An Introduction to the Mathematics of Money David Lovelock Marilou Mendel A. Larry Wright An Introduction to the Mathematics of Money Saving and Investing David Lovelock Marilou Mendel Department of Mathematics Department of Mathematics University of Arizona University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 Tucson, AZ 85721 USA USA [email protected] [email protected] A. Larry Wright Department of Mathematics University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 USA [email protected] Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): 91B82 Library of Congress Control Number: 2006931194 ISBN-10: 0-387-34432-2 ISBN-13: 978-0387-34432-4 Printed on acid-free paper. © 2007 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 springer.com Preface Introduction Some people distinguish between savings and investments, where savings are moniesplacedinrelativelyrisk-freeaccountswithmodestrewards,andwhere investments involve more risk and the potential for greater rewards. In this book we do not distinguish between these ideas. We treat them both under the umbrella of investing. In general, income falls into two categories: earned income—which is theincomederivedfromyoureverydayjob—andunearned income—which is income derived from investing. You attend college to strengthen your prospects for earned income, so why do you need to worry about unearned income, namely, investment income? There are many reasons to invest and to learn about investing. Perhaps the primary one is to take charge of your own financial future. You need money for short-term goals (such as living expenses, emergencies) and for long-term goals (such as buying a car, buying a house, educating children, paying catastrophic medical bills, funding retirement). Investing involves borrowing and lending, and buying and selling. • borrowing and lending. When you put money into a bank savings account,youarelendingyourmoneyandthebankisborrowingit.Youcan lend money to a bank, a business, a government, or a person. In exchange forthis,theborrowerpromisestopayyouinterestandtoreturnyourinitial investmentatafuturedate.Whywouldtheborrowerdothis?Becausethe borrower anticipates using this money in a way that earns more than the interest promised to you. Examples of borrowing and lending are savings accounts, certificates of deposits, money-market accounts, and bonds. • buying and selling. Whenyoubuysomethingforinvestmentpurposes, you are buying an asset from a seller. You expect that this asset will generate a profit or will increase in value, part of which will be returned to you. Examples of this are owning real estate or stocks in companies. vi Preface There are two ways that you can make (lose) money buying stocks: stock- priceappreciation(depreciation)—whichdependsontheexpectationsand opinionsofthepublic—anddividendspaidtoyoubythecompany—which depend on the company sharing its profits with you, a shareholder. Wheninvesting,therearethreethingsthatcanimpactyourprofit—taxes, inflation,andrisk.Thefirst,taxes,shouldconcerneveryone.Thesecond,infla- tion, should concern you if you make a profit. The third, risk, should concern youbeforeyoumakeaninvestmentbecauseriskinfluencestheprofitabilityof the investment. Generally, if you expect a high return on your money, then youshouldalsoexpectahighrisk.Inthesameway,lowrisksareusuallyasso- ciated with low returns. The larger the risk the greater the chance of actually losingmoney.Therearevarioustypesofrisk:inflation,market,currencyfluc- tuations, political, interest-rate, liquidity, economic, default, business, etc. Objectives and Background We wrote this book with two objectives in mind: • To use investing as a vehicle to introduce you, the student, to ideas, tech- niques,andapplicationsthatyoumightnotencounterinyourothermath- ematics courses. These include proofs by induction, recurrence relations, inequalities(inparticular,theArithmetic-GeometricMeaninequalityand theCauchy-Schwarzinequality),andelementsofprobabilityandstatistics. • Tointroduceyou,thestudent,toelementsofinvestingthatareoflife-long practicaluse.Ifyouhavenotyetdoneso,thenasyouadvancethroughlife, you are forced to deal with such things as credit cards, student loans, car- loans, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, money-market accounts, mortgage payments, buying and selling bonds, and buying and selling stocks. Thisbooktargetsstudentsatthesophomore/juniorlevel,withoutassum- ing a background or any experience in investing. We assume knowledge of a two-semester calculus course as well as some mathematical sophistication. Specificallyweuseinequalities,log,exp,differentiation,theMeanValueThe- orem,integration,Newton’smethod,limitsofsequences,geometricseries,the binomial expansion, and Taylor series. There are problems at the end of each chapter. Some of these problems requirethatyouhaveaccesstoaspreadsheetprogramandthatyouknowhow touseit.Asimplescientificorfinancialcalculator(withfunctionssuchaslog, exp, and the ability to calculate yx) is all that is required for the remainder oftheproblemsthatinvolvearithmeticalcalculations.Someproblemsrequire you to obtain data from the World Wide Web (WWW), so access to the