contractures, 1.8 Spectrum of an Infectious Disense "The sequence of events baginning with the exposure of a suscepti- le individu lo an pathogenic agent and ending with a patient's recovery or death is illustrated in the following diagram.