A WHITE PAPER ARKANSAS NURSE EDUCATOR SHORTAGE AND ITS IMPACT ON REGISTERED NURSE WORKFORCE SHORTAGE Submitted by: Nurse Administrators of Nursing Education Programs (NANEP) Task Force Linda C. Hodges, EdD, RN, Co-Chair, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Barbara G. Williams, PhD, RN, Co-Chair, University of Central Arkansas JoAnna Christiansen, RN, East Arkansas Community College Barbara Conrad, PhD, RN, University of Arkansas at Fayetteville Margaret Fielding, RN, Baxter County Medical Center Janet Graham, DNS, RN, Henderson State University Shirlene Harris, PhD, RN, Baptist School of Nursing Jackie Murphree, EdD, RN, Arkansas State Board of Nursing Audrey Owens, EdD, RN, Arkansas Tech University Ann Schlumberger, EdD, RN, University of Arkansas at Little Rock Final Copy May 1999 ARKANSAS NURSE EDUCATOR SHORTAGE AND ITS IMPACT ON REGISTERED NURSE WORKFORCE SHORTAGE I . Introduction 1. National Economic lmpact of Health Care ............................................................ 2 2 . Arkansas’ Economic Impact of Health Care ......................................................... 3 11 . Registered Nurse Workforce Shortage 1 . The Aging of the RN Workforce ........................................................................... 6 2 . Image of Nursing as a Profession .......................................................................... 8 3 . RN Working Conditions ........................................................................................ 8 4 . Low RN Salaries and Salary Compression ............................................................ 9 5 . Declining RN Student Enrollments and Graduation Rates .................................. 10 I11 . Nursing Faculty Workforce Shortage 1 . The Aging of Nursing Faculty ............................................................................. 12 2 . Availability of Prepared Faculty .......................................................................... 13 3 . Nursing Faculty Working Conditions .................................................................. 14 4 . Low Faculty Salaries ............................................................................................ 14 5 . Competing Job Opportunities .............................................................................. 15 IV . Conclusion ....................................................................................................................... 15 V . Recommendations ............................................................................................................ 18 VI . References ........................................................................................................................ 20 TABLES AND FIGURES Tables Table 1 : State and National Nursing Workforce and Education Data ................................ 1 Table 2: National Employment Scttings of Registercd Nurses 1980-19 96 .................................. 4 Table 3: Registered Nurses in Arkansas and Employment Settings ............................................. 6 Table 4: Employed RNs in Arkansas by Age ............................................................................... 8 Table 5: Average Entry Level Hourly Pay for Health Disciplines in Arkansas Hospitals ......... 10 Table 6: Arkansas RN Enrollment and Graduation Data. 1994- 1998 ........................................ 11 Table 7: Age of Nursing Faculty ................................................................................................ 13 Table 8: Impact of Unfilled and Lost Faculty Positions on Student Enrollment in Arkansas ................................................................................... 14 Table 9: Average National Faculty Salaries in Selected Fields At Public 4-Year Institutions. 1997- 1998 ..................................................................... 16 Table 10: Arkansas Nursing Faculty Salary Range and % Below $55.0 00 ................................ 17 Table 1 1 : Salaries for Arkansas Master’s-Prepared Nurses ....................................................... 17 Table 12: Comparison of Arkansas Nursing Faculty Salaries and Beginning Salaries for Advanced Practice Nurses ..................................................... 18 Figures Figure 1 : National BSN Shortage Projected ................................................................................. 4 Figure 2: Anticipated Changes in the Nation’s Demographics .................................................... 5 Figure 3: The Aging of the Frail Elderly ...................................................................................... 5 Figure 4: Age Distribution of U.S. Registered Nurse Population 1980-19 96 .............................. 7 Figure 5: Arkansas RN Enrollment and Graduation Data .......................................................... 11 ... 