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ANTARCTIC AmericanG eophysicaUl nion RESEARCH SERIES Antarctic Research Series Volumes 28 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasV III D. L. Pawson, L. S. Korniker (Eds.) 29 Upper AtmosphereR esearchi n Antarctica L.J. 1 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasI Milton O. Lee Lanzerotti,C . G Park (Eds.) 30 Terrestrial BiologyI I B. Parker (Ed.) 2 Antarctic Snow and lce StudiesM . Mellor (Ed.) 31 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasI X L. S. Kornicker 3 PolychaetaE rrantia of Antarctica O. Hartman ((cid:127)a.) 32 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX L. S. Kornicker 4 Geomagnetisma nd Aeronomy A. H. Waynick ((cid:127)a.) 33 Dry ValleyD rilling Project L. D. McGinnis( Ed.) 5 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasI I GA. Llano (Ed.) 34 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX i L. S. Korniker 6 Geologya nd Paleontologyo f the Antarctic J. B. Hadley (Ed.) 35 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX II D. Pawson 7 PolychaetaM yzostomidaea nd Sedentariao f Antarctica O. Hartman (Ed.) 36 Geologyo f the Central Transantarctic 8 Antarctic Soils and Soil Forming Processes (cid:127). Mountains M.D. TurnerJ, . E Splettstoesse(Er ds.) C. E Tedrow( Ed.) 37 Terrestrial Biologyi I1 B. Parker (Ed.) 9 Studiesi n Antarctic Meteorology M. J. Rubin 38 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX lII [crinoids, hydrozoa,c opepodsa, mphipodal L. S. Korniker 10 Entomologyo f Antarctica J. L. Gressit( Ed.) 11 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasI ll GA. Llano, W. 39 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX IV L. S. L. Schmitt( Eds.) Kornicker( Ed.) 12 Antarctic Bird StudiesO . L. Austin,d r. (Ed.) 40 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasK V L. S. Korniker 13 Antarctic Ascidiacea P. Kon (Ed.) 14 Antarctic Cirripedia W.A . Newman,A . Ross 41 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX VI L. S. Korniker 15 Antarctic OceanologyI L. Reid (Ed.) 42 The RossI ce Shelf: Glaciology and Geophysics 16 Antarctic Snow and Ice StudiesI I A. P Crary C. R. BentleyD, . E. Hayes (Eds.) 43 Oceanologyo f the Antarctic ContinentalS helf S. 17 Biologyo f the AntarcticS easI V GA. Llano,I . Jacobs( Ed.) E. Wallen( Eds.) 44 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasK Vii [benthics ati- 18 Antarctic Pinnipedia W.H . Butt (Ed.) afion, brittle star feeding,p elagics hrimps, 19 Antarctic OceanologyI I: The Australian-New marine birdsl L. S. Korniker (Ed.) Zealand Sector D. E. Hayes (Ed.) 45 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasK VIII, Crustacea 20 Antarctic Terrestrial Biology GA. Llano (Ed.) Tanaidacea of the Antarctic and the 21 Recent Antarctic and SubantarcticB rachiopods Subantarctic 1. On Material Collected at Tierra M. W.F oster (Ed.) del Fuego,I sla de los Estados,a nd the West 22 Human Adaptability to Antarctic ConditionsE . Coast of the Antarctic Peninsula L. S. Korniker K. Eric Gunderson( Ed.) 23 Biology of the Antarctic SeasV D. L. Pawson 46 GeologicalI nvestigationsi n Northern Victoria Land E. Stump( Ed.) 24 Birds of the Antarctic and Sub-Antarctic G E. 47 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX iX [copepods, Watson(E d.) teleostsl L. S. Korniker (Ed.) 25 MeteorologicalS tudiesa t Plateau Station, 48 Volcanoes of the Antarctic Plate and Southern Antarctica J. Businger( Ed.) Oceans W.E . LeMasurierd, . W. Thomson(E ds.) 26 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasV I D. L. Pawson 49 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasX X, Antarctic SiphonophoresF rom Plankton Sampleso f the 27 Biologyo f the Antarctic SeasV II D. L. Pawson United StatesA ntarctic Research Program L. S. Kornicker (Ed.) 50 Contributions to Antarctic Research I D. H. 66 Volcanologicala nd Environmental Studies of Elliot (Ed.) Mt. Erebus