After the Cold War PDF
Preview After the Cold War
AFTER THE COLD WAR Also by Arthur I. Cyr * BRITISH FOREIGN POLICY AND THE ATLANTIC AREA The Techniques of Accommodation LIBERAL POLITICS IN BRITAIN * US FOREIGN POLICY AND EUROPEAN SECURITY * From the same publishers After the Cold War American Foreign Policy, Europe and Asia Arthur I. Cyr © Arthur I. Cyr 1997, 2000 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2000 978-0-333-67211-2 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1P 0LP. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. Published 2000 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world First edition 1997 Reprinted (with new Preface and Epilogue) 2000 ISBN 978-1-349-14239-2 ISBN 978-0-333-97748-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780333977484 A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 To the memory of my father Irving A. Cyr This page intentionally left blank Contents Preface to the 2000 Reprint x Preface to the First Edition xii PART I AMERICA AND THE WORLD 1 Incentives for Analysis 3 First Efforts 3 Three-way Analysis 5 Carter and Reagan 11 Familiar Institutions 14 Foreign Relations and Human Relations 18 Diversity 21 American Foreign Policy 24 Implications for the USA 28 2 A Reagan Revolution? 30 A Reagan Style ‘Revolution’ 30 Patterns of Continuity 33 The Race for the White House 36 Military Priority 40 Star Wars Power 41 Tensions with Europe 43 Middle East Adventure and Disaster 45 Relentless Economics – Trade and Finance 47 Re-Election 48 Second Term and Iran–Contra 50 Detente Revisited 53 Evaluation of Reagan 54 Reagan and the Public 58 3 Asia and Europe, Emergence and Change 62 Bush: Failure to Inspire 63 Cohesive, Collegial Style 66 The Gulf War 68 Europe: Unity, Disunity and 1992 69 Germany: Unification 71 The Eastern Bloc 73 vii viii Contents Japan: Frustration 75 Clinton: Foreign Policy Unfolding 78 Europe: Balkan Quagmire 79 Nato: Durable, Expandable 82 Asia: APEC, China, Japan 82 Conceptual Frameworks Past and Present 85 The Eye of Presidential Politics 86 The State of Opinion 87 Communication Beyond Polls 89 PART II FOREIGN POLICY AFTER THE COLD WAR 4 Soviet Collapse, World Disorder 93 Cold War and After 93 Soviet Theory, Soviet Practice 95 Containment Vindicated 96 Beyond Containment 97 Leaders and Goals 98 Structures of Alliance 100 European Union and Disunion 106 Europe 1992: Success, Failure, Uncertainty 109 Asia 110 Change in International Relations 115 Germany and Japan 118 Britain and Korea: Diplomats, Traders, Warriors 119 South Korea: Economic and Political Miracles 126 Partners in War 129 After Communism and Fascism 131 5 An American Worldview; An American World 134 National Interest and International Community 134 Democracy and Markets 135 Ideology and Liberalism 139 Structure – Nato: Arms and Influence 142 European Union: Commerce and Finance 147 The ‘Private Sector’ on the World Stage 149 People 150 An American Worldview: An American World 153 Security Threats, Policy Challenges 157 Public and Private 157 Contents ix Epilogue to the 2000 Reprint: The Indispensability of Leadership 162 Notes 174 Bibliography 190 Index 205
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