CONTENTS LISTOFCONTRIBUTORS vii PREFACE ix CONSUMERS,ECONOMICS,ANDANTITRUST JohnB.Kirkwood 1 TITANAGONISTES:THEWEALTHEFFECTSOFTHE STANDARDOIL(N.J.)CASE MichaelReksulak,WilliamF.ShughartII,RobertD. TollisonandAtinBasuchoudhary 63 SUCCESSFULMONOPOLIZATIONTHROUGHPREDATION: THENATIONALCASHREGISTERCOMPANY KennethBrevoortandHowardP.Marvel 85 THEMORTONANDINTERNATIONALSALTCASES: DISCOUNTSONSALESOFTABLESALT JohnL.Peterman 127 INJUNCTIVERELIEFINSHERMANACT MONOPOLIZATIONCASES RobertW.CrandallandKennethG.Elzinga 277 UNITEDSHOEMACHINERYREVISITED RogerD.BlairandJillBoylstonHerndon 345 ANECONOMICJUSTIFICATIONFORAPRICESTANDARD INMERGERPOLICY:THEMERGEROFSUPERIOR PROPANEANDICGPROPANE RichardO.ZerbeJr.andSunnyKnott 409 v vi VERTICALMERGERSANDMARKETFORECLOSURE WilliamS.ComanorandPatrickRey 445 THECOMPETITIVE-NEIGHBORSAPPROACHTO ANALYZINGDIFFERENTIATEDPRODUCTMERGERS PaulA.Johnson,JamesLevinsohnandRichardS.Higgins 459 SETTLINGTHECONTROVERSYOVERPATENT SETTLEMENTS:PAYMENTSBYTHEPATENTHOLDER SHOULDBEPERSEILLEGAL CristoferLefflerandKeithLeffler 475 PREFACE As readers have noticed, the last several volumes of Research in Law and Economics have consisted of special issue volumes. This will continue. This volume is one of the best. Jack Kirkwood put this volume together with modest assistance from me. I believe this is an outstanding volume and expect to meet thehighstandardsethereinfuturevolumes. RichardO.Zerbe,Jr. Editor ix CONSUMERS, ECONOMICS, AND ANTITRUST John B. Kirkwood ABSTRACT This is the first paper in a volume devoted exclusively to antitrust law and economics.Itsummarizestheotherpapersandaddressestwoissues.First, after showing that the federal courts generally view consumer welfare as the ultimate goal of antitrust law, it asks what they mean by that term. It concludes that recent decisions appear more likely to equate consumer welfare with the well-being of consumers in the relevant market than with economicefficiency.Second,itaskswhetherabuyermustpossessmonopsony powertoinduceapricediscriminationthatisnotcostjustified.Itconcludes that a buyer can often obtain an unjustified concession simply by wielding bargainingpower,buttheresultingconcessionmayfrequently–thoughnot always–improveconsumerwelfare. INTRODUCTION Antitrust is finding its bearings. After decades of debate about its aims and methods,antitrustlawhaslargelyadoptedasinglegoalandasinglemethodology. Today, most courts and commentators agree that the ultimate purpose of the antitruststatutesisnottoprotectrivalsbuttobenefitconsumers.1Itisalsowidely acceptedthatthemostusefultoolfordeterminingwhetherconsumershavebeen helpedorharmediseconomicanalysis.2 AntitrustLawandEconomics ResearchinLawandEconomics,Volume21,1–62 Copyright©2004byElsevierLtd. Allrightsofreproductioninanyformreserved ISSN:0193-5895/doi:10.1016/S0193-5895(04)21001-6 1 2 JOHNB.KIRKWOOD Within this consensus, however, disagreements remain. While there is little doubt that the overarching goal of antitrust is consumer welfare, there is a significant split over the definition of the term.3 One view holds that consumer welfare should mean economic efficiency. Under this view, the ultimate goal of antitrust law is not simply, or even primarily, to protect consumers, but to enhance the efficiency of the economy – that is, to increase the total economic value that society derives from its limited resources. Since total value includes value realized by producers as well as value obtained by consumers, under this definitionitispossiblefor“consumerwelfare”toincreaseeventhoughconsumers are harmed. The goal of efficiency analysis is to maximize the total “wealth” of society,regardlessofhowitisdistributed. Theprincipalalternativeviewholdsthatconsumerwelfareshouldreferexclu- sivelytothewelfareofconsumers–thosewhopurchasetheproductsorservices