P R. Kyle (Ed.) 51 Mineral Resources Potential of Antarctica (cid:127) E 67 Contributions to Antarctic Research IV D. H. SplettstoesseGr,A . M. Dreschhoff( Eds.) Elliot, G L. Blaisdell (Eds.) 52 Biology of the Antarctic SeasX XI lannelids, 68 Geologya nd SeismicS tratigraphy of the mites, leechesl L. S. Korniker (Ed.) Antarctic Margin A. K. Cooper,P E Barker, G 53 Contributions to Antarctic Research I1 D. H. Brancolini (Eds.) Elliot (Ed.) 69 Biology of the Antarctic SeasX XIV, Antarctic 54 Marine Geologicala nd GeophysicalA tlas of the and Subantarctic Pycnogonida:N ymphonidae, Circum-Antarcfic to 30ES D. E. Hayes (Ed.) ColossendeidaeR, hynchothoraxida, 55 Molluscan Systematicsa nd Biostratigraphy Pycnogonidae,P hoxichilidiidae, Endeididae, Lower Tertiary La Meseta Formation, Seymour and Callipallenidae S. D. Cairns (Ed.) Island, Antarctic Peninsula (cid:127) D. Stilwell, W.J. 70 Foundations for Ecological Research West of the Zinsmeister Antarctic Peninsula R. M. Ross,E . E. Holmann, 56 The Antarctic PaleoenvironmentA: Perspective L. B. Quetin (Eds.) on Global Change, Part One (cid:127) R Kennett,D . ,4. 71 Geology and SeismicS tratigraphy of the Warnk e (Eds.) Antarctic Margin, Part 2 P E Barker,A . K. 57 Contributions to Antarctic Research Ill D. H. Cooper( Eds.) Elliot (Ed.) 72 EcosystemD ynamics in a Polar Desert: The 58 Biology of the Antarctic SeasX XII S. D. Cairns McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica John C. Priscu (Ed) 59 Physical and BiogeochemicalP rocessesin 73 Antarctic Sea Ice: Biological Processes, Antarctic Lakes W.J. Green, E. L Friedmann Interactions and Variability Michael P Lizotte, Kevin R. Arrigo (Eds.) 60 The Antarctic Paleoenvironment:A Perspective 74 Antarctic Sea Ice: Physical Processes, on Global Change, Part Two J. P Kennett,D . A. Interactions and Variability Martin O. Jeffries Warnke( Eds.) ((cid:127)a.) 61 Antarctic Meteorology and Climatology: Studies 75 Ocean, lce and Atmosphere: Interactions at the Based on Automatic Weather Stations D. H. Continental Margin StanleyS . Jacobs,R ay E Bromwich,C . R. Steams( Eds.) Weiss( Eds.) 62 Ultraviolet Radiation in Antarctica: 76 Paleobiologya nd Paleoenvironmentso f Eocene Measurementsa nd BiologicalE ffects C.S. Rocks, McMurdo Sound,E ast Antarctica Jeffrey WeilerP, A. Penhale (Eds.) D. Stilwell,R odneyM . Feldmann( Eds.) 63 Biology of the Antarctic SeasX XIV, Antarctic 77 The West Antarctic Ice Sheet: Behavior and and Subantarctic Pycnogonida:A mmotheidae Environment RichardB . Alley and RobertA . and Austrodecidae S. D. Cairns (Ed.) Bi ndschadler(E ds.) 64 Atmospheric Halos W. Tape 78 Biogeochemistryo f the Ross Sea GiacomoR . 65 Fossil Scleractinian Corals From James Ross DiTullio and RobertB . Dunbar(Eds.) Basin, Antarctica H. E Filkorn ANTARCTIC Volume 7.9 RESEARCH SERIES AntarcticP eninsulaC limateV ariability Historical and PaleoenvironmentaPl erspectives EugeneD omack,A my Leventer,A dam Burnett,R obertB indschadler, PeterC onvey,a nd Matthew Kirby Editors AmericaGne ophysiUcnali on WashingtonD, .C. 2003 ANTARCTIC PENINSULA CLIMATE VARIABILITY: HISTORICAL AND PALEOENVIRONMENTAL PERSPECTIVES EugeneD omack,A my Leventer,A dam Burnett,R obertB indschadlerP, eterC onvey,a ndM atthew Kirby, Editors Publishedu ndert he aegiso f the Board of AssociateD irectors,A ntarcticR esearchS eries Library of CongressC ataloging-in-Publication Data AntarcticP eninsulac limatev ariability:historical andp aleoenvironmentaple rspectives/ EugeneD omack... [et al.], editors. p. cm.