Using a “Study of Studies” to help statistics students assess research findings ∗ AzkaJavaid Xiaofei (Susan)Wang NicholasJ.Horton 7 1 January 31,2017 0 2 n a J 9 2 ] T O . t a t s [ 1 v 8 3 4 8 0 . 1 0 7 1 : v i X r a ∗Addressforcorrespondence: DepartmentofMathematicsandStatistics,AmherstCollege,AC#2239,POBox5000,Amherst, MA01002-5000. Phone:413-542-5655,email:[email protected] 1 Usinga “StudyofStudies”tohelp statisticsstudentsassess research findings Introduction TheAmericanStatisticalAssociation’sUndergraduate GuidelinesWorkgroupintheCurriculumGuidelines forUndergraduate ProgramsinStatisticalScienceemphasizetheimportanceofstudydesignasanessential skill needed for undergraduate programs in statistics (ASA 2014). Communication skills are also stressed alongwithteamworkandcollaboration asessential elements forstatistical practice. Inaddition, theGuide- lines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education (GAISE)College Report notes the importance ofconcepts like bias and causal inference instudy design (ASA2016). Toachieve these goals, theGAISE CollegeReportincludesseveralrecommendations,oneofwhichreiteratestheimportanceoffosteringactive learning throughdiscussions (p. 18-20). Thisarticle describes anactivity thatisappropriate forstudents inintroductory andintermediate statis- ticscourses topractice interpreting research resultsandscrutinizing thedesign andanalysis ofstudies. The activityincludes acomponent ofgroupworktoimprovestudents’ communication andcollaboration skills. Traditional textbooks used in the introductory statistics curriculum stress the importance of survey de- sign. Asanexample,thefourtheditionofIntroStats(IS)byRichardDeVeaux,PaulF.VellemanandDavid E.Bock,reinforces conceptsrelevanttoexperimental designincluding bias,randomization andsamplesize inChapter12(“SampleSurveys”)(DeVeaux,Velleman&Bock2013). Additionalsampledesignconcepts like observational studies, control groups, statistical significance and confounding variables are presented in Chapter 13 (“Experiments and Observational Studies”) of Intro Stats. Other textbooks (e.g., OpenIntro Statistics, (Diez,Barr&C¸etinkayaRundel2015))followasimilarapproach. Howcantextbookreadingsbereinforcedinaclass? Wedescribeanactivitytohelpstudentsexploreas- pectsofdesign,assessresearchfindingsinpublishedpapers,andcritiquerepresentations andinterpretations oforiginal research. The Activity Study ofStudies “Study ofStudies” isacolumn regularly published bytheTheAtlantic magazine. Each“Study ofStudies” analyzes a different topic using published research articles, with full citations provided at the end. Table 1 liststhename,author, anddatefortheallthepastpublished “Studies.” Forthisactivity,weutilizedoneofthe“StudyofStudies”articlestitled“DinerBeware: Howrestaurants trickyouintoeatinglessandspendingmore”(http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2015/04/d (Lam 2015). Author Bourree Lam analyzes how restaurants manipulate seating arrangement, server pos- ture, plate color and size, and music to attract more customers and revenue. Twelve research articles are 2 Title Author Publication Date YouCanBeTooBeautiful JamesHamblin March2013 TheQueenBee’sGuidetoParenting LindseyAbrams April2013 Various Ways You Might Accidentally Get JamesHamblin May2013 Drunk The Unexpected Ways a Fetus Is Shaped by a LindseyAbrams June2013 Mother’sEnvironment TheWorstTimetoHaveSurgery JamesHamblin July/August 2013 IsThereReallySuchaThingasa‘Workaholic’? JordanWeissmann September2013 ViolenceIsContagious RebeccaJ.Rosen October2013 WhyYouLookLikeYourDog SarahYager November2013 HowWomenChangeMen SarahYager December2013 WhoCheats-and Why JulieBeck January/February 2014 WhyYouCan’tKeepaSecret SarahYager March2014 TheOptimalOffice JulieBeck April2014 OurGullibleBrains SarahYager May2014 FunnyorDie JulieBeck June2014 WhatisArt? MatthewHutson July/August 2014 HowtoLookSmart JulieBeck September2014 StatusAnxiety MatthewHutson October2014 KeepingtheFaith EmmaGreen November2014 FakingIt JulieBeck December2014 YouAreJustLikeMe! MatthewHutson January/February 2015 TheSecretofSuperstition MatthewHutson March2015 DinerBeware BourreeLam April2015 WhenEmotionalIntelligence GoesWrong AndrewGiambrone May2015 TheHypocrisyofProfessional Ethicists EmmaGreen June2015 PalmReadingIsReal? EleanorSmith July/August 2015 AScientificLookatBadScience BourreeLam September2015 WhyWeCompete MatthewHutson October2015 TheStrangeOriginsofUrbanLegends MatthewHutson November2015 WhyYouBoughtThatUglySweater EleanorSmith December2015 AStrategicGuidetoSwearing StephanieHayes January/February 2016 PeopleArePrettyBadAtReadingFaces NaomiSharp March2016 CEOsBehavingBadly AlyzaSebenius April2016 HowtoBoastontheSly MatthewHutson May2016 LifeIsn’tFair MatthewHutson June2016 TheScienceofBeerGoggles StephanieHayes July/August 2016 TheCharismaEffect MatthewHutson September2016 DoPeopleNeedSmallTalktoBeHappy? StephanieHayes October2016 HowVotersRespondtoElectoralDefeat BenRowen November2016 WhyKidsNeedRecess AliaWong December2016 Table1: Listofpast“StudyofStudies”published byTheAtlantic 3 summarized in short excerpts with full citations provided as footnotes. Table 2 displays the list of papers included inthe“DinerBeware”column. TitleandAuthor Publication OdorsandConsumerBehaviorinaRestaurant[Gue´guenandPetr InternationalJournalofHospital- 2006] ityManagement PlateSizeandColorSuggestibility [Ittersum andWansink2012] JournalofConsumerResearch AssessingtheInfluenceoftheColorofthePlateonthePerception Flavour of a Complex Food in a Restaurant Setting [Fiszman, Giboreau andSpence2013] DiningintheDark[Scheibehenne, ToddandWansink2010] Appetite The Effect of Musical Style on Restaurant Customers’ Spending EnvironmentandBehavior [North,ShilcockandHargreaves2003] The Influence of Background Music on the Behavior of Restau- JournalofConsumerResearch rantPatrons[Milliman1986] TheImpactofRestaurantTableCharacteristicsonMealDuration CornellHotelandRestaurantAd- andSpending[KimesandRobson2004] ministration Quarterly How a Crowded Restaurant Affects Consumers’ Attribution Be- InternationalJournalofHospital- havior[Tse,SinandYim2002] ityManagement LowerBuffetPricesLeadtoLessTasteSatisfaction [Just,Sigirci JournalofSensory Studies andWansink2014] Determinants and Consequences of Female Attractiveness and ArchivesofSexualBehavior Sexiness[Lynn2009] EffectofServerPostureonRestaurantTipping[LynnandMynier Journal of Applied Social Psy- 1993] chology EffectonRestaurant TippingofMaleandFemaleServersDraw- Journal of Applied Social Psy- ing a Happy, Smiling Face on the Backs of Customers’ Checks chology [RindandBordia1996] Table 2: 12 papers included in Bourree Lam’s “Study of Studies” on Restaurants and Dining (April, 2015 TheAtlanticMagazine) Implementation Thestudents wereprovided withcopies oftheone-page “DinerBeware”column, whichwasreadaloud by the class. Next, they were split into groups of two to four students and each was provided a copy of one ofthe twelve research articles cited in “Diner Beware.”Theresearch articles ranged inlength from 4 to28 pages,withanaverage of10pages. The students were asked to skim the research article and as a group, summarize the original research study design (i.e., describe the study’s sample design, determine if the study was randomized or observa- tional). Theywereaskedtoassessthevalidityoftheclaimspresentedinthe“DinerBeware”regardingtheir research article. Students a brief set of slides summarizing their original article using RMarkdown (Baumer, C¸etinkaya 4 Rundel, Bray, Loi & Horton 2014). The RMarkdown slides were then shared with the class via RPubs, a platform for web publishing from RStudio (the slides could be submitted in other ways e.g. by emailing the instructor). Lastly, students were given 5-10 minutes to present their findings. The student presen- tations were intended to improve communication skills as well as allow students to gain experience with technological innovations likeRPubs. An example of this process can be presented with the research article titled “Odors and consumer be- havior inarestaurant” (Gue´guen &Petr2006). Gue´guen and Petr’s workanalyzed the effect oflemon and lavender scents on the duration of timeand the amount of money spent by customers in arestaurant. They carried their study from 8 pm to 11 pm on three Saturdays in May with 88 patrons and hypothesized that lavender is considered arelaxing odor whilelemon isastimulating odor. Another example ispresented by theresearcharticletitled“TheImpactofRestaurantTableCharacteristics onMealDurationandSpending” (Kimes&Robson2004). Inthispaper,SherriE.KimesandStephaniK.A.Robsonassessedhowtabletype andtablelocation