111 ARKANSAS NURSE EDUCATOR SHORTAGE AND ITS IMPACT ON REGISTEWD NURSE WORKFORCE SHORTAGE INTRODUCTION As early as 1996 Arkansas hospitals began to experience a shortage in registered nurses (RNs). Since that time the shortage has grown worse, with some rural hospitals reporting up to 30% of their budgeted registered nurse positions unfilled. In December 1998, the number of budgeted unfilled RN positions in Pulaski County’s major hospitals was 295. This reflects a growing national nursing shortage that has some health care institutions offering sign-on bonuses of $500 to $10,000 (American Association of Colleges of Nursing [AACN], 1999). Recruitment strategies are less effective than in the past. Recruitment of foreign nurses from English-speaking countries has been met with little success since countries such as England and Canada are also experiencing a shortage of nurses. Arkansas nurse recruiters are finding that attempts to recruit from other states are also nonproductive, since most states are experiencing similar if not worse problems filling their budgeted positions. The factors that are contributing to the RN shortage include: 1) increased demand for RNs; 2) the aging of RNs; 3) the image of nursing as a desirable profession; 4) RN working conditions; 5) low salaries; 6) low enrollments and graduation rates; and 7) a nursing faculty shortage. The anticipated shortage of RNs predicted for the year 2000 has already arrived, while the demand for and the limited future supply of these nurses in the coming years is daunting. Compounding the Arkansas nursing shortage is the fact that the state has the least educated nursing workforce of any state in the nation and one of the lowest numbers of RNs to population ratios. As Table I presents the state is 14.4% below the nation in the number of RNs for its citizens, has nearly twice the number of LPNs than the national average and fewer than half the number of BSN-prepared RNs than the national average. This leaves Arkansas a smaller pool of RNs with BSNs to assume independent roles and be available for graduate school recruitment leading to possible faculty positions (Nursing Sample RN Survey, 1996). Arkansas is starting at the bottom in addressing this critical crisis, with few resources to apply to the problem. Table 1 STATE AND NATIONAL NURSING WORKFORCE AND EDUCATION DATA State* Nation** RNs per 100,000 population 683 798 LPN to RN ratio 1.8 to 3 1 to 3 ADN & Diploma RN to 10 to 3 10 to 7 BSN-prepared RN * Source: Arkansas State Board of Nursing Annual Report, 1998 **Source: National Sample RN Survey, 1996 1 It is clear to meet the state’s RN workforce shortage, the RN nursing education programs must increase their enrollment and graduation rates as quickly as possible. The ability of the state’s RN schools to apply this long-term solution to the mounting shortage, however, is in grave doubt. Beneath the RN workforce shortage is an even more critical problem, an unprecedented national nursing faculty shortage that is expected to grow increasingly worse. Without an increase in the number of nurse educators to prepare a greater number of students, the RN nursing workforce shortage will only escalate. There are many reasons the nation and Arkansas are experiencing a nursing faculty shortage, including: 1) the escalating retirement rate of current nursing faculty, 2) lack of adequate numbers of prepared faculty, 3) worsening faculty work conditions, 4) increased job opportunities in the private sector, and 5) low salaries of nursing faculty compared to salaries of similarly prepared nurses in clinical and administrative positions, and to those of other disciplines. Arkansas can ill afford the staggering, negative economic impact that an inadequate supply of RNs and nursing faculty can have on the state’s health care industry and general economy. As a state that depends upon appropriate health care services in communities to attract and retain industry and business, the availability of adequate numbers of prepared RNs becomes a major factor in the state’s economic growth and stability. This is particularly true when attempting to recruit greater numbers of retirees and industries to the state who consider access to good health care a relocation imperative. Ensuring an adequate supply of RNs and nursing faculty in the state must be viewed not only from the impact an inadequate supply has on the economy but also from the nursing education and the health care perspective. Over the past five years, Health Care State Rankings has rated the state last in the nation in terms of overall health and access to health care. Arkansas cannot afford this downward trend, and a nursing shortage will only increase this rate of decline. An increasingly visible level of public criticism of the system and the state will ensue. National Economic Impact of Health Care In 1995, health care costs represented 13.6% of the nation’s gross domestic product (Health, United States, 1998). In 1994, the gross domestic product by industry showed health care at 410.2 billion dollars (Bureau of Economic Analysis, 1998). According to a recent edition of 1999 Hospital Statistics, in 1997 there were 6,097 hospitals in the U.S. that boasted 1,035,390 beds (American Hospital Association, 1999). These hospitals had a total of over 245 million in- patient days, saw over 25 million surgical procedures performed, had over 520 million outpatient visits, and over 3.8 million births. A total of 967,404 RNs were employed in these hospitals, approximately 10 times the number of physicians and dentists. The total payroll for the hospitals was greater than 184.3 billion dollars, and the total gross revenue was approximately 564.5 billion dollars. When one considers the sheer impact on the economy of these hospitals using a modest multiplier of 2.258, representing the trickle down effect of dollars from health care into other aspects of the community, U.S. hospitals alone contribute approximately 1.27 trillion dollars annually to the nation’s economy. 2 Arkansas’ Economic Impact of Health Care In Arkansas, health care is one of the state’s primary industries. According to the latest figures available in fiscal year 1995-96, Arkansas received 3.5 billion dollars from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to support the state’s health care costs. To impose some degree of reality on the way the health care industry in Arkansas affects the state’s economy, in 1995, it was estimated that the two VA Medical Centers in Pulaski County along with Arkansas Children’s’ Hospital contributed 160.4 million and 154 million dollars, respectively, to the state’s economy. Indeed in Arkansas, health care is one of the largest state industries. When all other sources of payment are factored in, the Arkansas health care industry contributes billions of dollars to the state’s economy annually. According to Arkansas Statistical Abslmct 1998, the average cost to hospital per stay in Arkansas was $4,514 in 1994 compared to $6,230 in the U.S. that same year (Arkansas State Data Center, 1998). In 1993 there were 99 hospitals in Arkansas with a total of 12,995 beds. These hospitals reported 371,941 admissions, 2,870,076 inpatient days, 246,882 surgical operations, over 3,478,478 outpatient visits, and over 32,432 million births. A total of 9,520 RNs were employed compared to 265 physicians and dentists. The total labor expenses were $1,309,660 and the total expenses were $2,541,596 (5 1.5% labor expenses). Paramount to the engine of this huge economic machine is the thousands of RNs who, in today’s managed care environment, can financially make or break a given health care agency or hospital. As managed care has placed hospitals and agencies in a highly competitive environment, financial viability for the future will ultimately rest with those agencies that can produce the highest quality of care at a reasonable price. Hospitals in the more mature managed care environments such as California, Minnesota, and the New England region are now finding that there is no substitute for well-prepared RNs. Indeed many hospitals that laid off senior RN staff and clinical nurse specialists as a cost cutting strategy 3 to 4 years ago are now trying desperately to recruit them back or hire new RNs with higher education and long years of experience. The old adage “the only reason to be in a hospital is to receive nursing care” has never been truer than in today’s acute care patient populations. Patients who are going to the hospital for care, but finding a decrease in quality of care, are going to become more and more disillusioned with the health care system. There is no substitute for a highly educated and skilled RN workforce to ensure continued financial survival and market share in today’s health care industry. REGISTERED NURSE WORKFORCE SHORTAGE In 1996, the United States registered nurse population was 2,065,000. Of these RNs, 82% were employed in nursing. The vast majority of working RNs continue to practice in hospital settings; however, the growth rate in the number of RNs being employed in hospitals has slowed since 1992. The number of RNs employed in community-based settings such as clinics, nursing homes, and outpatient services continues to grow at a rate faster that those in acute care settings (Table 1). The demand for BSN nurses in all settings, however, continues to exceed the projected supply as reported by the Division of Nursing, The 7‘” Report to Congress: Status of Health Care Pevsonnel in the U.S., 1998 (Figure 1). 3 TABLE 2 NATIONAL EMPLOYMENT SETTINGS OF REGISTERED NURSES 1980-1996 IN THOUSANDS Public/ Ambulatory Date Hospital Nursing Community Care Other * Home/ECF Health Setting 1980 800 75 125 25 50 1984 1,000 95 135 50 35 1988 1,100 75 175 100 55 1992 1,200 100 200 125 100 1996 1,240 125 375 150 175 *Includes occupational health and school health settings. From the National Sanlple RN Survey, 1996 FIGURE 1 NATIONAL BSN SHORTAGE PROJECTED Projected Supply & Demand BSN RNs 1990-2020 1,250 1,000 750 500 250 Source: The 7th Report to Congress, 1998 Considering the anticipated change in the nation’s population 65 years of age and older (Figure 2) as well as the aging of the frail elderly, those 85 and older, (Figure 3). It is clear that the greatest demand for BSN graduates and RNs as predicted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will coincide with the rapid rise in 2010 in the proportion of the population 65 and 85 or older. These individuals will no doubt have major chronic diseases that will demand a great deal of nursing care and increased efforts in disease prevention. The changing demographics of older Americans will result in sharp escalation in the demand for registered nursing services. 