Aligning Policies for a Low-carbon Economy This report produced in co-operation with the International Energy Agency (IEA), the International Transport Forum (ITF) and the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) identifi es the misalignments between climate change objectives and policy and regulatory frameworks across a range of policy domains (investment, taxation, innovation and skills, trade, and adaptation) and activities at the heart of climate policy (electricity, urban Aligning Policies mobility and rural land use). Outside of countries’ core climate policies, many of the regulatory features of today’s economies have been for a Low-carbon Economy built around the availability of fossil fuels and without any regard for the greenhouse gas emissions stemming from human activities. This report makes a diagnosis of these contradictions and points to means of solving them to support a more effective transition of all countries to a low-carbon economy. Contents Chapter 1. Core climate policies and the case for policy alignment Part I. Reforming cross-cutting policies Chapter 2. Scaling-up low-carbon investment and fi nance Chapter 3. Implementing climate-friendly taxation practices Chapter 4. Delivering innovation and skills for the low-carbon transition Chapter 5. Removing international trade barriers Chapter 6. Diagnosing misalignments for a more resilient future Part II. Aligning policies in specifi c activities Chapter 7. Reframing investment signals and incentives in electricity Chapter 8. Opting for low-carbon urban mobility Chapter 9. Strengthening incentives for sustainable land use A lig n in g P o lic ie s f o r a L o w - c a r b o n E c o n Consult this publication on line at http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264233294-en. o m y This work is published on the OECD iLibrary, which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases. Visit www.oecd-ilibrary.org for more information. ISBN 978-92-64-23326-3 03 2015 02 1 P Secure Sustainable Together Aligning Policies for a Low-carbon Economy ThisworkispublishedundertheresponsibilityoftheSecretary-GeneraloftheOECD.The opinionsexpressedandargumentsemployedhereindonotnecessarilyreflecttheofficial views of the member countries of the OECD, the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency, the InternationalEnergyAgencyortheInternationalTransportForum. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice tothe status of or sovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundaries andtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea. Pleasecitethispublicationas: OECD/IEA/NEA/ITF(2015),AligningPoliciesforaLow-carbonEconomy,OECDPublishing,Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264233294-en ISBN978-92-64-23326-3(print) ISBN978-92-64-23329-4(PDF) ThestatisticaldataforIsraelaresuppliedb180yandundertheresponsibilityoftherelevantIsraeliauthorities.The useofsuchdatabytheOECDiswithoutprejudicetothestatusoftheGolanHeights,EastJerusalemandIsraeli settlementsintheWestBankunderthetermsofinternationallaw. Photocredits:Cover©BaselineArtsLtd,Oxford. CorrigendatoOECDpublicationsmaybefoundonlineat:www.oecd.org/about/publishing/corrigenda.htm. ©OECD2015 Youcancopy,downloadorprintOECDcontentforyourownuse,andyoucanincludeexcerptsfromOECDpublications,databasesand multimediaproductsinyourowndocuments,presentations,blogs,websitesandteachingmaterials,providedthatsuitable acknowledgementofOECDassourceandcopyrightownerisgiven.Allrequestsforpublicorcommercialuseandtranslationrightsshould besubmittedtorights@oecd.org.Requestsforpermissiontophotocopyportionsofthismaterialforpublicorcommercialuseshallbe addresseddirectlytotheCopyrightClearanceCenter(CCC)[email protected]çaisd’exploitationdudroitdecopie(CFC) [email protected]. 3 FOREWORD – Foreword At the Ministerial Council Meeting in May 2014, ministers and representatives of OECD member countries and the European Union invited the OECD to work with the International Energy Agency (IEA), the International Transport Forum (ITF) and the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) “to continue to support the UNFCCC negotiations and to examine how to better align policies across different areas for a successful economic transition of all countries to sustainable low-carbon and climate-resilient economies and report to the 2015 OECD Ministerial Council Meeting.” These areas include economic, fiscal, financial, competition, employment, social, environmental, energy, investment, trade, development co-operation, innovation, agriculture and sustainable food production, regional as well as urban, and transport policies. This report on Aligning Policies for a Low-carbon Economy responds to that request by identifying where existing policy and regulatory frameworks are at odds with climate policy, i.e. where existing policies may make climate policy less effective than it could be otherwise. It reflects the initial diagnosis on where and how existing policy and regulatory frameworks may not be aligned with a low-carbon economy. ALIGNING POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY © OECD 2015 4 – ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Acknowledgements This report is the product of a collaborative effort between the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the International Energy Agency (IEA), the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and the International Transport Forum (ITF). It has been overseen by OECD Deputy Secretary-General Rintaro Tamaki and co- ordinated by Richard Baron, Project Co-ordinator, and Virginie Marchal. Amelia Smith provided continuous editorial and secretarial support. The team is grateful to Simon Upton, for his very useful guidance and leadership throughout the project, to Andrew Prag who drafted the chapter on trade and provided valuable advice on the rest of the report, and to Michael Mullan for the chapter on adaptation. The authors would also like to thank particularly the following colleagues across the four organisations for their input throughout the project: Anthony Cox, Nick Johnstone, Tomasz Kozluk, Alexis Robert, Ron Steenblik and Kurt Van Dender (all from the OECD), Philippe Benoit (IEA), Jan Keppler (NEA) and Stephen Perkins (ITF). The team is also indebted to Sarah Finke for guiding the publication through the OECD approval process. Government officials from different ministries across OECD countries, and stakeholder representatives, in particular business (co-ordinated through the Business and Industry Advisory Committee of the OECD), and trade unions (co-ordinated through the Trade Union Advisory Committee to the OECD) provided extensive feedback on the first draft of the report during and after a consultation seminar organised in February 2015 at OECD headquarters. The main authors