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Lecture Notes in Energy 74 Tanay Sıdkı Uyar   Editor Accelerating the Transition to a 100% Renewable Energy Era Lecture Notes in Energy Volume 74 LectureNotesinEnergy(LNE)isaseriesthatreportsonnewdevelopmentsinthe studyofenergy:fromscienceandengineeringtotheanalysisofenergypolicy.The series’ scope includes but is not limited to, renewable and green energy, nuclear, fossil fuels and carbon capture, energy systems, energy storage and harvesting, batteries and fuel cells, power systems, energy efficiency, energy in buildings, energy policy, as well as energy-related topics in economics, management and transportation.BookspublishedinLNEareoriginalandtimelyandbridgebetween advanced textbooks and the forefront of research. Readers of LNE include postgraduate students and non-specialist researchers wishing to gain an accessible introduction to a field of research as well as professionals and researchers with a needforanup-to-datereferencebookonawell-definedtopic.Theseriespublishes single- and multi-authored volumes as well as advanced textbooks. **Indexed in Scopus and EI Compendex** The Springer Energy board welcomes your book proposal. Please get in touch with the series via Anthony Doyle, Executive Editor, Springer ([email protected]). More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8874 ı ı Tanay S dk Uyar Editor Accelerating the Transition to a 100% Renewable Energy Era 123 Editor Tanay Sıdkı Uyar Energy Section Department ofMechanical Engineering Marmara University Istanbul,Turkey ISSN 2195-1284 ISSN 2195-1292 (electronic) Lecture Notesin Energy ISBN978-3-030-40737-7 ISBN978-3-030-40738-4 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-40738-4 ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2020 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregard tojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface Coronavirus, COVID-1, is a virus that is too small to be seen. In a few months, it almost stopped all life on Earth. Not only did it stop the daily life, but in a short period of time it crossed all borders and oceans drawn by human beings quickly, reachingandinfectingmillionsofpeoplein185countriesinalmostovertheworld. Its circulation on Earth continues, and it is not yet clear up to where it will continue and when it will stop. 343,608 people have died from the coronavirus, COVID-19, outbreak as of May 24, 2020. Worse still, nobody knows what will happen tomorrow and beyond. No one can say anything concrete. Mankindhasnotbeenabletostopthisepidemicformonthswithallitshistorical knowledge,andeconomicandtechnologicalcapabilities.Farfromstopping,ittries to reduce losses and increase the number of lives it can save. Governments are racing in the fight against this virus crisis by undertaking the task of designing social experiences, economic powers, management approaches and priorities of the social relations they rely on, and measures and recovery packages with the slogan of “PROBLEM GLOBAL, SOLUTION NATIONAL”. Despitetheunknownfuture,theseeffortsandthesepackageshavealreadyreached ascalethatwillshapeandrestructuresocietiesandeconomiesinthecomingyears. However, mankind is not a stranger to this type of epidemics. Humanity has facedmanyepidemicdiseasesanddisastersthroughoutitshistory.Whenitbecame unsustainable due to the suffering caused by local or regional crises, it evolved to new social forms or disappeared locally, depending on the level of uneven devel- opment and productive forces and the severity of pain. Thefactthatepidemicsthroughoutthehistoryofhumanityhavereachedglobal dimensions in our era and are not limited to nations, local geographies, or even continents clearly reveals that the solution of the crisis today requires a global solidarity. v vi Preface The ongoing crisis has made global connections more visible, strengthened the vision of a more flexible society at national and regional levels, as well as once again clearly revealed the great differences between countries’ conditions and capacities. For this reason, international cooperation is required to overcome the crisis and thestruggleagainstthecrisisshouldbeatthelevelofglobalcommon dependency and responsibility. It is an imperative rather than a necessity to direct global investmentswherevertheyareneeded,includingthemostvulnerablecountriesand communities. The extent and progress of the crisis require solidarity on a global scale, but it requires the bold implementation of the measures to determine the causes of the crisis without delay and eliminate them without wasting time. Today, we cannot dissociate the cause of the coronavirus epidemic, which threatenstheentireplanet,andtookandcontinuestotakehundredsofthousandsof lives, from the consequences of the climate crisis. Globalclimatechangecausedbytheplunderingandlootingofthenaturalvalues atthelevelofanuncontrolledwaragainstnatureinthesecondhalfofthetwentieth century and afterward in an attempt to overcome its challenges by using advanced technologywithaninexhaustibleambitionforprofitledtotheglobalcrisessuchas coronavirus. And it seems that crises caused by corona and similar viruses are neither the first nor the last. Theclimatecrisisanditsconsequencesaffecttheentireplanet,causingunlimited losses,especiallylossoflife,economiescollapse,andepidemicdiseasesthatcannot be dealt with and threaten the future of humanity. Extreme atmospheric events, hurricanes, tornados, irregularity of precipitation regimes, floods, drought and desertification, melting glaciers and rising seas, large forestfiresthatcouldnotbeextinguished,destroyedecosystems,dryinglakes,lost water resources, polluted air, water, soil, all occur more frequently as the phe- nomena dragging the humanity to its end. Air pollution caused by fossil fuels, especially coal-fired power plants, spreads over hundreds of kilometers. People living here easily get lung and