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An expert system for managing storage space constraints aboard United States naval vessels. PDF

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NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS An ExpertSystem for Managing Storage Space Constraints Aboard United States Naval Vessels by Merrily Y. Wells Uva Thesis Advisor: Robert Knight Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 725911s iitmoouiLu \. SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONOFTHISPAGE REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE 1a REPORTSECURITYCLASSIFICATION lb RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS Unclassified 2a SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONAUTHORITY 3 DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITYOFREPORT Approvedfor publicrelease;distributionisunlimited. 2b DECLASSIFICATION/DOWNGRADINGSCHEDULE 4 PERFORMINGORGANIZATIONREPORTNUMBER(S) 5 MONITORINGORGANIZATIONREPORTNUMBER(S) 6a NAMEOF PERFORMINGORGANIZATION 6b OFFICESYMBOL 7a NAMEOFMONITORINGORGANIZATION NavalPostgraduateSchool (//applicable) NavalPostgraduateSchool 55 6c ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) 7b ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) Monterey,CA 93943-5000 Monterey,CA 93943-5000 8a NAMEOFFUNDING/SPONSORING 8b OFFICE SYMBOL 9 PROCUREMENTINSTRUMENTIDENTIFICATIONNUMBER ORGANIZATION (Ifapplicable) 8c ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) 10 SOURCEOFFUNDINGNUMBERS ProgramElementNo ProjectNo WorkunaAccession Number 11.TITLE(IncludeSecurityClassification) AnExpertSystemforManagingStorageSpaceConstraintsAboard UnitedSlatesNavalVessels 12 PERSONALAUTHOR(S) MerrilyY.WellsUva 13a.TYPEOFREPORT 13b.TIMECOVERED 14 DATEOFREPORT(year,month,day) 15. PAGECOUNT Master'sThesis From To December1991 161 16 SUPPLEMENTARYNOTATION Theviewsexpressedinthisthesisarethoseoftheauthoranddonotreflecttheofficial policyorpositionoftheDepartmentofDefenseortheU.S. Government. 17 COSATICODES 18 SUBJECTTERMS(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber) FIELD GROUP SUBGROUP Computerized, expertsystem, Loadplan, Storage 19 ABSTRACT(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber) ThisstudywasconductedtodetermineifanexpertsystemcouldbedesignedtoassisttheafloatSupplyOfficerinconsideringspaceconstainLs whendevelopingadeploymentloadplan. Proceduresfofdeterminingnetstowagecapacityandmaterialconfigurationwerereviewedtoprovidetheuserwithanunderstandingofhowto effectivelyutilizetheexpertsystemfordevelopingaloadplan. Theexpertsystemincludesaseriesof LOTUSspreadsheetstobeusedin conjunctionwiththeMilitaryTrafficManagementCommand'sComputerizedDeploymentSytem(CODES). ThestudyconcludesthattheuseofanexpertsystemwouldprovidevaluableassistancetotheafloatSupplyOfficerandrecommendsfurther researchtoestablishtheCODESinterface. 20 DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITYOFABSTRACT 21 ABSTRACTSECURITYCLASSIFICATION |3 UNCLASSIHED/UNUMITED jj SAMtASREPORT ] DTICUSERS Unclassified 22a NAMEOF RESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b TELEPHONE(IncludeAreacode) 22c OFFICESYMBOL RobertKnight 646-2536 AS/Kt DD FORM 1473,84 MAR 83 APReditionmaybeuseduntilexhausted SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONOFTHISPAGE Allothereditionsareobsolete Unclassified Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. An Expert System for Managing Storage Space Constraints Aboard United States Naval Vessels by Merrily Y. Wells Uva Lieutenant, SC, United States Navy B.A. University of West Florida , Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN MANAGEMENT from the NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL December 1991 . ABSTRACT This study was conducted to determine if an expert system could be designed to assist the afloat Supply Officer in considering space constraints when developing a deployment loadplan. Forecasting and Operations Research Models are used in the development of the expert system and adapted, as necessary to accommodate supply management afloat. Procedures for determining net stowage capacity and material configuration were reviewed to provide the user with an understanding of how to effectively utilize the expert system for developing a loadplan. The expert system includes a series of LOTUS 123 spreadsheets to be used in conjunction with the Military Traffic Management Command's Computerized Deployment System (CODES) The study concludes that the use of an expert system would provide valuable assistance to the afloat Supply Officer and recommends further research to establish the CODES interface. 111 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION 1 II. BACKGROUND 9 A. WHAT IS AN EXPERT SYSTEM? 9 B. HOW CAN AN EXPERT SYSTEM BE USED BY THE AFLOAT SUPPLY OFFICER TO BETTER ORGANIZE HIS STOREROOMS? 11 III. MODELS 16 A. MODELS USED BY THE NAVY SUPPLY SYSTEM 16 B. APPLICABLE FORECASTING MODELS 20 C. APPLICABLE OPERATIONS RESEARCH MODELS 24 IV. AN EXPERT SYSTEM: VARIABLES TO CONSIDER 28 A. SPACE MANAGEMENT 28 B. SPACE UTILIZATION 33 C. TYPES OF STOREROOMS AND MATERIAL CLASSIFICATIONS 37 V. AN EXPERT SYSTEM FOR MANAGING STORAGE SPACE CONSTRAINTS AFLOAT 39 iv

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