of Aligning Policies for a Low-carbon Economy were: Chapters Main authors Executive Summary Richard Baron and Virginie Marchal Chapter 1: Core climate policies and the case for policy alignment Richard Baron Chapter 2: Scaling-up low-carbon investment and finance Virginie Marchal Chapter 3: Implementing climate-friendly taxation practices Richard Baron with Žiga Žarnic Chapter 4: Delivering innovation and skills for the low-carbon Richard Baron and Nick transition Johnstone Chapter 5: Removing international trade barriers Andrew Prag Chapter 6: Diagnosing misalignments for a more resilient future Michael Mullan Chapter 7: Reframing investment signals and incentives in electricity Richard Baron Chapter 8: Opting for low-carbon urban mobility Virginie Marchal Chapter 9: Strengthening incentives for sustainable land use Virginie Marchal ALIGNING POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY © OECD 2015 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS – Many other colleagues provided comments and suggestions and their contributions are gratefully acknowledged. They include: from the Centre for Entrepreneurship, SMEs and Local Development: Nathalie Cliquot; from the Centre for Tax Policy and Administration: Johanna Arlinghaus; Florens Flues, Michelle Harding; from the Development Co-operation Directorate: Jan Corfee-Morlot and Stephanie Ockenden; from the Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs: Karim Dahou, Raffaele Della Croce, Despina Pachnou, Cristina Tebar-Less, David Pinkus, Joel Paula, Gert Wehinger; from the Economics Department: Silvia Albrizio, Boris Cournède, Alain De Serres, Balázs Egert, Christian Kastrop, Giuseppe Nicoletti and Mauro Pisu; from the Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs: Alessandro Goglio and Paul Swaim; from the Environment Directorate: Shardul Agrawala, Geraldine Ang, Nils Axel Braathen, Gregory Briner, Simon Buckle, Jean Chateau, Christopher Kaminker, Kumi Kitamori, Nicolina Lamhauge, Walid Oueslati, Robert Youngman and Žiga Žarnic, who also helped on the organisation of an international seminar dedicated to this project; from the International Energy Agency: Heymi Bahar, Manuel Baritaud, Adam Brown, Pierpaolo Cazzola, Laura Cozzi, Davide D’Ambrosio, John Dulac, Anselm Eisentraut, Paolo Frankl, Jean-François Gagné, Timur Guel, Christina Hood, Fabian Kesicki, Ellina Levina, Simon Mueller, Cédric Philibert, Sylvia Spruck, Laszlo Varro and Matthew Wittenstein; from the International Transport Forum: Aimée Aguilar-Jaber, Olaf Merk and José Viegas; from the Nuclear Energy Agency: Thierry Dujardin; from the Public Governance and Territorial Development Directorate: Rudiger Ahrend, Rolf Alter, Charles Baubion, Andrew Davies, Claire Charbit, Isabelle Chatry, Ronnie Downes, Catherine Gamper, Daniela Glocker, Stéphane Jacobzone, Céline Kauffmann, Karen Maguire, Tadashi Matsumoto, Marissa Plouin, William Tompson and Paolo Veneri; from the Directorate for Science, Technology and Innovation: Mario Cervantes, Colin Webb, Kirsten Wiebe, Andrew Wyckoff, Norihiko Yamano; from the Trade and Agriculture Directorate: Ken Ash, Morvarid Bagherzadeh, Jonathan Brooks, Dimitris Diakosavvas, Jared Greenville, Guillaume Gruère, Julien Hardelin, Ada Ignaciuk, Franck Jésus, Jean Le Cocguic, Jehan Sauvage, Frank Van Tongeren and Martin Von Lampe. The report also benefited from comments of external reviewers: Michael Jacobs and James Rydge (New Climate Economy), and Ian Cochran (CDC Climat Recherche). Fiona Hinchcliffe and Jennifer Allain provided editorial support, and Janine Treves, Katie Kraig-Ernandes, Catherine Bremer, Shayne MacLachlan and Stéphanie Simonin- Edwards supported the publication and communication processes. Japan and Korea provided financial contributions to the project. ALIGNING POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY © OECD 2015 7 TABLE OF CONTENTS – Table of contents Acronyms and abbreviations .............................................................................................................. 11 Preface................................................................................................................................................... 15 Executive summary .............................................................................................................................. 17 Chapter 1 Core climate policies and the case for policy alignment ................................................ 19 Facilitating the low-carbon transition ................................................................................................. 23 Core climate policies: Principles and implementation ....................................................................... 28 Notes .................................................................................................................................................. 40 References .......................................................................................................................................... 41 Part I Reforming cross-cutting policies ........................................................................................... 45 Chapter 2 Scaling-up low-carbon investment and finance ............................................................. 47 The low-carbon investment challenge ................................................................................................ 49 The enabling environment: Aligning investment policies with climate goals ................................... 54 Channelling all sources of finance to low-carbon infrastructure ........................................................ 58 Enhancing climate risk disclosure by corporations and investors ...................................................... 61 Mainstreaming climate change goals in public spending ................................................................... 64 Notes .................................................................................................................................................. 72 References .......................................................................................................................................... 73 Chapter 3 Implementing climate-friendly taxation practices ......................................................... 79 The taxing issue of low-carbon economies ........................................................................................ 81 How energy subsidies and taxes undermine climate change action ................................................... 82 Beyond energy taxes: Tax signals hindering low-carbon choices ...................................................... 86 Where next for tax revenues and budgets in the context of lower fossil energy use? ........................ 