Developments in Earth & Environmental Sciences, 8 ANTARCTIC CLIMATE EVOLUTION Edited by FABIO FLORINDO Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Roma, Italy MARTIN SIEGERT School of GeoSciences, Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3JW, UK Amsterdam – Boston – Heidelberg – London – New York – Oxford Paris – San Diego – San Francisco – Singapore – Sydney – Tokyo Preface Antarctic Climate Evolution is the first book dedicated to understanding the history of the world’s largest ice sheet and, in particular, how it responded to and influenced climate change during the Cenozoic. To explain the story of Antarctic ice and climate history, information on terrestrial and marine geology, sedimentology, glacier geophysics, ship-borne geophysics, and numerical ice sheet and climate modelling is presented within thirteen chapters. The book’s content largely mirrors the structure of the Antarctic Climate Evolution (ACE) program (www.ace.scar.org), an international initiative of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR), affiliated with the International Polar Year 2007–2009, to investigate past changes in Antarctica by linking climate and ice sheet modelling studies with terrestrial and marine geological and geophysical evidence of past changes. The programme is designed to determine climate conditions and change in both therecentpast(i.e.duringthelastglacialmaximum,whentemperatureswere cooler than at present) and the more distant past (i.e. in the pre-Quaternary, when global temperature was several degrees higher than it is today). This new cross-disciplinary approach has led to a substantial improvement in the knowledge base on past Antarctic climate and to our understanding of the factors that have guided its evolution. This in turn has allowed us to build hypotheses, examinable through numerical modelling, for how the Antarctic climate is likely to respond to present and future global changes. Most of the subcommittees in ACE have been responsible for individual chapters, and in this way we have been able to cover the complete history of theAntarcticIceSheetanditsclimateevolution.Thebookwillbeofinterest to research scientists from a wide range of disciplines including glaciology, palaeoclimatology, sedimentology, climate change, environmental science, oceanography and palaeoentology. It will also be valuable as a supplemen- tary text for undergraduate courses. We are grateful to our many friends and colleagues for advice and encouragementthroughthegestationofthebookoverthelast3years.Wealso acknowledge input to the ACE initiative by a number of scientists (many of them contributedtothis book),including P. Barrett,A.K.Cooper,J. Francis, R. Gersonde, M.J. Hambrey, D.H. Harwood, A. Moldonado, D. Pollard, xii Preface D. Sugden, G. Villa, P.-N. Webb and G.S. Wilson. We are sure that the chapter authors will join us in thanking the reviewers for their comprehensive and valuable comments and suggestions. We acknowledge their very special contributions to this book by naming them here: J. Evans, J. Francis, W. Howard, L. Krissek, A. Mackintosh, C. O’Cofaigh, G. Orombelli, A.H. Orsi, D. Pollard, C.A. Ricci, I.C. Rutt, E. Stump, C. Summerhayes and G.S. Wilson.FinallywethankLindaVersteeg-buschman,FemkeWallienand Suja Narayanaof ElsevierSciencefortheir supportin theproduction ofthis book. Fabio Florindo Martin Siegert Rome and Edinburgh, July 2008 Elsevier Radarweg29,POBox211,1000AEAmsterdam,TheNetherlands TheBoulevard,LangfordLane,Kidlington,OxfordOX51GB,UK Firstedition2009 Copyrightr2009ElsevierB.V.Allrightsreserved Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem ortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeanselectronic,mechanical,photocopying, recordingorotherwisewithoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofthepublisher PermissionsmaybesoughtdirectlyfromElsevier’sScience&TechnologyRights DepartmentinOxford,UK:phone(þ44)(0)1865843830;fax(þ44)(0)1865853333; email:permissions@elsevier.com.Alternativelyyoucansubmityourrequestonlineby visitingtheElsevierwebsiteathttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/permissions,andselecting ObtainingpermissiontouseElseviermaterial Notice Noresponsibilityisassumedbythepublisherforanyinjuryand/ordamagetopersons orpropertyasamatterofproductsliability,negligenceorotherwise,orfromanyuse oroperationofanymethods,products,instructionsorideascontainedinthematerial herein.Becauseofrapidadvancesinthemedicalsciences,inparticular, independentverificationofdiagnosesanddrugdosagesshouldbemade BritishLibraryCataloguing-in-PublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress ISBN:978-0-444-52847-6 ISSN:1571-9197 ForinformationonallElsevierpublications visitourwebsiteatbooks.elsevier.com PrintedandboundinHungary 0910111213 10987654321 DevelopmentsinEarth&EnvironmentalSciences,8 F.FlorindoandM.Siegert(Editors) r2009ElsevierB.V.Allrightsreserved