Draft Battlement Mesa HIA, Revision 1 Conducted by February 2011 Colorado School of Public Health APPENDIX D: HUMAN HEALTH RISK ASSESSMENT APPENDIX D Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment for Battlement Mesa Health Impact Assessment Prepared by: Lisa McKenzie, PhD, MPH Roxana Witter, MD, MSPH John Adgate, PhD, MSPH February 2011 Contact: Lisa McKenzie PhD, MPH Colorado School of Public Health University of Colorado Denver 13001 East 17th Place Aurora, Colorado 80045 [email protected] University of Colorado Denver, Colorado School of Public Health, Denver, Colorado Appendix D page 1 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health Disclaimer The research team that performed this work has no conflicts of interest to report, financial or otherwise. The statements made in the Health Impact Assessment and Human Health Risk Assessment are the work product of the authors and do not represent the position of any university, private company, government agency, community group or any other organization. Appendix D page 2 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health Acknowledgements The authors of this report would like to thank the following groups for their helpful assistance with this Human Health Risk Assessment: Garfield County Public Health for their previous and continuing work to promote public health in their county and for providing the numerous air studies they have conducted in the county and for the assistance in identifying other studies used for this report; Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment for their previous and continuing work in Garfield County and throughout the state of Colorado and for their review of this HHRA; Antero Resources for providing us with details of the natural gas project in Battlement Mesa and for assistance with understanding how natural gas development and production processes occur; the United States Geological Service for providing the database related to water monitoring, as well as other technical materials; and Battlement Mesa Metropolitan District for their assistance in understanding the water sources for the community. Appendix D page 3 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health TABLE OF CONTENTS Summary of Modifications: .............................................................................................. 11 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Site Description ................................................................................................... 2 1.1.1 Geology .............................................................................................................. 3 1.1.2 Population .......................................................................................................... 3 1.1.3 Economy ........................................................................................................... 4 1.1.4 Antero’s Proposed Plan............................................................................... 4 1.2 Previous Risk Assessments ................................................................................. 4 1.2.1 2002 Community-based Short-term Ambient Air Screening Study in Garfield County for Oil and Gas Related Activities (CDPHE 2002) ....................................... 5 1.2.2 2005-2007 Garfield County Air Toxics Inhalation: Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment (CDPHE 2007) .................................................................... 5 1.2.3 2008 Community Health Risk Analysis of Oil and Gas Industry Impacts in Garfield County, Colorado (Coons and Walker, 2008) ............................................. 6 1.2.4 2010 Garfield County Air Toxics Inhalation: Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment Inhalation of Volatile Organic Compounds Measured in 2008 Air Quality Monitoring Study (CDPHE 2010). ................................................................ 7 2 Data Evaluation and Selection of COPCs ................................................................. 10 2.1 Sources of data .................................................................................................. 10 2.1.1 2005 to 2007 Garfield County Ambient Air Quality Study ............................ 10 2.1.2 2008 Garfield County Air Toxics Study ......................................................... 10 2.1.3 2008 to 2010 Garfield County Ambient Air Study ......................................... 11 2.1.4 2010 Antero Sampling .................................................................................... 11 2.1.5 2010 annual groundwater quality results – Battlement Mesa Water treatment plant........................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Sample Quantitation Limit Evaluation ............................................................. 12 2.2.1 2005 to 2007 VOC data ................................................................................. 12 2.2.2 2008 to 2010 data ........................................................................................... 13 2.2.3 Groundwater data ............................................................................................ 13 2.3 Data Reduction, Summary Statistics................................................................. 13 2.3.1 Duplicate Analyses ......................................................................................... 13 2.3.2 Summary Statistics of Sample Data ................................................................ 14 2.4 Background ....................................................................................................... 14 2.5 Selection of Contaminants of Potential Concern and Exposure Point Concentrations .............................................................................................................. 15 2.5.1 Chemicals of Potential Concern Battlement Mesa Baseline Risk .................. 15 2.5.2 Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station .......................................................... 16 2.5.3 Contaminants of Potential Concern Well Completion .................................... 16 2.5.4 Chemicals of Potential Concern Grab Samples .............................................. 17 2.6 Statistical Observations for Select COPCs ....................................................... 18 2.6.1 Comparison Between Ambient Air Samples and Well Completion Samples 18 2.6.2 Observed Temporal Trends............................................................................. 19 3 Exposure Assessment................................................................................................ 20 3.1 Potentially Exposed Populations....................................................................... 20 Appendix D page 4 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health 3.2 Conceptual Site Model ...................................................................................... 