The Development Dimension T h e Aid for Trade and Development Results D e v e A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK lo The Development Dimension p m e n This book on managing aid for trade and development results offers an alternative between the traditional t Aid for Trade D evaluation approach and the current fl avour of impact assessment. Management for development results im is based on business approaches of setting quantifi able objectives or targets and measuring performance e based on limited set of indictors. This approach which has been promoted by the Paris Declaration on Aid n and Development Results s Effectiveness is gaining traction in the donor community. It provides a particularly appropriate framework for io n using aid to promote trade as an engine of growth and poverty reduction, i.e. where links between inputs, outputs, outcomes and impacts are long and depend on many factors beyond the programme reach. A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK Contents Chapter 1. A results-based aid-for-trade management framework Chapter 2. Managing aid for trade and development results in Solomon Islands Chapter 3. Managing aid for trade and development results in Bangladesh Chapter 4. Managing aid for trade and development results in Ghana Chapter 5. Managing aid for trade and development results in Viet Nam Chapter 6. Managing aid for trade and development results in Rwanda A Chapter 7. Managing aid for trade and development results in Colombia id f o Chapter 8. Towards new aid-for-trade targets? r T Annex A. Aid-for-trade management framework: Trade-related targets ra d e Annex B. Examples of graphic utilisation of the framework a n d D e v e lo p m e n t R e s u lt s A M A N A G E M E N T F R A M E W Consult this publication on line at http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264112537-en. O R K This work is published on the OECD iLibrary, which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases. Visit www.oecd-ilibrary.org for more information. ISBN 978-92-64-20153-8 -:HSTCQE=WUVZX]: 43 2013 15 1 P The Development Dimension Aid for Trade and Development Results A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the OECD or of the governments of its member countries or those of the European Union. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. Please cite this publication as: OECD (2013), Aid for Trade and Development Results: A Management Framework, The Development Dimension, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264112537-en ISBN 978-92-64-20153-8 (print)(cid:3) ISBN 978-92-64-11253-7 (PDF)(cid:3) Series: The Development Dimension(cid:3) ISSN 1990-1380 (print)(cid:3) ISSN 1990-1372 (online)(cid:3) (cid:3) (cid:3) (cid:3) European Union(cid:3) Catalogue number: MN-01-13-141-EN-C (print)(cid:3) Catalogue number: MN-01-13-141-EN-N (PDF)(cid:3) ISBN 978-92-79-30107-0 (print)(cid:3) ISBN 978-92-79-30106-3 (PDF) Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found on line at: www.oecd.org/publishing/corrigenda. © OECD 2013 You can copy, download or print OECD content for your own use, and you can include excerpts from OECD publications, databases and multimedia products in your own documents, presentations, blogs, websites and teaching materials, provided that suitable acknowledgement of OECD as source and copyright owner is given. All requests for public or commercial use and translation rights should be submitted to [email protected]. Requests for permission to photocopy portions of this material for public or commercial use shall be addressed directly to the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) at [email protected] or the Centre français d’exploitation du droit de copie (CFC) [email protected]. 3 FOREWORD – Foreword History has shown that openness to trade is a key ingredient for economic success and for improving living standards. By connecting local producers to domestic, regional and global markets, trade helps enhance the productive capacity of the entire economy and (cid:237) depending on the pace and pattern of this growth process (cid:237) reduce poverty. It facilitates the availability of technology, know-how and other services. It helps to make goods cheaper and more widely available. It also weakens the grip of local or regional monopolies. Many developing countries have succeeded in benefitting from the expansion of regional and global markets. Steady reductions in trade barriers have enabled these countries to rapidly integrate into world markets through export-led industrialisation and thereby share in the prosperity generated by globalisation. But simply opening the economy to international trade is not enough. Developing countries – especially the least developed – require help in building their capacity to trade. Information, policies, procedures, institutions and infrastructure: all are important factors to integrate and compete effectively in global markets. Members of the OECD, international financial institutions and providers of South- South co-operation have devoted significant amounts of development finance to alleviate binding trade related constraints. This support has not only helped expand trade, but has also had impressive results in improving livelihoods for men and women. However, it is extremely difficult to be precise about the contribution of specific programmes and projects to macroeconomic outcomes. Traditionally, evaluations of donor programmes focused on financial accountability and due diligence i.e. were the funds used for its intended purpose. More recently, donors are focusing on what has worked and why, i.e. the focus is put on development outcomes. The state of the art uses the methodology of randomised control trials, which compare the impact of projects on the people or areas where projects took place to others were they did not.. Unfortunately, these assessments are expensive, while the findings are difficult to generalise. This book on managing aid for trade and development results offers an alternative between a focus on financial accountability and the current flavour of impact assessment. It follows business approaches of setting quantifiable objectives or targets and measuring performance based on limited set of indicators. This approach – management for development results –has been gaining traction in the development community ever since it was promoted by the 2005 Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness. For aid for trade, where links between inputs, outputs, outcomes and impacts depend on many factors beyond the programme reach, it provides a framework for staying focused on aid as an engine of growth and poverty reduction. The aid for trade management tool has been developed on the basis of case studies of national monitoring and evaluation frameworks in Bangladesh, Colombia, Ghana, Rwanda, Solomon Islands and Vietnam. These studies clearly show that there is a fertile basis for introducing this tool to manage aid for trade and development results. AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT RESULTS: A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK © OECD 2013 4 – FOREWORD . Erik Solheim Fernando de Mateo Chair of the Development Assistance Committee Chair of the Trade Committee AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT RESULTS: A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK © OECD 2013 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS – Acknowledgements The OECD would like to express its sincere appreciation to all partner country governments that participated in this project and to acknowledge the valuable contributions from a team of consultants comprised of Olivier Cattaneo (Trade Targets), John Winter (Solomon Islands), Khairuzzaman Mozumder, Mohammad Mashooqur Rahman Sikder and Mohammad Farhad (Bangladesh), Bernardin Senadza and A.D. Amarquaye Laryea (Ghana), Vu Quoc Huy, Tran Hung and Phung Van Quan (Vietnam), Richard Newfarmer, Michele Savini Zangrandi and Mariana Vijil (Rwanda), Alfie A. Ulloa Urrutia and Silvia Constain (Colombia). Masato Hayashikawa, William Hynes, Evdokia Moïsé, Megan Kennedy-Chouane from the OECD and Michael Roberts, Aime Murigande and Deborah Barker from the WTO Development Division provided valuable advice as did Carolyn Roberts (Inter-American Development Bank), Bryan Fornari (European Commission), Alhassan Iddrisu (Ghana), Simon Dawkins (Pacific Islands Forum), Amitava Chakraborty and Nesar Ahmed (Bangladesh), Cao Manh Cuong (Vietnam), George Tuti and Shivraj Bhatt (Solomon Islands). The OECD is grateful to the participants of the OECD Policy Dialogue on Aid for Trade for their valuable inputs and comments on earlier drafts. John Smith edited the report and Susan Hodgson and Se Eun Park provided excellent assistance. The report was prepared under the auspices of the OECD Development Assistance Committee and the Working Party of the Trade Committee and managed by Frans Lammersen. The financial support for this project from the European Commission is gratefully acknowledged. AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT RESULTS: A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK © OECD 2013 7 TABLE OF CONTENTS – Table of contents Foreword...................................................................................................................................................... 