soldintherelevantmarket.4 Underthisview,theultimatepurposeofantitrustis to protect consumers from exploitation. More precisely, antitrust should prevent firmsfromusingpracticesthatincreasetheirmarketpower–theirpowertocharge prices above the competitive level – unless such conduct would, on balance, benefitconsumersintherelevantmarket.Moresimply,thegoalofantitrustisto ensure,wheneverpossible,thatconsumerspaycompetitivepricesfortheproducts and services they purchase.5 This view of consumer welfare is also limited: it takesnoaccountofresourcesavingsorotherefficienciesthatbenefittheoverall economybutdonotimprovethewell-beingofconsumersintherelevantmarket. The second element of the antitrust consensus – the role of economics – also generatesdisagreements.Whilefewwouldquestiontheimportanceofeconomics incontemporaryantitrustanalysis,therearefrequentdebatesabouttheeconomic impactofspecificpractices.AsCarltonandPerloffobserve(2000,p.605): Evenifoneacceptsthepropositionthatthegoaloftheantitrustlawsistopromoteefficiency, economistsoftenhavedifficultydeterminingwhichpracticesresultininefficientbehavior. Theapplicationofeconomicstoantitrustlawis,inshort,aworkinprogress. Thisvolumeprovidesaforumfortheeconomicresearchneededtocontinuethat progress.Itcontainstenpapersdevotedexclusivelytoantitrustlawandeconomics. InPartIofthispaper,Idescribethenineotherpapersinthisvolume,summarizing theirapproaches,theirconclusions,andtheirsignificanceforthedevelopmentof antitrust. In Part II, I address the debate over the meaning of consumer welfare, an issue that potentially affects all areas of antitrust but has particular impact onmergeranalysis.InPartIII,Iexamineanissuethatisraisedbutnotresolved by one of the papers; namely, whether a buyer needs to have monopsony power in order to induce a price discrimination that is not cost justified – the core of a Robinson-Patman violation. After answering that question, I assess whether Consumers,Economics,andAntitrust 3 non-cost-justified discrimination induced by a large buyer is likely to hurt or improveconsumerwelfare. PartI–TheEconomicResearchPapers Written by some of the most distinguished scholars in antitrust today, the nine economic research papers in this volume reflect the consensus described above. They uniformly assume that the goal of antitrust is consumer welfare and that economicanalysisisavitaltoolinachievingthatgoal.Inaddition,theyhelpto resolvedebatesthatsurroundeachelement. Several papers shed light on the meaning of consumer welfare. One paper advances the debate by exploring a new measure of efficiency that assigns a value to preventing consumer exploitation. Another focuses almost entirely on consumer prices, rather than technical efficiency, in assessing the welfare implicationsof10monopolizationorders. Allninepapersevaluatetheeconomicimpactofspecificpractices.Indoingso, thepaperslooktothepastaswellasthefuture.Fiveofthearticlesevaluateolder antitrustcasestodeterminewhetherthedecisionsreached,thereliefordered,or both, enhanced consumer welfare. The verdicts are striking. After extensive re- viewsoftheevidence,theauthorsconcludethathardlyanycasehelpedconsumers oreconomicefficiency,andsomehurtboth.Outofthe14antitrustcasesexamined, onlyoneseemstohavehadapositiveimpact.Inthatcase,BrevoortandMarvel concludethatadominantfirmbuiltandmaintaineditspositionthroughnon-price predation,andtheorderenteredagainstthefirmmostlikelypromotednewentry. These papers provide strong evidence for the proposition that many older antitrustcasesdidnotproduceadiscernibleimprovementinconsumerwelfareand somemayhaveactuallyharmedconsumers.Significantly,the13casesreviewed inthisvolumewerealldecidedbefore1965.Inthatperiod,consumerwelfarewas notthegenerallyacceptedgoalofantitrustlawandeconomicanalysishadneither the importance nor the