- (Antarcticr esearchs eries; v. 79) Includesb ibliographicarle ferences. ISBN 0-87590-973-6 1. AntarcticP eninsula( Antarctica)--Climate.2 . Climate changes--Antarctica--Antarctic Peninsula.3 . Glaciers--Antarctica--AntarcticP eninsula.I . Domack, Eugene,1 956- II. Series. QC994.9.A59 2003 551.69989--dc22 2003060053 ISBN 0-87590-973-6 ISSN 0066-4634 Front cover: View from the bridgew ing of the R VIB NathanielB . Palmer lookings outhwesat crossB orkowskiB ay towardst he Nordensk61dC oasta nd the Drygalski Glacier.B orkowskiB ay is the area formerly coveredb y the LarsenA Ice Shelf. Imaged May 19, 2000. ¸2000 Dave Tewksbury Back cover: False color compositeo f LANDSAT 7 image acquiredF ebruary2 000 usingb ands2 ,3 & 5. Copyright2 003 by the AmericanG eophysicaUl nion 2000 Florida Avenue, N.W. Washington,D C 20009 Figures,t ables,a nd shorte xcerptsm ay be reprintedi n scientificb ooksa ndj ournalsi f the sourcei s properlyc ited. Authorizationt o photocopyi tems for internalo r personalu se, or the internalo r personalu se of specificc lients,i s grantedb y theA mericanG eophysicaUl nion for librariesa ndo theru sersr egisteredw ith the CopyrightC learanceC enter( CCC) Transactional ReportingS ervice,p rovidedt hat the basef ee of $01.50 per copyp lus$ 0.50 per pagei s paid directlyt o CCC, 222 RosewoodD r., Danvers,M A 01923. 0066-4634/03/$01.50+0.50. This consentd oesn ot extendt o otherk inds of copying,s ucha s copyingf or creatingn ew collectivew orks or for resale.T he reproductiono f multiplec opiesa ndt he useo f full articleso r the useo f extractsi,n cludingf iguresa ndt ables,f or commerciapl ur- posesr equiresp ermissionf rom the American GeophysicaUl nion. Publishedb y American GeophysicaUl nion 2000 Florida Avenue, N.W. WashingtonD, .C. 20009 Printed in the United States of America. CONTENTS Preface Eugene I/ED omack ix Introduction EnvironmentalS ettingo f the Antarctic Peninsula Eugenel IED. omack,A damB urnett,a nd Amy Leventer Meteorological Record and Modeling Results 15 AntarcticP eninsulaC limateV ariabilitya ndi ts Causesa sR evealedb y Analysiso f InstrumentaRl ecords d.C. King, d. Turner,G d. Marshall, lIEM. . Cormally,a nd T. A. Lachlan-Cope 17 Regionala ndL arge-ScaleIn fluenceso nA ntarcticP eninsulaC limate Ian Simmonds 31 Responsoe f WintertimeA ntarcticT emperaturetso theA ntarcticO scillation: Resultso f a RegionalC limateM odel Michiel R. Vand en Broekea nd Nicole P M. van Lipzig 43 Glacio!ogical Climate Relationships 59 Spatiala ndT emporaVl ariationo f SurfaceT emperaturoe n theA ntarcticP eninsula and the Limit of Variability of Ice Shelves Elizabeth M. Morris and David G. Vaughan 61 ImpactA ssessmenotf RegionaCl limaticW armingo n Glaciersa ndI ce Shelveso f theN ortheasterAnn tarctic Peninsula Pedro Skvarcaa nd Hern(cid:127)n De Angelis 69 Climate-InducedIc e Shelf Disintegrationin the AntarcticP eninsula Ted Scambos, Christina Hulbe, and Mark Fahnestock 79 Terrestrial Archives of Paleoenvironmetal Change 93 The Late Pleistocenea nd HoloceneG lacial and Climate History of the AntarcticP eninsulaR egion as Documentedb y the Land and Lake SedimentR ecords--A Review ChristiaHnj ort,6 (cid:127)lafuIrn. gOl(cid:127)sonM, ichaedl .B entleya,n dS vantBe j6rck 95 An Overview of the Late Pleistocene Glaciation in the South Shetland Islands Brenda L. Hall 103 Ice Core Paleoclimate Histories from the Antarctic Peninsula: Where Do We Go From Here? Ellen Mosley-Thompsoann d Lonnie G Thompson 115 Ecologic Responses 129 PalmerL ong-TermE cologicalR esearcho n the AntarcticM arine Ecosystem RaymondC . Smith,W illiamR . Fraser,S haronE . Stammerjohna,n d Maria Vernet 131 MaritimeA ntarcticP eninsulaC limateC hange:S ignalsf rom TerrestriaBl iology Peter Convey 145 EcologicalR esponseosf MaritimeA ntarcticL akest o RegionalC limateC hange WendyC . Quayle,P eter ConveyL, loyd S. Peck, Cynand . Ellis-Evans,H elen G. Butler,a nd Helen J. Peat 159 Late HoloceneP enguinO ccupationa nd Diet at King GeorgeI sland,A ntarcticP eninsula Steven D. Emslie, Peter Ritchie, and David Lambert 171 Marine Geological Records 181 RetreatH istoryo f the Gerlache-BoydIc e Stream,N orthernA ntarcticP eninsulaA: n Ultra-High Resolution AcousticS tudyo f the Deglaciala nd Post-GlacialS edimentD rape VeronicaM . Willmott,M iquel Canals,a nd Jos(cid:127) L. Casamor 183 