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Radon Series on Computational and Applied Mathematics 8 Managing Editor Heinz W.Engl (Linz/Vienna) Editors Hansjörg Albrecher (Lausanne) Ronald H.W.Hoppe (Augsburg/Houston) Karl Kunisch (Graz) Ulrich Langer (Linz) Harald Niederreiter (Singapore) Christian Schmeiser (Linz/Vienna) Radon Series on Computational and Applied Mathematics 1 Lectures on Advanced Computational Methods in Mechanics Johannes Kraus and Ulrich Langer (eds.), 2007 2 Gröbner Bases in Symbolic Analysis Markus Rosenkranz and Dongming Wang (eds.), 2007 3 Gröbner Bases in Control Theory and Signal Processing Hyungju Park and Georg Regensburger (eds.), 2007 4 A Posteriori Estimates for Partial Differential Equations Sergey Repin, 2008 5 Robust Algebraic Multilevel Methods and Algorithms Johannes Kraus and Svetozar Margenov, 2009 6 Iterative Regularization Methods for Nonlinear Ill-Posed Problems Barbara Kaltenbacher, Andreas Neubauer and Otmar Scherzer, 2008 7 Robust Static Super-Replication of Barrier Options Jan H. Maruhn, 2009 8 Advanced Financial Modelling Hansjörg Albrecher, Wolfgang J. Runggaldier and Walter Schachermayer (eds.), 2009 Advanced Financial Modelling Edited by Hansjörg Albrecher Wolfgang J.Runggaldier Walter Schachermayer ≥ Walter de Gruyter · Berlin · New York Editors HansjörgAlbrecher WolfgangJ.Runggaldier Universite´ deLausanne DipartimentodiMatematicaPuraedApplicata QuartierUNIL-Dorigny Universita` degliStudidiPadova BaˆtimentExtranef ViaTrieste63 1015Lausanne,Switzerland 35121Padova,Italy E-mail:[email protected] E-mail:[email protected] WalterSchachermayer FacultyofMathematics UniversityofVienna Nordbergstraße15 1090Vienna,Austria E-Mail:[email protected] Keywords Mathematicalfinance,actuarialmathematics,stochasticdifferentialequations,optimization, mathematicalmodelling,computationalmethods. MathematicsSubjectClassification2000 91-02,60G35,60H35,60J60,62P05,65C05,91B16,91B28,91B70,93E20. (cid:2)(cid:2) Printedonacid-freepaperwhichfallswithintheguidelines oftheANSItoensurepermanenceanddurability. ISBN 978-3-11-021313-3 BibliographicinformationpublishedbytheDeutscheNationalbibliothek TheDeutscheNationalbibliothekliststhispublicationintheDeutscheNationalbibliografie; detailedbibliographicdataareavailableintheInternetathttp://dnb.d-nb.de. (cid:2)Copyright2009byWalterdeGruyterGmbH&Co.KG,10785Berlin,Germany. All rights reserved, including those of translation into foreign languages. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, includingphotocopy,recording,oranyinformationstorageorretrievalsystem,withoutpermission inwritingfromthepublisher. PrintedinGermany Coverdesign:MartinZech,Bremen. Typesetusingtheauthors’LATXfiles:JanNitzschmann,Leipzig. E Printingandbinding:Hubert&Co.GmbH&Co.KG,Göttingen. Preface Thisbookisacollectionofstate-of-the-artsurveysonvarioustopicsinmathemati- calfinance,withanemphasisonrecentmodelingandcomputational approaches. The volumeisrelatedtoaSpecialSemesteronStochasticswithEmphasisonFinancethat tookplacefromSeptembertoDecember2008attheJohannRadonInstituteforCom- putational and Applied Mathematics (RICAM) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences inLinz,Austria. TheSpecialSemesterwasbuiltaroundanumberofselectedtopicsandeachofthese topicswasthethemeofaninternationalworkshopwithabout20invitedspeakers. Be- sides a Tutorial, a Kick-Off Workshop focusing also on “Academics meeting Practi- tioners”andaConcludingWorkshop,thethematicworkshopsconcernedthefollowing topics: Advanced Modelling in Finance and Insurance; Optimization and Optimal Con- trol;InverseandPartialInformationProblems: MethodologyandApplications; Com- putational Methods with Applications in Finance, Insurance and the Life Sciences; StochasticMethodsinPartialDifferentialEquationsandApplicationsofDeterministic andStochasticPDEs. Inadditiontotheworkshops,theideaarosetocollectsurveysonimportantaspects and recent developments related to the topics of the Special Semester and this forms the contents of the present volume. The topics covered include the following (listed alphabetically and grouped according to their relation with the topics of the Special Semesterintheaboveorder): • Affinediffusionprocessesinfinance • DefaultandprepaymentmodelingusingLevyprocesses • Volatilityinferenceinmodelsbeyondsemimartingales • Optimalassetallocation • Optimalconsumptionandinvestmentinilliquidmarketsandwithdownsiderisk measures • Multiperiodacceptabilityfunctionals • Worst-caseportfoliooptimization • Gooddealbounds • Optimalinvestmentandhedgingunderpartialandinsideinformation • Regularizationofinverseproblemsandcalibrationofoptionpricemodels • Advancedsimulationtechniques • ApplicationsofMalliavinCalculus • ProbabilisticschemesforfullynonlinearPDE’s Thecontributionsthemselvesarearrangedinalphabeticorderaccordingtothefirst namedauthor. vi Preface Moredetails onthe Special Semester andthe fullworkshop programcan befound attheRICAMSpecialSemesterwebpageat: http://www.ricam.oeaw.ac.at/specsem/sef