5 FIVE STEPS TO A AP Statistics Other books in McGraw-Hill’s 5 Steps to a5 series include: AP Biology AP Calculus AB/BC AP Chemistry AP Computer Science AP English Language AP English Literature AP European History AP Microeconomics/Macroeconomics AP Physics B and C AP Psychology AP Spanish Language AP U.S. Government and Politics AP U.S. History AP World History 11 Practice Tests for the AP Exams Writing the AP English Essay 5 FIVESTEPSTOA AP Statistics Duane C. Hinders 2008–2009 M G -H C RAW ILL New York Chicago San Francisco Lisbon London Madrid Mexico City Milan New Delhi San Juan Seoul Singapore Sydney Toronto Copyright © 2008, 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Manufactured in the United States of America. 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For more information about this title, click here CONTENTS Preface, ix Acknowledgments, xi About the Author, xii Introduction: The Five-Step Program, xiii The Basics, xiii STEP 1 Set Up Your Study Program, 1 1 What You Need to Know About the AP Statistics Exam, 3 Background Information, 3 Some Frequently Asked Questions About the AP Statistics Exam, 4 2 How to Plan Your Time, 10 Three Approaches to Preparing for the AP Statistics Exam, 10 Calendar for Each Plan, 12 STEP 2 Determine Your Test Readiness, 15 3 Take a Diagnostic Exam, 17 AP Statistics Diagnostic Test, 19 Answers and Explanations, 29 Interpretation: How Ready Are You? 38 STEP 3 Develop Strategies for Success, 39 4 Tips for Taking the Exam, 41 General Test-Taking Tips, 42 Tips for Multiple-Choice Questions, 42 Tips for Free-Response Questions, 43 Specific Statistics Content Tips, 45 STEP 4 Review the Knowledge You Need to Score High, 47 5 Overview of Statistics/Basic Vocabulary, 49 Quantitative versus Qualitative Data, 50 Descriptive versus Inferential Statistics, 50 Collecting Data: Surveys, Experiments, Observational Studies, 51 Random Variables, 52 6 One-Variable Data Analysis, 55 Graphical Analysis, 56 Measures of Center, 62 Measures of Spread, 64 Position of a Term in a Distribution, 67 Normal Distribution, 70 vi ❯ Contents 7 Two-Variable Data Analysis, 87 Scatterplots, 87 Correlation, 89 Lines of Best Fit, 93 Residuals, 96 Coefficient of Determination, 98 Outliers and Influential Observations, 99 Transformations to Achieve Linearity, 100 8 Design of a Study: Sampling, Surveys, and Experiments, 113 Samples, 114 Sampling Bias, 116 Experiments and Observational Studies, 118 9 Random Variables and Probability, 134 Probability, 134 Random Variables, 139 Normal Probabilities, 143 Simulation and Random Number Generation, 145 Transforming and Combining Random Variables, 148 Rules for the Mean and Standard Deviation of Combined Random Variables, 148 10 Binomial Distributions, Geometric Distributions, and Sampling Distributions, 162 Binomial Distributions, 162 Normal Approximation to the Binomial, 165 Geometric Distributions, 167 Sampling Distributions, 168 Sampling Distributions of a Sample Proportion, 172 11 Confidence Intervals and Introduction to Inference, 185 Estimation and Confidence Intervals, 186 Confidence Intervals for Means and Proportions, 189 Sample Size, 194 Statistical Significance and P-value, 196 The Hypothesis-Testing Procedure, 198 Type-I and Type-II Errors and the Power of a Test, 199 12 Inference for Means and Proportions, 215 Significance Testing, 216 Inference for a Single Population Mean, 218 Inference for the Difference Between Two Population Means, 221 Inference for a Single Population Proportion, 223 Inference for the Difference Between Two Population Proportions, 225 13 Inference for Regression, 243 Simple Linear Regression, 243 Inference for the Slope of a Regression Line, 245 Confidence Interval for the Slope of a Regression Line, 247 Inference for Regression Using Technology, 249 Contents ❮ vii 14 Inference for Categorical Data: Chi-square, 263 Chi-square Goodness-of-Fit Test, 263 Inference for Two-Way Tables, 268 STEP 5 Build Your Test-Taking Confidence, 285 AP Statistics Practice Exam 1, 289 AP Statistics Practice Exam 2, 319 Appendices, 333 Formulas, 334 Tables, 336 Bibliography, 340 Web sites, 341 Glossary, 342 This page intentionally left blank
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