3 Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................................... 5 Acronyms ................................................................................................................................................... 11 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................. 21 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 23 Chapter 1 A results-based aid-for-trade management framework ..................................................... 27 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 29 Building a new set of trade-related targets .............................................................................................. 33 What this new framework could, and could not, help achieve ................................................................ 42 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 47 Chapter 2 Managing aid for trade and development results in Solomon Islands .............................. 51 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 52 Trade and development objectives and measurement ............................................................................. 54 Development partner programmes .......................................................................................................... 56 The Enhanced Integrated Framework ..................................................................................................... 57 Building blocks for managing for development results in trade ............................................................. 57 Towards a national results framework for trade ...................................................................................... 59 Next steps ................................................................................................................................................ 59 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 60 Chapter 3 Managing aid for trade and development results in Bangladesh ...................................... 65 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 66 An overview of aid for trade ................................................................................................................... 67 Trade and development strategies ........................................................................................................... 68 Aid-for-trade flows .................................................................................................................................. 70 Aid-for-trade facilitation ......................................................................................................................... 71 Results-based framework for trade facilitation ....................................................................................... 77 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 82 Chapter 4 Managing aid for trade and development results in Ghana .............................................. 89 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 90 The development framework................................................................................................................... 91 Agricultural trade and development co-operation ................................................................................... 92 Aid-for-trade flows .................................................................................................................................. 97 Donor activities in the agriculture sector .............................................................................................. 100 Monitoring and evaluation of development programmes ..................................................................... 103 Managing aid for trade for results ......................................................................................................... 112 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 113 AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT RESULTS: A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK © OECD 2013 8 – TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 5 Managing aid for trade and development results in Vietnam ......................................... 117 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 119 Economic development, trade performance .......................................................................................... 120 ODA and aid for trade: an overview ..................................................................................................... 126 The results-based management framework ........................................................................................... 131 Results from selected case projects ....................................................................................................... 138 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 140 Chapter 6 Managing aid for trade and development results in Rwanda.......................................... 147 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 149 Aid for trade: the big picture ................................................................................................................. 156 Trade strategy and trade policymaking ................................................................................................. 160 The results framework for ODA: strategy, planning and budgeting ..................................................... 165 Monitoring and evaluation .................................................................................................................... 167 Mutual accountability: Monitoring and evaluating donor performance ................................................ 182 Conclusions and options for improving outcomes ................................................................................ 185 Rwanda’s lessons for the international aid for trade community .......................................................... 190 Chapter 7 Managing aid for trade and development results in Colombia ....................................... 199 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 200 Colombia’s economy ............................................................................................................................. 200 Trade-related binding constraints .......................................................................................................... 203 Development priorities and goals .......................................................................................................... 207 International co-operation ..................................................................................................................... 209 The aid-for-trade strategy ...................................................................................................................... 213 Government monitoring system and results indicators in aid for trade ................................................. 216 Conclusions ........................................................................................................................................... 220 Chapter 8 Towards new aid-for-trade targets? .................................................................................. 229 Global Value Chains ............................................................................................................................. 230 Next steps: Towards UN development goals ........................................................................................ 233 Annex A Aid-for-trade management framework: Trade-related targets ......................................... 238 Level 1: Direct objectives/outcomes ..................................................................................................... 241 Level 2: Intermediate objectives/outcomes ........................................................................................... 252 Level 3: Final objectives/outcomes or impacts ..................................................................................... 255 Annex B Examples of graphic utilisation of the framework .............................................................. 257 Tables Table 1.1 Dimensions of aid for trade demand: Indicators and sources .................................................. 31 Table 1.2 Indicators for assessing the impact of aid for trade aimed at supply-side constraints ................................................................................................................................ 32 Table 3.1 Average annual flow of AfT between 2006-09 (USD million) ............................................... 71 Table 5.1 Viet Nam’s GDP growth rate and composition, 1990-2011 ................................................. 120 Table 5.2 Viet Nam’s trade with key trading partners, 2005 -2011 (USD million) .............................. 121 Table 5.3 Export diversification index, measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman concentration ratio, 2000 - 2010 ............................................................................................ 122 AID FOR TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT RESULTS: A MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK © OECD 2013