DeglacialH istory of the GreenpeaceT rough:I ce Sheett o Ice Shelf Transition in the Northwestern Weddell Sea Robert Gilbert,E ugeneW .D omack,a ndA ngeloC amerlenghi 195 Marine SedimentaryR ecordo f Natural EnvironmentaVl ariability and RecentW armingi n the AntarcticP eninsula Eugene W.D omack,A my LeventerS, tephanieR oot,J im Ring, Eric Williams,D avid Carlson, Emily Hirshorn, William Wright,R obert Gilbert, and GeorgeB urr 205 Originsa ndP aleoceanographSicig nificanceo f LayeredD iatom Ooze Intervalf rom Bransfield Strait in the Northern Antarctic Peninsula around 2500 Yrs. BP Ho I. YoonB, yong-KwonP ark, YeadongK im, CheonY .K ang, and Sung-HoK ang 225 ForaminiferaDl istributionsin the FormerL arsen-AI ce Shelf andP rinceG ustavC hannelR egion, EasternA ntarcticP eninsulaM argin:A Baselinef or HoloceneP aleoenvironmentCalh ange ScottE . Ishmana nd Phillip Szymcek 239 PREFACE The AntarcticP eninsular egionr epresentso ur bestn at- and the uniquec apabilitieso f the Long-TermE cological ural laboratoryt o investigateh ow earth'sm ajor climate Researchp rogram,n ow into its secondd ecadeo f obser- systemsi nteracta nd how suchs ystemsr espondt o rapid vations and summaryw ithin the westernp ortion of the regionalw arming. The scale of environmentacl hanges AntarcticP eninsula.F rom this temporalp erspectivew e now takingp lacea crossth e regioni s largea ndt heir pace integrateo ceanographiacn d glaciologicals tudiesw ithin rapid but the subsystemisn volveda re still small enough the regiona nd authorsm ake recommendationfso r future to observe and accuratelyd ocument cause and affect collaborativer esearcht hat is urgentlyn eeded. mechanismsF. or example,c larificationo f ice shelf sta- Many papersp resentedin this volume derive from the bility via the LarsenI ce Shelf is vital to understandintgh e work discusseda t an internationalw orkshop held at entire Antarctic Ice Sheet, its climate evolution, and its Hamilton Collegei n April 2002 (http://academics.hamil- responseto andc ontrolo f seal evel.B y encompassintgh e ton.edu/workshops/antarcticab/u),t the designa nd orga- broadestr ange of interdisciplinarys tudies,t his volume nization of the volume are by necessityo f spaces ome- provides the global change research and educational what more limited than the workshop agenda.A s the communities a framework in which to advance our Antarctic Peninsulaw orking group informally plans to knowledgeo f the causesb ehind regionalw arming, the reconvenee very other year, this volume will also serve dramaticg laciala nd ecologicalr esponsesa,n d the poten- as a guidepostt oward theses ubsequenst ymposia. tial uniquenesso f the event within the region'sp aleocli- The editors wish to thank the numerous reviewers who mate record. The volume also serves as a vital resource handledm anuscriptsin a timely and constructivem an- for public policy and governmentaflu ndinga genciesa s ner. We also wish to acknowledgeth e generouss upport well as a means to educatet he large number of eco- of the Environmental Studies Program at Hamilton touristst hat visit the regione acha ustrals ummer. College, the National Science Foundation'sO ffice of The content is internationali n scope with chapters Polar Programs( including programsi n ocean/climate, contributedb y authorsf rom elevenc ountries.T he orga- geology/geophysics,b iology, and glaciology), and nization of the volume follows the order of temporal Colgate University for supporto f this endeavor.T he databasesf rom historical meteorological observations volumew ould not have beenp ossiblew ithout the gener- and modelings tudies,t hroughe xpandingt ime scaleso f ous and timely contributionso f all authorsa nd for the paleoenvironmentala rchives of ice cores, lake, and high level of scholarshipe xhibitedw ithin eachc hapter. marine sediments equencesA. lso providedi s documen- tation of the ecologicale ffectso f rapid regionalw