other chronic diseases and are the first target in epidemics. The use of coal, oil, and natural gas in the transportation, industry and housing sectors, both changes the global climate and the air pollution it creates causes the death of millions of people every year. Coronavirus, on the other hand, kills patients suffering from chronic diseases (cancer,tuberculosis, heart,andlung diseases)caused by usingfossilfuel,without the opportunity to use medication. It is obvious that vaccination studies will last at least 1 year, due to inadequate numberoftestsintheinitialprocessearlydiagnosishasn’tbeenpossibleandinthe countries where preventive medicine is ignored the fight against the virus will extend the time and increase the losses. Preface vii If the necessary lessons are not taken and the causes cannot be eliminated by doing what is necessary, such crises will continue until they destroy the living species in the universe with an increasing severity. Increasinglossoflifeisdisruptive,andpressureoncommunitiesandeconomies will require comprehensive strategies to eliminatecauses. A broader perspective is neededthatseesenergy,society,economy,andtheenvironmentaspartofaunique, integrated system. The steps taken within the scope of the fight against the crisis, the investments made, and the public resources spent should provide more than a rescue operation for the existing socio-economic structures. Now, more than ever, public policies and investment decisions must be com- patible with a vision of sustainable and fair future, free from political concerns. Inthecontextofcombatingtheepidemic,incentivesandimprovementmeasures shouldencourageeconomicdevelopmentandjobcreation,promotesocialequality and prosperity, and put the world on a climate-safe path. The governments should resort to a renewable-energy-based energy transfor- mation to bring a series of solutions at this difficult moment. Decentralized technologies enable citizens and communities to participate more in energy decisions with transformative social implications. More importantly, it offersaprovenapproachtoremotehealthcareinenergy-poorcommunitiesandadds a key element to the crisis response process. Burningfossilfuels(coal,naturalgas,andpetroleum)intheatmosphere,which are the main causes of chronic diseases, should be stopped and transition to 100% renewable energy should take place as a permanent solution for the elimination of epidemics and for keeping people and other living creatures free from outbreaks. The energy transformation process should be accelerated to help revitalize renewable technologies and industries and create new jobs. What should be done to stop the carbon emissions, which has become a vital necessity for humans and nature, should be applied immediately without any excuses and “but’s”. Air is a nature element that makes life possible and sustainable. Water that makes life possible is a product that cannot be obtained in any way other than what nature offers. Soil, which gives plants life and can be cultivated, is the product of a process corresponding to tens of thousands of years. Foreststhatenabletheuniversetobreatheandprovidetheraintotheuniverseas anaturaleventaretheproductsofhundredsofthousandsofyears.Fossilforestsare worldheritageformationsthatenableustodiscovernaturalhistory.Theformation offossilsisaprocessthattakesmillionsofyearsandmakesitpossiblethroughthe scientific studies tohave informationabout theclimate and plant species related to the geological times. These natural values should never be consumed for any reason. They should continue their existence in their natural environment and should be used based on sustainability of life in the way the nature offers. viii Preface We, as the promoters of transition to 100% renewable energy who worked together to produce this book, are trying to define the problems of conventional energyproductionandconsumption,tofindsolutionsthatcanbeimplementedand to develop related technologies and methodologies for effective long-term mitiga- tion of the problems and protection of our unique common living space on Earth. Permanent solution to prevent people from catching epidemics is to stop com- bustion of fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and oil) in the atmosphere, which is the main cause of chronic diseases. We need to develop and implement Local Green Deal’s in cities and National Green Deal’s in countries to make Global Green Deal a reality. Istanbul, Turkey Tanay Sıdkı Uyar Contents Accelerating the Transition to 100% Renewable Era. But How? Exergy Rationality in the Built Environment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Birol Kılkış Role of IRENA for Global Transition to 100% Renewable Energy . . . . 51 Elisa Asmelash, Gayathri Prakash, Ricardo Gorini and Dolf Gielen The Renewable City: The Future of Low-Carbon Living. . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Peter Droege Assessment of Prerequisites and Impacts of a Renewable-Based Electricity Supply in Austria by 2030. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 Gustav Resch, Gerhard Totschnig, Demet Suna, Franziska Schöniger, Jasper Geipel and Lukas Liebmann History and Recent State of TIMES Optimization Energy Models and Their Applications for a Transition Towards Clean Energies . . . . . 113 Kathleen Vaillancourt, Olivier Bahn and Nadia El Maghraoui Electricity Grids for 100% Renewable Energy: Challenges and Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 Eberhard Waffenschmidt, Majid Nayeripour, Silvan Rummeny and Christian Brosig The Sustainable Energy Transition Cities and Local Governments in Focus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 Maryke van Staden The Pathway to 100% Renewable Energy—A Vision . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 Rian van Staden, Filippo Boselli and Anna Leidreiter ix

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