CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY COLIN ROBINSON WHERE THE STATE IS NOT STRONG ENOUGH: WHAT CAN ARMY RECONSTRUCTION TELL US ABOUT CHANGE NECESSARY TO THE OECD DAC SSR PRINCIPLES? CRANFIELD DEFENCE AND SECURITY PhD CRANFIELD UNIVERSITY CRANFIELD DEFENCE AND SECURITY Department of Management and Security PhD Thesis 2011 Colin Robinson Where The State Is Not Strong Enough: What can Army Reconstruction tell us about change necessary to the OECD DAC SSR Principles? Supervisor: Dr Ann Fitz-Gerald November 2011 © Cranfield University 2011. All rights reserved. No part of the publication may be reproduced without the written permission of the copyright owner. 2 Abstract Post-conflict army reconstruction is an important element of security sector reform (SSR), tracing its origins to at least 1980, before the SSR concept itself was formulated. Reconstruction of security forces is an important element in wider post- conflict reconstruction, and for political reasons, an army has almost always deemed necessary. Since 1998, SSR itself has been increasingly conceptualized, with principles for SSR having been laid down by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) since 2004. Yet SSR faces a host of philosophical and practical problems, perhaps the greatest being the gap between theory and practice (Chanaa's 'conceptual-contextual divide'). To make SSR efforts more successful, the underlying principles need to be revised and amended. Post-conflict army reconstruction experience since 1980, and associated academic study, military doctrine, and work by international organizations (particularly the OECD) can provide a basis for such revision. This thesis aims to survey post-conflict army reconstruction activities since 1980, draw overall lessons from that review and field study in Liberia, and propose amendments to the SSR principles on that basis. 3 Acknowledgements Victory has a thousand fathers, but defeat is an orphan A large number of people have greatly assisted me in this endeavour, but first among them is my supervisor, Dr Ann Fitz-Gerald. Without Ann’s patience, persistence, imagination, intellect, and intellectual rigour, this thesis would not be of anything like the standard it is. She has repeatedly urged me to go beyond the easy approaches to questions, for which encouragement I am very grateful. Perhaps next in my praise, overall for the PhD, is Chris Lang and her team at Land Mine Action in Monrovia, Liberia. Their support and assistance made the fieldwork possible. Possibly next among the Lane Mine Action team to thank is Mr. Kollie, director of transport for LMA, and his drivers. Without the transportation support I received from LMA, far less would have been achieved. At Shrivenham I should thank Mike Dunn, Trevor Taylor, Martin Rupiya, Dennis Blease, Sylvie Jackson, Gordon Hughes, Teri McConville, Laura Cleary, Caroline Sweeting, Carol Gay, and the enduring dedication of the library staffs at DCMT and the Joint Services Command and Staff College. A large number of army officers in several countries have greatly assisted with this thesis. Among them were Lieutenant General Daniel Opande, Major General Suraj Abdurrahman, Major General Adrian Foster, Major General Tim Toyne-Sewell (retd) late KOSB, Brigadier Tim Allen, Brigadier Kellie Conteh, Colonel Bruce Boevers (retd), Colonel Roger McElwain, Lt Col ‘Sticky’ Whitchurch, a number of other British Army officers, officers of the Royal Canadian Engineers, Major Terry McDonald, and Major Euge Whakahoehoe & Sharon. Within the restrictions placed upon them by their government, U.S. personnel in Monrovia and elsewhere were extremely helpful. Susan McCarty, Colonel Al Rumphrey, other members of the Office of Security Cooperation, and Steven Koutsis, Political Counsellor, all have my sincere thanks. At UNMIL, Chris Rampe was the serving SRSG’s SSR Advisor. Without his suggestions, I would have been unable to conduct interviews within the Ministry of National Defence. Mr. Rampe has since died, while posted in the Sudan; the SSR community and the countries in which he worked, I believe, owes him a great debt. Rob Deere was the former SSR Advisor to the SRSG and was extremely helpful. Patrick Coker helped me to understand a number of points. Thomas Dempsey and Magnus Jorgel were extremely helpful, clarifying a number of issues. The single most helpful Liberian official was Senator Blamoh Nelson of Grand Kru County. Senator Nelson was extremely helpful with recollections and documents, and suggested pointers as to where I might find others. National Security Advisor H. Boima Fahnbulleh granted me an interview, for which I was very grateful. I was thankful to be granted interviews by a number of Senators and Congressmen also. At Victoria University during the write up phase in New Zealand, Dr Deb Laurs, Justin Cargill at the Library, and Rebecca Kocks all deserve special mention. In the 4 final few months in New York, I-House was an amazingly rich environment to reside in. Finally, it is impossible really to put into words what I owe my parents. They have always been incredibly supportive. 5 Contents Chapter 1: Introduction..................................................................................................8 Chapter 2: The SSR Literature.....................................................................................23 Introduction .................................................................................................................23 The Evolution of SSR and its linkages to Post-Conflict Army Reconstruction..........25 Definition.....................................................................................................................26 Origins..........................................................................................................................28 Critiques of Security Sector Reform ...........................................................................38 Absence/Severe Weakness of the State.......................................................................40 Difficulty of transforming neopatrimonial government institutions ...........................45 Local Ownership..........................................................................................................49 Sectoral versus strategic transformation priorities.......................................................51 Short-Term Stabilization versus Longer-Term Governance .......................................55 Security Sector Management.......................................................................................58 Summarizing the SSR Critiques..................................................................................64 Chapter 3: Army Reconstruction Literature Review...................................................68 Existing Army Reconstruction Guidance ..................................................................68 Broad Policy Guidance................................................................................................69 