WWW, and familiarity with a browser, is a prerequisite.1 1 The web page www.mathematics-of-money.com is dedicated to this book. Preface vii Comments The following numbering system is used throughout the book: Example 2.3 refers to the third example in Chapter 2, Theorem 4.1 refers to the first theorem in Chapter 4, Figure 4.2 refers to the second figure in Chapter 4, Table1.3 refersto thethird tablein Chapter 1, and Problem 1.5 refersto the fifth problem in Chapter 1. Thesymbol(cid:1)indicatestheendofanexample,andthesymbol(cid:1)indicates the end of a proof. Many of the theorems in the book are given names (for example, The Compound Interest Theorem). This is done for ease of navigation for the student. The problems are divided into two groups: “Walking”, which involve rou- tine, straight-forward calculations, and “Running”, which are more challeng- ing problems. There are two appendices. Appendix A covers mathematical induction, recurrence relations, and inequalities. This material should be introduced at the beginning of the course. Appendix B covers elements of probability and statistics. It is not needed until the latter part of the course and can be introducedasneeded.Manystudentsmayhaveseenthismaterialinprevious classes. Unlessindicatedotherwise,allnumericalresultsareroundedtothreedec- imal places, and all dollar amounts are rounded to cents. Because of this convention,whenthesamecalculationisperformedintwodifferentways,the answers may differ slightly. In most, but not all, cases in this book the interest rate is assumed to be positive. It is interesting to note that there are instances when the interest rateisnegative.See,forexample,[21].Agoodreferenceoninvestmentsis[4]. A more advanced treatment is [18]. Theinformationcontainedinthisbookisnotintendedtobeconstruedas investment, legal, or accounting advice. The Family In order to try to personalize the investment examples and problems in this book, we have introduced a fictional family, the Kendricks. Helen (48) and Hugh (50) Kendrick, are husband and wife. They have three children, twins Wendy(25)andTom(25),andAmanda(20),acollegefreshman.JanaCarmel (35) is one of Hugh’s coworkers. viii Preface Acknowledgments This book originated from classes taught in the Department of Mathematics at The University of Arizona, and in the Industrial Engineering and Opera- tionsResearchDepartmentatColumbiaUniversity.Severalstudentsprovided valuable comments and corrected errors in the original notes. In particular, we thank Tom Wilkening and Michael Urbancic. We also thank Wayne Hacker, David Lomen, and Doug Ulmer of the De- partment of Mathematics at The University of Arizona, who reviewed large portions of the manuscript and corrected several errors. A guest lecture series, where professionals from both inside and outside academia are invited to discuss their specialities, is an integral part of the classandintroducesthestudentstoreal-worldapplicationsofthemathemat- ics of money. We thank the following guest lecturers: Dennis Bartlett, Sue Burroughs, Steve Kou, Steve Przewlocki, and Lauren Wright. Special thanks go to Murray Teitelbaum and some of the many people at the New York Stock Exchange who are involved with the Teachers Workshop Program. We thank the many other people who have assisted in the preparation of themanuscript:PatBrockett,HanGao,JoeHarwood,PavanKorada,Robert Maier, Charles Newman, Keith Schlottman, Michael Sobel, and Aramian Wasielak. Wealsothankthereviewersofthemanuscriptfortheirinvaluablesugges- tions. Finally, we thank our contacts at Springer—Achi Dosanjh, Yana Mermel, and Frank Ganz, for their indispensable support and advice. Tucson, Arizona, David Lovelock July, 2006 Marilou Mendel A. Larry Wright Contents Preface ........................................................ v 1 Simple Interest ............................................ 1 1.1 The Simple Interest Theorem ............................ 1 1.2 Ambiguities When Interest Period is Measured in Days ..... 8 1.3 Problems.............................................. 10 2 Compound Interest........................................ 13 2.1 The Compound Interest Theorem ........................ 13 2.2 Time Diagrams and Cash Flows.......................... 23 2.3 Internal Rate of Return ................................. 26 2.4 The Rule of 72......................................... 36 2.5 Problems.............................................. 37 3 Inflation and Taxes ........................................ 45 3.1 Inflation............................................... 45 3.2 Consumer Price Index (CPI)............................. 48 3.3 Personal Taxes......................................... 50 3.4 Problems.............................................. 51 4 Annuities.................................................. 55 4.1 An Ordinary Annuity ................................... 55 4.2 An Annuity Due ....................................... 66 4.3 Perpetuities ........................................... 70 4.4 Problems.............................................. 71 5 Loans and Risks ........................................... 75 5.1 Problems.............................................. 79