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Analysts' Briefing 2017 PDF

17 Pages·2017·1.46 MB·English
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Fauji Foods Limited Analysts’ Briefing Syed Aamir Ahsan – CFO 07th February, 2018 P F RESENTATION LOW • Dairy Industry of Pakistan • Business Review of Fauji Foods Limited • Outlook Dairy Sector of Pakistan G D M LOBAL AIRY ARKET Country World Production Share Global dairy market stats • Global milk production estimated at more than 800 billion Europe* 20.0% liters in 2016 India 19.6% • Around 9% of total milk produced is traded globally in the United States 11.8% form ofprocessed products • More than half of the traded milk is imported by Asian Pakistan 6.5%** countries China 5.0% Brazil 4.0% Pakistan’s standing in global market Russia 3.7% • Pakistan is producing 6.5% of total world dairy production. New Zealand 2.6% • Despite high production, Pakistan’s share in global export is Turkey 2.4% negligible • Pakistan ranked amongst high milk consuming countries Mexico 1.4% (greater than 150 kg/capita/year consumption) Ukraine 1.3% • Opportunity for improvement in animal productivity and Others 21.7% mechanization Total 100% *Individual country figures are not available ** Share based on FAO production estimate which is higher than GoP’sestimate Sources: FAO Food Outlook (2017) G O I T L D S ROWTH PPORTUNITY N HE OCAL AIRY ECTOR Total milk production: 45 bn. liters Total tradable milk: 26 bn. liters Opportunity for conversion to processed milk Less than 10% of the total milk production Source: FFL research. Conversion percentages based on last years’ data L D S OCAL AIRY ECTOR Industry – Volume Composition of Major Industry overview Products* • Liquid tea creamer and plain white UHT milk lead the dairy category 45% • Price competition among top ranked players in the plain white milk category • Price reductions and higher trade margins in Liquid tea 35% creamer • All players remained cautious in terms ofprice increases Recent challenges & issues • Government policies, labelling issues and negative propaganda against packaged milk constrained dairy industry growth 9% • Notices by tax authorities for paying sales tax on tea 6% 4% whitener, categorizing it as non-milk product • Fluctuating preference of customers for cheaper price Liquid Tea Plain White Dairy Liquid Pasteurized Flav. Milk loose milk also led to unstable industry growth Creamer UHT Milk Milk * Indicative figures P C ORTFOLIO OMPARISON Category Product Fauji Foods Engro Foods Nestle Shakarganj Haleeb Butter      Cheese      Chilled Pasteurized      Yogurt      UHT Milk      Tea Creamer      Ambient Flavoured Milk      Cream      Juices Juices & Fruit Drinks      Jams Jams      Dry Dry Milk      Other Ice Cream      Fauji Foods portfolio - most extensive in terms of product offering P W M C LAIN HITE ILK ATEGORY Plain White Milk Industry (000 Litres) 8% 8% 15% -5% -12% -2% -4% -7% 1,203 1,128 1,071 1,028 1,115 1,058 983 1,130 1,108 Plain white milk Dec '15 Mar '16 Jun '16 Sep '16 Dec '16 Mar '17 Jun '17 Sep '17 Dec '17 • Plain white milk industry declined by 3% in 2017 (comparing 2016) FFL -Plain White Milk Market Share 4.0% • Category dominated by Nestle and 3.5% 3.2% EFoods, however, FFL closely competing with the third ranked player in category 2.6% 2.5% (Shakarganj) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17 L T C C IQUID EA REAMER ATEGORY Liquid Tea Creamer Industry (000 Litres) 19% 61% -20% -31% 1,334 1,413 1,191 1,066 741 Liquid tea creamer Dec '16 Mar '17 Jun '17 Sep '17 Dec '17 • Liquid tea creamer industry declined by FFL –Liquid Tea Creamer Market Share 19% in 2017 (comparing 2016). However, last quarters 2017 saw bounce back 25.4% 20.1% 19.8% • FFL closely competing with the top ranked 19.3% player (Shakarganj) in the category 13.0% Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17 Business Review of Fauji Foods Limited

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Fauji Foods Limited. Analysts' Briefing. Syed Aamir Ahsan – CFO. 07th February, 2018 Dairy Liquid Pasteurized. Milk. Flav. Milk. Industry – Volume Composition of Major. Products*. Industry overview. • Liquid tea creamer and plain white UHT milk lead the dairy category. • Price competition
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