sophistication it has today. It was not until 1977 that the SylvaniaCourtelevatedtheimportanceofeconomicanalysisbyinsistingthatper secondemnationofacategoryofpracticesmustreston“demonstrableeconomic effect.”6Twoyearslater,theCourtdeclared–forthefirsttime–thattheSherman Actwasa“consumerwelfareprescription.”7 Academiccommentaryalsoshifted in the late 1970s. From 1976 to 1978, Posner, Bork and Areeda each published seminaltreatisesarguingthatantitrustlawshouldbedominatedbyasinglegoal (consumerwelfare)andasinglemethodology(economicanalysis).8 Giventhese developments,itisnotsurprisingthatKwokaandWhite(1989)contendthatan “antitrustrevolution”beganinthemid-1970s. 4 JOHNB.KIRKWOOD By chronicling the shortcomings of earlier decisions, the historical papers provide further support for the antitrust revolution. Moreover, the findings and insights in these papers should make it easier for future antitrust courts to reach decisions that improve consumer welfare. For example, Crandall and Elzinga’s paperonreliefinmonopolizationcasesidentifiesnumerousobstaclestoeffective antitrust relief, serving as a caution to modern-day enforcement. The Peterman paper similarly identifies ways in which Robinson-Patman enforcement may harm consumers. In Part III, I suggest several ways in which enforcement may promoteconsumerwelfare. Thefourremainingpapersinthisvolumeapplyeconomicanalysistocontem- poraryissues.ThefirstpaperanalyzesarecentCanadianmergerthatwasapproved bytheCanadianCompetitionTribunallargelybecauseitwouldincreaseeconomic efficiency.Applyingthetraditionalmeasureofefficiency,theTribunalcalculated that the merger’s cost savings would outweigh its adverse impact on prices. Zerbe and Knott critique this measure because it gives no weight to consumer exploitation–tothetransferofwealthfromconsumerstoproducers.Tocorrect forthis,theauthorsutilizeanewmeasureofefficiencythattakeswealthtransfers intoaccountsolongaspeoplewouldbewillingtopaytoavoidthem.Usingthis measure,theauthorsconcludethatthemergermayhavereducedefficiency. The final three papers apply economic analysis to several perennial antitrust issues:theimpactofverticalforeclosure,mergersofdifferentiatedproducts,and misuseofpatents.Thefirstpaperexplainsanewwayinwhichverticalforeclosure can enhance the market power of an upstream supplier. The second refines an innovative technique for identifying substitutes among a set of differentiated productsandexplainshowthetechniquecanimprovemergeranalysis.Thefinal paper confronts an especially contentious policy issue – the treatment of patent settlements in which the patent holder pays the challenger to exit the market. Relyingonbotheconomicanalysisandbasicprinciplesofpatentlaw,Lefflerand Lefflerarguethatsuchsettlementsshouldbeperseillegal. Theseninepaperssuggestthatantitrustisontherighttrack–thataconsumer oriented,economicallydrivenapproachtoantitrustlawisappropriate.Theyalso underscoretheimportanceofeconomicresearchinimplementingthisapproach. PartII–TheMeaningofConsumerWelfare Whilemosteconomistsandcourtsagreethattheultimategoalofantitrustiscon- sumer welfare, there is less agreement on the meaning of the term. Though the issue underlies most of antitrust law and is critical to the efficiency defense in mergercases,thecourtsrarelyaddressitexplicitly. Consumers,Economics,andAntitrust 5 Robert Bork is the chief proponent of the view that consumer welfare should meaneconomicefficiency.Inaclassicpaper(1966)andapopularbook(1978), Borkarguedthatthe“wholetaskofantitrustcanbesummedupastheefforttoim- proveallocativeefficiencywithoutimpairingproductiveefficiencysogreatlyasto produceeithernogainoranetlossinconsumerwelfare”(1978,p.91).Headded: “Thesetwotypesofefficiencymakeuptheoverallefficiencythatdeterminesthe levelofoursociety’swealth,orconsumerwelfare”(ibid.emphasisadded). Bork’s