Editors Report based on Nicola Singleton surveys carried out by Glyn Lewis the Office for National Statistics in 2000 and 2001 for the Department of Health and the Scottish Executive Health Department Better or worse: a longitudinal study of the mental health of adults living in private households in Great Britain London: TSO © Crown copyright 2003 This report has been produced by the Social Survey Division of Published with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s the Office for National Statistics in accordance with the National Stationery Office (HMSO). Statistics Code of Practice. ISBN 0 11 621658 1 Applications for reproduction should be submitted to HMSO under HMSO’s Class Licence: www.clickanduse.hmso.gov.uk Alternatively applications can be made in writing to: HMSO Licensing Division St. Clement’s House 2–16 Colegate Norwich NR3 1BQ Contact points For enquiries about this publication, contact Nicola Singleton Tel: 020 7533 5305 E-mail: Contents Page List of tables v List of figures vii Editors’ acknowledgements viii Notes to tables ix Summary of key findings xi 1. Introduction and overview of methods used 1 Nicola Singleton, Alison Lee, Howard Meltzer and Glyn Lewis 1.1 Background, aims and coverage of the study 1 1.2 Sampling and interviewing procedures for the face-to-face interviews 4 1.3 Sampling and interviewing procedures for the telephone interview study of met and unmet needs for care 6 1.4 Assessment of disorder and other key variables 8 1.5 Response to the survey 11 1.6 Approach to the analysis 12 2. Onset of episodes of the common mental disorders 17 Scott Weich 2.1 Introduction 17 2.2 Factors associated with episode onset 18 2.3 Discussion 20 3. Recovery from common mental disorders 31 Glyn Lewis 3.1 Introduction 31 3.2 Factors associated with recovery 32 3.3 Discusion 34 4. Suicidal thoughts 45 David Gunnell and Roger Harbord 4.1 Introduction 45 4.2 Factors associated with the onset of suicidal thoughts 46 4.3 Factors associated with recovery from suicidal thoughts 48 4.4 Discussion 49 5. Tobacco, alcohol and drug use and cessation of use at follow-up 66 Michael Farrell 5.1 Introduction 66 5.2 Onset of smoking at follow-up 67 5.3 Cessation of tobacco smoking 69 5.4 Onset of hazardous and dependent drinking 71 5.5 Recovery from hazardous and dependent drinking 74 5.6 Onset of drug use 77 5.7 Recovery from or cessation of drug use 78 5.8 Discussion 79 iii Page 6. Treatment 122 Michael King, Paul Bebbington and Ula Nur 6.1 Introduction 122 6.2 Definitions and methods 123 6.3 Extent of treatment and service provision 124 6.4 Factors associated with reporting treatment or service contacts 125 6.5 Associations between treatment and service contacts and outcome of common mental disorder 126 6.6 Results of the sub-study of met and unmet needs 127 6.7 Conclusions 129 7. Quality of life, social support and physical health 146 Traolach Brugha and Sherrill Evans 7.1 Introduction 146 7.2 The Lancashire Quality of Life Profile 146 7.3 Health status 148 7.4 Economic Quality of Life indicators 149 7.5 Social support 149 7.6 Activities of Daily Living 150 7.7 Conclusion 151 Appendices A The assessment of common mental disorder and alcohol problems 157 B Statistical terms and their interpretation 162 C Glossary of survey definitions and terms 166 iv List of tables Page Page Chapter 1 Introduction and overview of 4.5 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of methods used suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Substance use variables 60 1.1 The sample size in different sample groups 15 4.6 Odds Ratios associated with the recovery from 1.2 Response to the initial interview stage 15 suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2 61 1.3 Response to the telephone interviews 15 4.7 Odds Ratios associated with the recovery from 1.4 Response to the telephone interviews suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Demographic according to selection group 15 variables 62 1.5 Socio-economic characteristics of responders 4.8 Odds Ratios associated with the recovery and non-responders 16 from suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: 1.6 Mental health and substance use Economic variables 63 characteristics of responders and 4.9 Odds Ratios associated with the recovery non-responders 16 from suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Social context variables 64 Chapter 2 Onset of episodes of the common 4.10 Odds Ratios associated with the recovery mental disorders from suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Substance use variables 65 2.1 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of common mental disorder at T2 22 Chapter 5 Tobacco, alcohol and drug use and 2.2 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of cessation of use at follow-up common mental disorder at T2: Demographic variables 23 5.1 Odds Ratios associated with onset of 2.3 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of smoking at T2 82 common mental disorder at T2: Economic 5.2 Odds Ratios associated with onset of variables 26 smoking at T2: Demographic variables 83 2.4 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of 5.3 Odds Ratios associated with onset of common mental disorder at T2: Social smoking at T2: Economic variables 84 context variables 29 5.4 Odds Ratios associated with onset of smoking at T2: Social context variables 85 Chapter 3 Recovery from common mental disorders 5.5 Odds Ratios associated with onset of smoking at T2: Mental health and substance 3.1 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from use variables 86 common mental disorder by T2 36 5.6 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 3.2 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from smoking at T2 87 common mental disorder by T2: 5.7 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from Demographic variables 37 smoking at T2: Demographic variables 88 