Understanding the impacts of consumption with input-output analysis Alexandra Marques BiodiversityConservationGroup GermanCentreforIntegrativeBiodiversityResearch(iDiv)Halle-Jena-Leipzig [email protected] TheImpactofConsumptiononEcosystemsandBiodiversityBeyondBorders -ATEEBPerspective- InternationalWorkshop,IsleofVilm,Germany 22nd October 2015 What is input-output analysis? It is a quantitative economic technique, that provides a (static) description of the interdependencies between the several economic actors. It’s main goal was to understand how changes in final demand affect the rest of the economy. A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 2/21 The basic structure for input-output analysis Intermediate Final Total Exports demand demand Output z z z z y ex x 11 12 13 14 1 1 1 Intermediate z z z z y ex x 21 22 23 24 2 2 2 demand z z z z y ex x 31 32 33 34 3 3 3 z z z z y ex x 41 42 43 44 4 4 4 Imports im im im im 1 2 3 4 Value added v v v v 1 2 3 4 Total input x x x x 1 2 3 4 Table: Basic structure of an IO table with n sectors. A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 3/21 The basic structure for input-output analysis INTERMEDIATE DEMAND + y = x TABLE Z x = Z(cid:48)i+y + A = Zdiag(x)−1 v = x = Ax+y x x = (I−A)−1y A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 4/21 An example Final Total Agriculture Industry Services demand output Agriculture 5 20 45 40 110 Industry 30 30 30 140 230 Services 5 80 20 65 170 Value 70 100 75 added Total input 110 230 170 If the final demand for agriculture increases by 60AC, how does total output increases? A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 5/21 An example Final Total Agriculture Industry Services demand output Agriculture 8.12 22.10 48.46 100 178.68 Industry 48.73 33.16 32.30 140 254.19 Services 8.12 88.41 21.54 65 183.07 Value 70 100 75 added Total input 178.68 254.19 183.07 x = 510 and x = 615.96 old new x −x = 105.96 new old A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 6/21 Environmentally extended input-output analysis (EEIO) EEIO analysis is to calculate the embodied (indirect, hidden, upstream) environmental impacts associated with a downstream consumption activity. A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 7/21 Environmentally extended input-output analysis Intermediate Final Total Exports demand demand Output z z z z y ex x 11 12 13 14 1 1 1 Intermediate z z z z y ex x 21 22 23 24 2 2 2 demand z z z z y ex x 31 32 33 34 3 3 3 z z z z y ex x 41 42 43 44 4 4 4 Imports im im im im 1 2 3 4 Carbon c c c c 1 2 3 4 Biodiversity b b b b 1 2 3 4 Value added v v v v 1 2 3 4 Total input x x x x 1 2 3 4 Table: Basic structure of an IO table with n sectors. A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 8/21 An example Final Agriculture Industry Services Total output demand Agriculture 5 20 45 40 110 Industry 30 30 30 140 230 Services 5 80 20 65 170 Inputs 70 100 75 Carbon 200 1000 50 Land 3000 10 0 Species 10 4 0 lost Total input 110 230 170 What are the embodied carbon emissions of the final demand for agricultural products? How many ha of land are embodied in the consumption of industry sectors? How many species are lost due to final demand of services? A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 9/21 An example Production of agriculture Consumption of products from products agriculture Carbon: 200 Carbon: 155.96 Land: 3000 Land: 1249.57 Species: 10 Species: 4.44 Production of industry Consumption of products from products industry Carbon: 1000 Carbon: 911.68 Land: 10 Land: 1053.44 Species: 4 Species: 6.76 A.Marquesetal. 22nd October2015 10/21
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