Broad Overall Guidance for Defence Sector Reconstruction......................................70 The DDR Experience ..................................................................................................77 Doctrine for Reconstructing Armies............................................................................80 Conclusions..................................................................................................................87 Chapter 4: Methodology..............................................................................................92 The State of the Literature ..........................................................................................93 Social Science Research Fundamentals ......................................................................98 Quantitative and Qualitative Research Strategies......................................................103 Choosing the appropriate qualitative theoretical perspective....................................105 Phenomenological Research Methods ......................................................................108 Research Design.........................................................................................................115 Qualitative Indicators: Utility and Limitations..........................................................120 Identifying Cross-Case Processes and Issues............................................................126 Applying the Field Experience Test..........................................................................128 Risk Analysis and Limitations ..................................................................................130 Analysis of Data.........................................................................................................132 Ethical Issues ............................................................................................................135 Summary ...................................................................................................................139 Chapter 5: Lessons derived from Army Reconstruction Experience.........................141 Armies rebuilt by ‘Military merger’..........................................................................146 Political-Economic Factors in Military Merger Cases...............................................148 Capability Enhancement in ‘Military Merger’ cases.................................................153 Applicability of SSR principles to the military merger model..................................166 Armies rebuilt by the ‘ Institutionalization’ method..................................................171 Political-Economic Factors in Institutionalization cases...........................................171 Capability Enhancement in Institutionalization Cases..............................................173 Applicability of SSR Principles to Institutionalization Cases...................................178 Single state forces......................................................................................................180 Political-Economic Factors influencing Single State Forces.....................................181 Capability Enhancement in Single State Forces........................................................184 Applicability of SSR principles to single state forces...............................................199 6 Conclusions ...............................................................................................................207 Chapter 6: The Liberian Army Reconstruction Process............................................215 Political-Economic Factors shaping the Current Force.............................................217 Postwar Army Capability Enhancement in Liberia...................................................226 Assessing Force Capability .......................................................................................238 Adherence to SSR Principles ....................................................................................241 People Centred and Locally Owned .........................................................................241 Democratic Norms, Human Rights Principles, and the Rule of Law........................245 Addressing Diverse Security Challenges through integrated policy.........................247 Greater Civilian Oversight and Involvement.............................................................252 Transparency and Accountability..............................................................................255 Enhancing Institutional and Human Capacity...........................................................257 Conclusions ...............................................................................................................269 Chapter 7: Conclusions and Recommendations........................................................273 Summary of Dissertation Research............................................................................273 Comparing Adherence to SSR Principles .................................................................284 Conclusions: Reconsidering the SSR Principles .......................................................290 Recommendations......................................................................................................299 Annex A: Model Army Reconstruction Framework.................................................301 Preparatory Considerations........................................................................................308 Assessment and Design Phase...................................................................................312 Army Reconstruction Process....................................................................................314 Conclusions................................................................................................................316 Annex B: Key Interviewees.......................................................................................318 Bibliography..............................................................................................................319 Chapter 1: Introduction When the colonial powers withdrew from their former possessions in the 1950s and 1960s, the developing polities they left were almost invariably much weaker than the imperial homelands. Efforts to achieve development were hampered by lack of security provision, among many other factors. The monopoly of violence, the critical attribute of the modern state, was incomplete at best, and, beyond the capital cities, often left in the hands of chiefs and community leaders.1 Yet because of agreements to respect what was incomplete sovereignty, notably the Organization of African Unity’s 1964 Cairo decision to accept existing African colonial boundaries, and the freezing effect that Cold War alignments imposed upon interstate relations, world powers treated the new developing countries as states