definition of consumer welfare adopts the traditional measure of economic efficiency.9 Under this standard, a practice that reduces costs will increaseconsumerwelfareevenifitraisespricessolongasthegainstoproducers (from the lower costs and higher prices) exceed the losses to consumers (from thehigherprices).10 Thisdefinitionofconsumerwelfare,inshort,focusesonthe economyasawholeratherthanonconsumers.11 Bork’s principal opponent is Professor Robert Lande. In 1978, when Bork’s book began to create a stir, Lande was a staff attorney in the policy office of the Bureau of Competition of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). As head ofthatoffice,Iaskedhimtoprepareanindependentanalysisofthegoalsofthe antitrust laws, based on a fresh reading of the legislative histories. His findings andsupportinganalysisweresoacute–andrevolutionary–thattheHastingsLaw Journalpublishedarevisedversionofhispaper(Lande,1982),anditbecameone ofthemostcitedpieceseverpublishedbythatperiodical.12 Lande concluded that in passing the antitrust laws, Congress was interested, asBorkcontended,infurtheringeconomicefficiency.Itwasalsoconcernedwith varioussocialandpoliticalgoals.Butitsdominantobjectivewasneithereconomic efficiencynoranysocialorpoliticalvalue.Instead,accordingtoLande,Congress wanted above all to prevent firms from exploiting consumers. To put it more precisely,Congress’soverarchinggoalwastostopfirmsfromusingunfairtactics to acquire or preserve market power and thereby force consumers to pay higher prices. As Lande wrote recently, the “overriding concern was that consumers shouldnothavetopaypricesabovethecompetitivelevel”(1999,pp.961–962).13 Inconcept,Lande’sinterpretationofconsumerwelfarecontrastssharplywith Bork’s.WhileBorkfocusesoneconomicefficiency,Landefocusesprimarilyon prices in the relevant market. Lande illustrates the difference by describing how his approach would alter “the fundamental question asked in merger analysis.” Landestates(1999,p.962): Insteadofasking,“isthemergerlikelytobeefficient,”[myapproachwouldask],“isthemerger likelytoleadtohigherconsumerprices?”14 Lande’s interpretation of congressional intent has been highly influential in certain arenas. His original article has been cited in at least 285 other law 6 JOHNB.KIRKWOOD review articles15 and has garnered considerable support among law professors. EvenJudgeandformerprofessorFrankEasterbrook,closelyassociatedwiththe economicallyorientedChicagoSchool,appearstohavetakenLande’ssideinthis dispute(1986,pp.1702–1703): Thechoice[Congress]sawwasbetweenleavingconsumersatthemercyoftrustsandautho- rizingthejudgestoprotectconsumers.Howeveryouslicethelegislativehistory,thedominant themeistheprotectionofconsumersfromovercharges.16 According to Lande’s recent paper (1999, pp. 963–966), 25 antitrust professors, virtually all lawyers and many leading figures in the field (e.g. Philip Areeda), haveendorsedhisconstruction. The United State Department of Justice and the FTC have also adopted Lande’s view in their important Horizontal Merger Guidelines (1992, revised 1997), almost without reservation. In the latest revisions, the Guidelines state that efficiencies cannot save an otherwise anticompetitive merger unless the efficiencies are sufficient to prevent an adverse impact on consumers.17 Thus, if thegovernmentcanshowthatamergerwouldcauseasignificantpriceincreasein theabsenceofanycostsavings,themergingpartiescannotjustifythetransaction by demonstrating cost savings unless they can show that these cost reductions wouldalterthemergedfirm’spricingcalculusandcauseittorefrainfromaprice increase.Bymakingtheimpactonconsumersintherelevantmarketthelitmustest ofalikelymergerchallenge–andvirtuallyignoringimpactonproducercostsand economicefficiencyasindependentvalues–thefederalagencieshaveessentially