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A LIFE OF EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS, VOLUME II THE NEXT FIFTY YEARS VERNON L. SMITH A Life of Experimental Economics, Volume II Vernon L. Smith A Life of Experimental Economics, Volume II The Next Fifty Years Vernon L. Smith Economic Science Institute Chapman University Orange, CA, USA ISBN 978-3-319-98424-7 ISBN 978-3-319-98425-4 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98425-4 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018951570 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Cover image: © Vernon L. Smith Cover design by Ran Shauli This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland One cannot take advantage of his fellowman and come out ahead. It just cannot be done. —Quintin Lomax Preface This narrative, though printed in a second volume, is written without sepa- ration in the laminar flow of my experience: A seamless re-visitation of my life and its meaning; a dialog with past events and interconnections that began with the Nobel Foundation’s request that I write a short biography for their Web site in 2002. That request parted the wardrobe for only a moment. I have now worn its sill thin with reentry. Hayek’s text best captures the personal and intellectual themes of this volume: “[C]ivilization rests on the fact that we all benefit from knowledge that we do not possess.” (Hayek, Rules and Order, 1973, p. 14) Through our social and economic institutions, each individual benefits enormously, if not predominantly, from knowledge and its fruits that are provided by others; in particular, “knowledge-how” as contrasted with “knowledge-that.” Although our social network system is the first and oldest of the two institutions, I begin in Chapters 19 and 20 with personal new learning in economics, both micro and macro. I introduce the word “humanomics” to refer to the study of human social and economic behavior in Chapter 21. There I write on the discovery of Adam Smith’s model of human social behavior as providing a foundation for understanding the small group predictive failures of game theory in the 1980s and 1990s. Humanomics provides an integrated new synthesis of social and economic behavior long believed to live in unresolved anomalous conflict. We begin in 1967 when Joyce and I return to Massachusetts, as citizens in the community, with a sense of permanence much different from when I had been a graduate student at Harvard. The twins, Deborah and Eric, will be in high school, with Torrie soon to follow. Joyce will be entering vii viii Preface the Unitarian Ministry and a new world of experience for us all, one that we entered without hesitation, and for which we had long prepared—at Purdue, all my friends knew I would move with Joyce and family. Those expectations of great promise are not to be disappointed. I write of the five years we are once again in the East; years especially formative for our children who will be in transition to their subsequent careers and lives of their own. Joyce will fulfill with distinction and honor her exceptional promise as a student of the Chicago Divinity School. Events will return us to the West, where I will remain, while Joyce returns east to become a force in both the Ministry and the American Unitarian Association. I will return full time to research and teaching in experimental econom- ics and be recognized as “father” of its development in 2002, though, as you will learn in detail, I had an abundance of innovative help from stu- dents, co-authors, and many scholars along the way. That event will cap 26 years at the University of Arizona, but by then, I will have returned east to new opportunities at the George Mason University campus in Arlington, Virginia. There will be changes in my married and family life that I must tell you about. And when I once again go West, it will be to new opportunities, new learning, and in so many ways a new career, including a second Camelot. We begin the next fifty years. Orange, USA Vernon L. Smith Acknowledgements My personal debts run deep, beginning with John Hughes (The Vital Few), for 36 years my trusted friend and confidant until his death in 1992. His mark upon me pervades these volumes. To Silvia Naser (A Beautiful Mind) and my dear friend of 38 years, Deirdre McCloskey (The Bourgeois Virtues), who read the earliest drafts of the manuscript and corrected, nudged and encouraged me in directions that shaped it to the end. Tom Hazlett (The Political Spectrum) friend and cherished co-author. I knew Tom before he knew me because I was an avid reader of his columns that appeared in Reason magazine beginning in 1989. Andreas Ortmann, economic theorist, experimentalist, and intellectual historian par excellence in all, who’s comments, reviews—both published and private—have never failed to be rewarding to me. Steve Hanke (http://sites.krieger.jhu.edu/iae/), wise counselor on mone- tary and fiscal policy, whose private and published reviews have encouraged and supported my dedication to these volumes. Charles Plott (Collected Papers on the Experimental Foundations of Economics and Political Science. In three volumes), who, because I could out- fish him, suspected that there might be something to experimental econom- ics and became a co-conspirator in its development in the 1970s. Charlie invented experimental political economy. Shyam Sunder (Theory of Accounting and Control), methodologist, exper- imentalist, whose passion in the search for foundations has long been an inspiration. ix x Acknowledgements E. Roy Weintraub (How Economics Became a Mathematical Science), reviewer, whose wide-ranging interests included me. My Amazon reviewers, each in his own tongue: Paul Johnson, friend and colleague, University of Alaska, Anchorage; Herb Gintis (Individuality and Entanglement: The Moral and Material Bases of Social Life) with whom I share gloriously radical roots and a pas- sion for moral wisdom. Roger Farley, investor and portfolio manager, whom I do not know. But we resonate well. Pete and Jackie Steele, a breed of the many ordinary people that have made America. May we never lose their unwavering integrity, love of life, and of the good land. Stephen Semos for his careful editing, fact checking, and many sugges- tions for improving style and content down to the final crescendo. Candace Smith, devoted companion in our explorations of love, under- standing, and faith developing. And to co-authors and students galore—Steve Gjerstad, Dave Porter, Stephen Rassenti, Arlington Williams, and more whose imprint is in these pages. And a very special debt to the Liberty Fund for inviting me to many of their Socratic colloquia, over the last forty years, on topics and figures in the philosophy and history of the struggle for liberty. I want to acknowledge my frequent use of quotations from Adam Smith (Dugald Stewart edition, 1853) and David Hume, published by Liberty Fund and that are available for quotation and free electronic download access. You will encounter many more in these pages. “This is remembrance— revisitation; and names are keys that open corridors no longer fresh in the mind, but nonetheless familiar in the heart” (Beryl Markham, West with the Night). Praise for A Life of Experimental Economics, Volume II “We learn from giants on whose shoulders we stand. There can be no doubt that 2002 Nobel Prize winner Vernon L. Smith is one of them. A Life of Experimental Economics, Vol I: Forty Years of Discovery; Vol II: The Next Fifty Years, is a much expanded version of his 2008 memoir Discovery in which he recounted his journey from birth until 2005. As many other reviewers did then, I called that earlier version a must-read and have recommended it to many of my colleagues and students as well as folks from other walks of life since. The new work reviews, and in places revises, that memoir and then adds several chapters that have been inspired by Vernon’s more recent interests in the nature and causes of housing bubbles on the one hand and his attempt to draw out the insights to be had for modern economics from Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments on the other. The new volumes trace matter-of-factly the amazing journey from five-year old farm boy in the Great Depression to the towering, very public intellectual that Vernon is today. It does so—mostly—in the same conversational tone that made Discovery such a joy to read. (Yes, of course, the best pie this side of heaven is made from freshly cut rhubarb. And, yes, one should not mix strawberries with the rhubarb. Ever.) Be prepared to not agree with Vernon’s opinions on all of the numerous issues discussed as we progress through the decades— many of his opinions are informed by a very libertarian streak indeed—but as provocative as they might be, they were formed in a lifetime of extraordi- nary achievements and extraordinary insights into human nature and insti- tutions, as well as a deeply humanistic attitude.” —Andreas Ortmann, Professor of Experimental and Behavioural Economics, School of Economics, UNSW Business School, Australia xi

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