arming EugeneW . Domack List of Reviewers John Anderson Sharon Kanfoush Tony Amo!d Matthew Kirby Glenn Berger Carina Lange Dana Bergstrom Amy Leventer Bob Bindschad!er Andreas MacKensen Stefanie Brachfeld Diane McKnight RaymondB radley Andrew McMinn Dave Bromwich Julie Palais Bill Budd David Peel Adam Burnett Paul Pettre Angelo Camer!enghi Jennifer Pike Andrew Carleton Leonid Polyak Andrew Clarke Marie Poole William Connolley Carol Pudsey Peter Convey Marilyn Raphael Sarah Das Tony Rathbum Tad Day Eric Rignot David DeMaster Ted Scambos Marianne Douglas Reed Scherer Steve Emslie Peter Sedwick JaneF errigno Geoffrey Seltzer Robert Gilbert Amelia Shevenell Brenda Hall StephanieS hipp ChristianH jort Ellen Mosley-Thompson TerenceH ughes RossV irginia Stan Jacobs Andrew Watkins Anne Jennings Richard Williams Philip Jones Jan-Gunnar Winther ANTARCTIC PENINSULA CLIMATE VARIABILITY ANTARCTIC RESEARCH SERIES VOLUME 79, PAGES 1-13 ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING OF THE ANTARCTIC PENINSULA EugeneW . Domack Department of Geology,H amilton College Clinton New York Adam Burnett and Amy Leventer Departmento f Geographya nd Geology,C olgateU niversityH, amiltonN ew York "One of the warnings ignst hat a dangerousw armingt rendi s underw ay in Antarcticaw ill be the breakupo f ice shelveso n bothc oastso f theA ntarcticP eninsula,s tartingw ith the northernmosat nd extendingg radually southward. "J. H. Mercer, 1978. Perhapsn owhere on the surfaceo f the earth have environmentalc hangest aken place with such rapidity and capturedt he interesto f such a diverse communityt han those observeda crosst he Antarctic Peninsulai n the last 10 years. Wholesale decay of ice shelves,l ong consideredto be the harbingero f climate warming,h as spurredi nteresti n our attemptst o understandth e interactiono f earths ystemso n historicalt o millennial time scales.B ecauses uchc hangesi n the cryospherea lso impactr egionale cosystemsth e bio- logical communityh as also becomed eeply involved in the climate debate.W hile envi- ronmentalc hangesn ow taking place acrosst he AntarcticP eninsulaa re historicallyw ell documentedb y a diverses et of meteorologicaal nd remotes ensingd ata, considerablyle ss is known concerningth e behavioro f the atmosphere-ocean-cryosphesryes temd uringt he past 10,000y ears( the interglaciaHl oloceneE poch).T he first purposeo f this volumei s to integrateo ur presentu nderstandinogf currentm eteorologicatlr endsa nd comparet hemt o recordso f paste nvironmentacl hangeT. he hopei s that sucha comparisonw ill stimulate future studiest hat are directed at decipheringt he key forcing mechanismso perating acrosst he AntarcticP eninsulas o that naturals ignalsc an be understoodw ithin the context of potentiala nthropogenicch angesT. he secondk ey objectiveo f the volumei s to help fur- ther our understandinogf how the paleoenvironmentaalr chivesa re interpreteda nd what archivesn eedt o be acquired.C learlyp rogressto wardb oth goalsm ustb e achievedt ogeth- er. We also hopet hat the volume will servea s a usefulr eferencef or studentsa nd senior investigators. GEOLOGIC AND GEOMORPHOLOGIC landmass(u p to 3500 m) thatp rojectsf rom the main con- BACKGROUND tinent some 1250-km to the north. This physiography extendsA ntarctica'sg lacial carapacei nto sub polar cli- The Antarctic Peninsula( AP) region encompasseas mates while subjectingi t to contrastingo ceanographic contrastingp hysiologic,g eologic,a nd glaciologict errain and meteorologicacl onditionsa crossa n eastt o west gra- that is similar to the southern cordillera of the Andes. The dient (Figures1 and 2), [seea lsoB AS, 2000]. Before the AP consistso f a narrow (less than 250 km), elevated final break up of Gondwanaland,t he southernA ndean Copyright2 003 by the AmericanG eophysicaUl nion

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Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.