Adverse reActions This page intentionally left blank Adverse reActions the Fenoterol story neil PeArce AucklAnd university Press First published 2007 Auckland University Press University of Auckland Private Bag 92019 Auckland New Zealand www.auckland.ac.nz/aup © Neil Pearce isbn 978 1 86940 374 4 National Library of New Zealand Cataloguing-in-Publication Data Pearce, Neil. Adverse reactions : the Fenoterol story / Neil Pearce. isbn 978-1-86940-374-4 1. Fenoterol. 2. Asthma—Research. 3. Asthma—Research—New Zealand. 4. Asthma—Mortality. 5. Asthma—New Zealand— Mortality. I. Title. 616.238061—dc 22 This book is copyright. Apart from fair dealing for the purpose of private study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright Act, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior permission of the publisher. Cover design: Spencer Levine, Base Two Printed by Printlink Ltd, Wellington This book is dedicated to my parents (Arthur and Peggy Pearce) and my family (Lynette, Anna, Lucy) This page intentionally left blank contents List of Figures viii List of Tables ix Abbreviations x Beta agonists (and brand-names) x Foreword xi Acknowledgements xiii Introduction 1 Chapter 1 Some history 3 Chapter 2 History is rewritten 23 Chapter 3 History repeats itself 31 Chapter 4 ‘Maybe these drugs are not all the same’ 45 Chapter 5 The first study 61 Chapter 6 Getting the paper published 83 Chapter 7 Adverse reactions 114 Chapter 8 The second study 134 Chapter 9 Mixed reactions 144 Chapter 10 Positive reactions 164 Conclusion Parting shots 176 Notes 194 Bibliography 206 Index 212 list of Figures Figure 1: Asthma deaths per 100,000 per year in the 5- to 34-year age-group in New Zealand, Australia, England and Wales, and the USA during 1910–1960 6 Figure 2: Asthma deaths per 100,000 per year in the 5- to 34-year age-group in New Zealand, England and Wales, Australia, West Germany, Canada and the United States during the 1960s and 1970s 8 Figure 3: Sales and prescriptions of beta agonist inhalers (thousands) and asthma deaths per 100,000 per year in the 5- to 34-year age-group in England and Wales during the 1960s 11 Figure 4: New Zealand isoprenaline forte sales per capita and asthma deaths per 100,000 in the 5- to 34-year age-group between 1962 and 1988 34 Figure 5: New Zealand beta agonist sales (millions of doses and asthma mortality per 100,000 in the 5-to 34-year age-group 40 Figure 6: New Zealand inhaled corticosteroid sales and asthma mortality per 100,000 in the 5–to 34-year age-group 43 Figure 7: New Zealand asthma mortality per 100,000 and fenoterol market share (%) 47 Figure 8: Cardiac side-effects of fenoterol, isoprenaline, salbutamol and placebo – as indicated by the effects on the QS2 Index (QS2I) 53 Figure 9: Design of the first case-control study 135 Figure 10: Design of the second case-control study 136 Figure 11: New Zealand asthma mortality and fenoterol sales 175 viii list of tables Table 1: Hypothetical data from a study of deaths in asthmatics followed during 1981–83 78 Table 2: Hypothetical data from a study of deaths in asthmatics followed during 1981–83, and a sample of those who did not die 78 Table 3: Numbers of cases and controls prescribed fenoterol 79 Table 4: Numbers of cases and controls prescribed fenoterol, stratified by asthma severity (based on an asthma hospital admission during the previous 12 months) 81 Table 5: Numbers of cases and controls prescribed fenoterol in various subgroups of asthma severity 81 Table 6: Numbers of cases and controls prescribed fenoterol and salbutamol in the second case- control study 137 Table 7: Numbers of cases and controls prescribed fenoterol in various subgroups of asthma severity 138 ix