3.3 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 5.8 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from common mental disorder by T2: smoking at T2: Economic variables 89 Economic variables 40 5.9 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 3.4 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from smoking at T2: Social context variables 90 common mental disorder by T2: Social 5.10 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from context variables 43 smoking at T2: Mental health and other substance use variables 91 Chapter 4 Suicidal thoughts 5.11 Odds Ratios associated with onset of hazardous or dependent drinking at T2 92 4.1 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of 5.12 Odds Ratios associated with onset of suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2 51 hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: 4.2 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of Demographic variables 93 suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: 5.13 Odds Ratios associated with onset of Demographic variables 52 hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: 4.3 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of Economic variables 96 suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Economic 5.14 Odds Ratios associated with onset of variables 56 hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: 4.4 Odds Ratios associated with the onset of Social context variables 99 suicidal thoughts from T1 to T2: Social 5.15 Odds Ratios associated with onset of context variables 58 hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: Mental health and substance use variables 101 v Page Page 5.16 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 6.8 Association between recovery from common hazardous or dependent drinking at T2 103 mental disorder and treatment 142 5.17 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 6.9 Relationship between level of functioning hazardous or dependent drinking at T2 : assessed on the Needs for Care Assessment Demographic variables 104 and the diagnostic categories obtained from 5.18 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from the baseline interviews 142 hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: 6.10 Level of functioning and primary need Economic variables 107 status with respect to common mental 5.19 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from disorders (depression, anxiety/obsession or hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: adjustment disorder) assessed in the Social context variables 110 telephone interviews by CIS-R score at T1 142 5.20 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 6.11 Level of functioning and assessed need with hazardous or dependent drinking at T2: respect to alcohol problems by level of Mental health and other substance use alcohol problem at T1 143 variables 112 6.12 GP consultations for mental or emotional 5.21 Odds Ratios associated with onset of drug problems in the 2 weeks prior to T1 or use between T1 and T2 113 between T1 and T2 by level of functioning 5.22 Odds Ratios associated with onset of drug and assessed need for treatment for common use between T1 and T2: Demographic mental disorders 143 variables 114 6.13 GP consultations for mental or emotional 5.23 Odds Ratios associated with onset of drug problems in the 2 weeks prior to T1 or use between T1 and T2: Economic between T1 and T2 by level of functioning variables 115 and assessed need for treatment for alcohol 5.24 Odds Ratios associated with onset of drug problems 144 use between T1 and T2: Social context 6.14 Assessment of levels of delivery of different variables 116 types of care for those assessed as having 5.25 Odds Ratios associated with onset of drug current, past or likely depressive symptoms 145 use: Mental health and substance use 6.15 Assessment of levels of delivery of different variables 117 types of care for those assessed as having current, 5.26 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from past or likely alcohol problems 145 drug use 117 6.16 Assessment of levels of delivery of different 5.27 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from types of care for those assessed as having drug use: Demographic variables 118 current, past or likely anxiety symptoms 146 5.28 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from drug use: Economic variables 119 Chapter 7 Quality of life, social support and physical 5.29 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from health drug use: Social context variables 120 5.30 Odds Ratios associated with recovery from 7.1 Distribution of Lancashire Quality of Life drug use: Mental health and other substance subscale scores by change in CIS-R caseness misuse variables 121 from T1 to T2 153 7.2 Longstanding physical complaints at T1 by Chapter 6 Treatment change in CIS-R caseness from T1 to T2 154 7.3 Economic Quality of Life indicators by change 6.1 Treatment or health care services received in CIS-R caseness from T1 to T2 154 at either T1 or T2 by CIS-R score at T1 131 7.4 Social support by change in CIS-R caseness 6.2 Treatment or health care services received from T1 to T2 155 at either T1 or T2 by change in CIS-R 7.5 Change in the extent of difficulties with caseness 132 activities of daily living by change in CIS-R 6.3 Treatment or health care services received caseness from T1 to T2 156 at either T1 or T2 by alcohol problems at T1 133 6.4 Treatment or health care services received at either T1 or T2 by illicit drug use in the previous year at T1 134 6.5 Odds Ratios associated with receiving any treatment or service at T1 or T2 135 6.6 Odds Ratios associated with receiving any treatment or service at T1 or T2: Demographic variables 136 6.7 Odds Ratios associated with receiving any treatment or service at T1 or T2: Economic variables 139 vi List of figures Page Page Table No. Chapter 1 