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Airline Economics: An Empirical Analysis of Market Structure and Competition in the US Airline Industry PDF

88 Pages·2017·2.514 MB·English
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Airline Economics GiovanniAlbertoTabacco Airline Economics An Empirical Analysis of Market Structure and Competition in the US Airline Industry GiovanniAlbertoTabacco SwanseaUniversity Swansea,UnitedKingdom ISBN978-3-319-46728-3 ISBN978-3-319-46729-0(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-46729-0 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016951951 ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s)2017 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsof translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthis publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesare exemptfromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformation in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publishernortheauthorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespectto thematerialcontainedhereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Coverillustration:Coverpattern©HarveyLoake Printedonacid-freepaper ThisPalgraveMacmillanimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Specialthanks to Godthrough ourLordJesus Christ forthe giftof my life,for beingbesideto me, and to usall, in everymomentalso inthe most difficultone;and thanks forthe joy andserenity ofdiscovering, stepbystep,theultimategoalofourlifeonearth:todiscoverGod’slove and forgiveness foreach humanbeing regardlessof what we do. P REFACE The subject of this book comprises original research about a detailed empirical investigation of market structure of airline city pair markets and competition between airline firms. The core of this research mono- graphconsists ofthree essay-style empiricalchapters. Afteranintroductorychapter,Chap.2proposesempiricalevidencethat theindustryisanaturaloligopoly:eachairlinemarketisdominatedbyone tothreeairlinecarriers,regardlessofmarketsize.Furthermore,Idevelop an econometric model of entry and market structure to explain the eco- nomicdrivingforcesthatmakeairlinecitypairmarketsnaturaloligopolies. Estimates suggest evidence that a rival’s airport presence lowers airline carrier’s own city pair profitability. As a result, this piece of econometric evidence indicates that city pair market’s entry, and hence concentration, declines.Inotherwords,airlinecarriers,throughincreasingthenumberof origin and destination points of each city pair market, bring about a very concentrated market structure. To the best of my knowledge, this is the first piece of empirical evidence on airline markets as natural oligopolies. In addition, this result helps to reveal the nature of the competitive process; city pair markets as natural oligopolies are consistent with airline carriers competing in terms of quality dimensions. It therefore helps to identify the nature of the competition models within the airline industry, showing the crucial role played in customer decision-making by service quality. InChap.3,Iperformanempiricalanalysistoexplainthedeterminants offirmnumbersandfirms’marketshareasymmetry.Lookingseparatelyat the two main dimensions of market concentration allows me to uncover vii viii PREFACE information about the competitive process which may have remained hidden if an investigation was confined solely to the number of firms. Econometricestimatesindicatethatthenatureofcompetitionisdifferent in markets containing large hub airports; in particular, the evidence is suggestive of tougher product-market competition in those city pairs with largehubairports andwhich containtop airlines. InChap.4,Iimplementagame-theoreticeconometricmodelofmarket structure and entry with the following objective: to attempt an empirical testformarket-sharingagreements.Inparticular,Iaimtogaininsightson entrydecisionsoflegacyaswellasregionalairlinesintocitypairs,therefore offering an explanation of market structure. The empirical evidence sug- gests that airline carrier’s own airport presence increases city pair market profitability. The empirical analysis also addresses whether or not airline carriers deliberately prevent head-to-head competition within city pair markets. In other words, the hub and spoke model adopted in the USA may be used as a device to strategically prevent or lessen competition in city pair markets. The gathered evidence is partly consistent with the strategicbehaviourofairlinecarriersinestablishingmarket-sharingagree- ments. This chapter, again to the best of my knowledge, represents the firstattempttoempiricallyinvestigatethisphenomenonofmarket-sharing agreements. Finally, Chap. 5 summarizes the main results and suggests some directionsforthe future potentialexpansion ofthisresearch. A CKNOWLEDGEMENTS Firstofall,Iwouldliketoexpressgratitudetotwoanonymousrefereesfor their valuable comments and helpful suggestions which have greatly improved this research monograph, and also to give a big thank you to the editors, in the persons of Laura Pacey, for great support and encour- agement,andAmberHusain,forefficientandhelpfuleditorialassistance. During the journey of this research project, from developing the research idea to its completion, I have been helped by many people. First of all, I owe gratitude to several colleagues: Steve Davies and Bruce Lyons, for valuable discussions, suggestions and encouragement; and FrancoMariuzzo,forprecioussuggestionsandextremelyhelpfulinsights oneconometric issuesrelated to Chap.4 ofthisresearch monograph. In travelling to conferences I have had the privilege not just to benefit from thoughtful comments and suggestions, but also, more importantly, to meet, even for only a few days, gracious people like Ivan Barreda- Tarrazona, Roberta Longo, Laura Rondi, Neil Gandal, Regine Oexl, Andrea Conte, Bradley Ruffle, Letizia Giorgetti, Quazi Shahriar, Claudio Panico,EmanueleTarantino,TheresaVeer,MartinaSartori,FedericoEtro, Emanuele Forlani, Georgi Burlakov, Lapo Filistrucchi, David Henriques, ClaudioPiga,TomBarbiero,MarcoAlderighi,AlbertoGaggero,Gianluigi Pelloni,JoannaPoyago-TheotokyandMiguelFlores. Life along my academic endeavour for the research embodied in this book has been illuminated by friendships that have endured since my earliest studies. I am grateful to Rod, Mark, Olivier, Sabrina, Okan, Fabiola,Jesus, Chris,Luca,Peter,KeyandFederica.Also,morerecently, my journey has been made much more joyful and rich than it could have ix x ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS been thanks to both close friendships and more occasional relations and interactions, with the following: Stephen and Chiyuki, Fr. Mark, Tony, Marcelo,Marion,Fabio, Fan, Daniel,Carlo, Paul,Eowyn, Samsoh, Luis, Katerina, Hope, Alimi, Gabor, Hoy, Sam and Ken, Hassan, Davide, Kathy,Mario, Fr.Carlito,Kevin andGiulia. Finally,Ithankmyfamilyforalltheirlove,financialandmoralsupport and encouragement and also for their trust in me. I wish to dedicate this researchmonographtomyparents,andinparticulartothememoryofmy dear father,Alberto. C ONTENTS 1 Introduction 1 References 4 2 AirlineCityPair Markets asNaturalOligopolies 7 2.1 Introduction 7 2.2 Data 8 2.2.1 Coverage ofthe Sample 8 2.2.2 Airports/Cities 9 2.2.3 Airlines 10 2.2.4 City Pairs 11 2.2.5 Variables 13 2.3 Empirical Analysis 14 2.3.1 NaturalOligopoly 14 2.3.2 MonopolyCity Pair Markets 24 2.4 Discussion 26 2.5 Conclusion 29 Notes 29 References 31 3 Market Size,Firm NumbersandMarket Share Asymmetry 35 3.1 Introduction 35 3.2 Related Literature 36 3.3 Data 37 3.4 Econometric Evidence 38 xi

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