Table Of Content

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS A PROTOTYPICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING HIGH TECH NAVY RECRUITING MARKETS by HANS-JOACHIM USLAR December 1991 Thesis Co-Advisors: George W. Thomas Linda Gorman Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. 1260632 Unclassified SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE FormApproved OMBNo. 0704-O188 ia. REP6RT se^UrITy classification 1b. RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS UNCLASSIFIED 2a. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 3. DISTRIBUTION /AVAILABILITYOF REPORT 2b. DECLASSIFICATION/ DOWNGRADING Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. 4. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) 5. MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT 6a. NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION pb. OFFICE SYMBOL 7a. NAME OF MONITORING (Ifapplicable) Naval Postgraduate School 036 Naval Postgraduate School 6c. ADDRESS (City.State,andZIPCode) 7b. ADDRESS (City,Stale,andZIPCode) Monterey, California 93943-5000 Monterey, California 93943-5000 8a. NAME OF FUNDING/SPONSORING Bb. OFFICE SYMBOL 9. PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION (Ifapplicable) 8c. ADDRESS (City,State.andZIPCode) 10. SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS PROGRAM PROJECT TASK WORK UNIT Naval Postgraduate School ELEMENT NO. NO. NO. ACCESSION NO. Monterey, California 93943-5000 11. TITLE (IncludeSecurityClassification) A PROTOTYPICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING HIGH TECH NAVYRECRUITING MARKETS (UNCLASSIFIED) 12. PERSONAL AUTHOR(S) Uslar, Hans-Joachim 13a. TYPE OF REPORT 13b. TIME COVERED 14. DATE OF REPORT (Year.Month. Day) 5. PAGE COUNT Master'sThesis FROM TO December 1991 67 16. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTATION The views expressed in this thesis arethose ofthe author and do not reflectthe official policy ofthe Department of Defense orthe U.S. Government. Me^rv"^/Mm^ 17. COSATI CODES 1 FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Armed ForcesQualificationTest AFQT National Longitudinal Survey ofYouth NLSY 19. ABSTRACT(Continueonreverseitnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber) This thesis presents a methodforidentifying and analyzingthe recruiting market for highlytechnical Navy ratings. A basic model estimatesthe eligibilityforsix market segmentsforfourmental outcomes, (1) hightech, (2) high quality and not high tech, (3) mental category 3B and (4) not eligibleforthe military labor market. A second model estimates the interest in military employmentforeach market segment giventheirlikelihood of being qualifiedforthe highly technical ratings. Thethird model is based onthe results ofthefirsttwo models and estimatesthe actualjoining behavior of each market segment ofthe hightech market giventheirlevel of interest inthe military. 20. DISTRIBUTION /AVAILABILITYOFABSTRACT 21. ABSTRACT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION UNCLASSIFIED ^UNCLASSIFIED/UNLIMITED |~1 SAME AS RPT. ] DTIC USERS 22a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b. TELEPHONE (hdudeAreaCode) 22c. OFFICE SYMBOL GeorgeW. Thomas (408) 646-2471 rXSfTE DO FORM 1473, JUN 86 SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE S/N 0102-LF-014-6603 Unclassified Approved forpublic release; distribution is unlimited. A Prototypical Model ForEstimating High Tech Navy Recruiting Markets by Hans-Joachim JJslar Lieutenant Commander, German Navy Diplom Paedagoge, University ofHamburg, 1983 Submitted in partial fulfillment ofthe requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN MANPOWER MANAGEMENT from the NAVALPOSTGRADUATE SCHOOL December, 1991