Introduction and overview of methods used Chapter 6 Treatment 1.1 Timing of fieldwork for baseline and 6.1 Receipt of treatment at T1 or between T1 follow-up interviews 5 and T2 by level of CIS-R score and sex 124 1.2 Calculation of symptom score for Anxiety from the CIS-R 9 Chapter 7 Quality of life, social support and physical 1.3 Topics covered by the AUDIT questionnaire 9 health Chapter 2 Onset of Episodes of the Common 7.1 Proportion indicating poor quality of life Mental Disorders (score 1–3) on the LQOLP work and finances subscales by change in CIS-R caseness 148 2.1 Proportion of men and women with onset 7.2 Extent of difficulty with household activities of common mental disorder by baseline by change in common mental disorder CIS-R score 19 between T1 and T2 151 2.2 Proportion of men and women with onset of common mental disorder by number of stressful life events experienced since baseline 20 Chapter 3 Recovery 3.1 Proportion of men and women with recovery from common mental disorder by experience of stressful life events between baseline and follow-up 33 Chapter 4 Suicidal Thoughts 4.1 Proportion of men and women reporting onset of suicidal thoughts by CIS-R score at T1 46 4.2 Proportion of men and women reporting onset of suicidal thoughts by number of stressful life events experienced between baseline and follow-up 47 4.3 Odds of recovery from suicidal thoughts by level of CIS-R score at T1 (adjusted for age and sex) 48 Chapter 5 Tobacco, alcohol and drug use and cessation of use to follow up 5.1 Proportion of people with onset of smoking by mental health and substance use factors 69 5.2 Proportion of people reporting smoking cessation by daily cigarette consumption at T1 70 5.3 Proportion of men and women with onset of hazardous or dependent drinking patterns by age 72 5.4 Proportion of people reporting cessation of hazardous or dependent drinking by baseline AUDIT score and sex 75 5.5 Odds of onset of drug use associated with number of stressful life events experienced between interviews (adjusted for age and sex) 78 vii Editors’ acknowledgements We would like to thank everybody who contributed to the survey and the production of this report. Most importantly, we would like to thank all the participants in the survey for their time and co- operation over all stages of the study. We are also very grateful for the support of our specialist colleagues in ONS who undertook the sampling, fieldwork and computing elements for the survey. In addition great thanks are due to all the ONS interviewers who worked on the survey. Thanks are also due to Professor Paul Bebbington, and the team at University College London who were responsible for carrying out the telephone interviews for the survey. The authors of the individual chapters all contributed a considerable amount of time and effort to the production of the report. In addition we would like to acknowledge the assistance we have received from the following people who provided valuable advice and suggestions on the analysis and reporting: Ricardo Araya, University of Bristol Professor Peter Huxley, University College, London Petros Skapinakis, University of Bristol Dr Nick Taub, University of Leicester Colin Taylor, National Addiction Centre, Institute of Psychiatry We also received support and advice throughout the project from many people within the Department of Health, in particular: Prof Cathy Borowy Dr Alan Glanz Dr Anna Higgitt Mr David Daniel Ms Anne Richardson viii Notes to tables 1 Tables 2 Statistical significance The majority of tables have a similar format and Unless otherwise stated, differences mentioned in show the association between a number of variables the text have been found to be statistically of a similar type (eg socio-economic characteristics) significant at the 95% confidence level. Standard and a dichotomous dependent variable, such as errors that reflect the complex sampling design and onset of common mental disorder present or not. weighting procedures used in the survey have been The content of the tables is as follows, using the calculated and used in tests of statistical tables for onset of common mental disorder significance. (chapter 2) as an example. The tables show firstly the percentage of cases with onset of disorder in 3 Small bases each category of the variable under consideration. They then show the results from an unadjusted Very small bases have been avoided wherever regression analysis using the dependent variable and possible because of the relatively high sampling the variable of interest only, followed by an adjusted errors that attach to small numbers. In general, regression analysis controlling for age, sex (in percentage distributions are shown if the base is 30 analyses of all adults) and level of disorder at T1. or more. Where the base is lower, actual numbers For each of these regression analyses, the overall are shown in square brackets. significance of the variable under consideration and the odds ratios with level of significance and 95% confidence intervals are shown. Guidance on interpreting odds ratios and other output from logistic regression analyses is given in Appendix B. In other types of tables (for example those in chapter 7) the varying positions of the percentage signs and bases in the tables denote the presentation of different types of information. Where there is a percentage sign at the head of a column and the base at the foot (as in table 7.1), the whole distribution is presented and the individual percentages add to between 99% and 101% (due to rounding). Where there is no percentage sign in the table and a note above the figures (as in table 7.2), the figures refer to the proportion of people who had the attribute being discussed, and the complementary proportion, to add to 100%, is not shown in the table. The following conventions have been used within tables: - no cases 0 values less than 0.5% .. data not available ix x