DOI10.1016/S1571-9197(08)00001-3 Chapter 1 Antarctic Climate Evolution Martin J. Siegert1,(cid:2) and Fabio Florindo2 1School of GeoSciences, Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, The King’s Buildings, West Mains Road, Edinburgh EH9 3JW, UK 2Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Roma, Italy ABSTRACT Centraltotheunderstandingofglobalenvironmentalchangeisanappreciationof how the Antarctic Ice Sheet interacts with climate. To comprehend the processes involvedonemustlookintothegeologicalrecordforevidenceofpastchanges.For several decades international efforts have been made to determine the glacial and climate history of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. Much of this information derivesfromstudiesofsedimentarysequencesdrilledinandaroundthecontinent. In addition, there have been numerous terrestrial geological expeditions to the mountains exposed above the ice surface usually close to the margin of the ice sheet. Holistic interpretation of these data is now being made, and hypotheses on thesizeandtimingofpastchangesinAntarcticaarebeingdeveloped.In2004,the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR) commissioned a scientific research programme on Antarctic Climate Evolution (ACE) to quantify the glacialandclimatehistoryofAntarctica.Thisbookisaresultofthatprogramme, and documents, for the first time, the state of knowledge concerning the ice and climate evolution of the Antarctic continent and its surrounding seas through the Cenozoic era. 1.1. Introduction The Antarctic Ice Sheet has existed for approximately 35 million years, but it has fluctuated considerably and has been one of the major driving forces for (cid:2) Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+44(0)1316507543;Fax:+44(0)1316683184; E-mail:[email protected](M.J.Siegert). 2 M.J. Siegertetal. Quat. Pleistocene 1.81 Ma E Pliocene N E 5.33 Ma G O E N Miocene Y C R 23.03 Ma ZOI TIA O R Oligocene CEN TE ENE 33.9 ± 0.1 Ma G O E Eocene A L A 55.8 ± 0.2 Ma P Palaeocene 65.5 ± 0.3 Ma Figure1.1: GeologicaltimeperiodsduringtheCenozoicera.Dateslistedon the right hand side are taken from Gradstein et al. (2004). changesinglobalsealevelandclimatethroughouttheCenozoic(Fig.1.1).The rates, size and frequencies of these fluctuations have been the subjects of considerabledebate.Determinationofthescaleandrapidityoftheresponseof largeicemassesandassociatedseaicetoclimaticforcingisofvitalimportance, becauseice-volumevariationsleadto:(1)changingglobalsealevelsonascale of tens of metres or more, and (2) alteration to the capacity of ice sheets and seaiceasmajorheatsinks/insulators.Itisthusimportanttoassessthestability of the cryosphere under a warming climate (IPCC, 2007), particularly as ice- core records have yielded evidence of a strong correlation between CO 2 concentrations in the atmosphere and palaeotemperatures (Fig. 1.2). This concernisjustifiedwhenCO levelsarecomparedwiththoseofthepast.Since 2 Antarctica is a major driver of Earth’s climate and sea level, much effort has beenexpendedinderivingmodelsofitsbehaviour.Someofthesemodelshave beensuccessfully evaluated againstmodernconditions. In 2004, modelling the past record of ice-sheet behaviour in response to changes in climate (inferred from ice cores, sedimentary facies and seismic data), palaeoceanographic conditions (inferred from palaeoecology and climate proxies in ocean sediments) and palaeogeography (as recorded in landscape evolution) was seen as a critical next step, and became the focus of the ACE programme. The ACE programme facilitates research in the broad area of Antarctic climate evolution. The programme links new geophysical surveys and Antarctic Climate Evolution 3 Figure 1.2: Variation in the Earth’s temperature during the last 65 million years, based on reconstructions from deep-marine oxygen isotope records. Future atmospheric temperature scenarios are based on IPCC (2001). Greenhouse trace gas projections are shown at top of diagram. Given the worse-casescenario,planetarytemperaturescouldincreasein100–300yearsto alevelwhere,accordingtoourknowledgeofpreviousAntarcticglaciations,ice cover on Antarctica could not be sustained. The representation of palaeo- temperatures is adapted from Crowley and Kim (1995). geological studies on and around the Antarctic continent with ice-sheet and climate modelling experiments. The programme determines past climate conditions and changes in both the recent past (i.e. during the Holocene, prior to anthropogenic impacts as well as at the last glacial maximum, when temperatures were cooler than at present) and the more distant past (i.e. in the pre-Quaternary, when global temperature were several degrees warmer 4 M.J. Siegertetal. thantheyaretoday).Thiscross-disciplinaryapproach,involvingclimateand ice-sheet modellers, geologists and geophysicists, has led to a substantial improvement in the knowledge base on past Antarctic climate, and our understanding of the factors that have guided its evolution. This in turn allows us to build hypotheses, examinable through numerical model- ling, for how the Antarctic climate is likely to respond to future global change. 