20 3.3 Sources of potential contamination ................................................................... 21 3.4 Exposure Pathways ........................................................................................... 21 3.4.1. Complete Pathways ......................................................................................... 22 3.4.2 Potentially Complete Pathways ....................................................................... 22 3.5 Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations ................................................... 23 3.5.1 All Resident Chronic Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations .............. 23 3.5.2 All Residents Living Near Well Pads Chronic Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations ........................................................................................................ 25 3.5.3 All Residents Living Near Well Pads Subchronic Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations ........................................................................................................ 26 3.5.4 Child Resident Living Near Well Pad Acute Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations ........................................................................................................ 27 3.5.5 Adult Residents Living Near Well Pad Acute Exposure Assumptions and Intake Equations ........................................................................................................ 28 4 Toxicity Assessment ................................................................................................. 30 4.1 Selection of Toxicity Values ............................................................................. 30 4.1.1 Cancer Toxicity Values................................................................................... 30 4.1.2 Non-Cancer Toxicity Values .......................................................................... 31 4.2 Summary of Health Effects of COPCs ............................................................. 32 4.2.1 Acetaldehyde.................................................................................................... 32 4.2.2 Benzene ........................................................................................................... 32 4.2.3 1,3-Butadiene .................................................................................................. 33 4.2.4 Chloroform ...................................................................................................... 33 4.2.5 Crotonaldehyde ................................................................................................ 34 4.2.6 1,4-Dichlorobenzene ....................................................................................... 34 4.2.7 Ethylbenzene ................................................................................................... 35 4.2.8 Formaldehyde ................................................................................................. 35 4.2.9 n-Hexane .......................................................................................................... 36 4.2.10 2-Hexanone .................................................................................................... 36 4.2.11 Methylcyclohexane ........................................................................................ 36 4.2.12 Methylene Chloride ...................................................................................... 37 4.2.13 n-Nonane ........................................................................................................ 37 4.2.14 n-Pentane........................................................................................................ 37 4.2.15 Toluene ......................................................................................................... 38 4.2.16 Trimethylbenzenes ......................................................................................... 38 4.2.17 Xylenes ......................................................................................................... 39 5 Risk Characterization ................................................................................................ 40 5.1 Risk Estimations ............................................................................................... 40 5.1.1 Cancer Risk Estimation................................................................................... 40 5.1.2 Non-Cancer Hazard Estimation ...................................................................... 41 5.1.3 Cumulative Risks for Multiple Chemicals ....................................................... 41 5.2 Baseline Risk in Battlement Mesa Before Implementation of Antero’s Project 42 5.2.1 Ambient Air Baseline Risk ............................................................................. 42 Appendix D page 5 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health 5.3 Risk After Implementation of Antero’s Natural Gas Production Operations in Battlement Mesa ........................................................................................................... 43 5.3.1 All Battlement Mesa Residents Chronic Risk ................................................ 43 5.3.2 Residents Living Near a Well Pad .................................................................. 45 5.3.3 Subchronic Hazard - Resident Living Near Well Pad .................................... 46 5.3.4 Acute Hazard - Child Living Near Well Pad .................................................. 47 5.3.5 Acute Risk – Adults and Elderly Adults Living Near Well Pad..................... 48 6 Uncertainty in Risk Assessment ............................................................................... 49 6.1 Uncertainties in Chemical Data ........................................................................ 49 6.1.1 Battlement Mesa Monitoring Station Data ..................................................... 49 6.1.2 Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station Data .................................................. 50 6.1.3 Well Completion Data .................................................................................... 50 6.1.4 Data Collected with Noticed Odors at Residences .......................................... 51 6.1.5 Antero Sampling .............................................................................................. 52 6.1.6 Surface Water Run-off Data ............................................................................ 53 6.1.7 Background Data for Ambient Air ................................................................. 53 6.1.8 Groundwater Data ........................................................................................... 53 6.2 Uncertainty in Exposure Assessment ................................................................ 