Wewouldliketotakethisopportunitytothankallthosewhohavecontributedscientif- icallytothisSpecialSemester,inparticulartheauthorsofthisvolumeandthespeakers attheworkshopsaswellasthe(morethan250)participantsintheworkshops. Further thanks go to the Austrian Academy of Sciences and in particular the Johann Radon InstituteofComputationalandAppliedMathematicsinLinzanditsdirectorHeinzW. EnglformakingthisSpecial Semester possible. WealsothankRobertPlatofromthe publishinghousedeGruyter fortheprofessionaleditorial supportduringtheprepara- tionofthisvolume. Lausanne,PaduaandVienna,June2009 HansjoergAlbrecher WolfgangRunggaldier WalterSchachermayer Contents Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v O. E. BARNDORFF-NIELSEN, J. SCHMIEGEL Browniansemistationaryprocessesandvolatility/intermittency . . . . . . . . . 1 D. BECHERER Fromboundsonoptimalgrowthtowardsatheoryofgood-dealhedging . . . . 27 C. BLANCHET-SCALLIET, R. GIBSON BRANDON, B. DE SAPORTA, D. TALAY, E. TANRE´ Viscositysolutionstooptimalportfolioallocationproblemsinmodelswith randomtimechangesandtransactioncosts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 B. BOUCHARD, R. ELIE, N. TOUZI Discrete-timeapproximationofBSDEsandprobabilisticschemesforfully nonlinearPDEs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 D. FILIPOVIC´, E. MAYERHOFER Affinediffusionprocesses: theoryandapplications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 M. B. GILES, B. J. WATERHOUSE Multilevelquasi-MonteCarlopathsimulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 H. JO¨NSSON, W. SCHOUTENS, G. VAN DAMME ModellingdefaultandprepaymentusingLe´vyprocesses: anapplicationtoasset backedsecurities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 B. JOURDAIN Adaptivevariancereductiontechniquesinfinance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 S. KINDERMANN, H. K. PIKKARAINEN Regularisationofinverseproblemsanditsapplicationtothecalibrationofoption pricemodels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 C. KLU¨PPELBERG, S. PERGAMENSHCHIKOV Optimalconsumptionandinvestmentwithboundeddownsideriskmeasuresfor logarithmicutilityfunctions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 A. KOHATSU-HIGA, K. YASUDA AreviewofsomerecentresultsonMalliavinCalculusanditsapplications . . 275 R. KORN, M. SCHA¨L Thenumeraireportfolioindiscretetime: existence,relatedconceptsand applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303 viii Contents R. KORN, F. SEIFRIED Aworst-caseapproachtocontinuous-timeportfoliooptimisation . . . . . . . . 327 R. KOVACEVIC, G. CH. PFLUG Timeconsistencyandinformationmonotonicityofmultiperiodacceptability functionals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347 M. MONOYIOS Optimalinvestmentandhedgingunderpartialandinsideinformation . . . . . 371 H. PHAM Investment/consumptionchoiceinilliquidmarketswithrandomtradingtimes 411 T. ZARIPHOPOULOU Optimalassetallocationinastochasticfactormodel–anoverviewandopen problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 427 RadonSeriesComp.Appl.Math8,1–25 (cid:2)c deGruyter2009 Brownian semistationary processes and volatility/intermittency OleE. Barndorff-Nielsen and Ju¨rgenSchmiegel Abstract.Anewclassofstochasticprocesses,termedBrowniansemistationaryprocesses(BSS),is introducedanddiscussed. ThisclasshassimilaritiestothatofBrowniansemimartingales(BSM), but is mainly directed towards the study of stationary processes, and BSS processes are not in general of thesemimartingale type. Wefocus onsemimartingale - nonsemimartingale issuesand oninferenceproblemsconcerning theunderlying volatility/intermittencyprocess, inthenonsemi- martingalecaseandbasedonnormalisedrealisedquadraticvariation.TheconceptofBSSprocesses hasarisenoutofanongoingstudyofturbulentvelocityfieldsandisthepurelytemporalversionof thegeneraltempo-spatial frameworkofambitprocesses. Thelatter, whichmayhaveapplications alsotothefinanceofenergymarkets,isbrieflyconsideredattheendofthepaper,againwithrefer- encetothequestionofinferenceonthevolatility/intermittency. Key words. Ambit processes, intermittency, nonsemimartingales, stationary processes, realised quadraticvariation,turbulence,volatility. AMSclassification.60G10 1 Introduction ThispaperdiscussesstochasticprocessesY ={Yt}t∈R oftheform (cid:2) (cid:2) t t Yt =μ+ g(t−s)σsdBs+ q(t−s)asds (1.1) −∞ −∞ where μ is a constant, B is Brownian motion, g and q are nonnegative deterministic functions on R, with g(t) = q(t) = 0 for t ≤ 0, and σ and a are ca`dla`g processes. Whenσ anda arestationarythensoisY. Accordingly we shallrefer toprocessesof this typeas Browniansemistationary (BSS) processes. Itissometimes convenient to indicatetheformulaforY as Y =μ+g∗σ•B+q∗a•Leb, (1.2) whereLebdenotesLebesguemeasure. We consider the BSS processes to be the natural analogue, for stationarity related processes,oftheclassBSMofBrowniansemimartingales (cid:2) (cid:2) t t Yt = σsdBs+ asds. (1.3) 0 0 Inthepresentpapertheprocessesσ andawill,unlessotherwisestated,betakento bestationary,andwethenrefertoσasthevolatilityorintermittencyprocess. Theterm

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