embracedLande’sandrejectedBork’sdefinitionofconsumerwelfare.18 AlthoughLande’sinterpretationofCongressionalintenthasswayedmanylaw professorsaswellasthefederalenforcementagencies,ithasmadelessheadway among courts and economists. As of 1999, Lande could cite only three federal court decisions that referenced his revolutionary article, none more recently than 1988. Similarly, his list of professorial endorsements included only three economists.19 Why so little support in the courts and economics departments? HasBork’sviewconqueredwhereitcounts–amongthejudiciary? PartIIexaminesrecentfederaldecisionsandconcludesthattheyhavenotpicked BorkoverLande.Tothecontrary,whilethecourtshavenotsettledonadefinition of consumer welfare, they seem more concerned with preventing consumer exploitation than promoting economic efficiency. Indeed, in the one area where thetwoscholars’viewsplainlyconflict–theefficienciesdefenseinmergercases –thecourtshave,withoutcitingLande’sanalysis,overwhelminglyadoptedit. In contrast, the economics papers in this volume, to the extent they define welfare, almost always equate it with economic efficiency. Several papers, however,displayaheightenedsensitivitytotheimpactofapracticeororderon Consumers,Economics,andAntitrust 7 consumersintherelevantmarket.Intwoofthesepapers,thisaddedattentiondoes notaltertheultimateresult:whethertheauthorsfocusoneconomicefficiencyor consumerexploitation,theirconclusionsarethesame.Inthethirdpaper,though, theauthorsapplyanewmeasureofefficiency–ameasurethatassignsavalueto preventingconsumerexploitation–andconcludethatitcouldchangethewelfare evaluationofarecentmerger. PartIII–BuyerPower,ConsumerWelfareandtheRobinson-PatmanAct Theantitrustlawthatisleastlikelytopromoteconsumerwelfare,whetherviewed aseconomicefficiencyortheabsenceofconsumerexploitation,istheRobinson- PatmanAct.ThisDepression-erastatuteprohibitssellers,incertaininstances,from favoringsomeoftheircustomerswithpriceorpromotionalconcessionsthatthey do not extend to competing customers. Of all the antitrust laws, the Robinson- PatmanActisthemostunabashedinitsfavoritismofsmallbusiness. In Morton Salt – one of the earliest and most important cases decided under theAct–theSupremeCourtdeclaredthatthestatute’sgoalwastopreventlarge buyersfromgaininganadvantageovertheirsmallerrivals: ThelegislativehistoryoftheRobinson-PatmanActmakesitabundantlyclearthatCongress consideredittobeanevilthatalargebuyercouldsecureacompetitiveadvantageoverasmall buyersolelybecauseofthelargebuyer’squantitypurchasingability.20 This concern for “competitive advantage,” rather than consumer impact or economic efficiency, led the Court to adopt what is called the “Morton Salt inference,” which essentially allows judges to infer competitive injury from a substantialandsustainedpricedifferential. More recently, as the purpose and approach of antitrust law has shifted, both the Morton Salt inference and the Act itself have been heavily criticized as protectionist of small business, anticompetitive and ultimately harmful to consumers.Asaresult,federalandstateantitrustauthoritieshavelargelystopped enforcingtheAct,thoughprivateenforcementcontinues. In his landmark analysis of Morton Salt, published in this volume, John Peterman concludes, based on the evidence in the record, that the inference of competitiveinjurywasunjustifiedinthatcase.Hisfindingsindicatethatthesalt manufacturers’ discounts were procompetitive and enhanced consumer welfare. Like so many other critiques of the Act, his paper raises the question whether Robinson-Patmanenforcementcaneverbenefitconsumers. In Part III, I examine that issue by focusing on the core elements of a secondary-lineRobinson-Patmanviolation.21Despiteitsshortcomings(bothreal
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