1.2. Antarctic Glacial History As is discussed in Chapter 7, the East Antarctic plate formed a significant component of the Gondwanaland super-continent during the Jurassic. Since 180Ma, this continent broke up into what are recognised today as distinct continental landmasses with the repositioning of Antarctica at southern polar latitudes in the Early Cretaceous (ca. 120Ma). In spite of its polar position, Antarctica is thought to have remained mostly ice-free, vegetated, andwithmeanannualtemperaturesabovefreezinguntilthelatterhalfofthe Cenozoic (around 34 million years ago, Fig. 1.1), whereupon the continent became subject to repeated phases of glaciation at a variety of temporal and spatial scales. The southern continent and its surrounding ocean basins have been the targetofnumerousscientificexpeditionsandseveralscientificdrillingproject efforts that have led to significant advances in understanding of Cenozoic climate evolution, oceanography, and biota of the Antarctic continent and theSouthernOcean.Thedeep-oceanrecordsdocumentclearlythelong-term cooling of climates over the past 50 million years and large-scale variability in the last 3–5 million years. They also show events that are either abrupt or brief(e.g.thePaleocenewarmingeventwithadurationoflessthan1million years; the Middle-Eocene Climatic Optimum, MECO at ca. 41Ma), or are marked by a distinct shift in the rate at which long-term changes occur (i.e. middle-Miocene increased cooling trend). The explanation for these events include changes in atmospheric gas concentrations (e.g. carbon dioxide and methane), opening of gateways with enhanced ocean circulation, peaks in orbital forcing resulting from Croll–Milankovitch cyclicities, interactions with northern hemisphere glaciations and others. Scientific drilling on the Antarctic continental shelf and upper slope, to examine the direct record of glaciation, has been sparse and has had significant problems with recovery (o20% in diamict) using current Integrated Ocean Drilling Programme (IODP) techniques. Consequently, the linkages between Antarctic Antarctic Climate Evolution 5 continental shelf and deep-ocean basin records are not well established and the basic problem of ice-sheet history remains unsolved. Proxy measure- ments (particularly oxygen isotopes) provide general details, but initiation, growth and extent of the ice sheets still are debated. 1.2.1. Late Eocene-Early Oligocene Cooling TheEocenetoearlyOligocene(focusofChapter8)representatimeofglobal cooling which was marked by reorganisation of global ocean circulation patterns and significant turnovers in the marine and terrestrial biota (e.g. Berggrenand Prothero,1992)thatculminates in thedevelopmentof thefirst Antarctic Ice Sheet and an important expansion of Antarctic ice volume. Global deep-sea oxygen isotope records indicate that this long-term cooling trend was not monotonic, but that it was interrupted by a series of abrupt short-term (ca. 1 million years) excursions in d18O (Zachos et al., 2001). Amongthese,theOi-1coolingevent(Milleretal.,1991)at33.55Mamarked one of the most significant global climatic deteriorations in the Cenozoic in response to the appearance of the first continent-wide glaciation in Antarctica (e.g. Zachos et al., 1996). Coupled GCM/ice-sheet modelling has alreadybeenusedtoshowthattheformationoftheEastAntarcticIceSheet was triggered by a combination of gradual pCO lowering coupled with ice- 2 climate feedbacks and orbital-forcing-induced cooling, rather than by the cooling associated with the opening of circumpolar seaways during the earliest Oligocene (e.g. Kennett et al., 1974; DeConto and Pollard, 2003; Lawver and Gahagan, 2003). 1.2.2. Oligocene–Miocene Boundary Mi-1 Glaciation TheOligocene–Mioceneboundary(Chapter9)marksasignificanttransition in the development of the Antarctic cryosphere, where small dynamic ice sheetsofthelateOligocenerapidlyexpandedtocontinentalscaleintheearly Miocene. The transition is recorded in benthic foraminiferal d18O records as a positive 1.0 per mil shift, representing the first of the Miocene glaciations (Mi-1). The climatic significance of this was first outlined by Zachos et al. (2001) who recognised the coincidence of the Oligocene–Miocene boundary and the Mi-1 isotope excursion with an unusual coincidence of low eccentricity and low-amplitude variability in obliquity of the Earth’s orbit. Mg/Ca reconstructions imply little orno changein temperatureand that the ice-volume increase was equivalent to 90m of sea level lowering (assuming a
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