89 Notes .................................................................................................................................................. 91 References .......................................................................................................................................... 92 Chapter 4 Delivering innovation and skills for the low-carbon transition .................................... 95 Unpacking innovation policy for the low-carbon transition ............................................................... 97 Putting the labour markets at work for the low-carbon transition .................................................... 106 Policy misalignments restricting innovation in industry .................................................................. 109 Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 116 References ........................................................................................................................................ 116 Chapter 5 Removing international trade barriers .......................................................................... 123 Greenhouse gas emissions and international trade ........................................................................... 125 Potential misalignments with international trade rules .................................................................... 126 Misalignments arising through domestic policies related to trade ................................................... 129 ALIGNING POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY © OECD 2015 8 – TABLE OF CONTENTS Fuelling international trade: Maritime shipping and aviation .......................................................... 134 Resilience of the modern trade system to climate change ................................................................ 136 Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 137 References ........................................................................................................................................ 138 Chapter 6 Diagnosing misalignments for a more resilient future ................................................ 143 All countries will be affected by climate change ............................................................................. 145 Building resilience to climate impacts ............................................................................................. 147 References ........................................................................................................................................ 152 Part II Aligning policies in specific activities.................................................................................. 155 Chapter 7 Reframing investment signals and incentives in electricity ........................................ 157 Electricity in decarbonisation ........................................................................................................... 159 How today’s market structures risk hindering the decarbonisation of electricity ............................ 163 Misalignments in fast-growing and often regulated electricity systems .......................................... 171 Resilience of energy systems to climate change .............................................................................. 173 Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 176 References ........................................................................................................................................ 178 Chapter 8 Opting for low-carbon urban mobility .......................................................................... 181 The decarbonisation challenge for urban transport .......................................................................... 183 Complementarities across policy sectors, programmes and levels of government .......................... 187 Remove barriers to action by cities .................................................................................................. 189 Removing bottlenecks to energy efficiency and technology breakthrough ..................................... 197 References ........................................................................................................................................ 201 Chapter 9 Strengthening incentives for sustainable land use ....................................................... 205 Land use could be key for tackling climate change ......................................................................... 207 Align food production and low-carbon goals ................................................................................... 210 Sustainable forest management should be at the core of a low-carbon, resilient society ................. 225 Moving towards a bio-economy consistent with climate and development objectives.................... 228 Waste and over-consumption need to be tackled ............................................................................. 231 Towards an integrated and holistic approach ................................................................................... 233 Notes ................................................................................................................................................ 234 References ........................................................................................................................................ 234 Tables Table 1.1. A wide range of energy and climate policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions .............. 32 Table 2.1. Examples of policy misalignments that undermine low-carbon investment ........................ 53 Table 2.2. How challenges and opportunities for low-carbon, resilient infrastructure investment vary by national circumstances or institutional context ..................................................... 58 Table 4.1. Clinker-to-cement ratios (inverse measure of clinker substitute use) by region ................. 113 Table 6.1. Climate change projections of insured losses and/or insurance prices ............................... 146 Table 6.2. A range of potential climate risks and response measures.................................................. 149 Table 6.3. Summary of risk management, risk pooling and risk transfer approaches ......................... 150 Table 9.1. Potential environmental impact of Producer Support Estimate and their share in the OECD area ................................................................................................................................ 215 Table 9.2. Food loss and waste along the supply chain ....................................................................... 232 ALIGNING POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY © OECD 2015