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GLOBAL A HISTORY of the COLD WAR, 1945–1991 Philip Jenkins A Global History of the Cold War, 1945–1991 Philip Jenkins A Global History of the Cold War, 1945–1991 Philip Jenkins Institute for Studies of Religion Baylor University Waco, TX, USA ISBN 978-3-030-81365-9 ISBN 978-3-030-81366-6 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81366-6 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Cover illustration: @ Keystone Press / Alamy Stock Photo This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG. The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland C ontents 1 Introduction 1 Part I Between Wars? 1945–1967 17 2 Origins: The World in 1946 19 3 The Struggle for Europe 37 4 Nuclear Perils 57 5 Asian Theaters 73 6 Decolonization and Third World Struggles 91 7 Khrushchev and Kennedy 107 Part II Living in the Cold War 121 8 National Security and Repression 123 9 Spies, Saboteurs, and Defectors 137 10 Cold War Cultures 151 v vi CoNTENTS Part III The Struggle Redefined: 1968–1991 171 11 Crisis of Ideologies: The World in 1968 173 12 A Cold Peace, or War by Other Means? 187 13 Four Minutes to Midnight: The World in 1980 203 14 The New Struggle 213 15 Endgame 229 16 Conclusion: Winners, Losers, and Inheritors 245 Index 255 CHAPTER 1 Introduction Near Omaha, Nebraska, stands Offutt air base, which from 1948 through 1992 was the home base for the US Strategic Air Command (SAC). Founded in 1946, the SAC was tasked with organizing vast nuclear-armed bomber fleets which ideally would deter any foe tempted to attack the country. Within a few years, these were increasingly augmented by missiles. Offutt was chosen as headquarters because Nebraska stood at the heart of the continental United States and was furthest removed from potential enemy bomber attacks. From 1959, Offutt was defended by powerful surface-to-air missiles. The SAC remained active and on perpetual watch until it stood down in 1992, following the end of the global confrontation that we call the Cold War. Offutt became home to a museum displaying key aircraft in US military his- tory, which later moved to another Nebraska location to become the Strategic Air Command and Aerospace Museum. This is an extraordinary place, with many tangible remains of that frightening era. The stars of the large collection include such astonishing items as a gigantic Convair B-36 bomber, with its 230-foot wingspan. With a combination of jet engines and multiple piston- driven propellers, some versions of the B-36 had an intercontinental range of 10,000 miles. From the time it entered into service in 1948 until its replace- ment by the B-52 in 1955, the B-36 was a mainstay of the US strategic arsenal, and over 360 such aircraft were built. These aircraft, and other later weapon systems, were intended to bear the nuclear arms that would annihilate the Soviet Union, causing many millions of deaths. At the same time, Soviet equiv- alents would be extinguishing great cities in the US and Europe. What makes this museum so distinctive is that it commemorates a war that was never fought or, at least, in anything like the way that was contemplated. In consequence, no B-36 ever engaged in combat of any kind. The B-36 never achieved the legendary fame of other aircraft like the Flying Fortress or the Spitfire, and never featured in popular culture depictions of heroic deeds or © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature 1 Switzerland AG 2021 P. Jenkins, A Global History of the Cold War, 1945–1991, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81366-6_1 2 P. JENKINS futile missions. We can view that achievement—that non-war—in different ways. We might be extremely thankful that wise policies and effective deter- rents prevented such a catastrophe, or else we might be outraged and angry that anyone ever contemplated such horrific slaughter. But the importance of the story cannot be exaggerated. Both in the threat that was posed to human civilization and the fact that the ultimate confrontation was averted, we are looking at one of the most significant facts in human history. What Kind of War? If the importance of the Cold War is beyond doubt, its unusual quality raises some intriguing issues for a historian. When we describe other wars, such as the Napoleonic conflicts or the Second World War, we know exactly who the par- ticipants were, when the conflicts began and ended, and where combat occurred. We can cite the dates on which wars were declared and when peace agreements ended them. Not only are none of these basic data available to anyone studying the Cold War, but historians argue at length about basic terms and details, about the what, why, when, and where. All these questions con- tinue to divide historians. By a conventional definition, the Cold War was a confrontation between the Soviet Union and the US, and the power blocs that each led, which are con- ventionally termed the East and the West. This situation lasted from just after the end of the Second World War to the collapse of the Soviet state, roughly from 1945 to 1991. In the English-speaking world, the “Cold War” concept was framed by George Orwell, in 1945, and again by the US presidential adviser Bernard Baruch in 1947. It was popularized by the 1947 book The Cold War, by the journalist Walter Lippmann. The conflict was so called in contrast to the hot and extremely destructive world war that had just con- cluded and was instead characterized by rivalry that fell short of military action between US and Soviet forces. The question then arises whether this could legitimately be termed a war. In legal terms, the two powers were never even enemies, as war was never declared. Fighting certainly did occur between states aligned to one or other of the two blocs, most famously in Korea and Vietnam, while internal revolutions and repressions claimed many lives. If we combine these various conflicts, then the “non-war” between East and West resulted in tens of millions of deaths. Even if the two superpowers avoided total and direct war with each other—if they avoided the constantly dreaded Third World War, “WWIII”—this was nothing like true peace. Who fought the Cold War? the West Nor was it obvious who the competing sides were in this singular war, and that lack of definition would have enormous policy consequences with which we still live today. In the late 1950s, say, global confrontations were 1 INTRODUCTION 3 overwhelmingly likely to be depicted in terms of East and West, between Moscow and Washington, and that was the model commonly assumed among policymakers on both sides. The B-36s existed to attack Soviet targets and Soviet forces. Even if a particular situation or problem did not immediately have such an obvious dimension, then it would be reported and analyzed as part of the larger Cold War context. If a war had developed in 1962, there was little doubt about the nations that would be aligned on each side. Yet as we will see repeatedly, such a simplistic East-West approach would often be misleading. “The West” is a problematic concept. As commonly presented at the height of the Cold War, two worlds confronted each other, with the West representing democracy and freedom, and, by some accounts, the heritage of European culture and civilization. In the US, college courses on the “Western Heritage” were semi-seriously described as ranging “From Plato to NATO.” Yet the US-led alliance of the 1950s included such long-powerful countries as Britain and France, which had their own distinctive interests and needs, and which struggled to resist the demands of their overwhelmingly powerful US ally. Nor was such a transatlantic alignment historically inevitable. Until 1945, different combinations of allies viewed Germany as their principal enemy. The US saw no natural or eternal alliance with France or Britain, and throughout the 1920s, US war plans had imagined a likely conflict against the British Empire (includ- ing Canada), which would be allied with Japan. After the Second World War, the US was closely allied with the British world, and the critically important intelligence-sharing system known as Five Eyes includes the US, Britain, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. But that “special relationship” had its definite limits, and the US tried to exclude the British from nuclear secrets. Britain and Canada meanwhile were much more open than the US to maintaining diplomatic relations with Communist pow- ers, including Mao’s China and Fidel Castro’s Cuba, Moreover, that close Anglophone network did not necessarily extend to other North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) states. In 1966, France withdrew from NATO’s formal military structures, and transatlantic tensions became acute during the Vietnam War years. British and European allies were often disdainful of American cul- tural expressions. Western populations also varied enormously in their attitudes toward Communism. Throughout the Cold War years, Communist parties in France and Italy were very powerful organizations commanding mass support, which was certainly not the case in Britain or Canada, leave alone the US. Throughout the Cold War, Soviet propaganda and diplomatic efforts encouraged the detachment of Europe from the US concept of a com- mon “West.” Defining “the West” would often be controversial. If indeed the term referred to a US-led alliance of democratic states opposed to Communism, it was difficult to include Spain, which was strictly nondemocratic until after 1975, yet which was de facto integrated into US defense arrangements. At dif- ferent times, dictatorial regimes in Portugal and Greece clearly defined them- selves as anti-Communist and therefore Western. The US alliance also included 4 P. JENKINS such key Asian and clearly non-Western nations—Japan, as well as South Korea and Taiwan (the Republic of China). In the 1970s, Israel sought to expand the concept of the West and its struggles beyond that central anti-Communist theme. Israeli leaders presented the country as a part of the “West” engaged in common cause against terrorism and against hostile Arab and Islamic states. Who fought the Cold War? the east The concept of “the East”—the Communist world—also demands unpacking. Although US administrations sometimes presented all Communist powers as integral parts of a solid Eastern Bloc, that view became ever less tenable as the decades went on. From the 1950s, although Yugoslavia remained Communist, it became ever more detached from the Soviet alliance in Europe. Other East European states followed. The Soviets had to struggle constantly to maintain the loyalty of members of its alliance, the Warsaw Pact, and to ensure that domestic reforms in these satellite countries did not lead to defiance of its hegemony. Even a faithful Soviet ally like Cuba’s Fidel Castro was capable of independent and provocative actions that angered Moscow. During the 1960s, China became so hostile to the Soviet Union that the two countries came close to open war. By that point, definitions of Communism itself were in flux. In the West, the New Left that emerged in the late 1950s presented itself as equally disdainful of both American and Soviet regimes, and that perspective became very popular in many societies. In the early years of the Cold War, the US and the USSR were so inconceiv- ably stronger than any possible rivals or competitors that it made some sense to think of their contest in bipolar terms. As the decades progressed, that assump- tion became ever less plausible. Beyond east and West The issue of diversity within the Communist world—the East—had real politi- cal consequences. Some states and movements were avowedly and wholeheart- edly pledged to Communism, but others were not, although their policies borrowed heavily from the left-wing language and assumptions. So how did each side assess its potential friends and enemies? What decided whether a hos- tile or critical government was actually part of the enemy camp? In the 1950s, many nations defined themselves as part of a Third World, affiliated neither to the Eastern and Western sides in the Cold War, but pro- claimed values of nationalism, anti-imperialism, neutralism, and non- alignment. From an American or Western point of view, a government that spoke the language of socialism and anti-imperialism might well be a veiled or unadmit- ted ally of the Soviets, especially if it acted against US economic interests, and it thus needed to be treated as an enemy. Such a vision neglected purely local circumstances, grievances, and loyalties. Some crises, which were at the time seen as East-West battles, can in retrospect be seen as expressions of

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