4 FIGURE 2 ANTICIPATED CHANGES IN THE NATION'S DEMOGRAPHICS Average Annual Percentage Change in Population 65 Years and Older 3 2.5 & 3 2 4 u 1.5 $ 0 & I a" 0.5 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 Decade FIGURE 3 THE AGING OF THE FRAIL ELDERLY Number of people 85 years and older 1990 2000 2010 2020 Decade 5 In 1998, the Arkansas State Board of Nursing reported a total of 23,120 registered nurses residing in the state. Of these, 22,3 17 were employed for a work participation rate of 96%, an exceedingly high employment rate compared to other disciplines. Given the data collection methods used in 1998, the type of employment of 7,119 (28%) RNs who reported “other” under employment settings is unclear (See Table 2). These RNs could be employed outside of nursing such as in real estate, or employed in other I~ealthc are settings not listed such as home health care. Regardless of the place of employment, attracting the numbers of ‘at-home mom’s’ who are RNs, but not employed, will not be a viable solution to the growing RN shortage, due to fewer number of RNs in that age range. Unlike national employment patterns, there has been a slight decrease (-1%) in the number of RNs employed in Arkansas hospital settings between 1994-1998. All other settings have seen dramatic increases except schools of nursing. The demand for RNs in the state is growing at a faster rate than the supply. TABLE 3 REGISTERED NURSES IN ARKANSAS AND EMPLOYMENT SETTING Settings June 1994 June 1995 June 1996 June 1997 June 1998 Hospital 10,901 11,127 11 ,343 1 1,042 10,799 Nursing Home 71 1 746 816 823 84 1 School of Nursing 3 84 382 3 74 369 378 Private Duty 66 54 64 67 93 School Nurse 232 23 1 245 270 278 Occupational Health 115 137 138 137 141 Office Nurse 753 807 87 1 937 1,017 Community Nurse 1,128 1,328 1,449 1,449 1,417 Self Employed 166 183 21 1 229 234 Other 0 0 0 6,189 7,119 TOTAL 14,456 14,995 15,511 2131 2 22,317 Arkansas State Board of Nursing 1998 Data The Aging of the RN Workforce The age of the RN workforce, both at the national and state level, is contributing to a decrease in the number of RNs available for full-time employment. In 1996, the National Sample RN Survey reported the average age of the staff RN as 44.3 years of age. According to Buerhaus (1998), the average age of RNs has been rising at a rate of one third of a year annually; therefore, in 1999 the staff RN’s average age is 45.3 years. Data show that the proportion of RNs older than 35 grew far more rapidly than the proportion of workers in the same age groups in other professions. For example, 41 YOo f workers in other occupations were between the ages of 16 and 34, compared to only 29.7% of RNs in 1994. As nurses age, they begin to work fewer hours per 6 year, further compromising the supply of full-time equivalents in the workforce. Contributing to the reduced RN supply is the excellent state of the nation’s economy. For the past few years the national economy has been fueled by the lowest unemployment rates in well over a decade and earning increases that exceeded inflation. In good times, since most nurses are women and many are second income earners, there is less pressure to work full-time. By 2000 the largest number of the nation’s RNs will be between 45-49 years of age when considering the annual aging rate of one-third year (Figure 4). Given the physical demands and the level of stress in today’s acute care setting, coupled with the excellent state of the national economy, it is expected that many of these nurses will reduce their work hours, seek less demanding positions outside of the hospital, and retire early. FIGURE: 4 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF U.S. REGISTERED NURSE BY 100,000 POPULATION 1980-1 996 500 I 450 400 350 +1 980 * 300 1984 * 250 1988 200 +1 992 150 --e- 1996 100 50 0 I I I I I I I I I I I <25 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ 1996 National Sample RN Survey The age of RNs in Arkansas reflects that of the rest of the nation. Of the 22,3 17 employed, 35% are between the ages of 40-49. Of major concern, however, is the 28% (6,281) that are over age 50, and the 1 1O /o (2,415) age 60 years plus. These two groups make up approximately 40% of the state’s RN workforce (Table 3). With a graduation rate May 1999 of less than 1,000 and dropping each year, a major shortfall between RNs produced and those at or near retirement age is looming. These numbers, added to an increasing demand for RNs in the state and the declining RN student enrollment rate, clearly illustrate a growing crisis in the availability of well-prepared RNs to care for the state’s citizens. 7
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