53 6.2.1 Potentially Complete Exposure Pathways Not Evaluated ............................... 53 6.2.2 Use of Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station ............................................... 54 6.2.3 Use of Well Completion Samples ................................................................... 55 6.2.4 Use of EPA Default Exposure Factor Values ................................................ 55 6.2.5 Exposure Point Concentrations ....................................................................... 56 6.2.6 Exposures for Children .................................................................................... 56 6.2.7 Exposures for Elderly Adults .......................................................................... 57 6.3 Uncertainty in the Toxicity Assessment ........................................................... 57 6.3.1 Toxicity Values ............................................................................................... 57 6.3.2 COPCs without toxicity values ........................................................................ 59 6.3.3 Potential COPCs Not Measured...................................................................... 59 6.4 Uncertainty in Risk Estimation Due to Ozone and Particulate Matter ............. 60 6.5 Uncertainty in Risk Estimation Due to Chemical Mixtures .................................. 61 7 Summary and Conclusions ....................................................................................... 63 7.1 Summary ........................................................................................................... 63 7.2 Conclusions ....................................................................................................... 64 8 Key Data Gaps .......................................................................................................... 67 9 References ................................................................................................................. 69 Appendix D page 6 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1: Comparison of MRLs for 2005-2007 Data to EPA RSLs Table 2-2: Comparison of MRLs from 2008 to 2010 Data to EPA RSLs Table 2-3: Comparison of MRLs for Groundwater Data Table 2-4: Summary Statistics and Selection of COPCs by Comparison to EPA RSLs September to November 2010 Ambient Air Data Collected from Battlement Mesa Table 2-5: Summary Statistics and Selection of COPCs by Comparison to EPA RSLs 2005 -2010 Ambient Air Data Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station Table 2-6: Summary Statistics and Selection of COPCs by Comparison to EPA Well Completion Operations 2008, 2010 Table 2-7: Summary Statistics and Selection of COPCs by Comparison to EPA RSLs Odor Events 2005 to 2007, 2010 Grab Samples Table 2-8: Ambient Air Summary Statistics for Background Samples 2005 to 2008 Table 2-9: 95% UCLs and Selection of EPCs September to November 2010 Battlement Mesa Monitoring Station Table 2-10: 95% UCLs and Selection of EPCs for Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station 2005 to 2010 Table 2-11: 95% UCLs and Selection of EPCs for Well Completion 2008 and 2010 Table 2-12: Comparison of Means between Well Completion Samples and Bell-Melton Ranch Samples Table 3-1: Cancer and Non-cancer Air Intake Values for Battlement Mesa Baseline Risk Table 3-2: Cancer and Non-cancer Air Intake Values for Chronic and Subchronic Exposures Bell-Melton Ranch Table 3-3: EPCs and Surface Water Intakes for Acute Exposure of Child Resident Table 4-1: Cancer and Non-cancer Inhalation Toxicity Values Table 4-2: Contaminants of Potential Concern without Toxicity Values Table 4-3: Oral/Dermal Non-cancer Toxicity Factors Appendix D page 7 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health Table 4-4: Target Organ/Systems for Non-cancer COPCs Table 5-1: Baseline Risk Characterization for all Battlement Mesa Residents Table 5-2: Comparison of EPCs to BTVs Table 5-3: Chronic Risk Characterization for All Battlement Mesa Residents – 30 year Duration Table 5-4: Chronic Risk Characterization for Residents Living Near a Well Pad – 30 year Duration Table 5-5: Subchronic Risk Characterization for All Residents Near a Well Pad – 20 month Duration Table 5-6: Acute Risk Characterization for Child Resident Living Near a Well Pad – 7- day Duration Table 5-7: Acute Risk Characterization for Adult and Elderly Resident Living Near a Well Pad – 7-day Duration Table 6-1: Chemicals Identified from Antero’s MSDS Table 7-1: Summary of Risk Characterization LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2-1: Temporal Trends of BTEX at Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Station – 2005 to 2010 Figure 2-2: Temporal Trends for Carbonyls Bell Melton Ranch Monitoring Station – 2008 to 2010 Figure 3-1: Conceptual Site Model for Battlement Mesa Health Impact Assessment Figure 3-2: Domestic water supply and proposed well pad locations. Figure 3-3: Locations of Baseline and Bell-Melton Ranch Monitoring Stations Figure 7-1: Summary of Non-cancer Health Hazards Figure 7-2: Summary of Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk Appendix D page 8 Appendix D Screening Level Human Health Risk Assessment February 2011 Battlement Mesa, Colorado Health Impact Assessment Colorado School of Public Health ACRONYMS AI: air intake Antero: Antero Resources Corporation APCD: Air Pollution Control Division AT: averaging time ATSDR: Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry Bgs: below ground surface BMC: Battlement Mesa Company BTEX: benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene BTV: background threshold value BW: body weight CDPHE: Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment cm2 : square centimeters COGCC: Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission COPC: contaminant of potential concern CSM: conceptual site model DNPH: 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine ED: exposure duration EF: exposure frequency ET: exposure time EPA: United States Environmental Protection Agency EPC: exposure point concentration ERG: Eastern Research Group GCPHD: Garfield County Public Health Department HHRA: Human Health Risk Assessment HI: hazard index HIA: Health Impact Assessement HQ: hazard quotient IRIS: Integrated Risk Information System kg: kilogram IUR: inhalation unit risk L: liter MEI: maximum exposed individual MRL: method reporting limit NAAQS: National Ambient Air Quality Standard NIOSH: National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health PAH: polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon PAR: population attributable risk PM: particulate matter PM : particulate matter of 2.5 microns or less 2.5 PM : particulate matter of ten microns or less 10 ppb: parts per billion ppm: parts per million PPRTVs: Provisional Peer-Reviewed Toxicity Values PRG: preliminary remediation goal Appendix D page 9
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