formally equal to their own.2 In the early 1990s the increasing prominence of internal conflicts with international implications prompted a rise in efforts to halt such wars. Bosnia-Herzegovina, Somalia, and Rwanda became perhaps the most widely known examples. To ensure that the peace created by such interventions can make long-lasting development possible, it was and is vital that security be maintained. Physical security is required to allow development work to take place. Africa and Asia continue to be torn by internal conflicts, many eventually attended by the presence of international intervention forces.3 While they are in place, they often effectively act as the country’s defence force as well as dampening internal conflicts.4 International interventions only usually last for a few years (eg. the UN Mission in Somalia, with the current UN Congo mission being a rare exception).5 1 Louise Andersen, Bjørn Møller, and Finn Stepputat, Fragile States and Insecure People? : Violence, Security, and Statehood in the Twenty-First Century (Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), 9. 2 J.N.C. Hill, "Challenging the Failed State Thesis: IMF and World Bank Intervention and the Algerian Civil War," Civil Wars 11, no. 1 (2009): 40-41. 3 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, SIPRI Yearbook 2009, (SIPRI, Oxford University Press), 2009, 71-72. 4 The clearest examples of intervention forces acting as exterior defence forces are in Kosovo against Serbia and in East Timor, with INTERFET poised against Indonesia. 5 Jock Covey, Michael J. Dziedzic, and Leonard R. Hawley, The quest for viable peace : international intervention and strategies for conflict transformation (Washington, D.C. Arlington, Va.: United States Institute of Peace Press ; Association of the United States Army, 2005), 38. Domestic political factors on the part of troop contributors, as well as UN reluctance to stay, dictate that intervention forces can only stay for a certain time. In any case, matching developed-state ideas on the appropriate reach of a state’s security apparatus with the contested reality of the developing world often means that as the intervention force withdraws, its task is almost always deemed incomplete. Mainstream developed-state ideas however sometimes need their assumptions challenged. Efforts to improve security provision can form part of the larger liberal peace project. The liberal peace has five main components: democraticisation, the rule of law, human rights, free and globalised markets, and neo-liberal development.6 Richmond argues that there is a weak consensus between the UN, major states and donors, agencies, and NGOs that all international intervention should incorporate key elements of the liberal peace.7 The liberal peace idea contains numerous positive elements, but these elements should not be put into practice without being aware of the direction, scope, and implications of the entire concept. Perhaps even more important than this is the acknowledgement that intervention is an external, rather than homegrown, process. Therefore interveners may be more interested in their own aims rather than always being primarily focused on the well-being of the host state. Mainstream thinking on intervention in internal conflict deems the reestablishment of public order necessary to establish effective control of the means of violence.8 Therefore, a transition of security responsibility to indigenous forces is considered necessary. Almost invariably it is deemed necessary to have both armed forces and policing organisations. While police forces, potentially including a gendarmerie or border guard, fulfill the main internal security requirement, armed forces are necessary to defeat external threats or sustained internal armed insurrection. However, armies in the developing world appear to face a diminishing level of threat from other states’ armed forces. An examination of major armed conflicts shows that 6 Oliver P. Richmond, 'The problems of peace: understanding the liberal peace,' Conflict, Security and Development, 6:3 (October 2006), 292. 7 Ibid. 8 Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars : Organized Violence in a Global Era (Cambridge: Polity Press, 1999), 10. few since 1990 are caused by one state confronting another. One of the exceptions, Ethiopia-Eritrea, has its origins in previous internal conflict within Ethiopia’s previous boundaries. While they retain their previous orientation towards defence of national borders, armed forces in the developing world today seem much more likely to be used within their nation’s boundaries. This is partially because the colonial system in Africa forged a state system with the utmost respect for boundaries. States are often weak, and only able to claim sovereignty over distant hinterlands because no other state can challenge their rule.9 State armed forces engage each other less because European colonial customary practice, reinforced by post-independence agreements, has meant that few states attempt to challenge another’s territorial integrity by force. In many cases, armed forces are used against internal unrest or insurrection. This has external involvement in many cases. Examples include the Taliban, which span Afghanistan and Pakistan, the Forces démocratiques de libération du Rwanda (FDLR), whose leadership opposes the current Rwandan government from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (henceforth ‘the Congo’), and invasions of exiles, such as in Liberia and Sierra Leone. Whether threats are internal or external, armed state land forces – armies - are almost always required, as navies and air forces cannot effectively hold ground. Only a single post-conflict country, Haiti, elected to dissolve its armed forces completely, mirroring what might be identified as a Caribbean trend, following Costa Rica10 and Panama. Even in countries without formal armies, armed state land forces can evolve. The militarization of the Costa Rica Civil Guard is a good example.11 The signing of the peace accord effectively initiates the post-conflict period. Ideally armed disturbances will taper off while political and practical space for development activities will grow. Reconstruction of an army is among these activities. However, it is again necessary here to emphasize the assumptions on which peace accords are 9 Jeffrey Herbst (2000) quoted in Jonathan Di John, ‘Conceptualising the Causes and Consequences of Failed States,’ Crisis States Research Centre/LSE, January 2008, 30. 10 Donald E. Schulz, Haiti: Will Things Fall Apart?, Parameters, Winter 1997-98, pp. 73-91, accessed online at http://www.carlisle.army.mil/usawc/parameters/97winter/schulz.htm, November 26, 2008. See also Eirin Mobekk, International Involvement in Restructuring and Creating Security Forces: The Case of Haiti, Small Wars and Insurgencies, Vol. 12, No.3, Autumn 2001. 11 Julio Montes, ‘The Costa Rican Defence Forces,’ Jane’s Intelligence Review, November 1994, 525.
Description: