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A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology: How People Think People Think PDF

584 Pages·2017·5.918 MB·English
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A Formal Theory of Commonsense Psychology CommonsensePsychologyreferstotheimplicittheoriesthatwealluseto makesenseofpeople’sbehaviorintermsoftheirbeliefs,goals,plans,and emotions.Thesearealsothetheoriesweemploywhenweanthropomor- phize complex machines and computers as if they had humanlike men- tal lives.In order to cooperate and communicate successfully with peo- ple,thesetheorieswillneedtoberepresentedexplicitlyinfutureartificial intelligencesystems. This book provides a large-scale logical formalization of common- sense psychology in support of humanlike artificial intelligence. It uses formallogictoencodethedeeplexicalsemanticsofthefullbreadthofpsy- chologicalwordsandphrases,providing1,400axiomsoffirst-orderlogic organizedinto29commonsensepsychologytheoriesand16background theories.Thisin-depthexplorationofhumancommonsensereasoningfor artificial intelligence researchers,linguists,and cognitive and social psy- chologists will serve as a foundation for the development of humanlike artificialintelligence. AndrewS.GordonisResearchAssociateProfessorofComputerScience and Director of Interactive Narrative Research at the Institute for Cre- ativeTechnologiesattheUniversityofSouthernCalifornia.Hisresearch advancestechnologiesforautomaticallyanalyzingandgeneratingnarra- tive interpretations of experiences. A central aim of his research is the large-scaleformalizationofcommonsenseknowledge,andreasoningwith theseformalizationsusinglogicalabduction.Heistheauthorofthe2004 book,StrategyRepresentation:AnAnalysisofPlanningKnowledge. JerryR.HobbsisChiefScientistforNaturalLanguageProcessingatthe InformationSciencesInstituteandaresearchprofessorattheUniversity of Southern California.He has numerous publications in computational linguistics, artificial intelligence, knowledge representation, information extraction,and discourse analysis.He was an editor of the book Formal Theories of the Commonsense World and author of Literature and Cog- nition.He is a fellow of the Association for the Advancement of Artifi- cialIntelligence,isapastpresidentoftheAssociationforComputational Linguistics,andisarecipientofthatorganization’sLifetimeAchievement Award. 09:37:07, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of ToCynthiaandMargaret 09:37:07, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of A FORMAL THEORY OF COMMONSENSE PSYCHOLOGY How People Think People Think ANDREW S. GORDON UniversityofSouthernCalifornia JERRY R. HOBBS UniversityofSouthernCalifornia 09:37:07, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of UniversityPrintingHouse,CambridgeCB28BS,UnitedKingdom OneLibertyPlaza,20thFloor,NewYork,NY10006,USA 477WilliamstownRoad,PortMelbourne,VIC3207,Australia 4843/24,2ndFloor,AnsariRoad,Daryaganj,Delhi-110002,India 79AnsonRoad,#06-04/06,Singapore079906 CambridgeUniversityPressispartoftheUniversityofCambridge. ItfurtherstheUniversity’smissionbydisseminatingknowledgeinthepursuitof education,learning,andresearchatthehighestinternationallevelsofexcellence. www.cambridge.org Informationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9781107151000 DOI: ©AndrewS.GordonandJerryR.Hobbs2017 Thispublicationisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements, noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewritten permissionofCambridgeUniversityPress. Firstpublished2017 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabySheridanBooks,Inc. AcataloguerecordforthispublicationisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Names:Gordon,AndrewS.,author.|Hobbs,JerryR.,author. Title:Aformaltheoryofcommonsensepsychology:howpeoplethinkpeoplethink/ AndrewS.Gordon,UniversityofSouthernCalifornia,JerryR.Hobbs,Universityof SouthernCalifornia. Description:Cambridge,UnitedKingdom;NewYork,NY:CambridgeUniversityPress,2017.| Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. Identifiers:LCCN2017020865|ISBN9781107151000(alk.paper) Subjects:LCSH:Psychology.|Commonsense.|Reasoning. Classification:LCCBF121.G6452017|DDC150–dc23 LCrecordavailableathttps://lccn.loc.gov/2017020865 ISBN978-1-107-15100-0Hardback CambridgeUniversityPresshasnoresponsibilityforthepersistenceoraccuracyof URLsforexternalorthird-partyInternetWebsitesreferredtointhispublication anddoesnotguaranteethatanycontentonsuchWebsitesis,orwillremain, accurateorappropriate. 09:37:07, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of Contents Part I Commonsense Psychology 1 Commonsense Psychology and Psychology page3 1.1 ExplainingtheBehaviorofTriangles 3 1.2 Heider’sCommonsensePsychology 5 1.3 TheoryofMind 7 1.4 HistoricalChangeinCommonsensePsychology 10 1.5 ThePurposeofPsychologyasaScience 13 1.6 EliminativeMaterialism 15 2 Commonsense Psychology and Computers 17 2.1 AnthropomorphismIsEasyandFun 17 2.2 AnthropomorphicComputing 18 2.3 AlanTuringandtheDesktopBarrier 20 2.4 CopingwithDiscordantComputers 22 2.5 TheValueofaGoodModel(toaComputer) 24 2.6 ComputationalModelingofCognitiveProcesses 26 2.7 InferentialTheoriesinArtificialIntelligence 28 2.8 ModelsintheRightDirection 29 2.9 JanSmedslund’sPsychologic 31 3 Formalizing Commonsense Psychology 36 3.1 CoverageandCompetency 36 3.2 SuccessiveFormalization 38 3.3 StrategyRepresentation 39 3.4 PsychologicalExpressions 47 3.5 DraftFormalizations 53 3.6 FinalFormalizations 54 3.7 IntermediateApplications 56 3.8 Repeatability 58 v 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of vi Contents 4 Commonsense Psychology and Language 60 4.1 KnowledgeManagement 61 4.2 SimilarityComparisons 62 4.3 Memory 63 4.4 Envisioning 64 4.5 Explanation 65 4.6 ManagingExpectations 66 4.7 Other-AgentReasoning 67 4.8 Goals 67 4.9 GoalThemes 68 4.10 ThreatsandThreatDetection 68 4.11 Plans 69 4.12 GoalManagement 71 4.13 ExecutionEnvisionment 71 4.14 CausesofFailure 72 4.15 PlanElements 72 4.16 PlanningModalities 73 4.17 PlanningGoals 74 4.18 PlanConstruction 75 4.19 PlanAdaptation 75 4.20 Design 76 4.21 Decisions 77 4.22 Scheduling 78 4.23 Monitoring 79 4.24 ExecutionModalities 79 4.25 ExecutionControl 80 4.26 RepetitiveExecution 82 4.27 Mind–BodyInteraction 82 4.28 ObservationofPlanExecutions 83 4.29 Emotions 84 Part II Background Theories Introduction 91 5 Eventualities and Their Structure 93 5.1 EventualitiesandTheirIndividuation 93 5.2 TheStructureofEventualities 95 5.3 Generation 98 6 Traditional Set Theory 100 7 Substitution,Typical Elements,and Instances 105 7.1 Substitution 105 7.2 TypicalElements 106 7.3 HandlingSomeThornyIssues 108 7.4 FunctionalDependencies 111 7.5 Instances 113 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of Contents vii 8 Logic Reified 116 8.1 Conjunction 116 8.2 Negation 117 8.3 DisjunctionandImplication 118 9 Functions and Sequences 121 9.1 PairsandFunctions 121 9.2 Sequences 123 10 Composite Entities 126 10.1 Definitions 126 10.2 SomeSimpleExamples 129 10.3 TheFigure–GroundRelation 130 10.4 PatternsandTheirInstances 132 11 Defeasibility 135 12 Scales 139 12.1 Basics 139 12.2 Scale-to-ScaleFunctions 143 12.3 ConstructingScales 143 12.4 QualitativeStructureonScales 145 13 Arithmetic 150 13.1 Integers 150 13.2 RationalNumbers 153 13.3 MeasuresandProportions 154 13.4 Half-OrdersofMagnitude 156 14 Change of State 158 14.1 ThechangePredicate 158 14.2 PredicatesDerivedfromchange 159 15 Causality 163 15.1 CausalComplexesandthePredicatecause 163 15.2 AgentsandAgenthood 165 15.3 OtherCausalPredicates 168 15.4 Ability 170 15.5 Executability 171 15.6 Difficulty 173 16 Time 177 16.1 TheTopologyofTime:Instants,Intervals,and TemporalSequences 177 16.2 RelatingEventualitiesandTime 181 16.3 TemporalOrderingandIntervalRelations 183 16.4 Durations 187 16.5 Periodicity 190 16.6 RatesandFrequency 191 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of viii Contents 17 Event Structure 196 17.1 EventsandSubevents 196 17.2 EventSequencesandConditionals 197 17.3 Iterations 199 18 Space 202 18.1 SpaceandSpatialAnalogies 202 18.2 SpatialSystemsandDistance 203 18.3 Location 205 19 Persons 207 20 Modality 211 20.1 ThePredicatesRexistandatTime 211 20.2 PositiveModalities 213 20.3 PossibilityandNecessity 213 20.4 Likelihood,orQualitativeProbability 215 Part III Commonsense Psychology Theories 21 Knowledge Management 223 21.1 ObjectsofBelief 223 21.2 Belief 224 21.3 BeliefRevision 228 21.4 DegreesofBelief 231 21.5 Assuming 235 21.6 HavingThingsinMindandinFocus 238 21.7 Inference 239 21.8 Justification 242 21.9 Knowledge 244 21.10 Intelligence 245 21.11 SentencesandKnowledgeDomains 246 21.12 Expertise 248 21.13 MutualBelief 250 22 Similarity Comparisons 256 22.1 Similarity 256 22.2 SimilarityofStructuredEntities 265 22.3 CognizingSimilarities 267 23 Memory 270 23.1 StoringandRetrieving 270 23.2 Accessibility 271 23.3 AssociationsandCausingtoRemember 273 23.4 TheMeaningsof“Remember”and“Forget” 274 23.5 RememberingToDo 277 23.6 Repressing 277 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of Contents ix 24 Envisioning 280 24.1 ThinkingOf 280 24.2 CausalSystems 283 24.3 ContiguousCausalSystems 286 24.4 EnvisionedCausalSystems 289 24.5 EnvisionmentandBelief 291 24.6 OtherVarietiesofThinking 295 25 Explanation 299 25.1 ExplanationsandMysteries 299 25.2 TheExplanationProcess 301 25.3 ExplanationFailures 303 26 Managing Expectations 306 27 Other-Agent Reasoning 309 28 Goals 312 28.1 Goals,Subgoals,andPlans 312 28.2 TheContentofGoals 315 28.3 GoalsandMultipleAgents 317 28.4 Trying,Succeeding,andFailing 319 28.5 Functionality 320 28.6 GoodandBad 322 28.7 Value,Cost,andImportance 322 29 Goal Themes 332 29.1 Thriving 332 29.2 PleasureandPain 333 29.3 Short-TermversusLong-TermGoals 336 29.4 GoalThemes 338 30 Threats and Threat Detection 341 30.1 ThreatSituations 341 30.2 ThreatDetectionandManagement 343 30.3 Seriousness 345 31 Plans 348 31.1 PlansasMentalEntities 348 31.2 ThePlanningProcess 350 31.3 StrategiesandTactics 355 31.4 ExecutabilityandCompletePlans 356 31.5 TypesofPlans 358 31.6 Helping 362 32 Goal Management 366 32.1 Adding,Removing,andModifyingGoals 366 32.2 Priority 368 32.3 AssessingandPrioritizingGoals 370 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of x Contents 33 Execution Envisionment 373 33.1 ExecutionsandTheirEnvisionment 373 33.2 EnvisioningSuccessandFailure 374 33.3 SpecificandArbitraryContextsofExecution 376 33.4 EnvisionedExecutionsandTime 378 34 Causes of Failure 380 34.1 Introduction 380 34.2 ContributingSourceTaxonomies 381 34.3 TaxonomyofPlanFailureExplanationPatterns 381 34.4 CausalComplexesandFailure 383 34.5 Applications 385 35 Plan Elements 387 36 Planning Modalities 392 36.1 TheActivityofPlanning 392 36.2 PlanningActivityandOtherAgents 393 36.3 CounterfactualPlanning 394 37 Planning Goals 397 37.1 ConstraintsandPreferences 397 37.2 IncludingandAvoiding 400 37.3 EnablingandBlocking 401 37.4 MinimizingandMaximizing 402 37.5 LocatingInstancesforPlans 403 37.6 MaintainingPlanProgress 404 38 Plan Construction 407 38.1 ThePlanningActivity 407 38.2 PlanningProcessControl 408 38.3 PlanningSubprocesses 409 38.4 PlanningProblems 411 38.5 SelectingamongCandidatePlans 412 39 Plan Adaptation 416 39.1 Tweaking 416 39.2 TypesofPlanAdaptation 418 39.3 OutcomesofPlanAdaptation 419 40 Design 421 40.1 Artifacts 421 40.2 Designs 423 40.3 Designing 424 41 Decisions 427 41.1 TheDecision-MakingProcess 427 41.2 ChoicesandChoiceSets 430 41.3 TheProcessofDeliberation 432 41.4 JustificationsforDecisions 435 41.5 ConsequencesofDecisions 436 09:38:04, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of

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