canaffectaverage spending perminute(SPM)ofacustomer. Lam summarizes Gue´guen and Petr’s research article with only the following: “particular scents also have an effect: diners who got a whiff of lavender stayed longer and spent more than those who smelled lemon, or no scent” (Lam 2015). Similarly Lam provides a terse summary for Kimesand Robson’s article stating that “Diners at banquettes stayed the longest...Diners at bad tables-next to the kitchen door, say- spent nearly as much as others but soon fled.” The students were asked to reconcile these statements with theconclusions presented intheoriginal researcharticles. Results The activity was conducted with Introductory and Intermediate statistics students at Amherst College in Fall 2015 and Spring 2016 academic semesters. The Amherst College Institutional Review Board (IRB) approved this study. On average, 20-25 students in each class engaged in the activity. Approximately 80 minuteswereallottedtotheactivity. In summary, students correctly identified basic conceptual elements in the original studies’ designs. These elements include sample size, the research question, conclusion, and the classification of the study asobservational orrandomized. Manystudents wereskeptical ofthebriefclaimsabout theoriginal studies giveninthe“StudyofStudies.” Forexample, student workcorrectly identified Gue´guen and Petr’ssample size ofpatrons from asmall pizzeriainBrittany,France. Thestudentsalsodescribehow“lavender,butnotlemon,increasedthelengthof stay ofcustomers and theamount ofpurchasing,” which indicates that the students’ picked up onGue´guen andPetr’shypothesis andresearch conclusions. The students criticized the way the conclusions were portrayed in the “Diner Beware” article; the stu- dents identify how the “Diner Beware” summary does not account for the possibility of “cultural bias/ geographicalbias.”Geographicalbiasstemsfromthefactthatthestudywasonlyconductedinasmalltown 5 in France and so the conclusions regarding scent and customer spending behavior may not generalize well topeople ofnon-French heritageorindividuals fromurbanareas. Intheirarticle,Gue´guenandPetracknowledgethatasmallsamplesizeandtheuseofonlyonerestaurant are limitations of their study; students picked up on these caveats. Student also recognized how “limiting the study to three Saturdays in May between 8pm-11pm further creates sampling bias (targets a specific population).” Daytime and weekday visitors are evidently not represented. Moreover since there was no replication, itishighlypossible thatanotherfactormayhaveconfounded theresults. Student analysis of Kimes and Robson’s article also revealed comprehension of the research’s design. In their analysis, the students correctly identify the sample size of 1,413 and the single-blinded nature of the study, since in students’ words, “the participants did not know the true nature of the experiment.” The students expressed skepticism regarding the causal statements made in Lam’s article regarding Kimes and Robson’s study, considering the observational nature of thestudy and the fact that Kimesand Robson “ex- cluded some information, like the bar and patio seating” and that they “only took data from busy times.” KimesandRobson’slimitationsstemfromthefactthattheyonlyusedonerestauranttodrawconclusions, a shortcomingthatrelatestothelimitationstudentspickedupinregardstothelimitedfocusofthestudy(i.e., inattention paid to less busy hours). Another student group summarized the limitation of Lam’s synthesis as the inability to generalize the original research’s findings since the “conclusion for this specific restau- rant may not apply to all restaurants.” Students’ propensity for critique allows for challenging conventions which produces askepticism and curiosity driven outlook. Thisoutlook though may need to challenged or reconsidered sincestudentskepticism maybeexcessive. Discussion We described an activity that linked summaries of research studies with published scientific papers. In general, students accurately reported the original research’s study design, in particular, the study’s sample size, whether it was observational or experimental, and the general hypothesis as well as the overarching conclusions. Students were often critical of the extremely terse representations of the original research by Lam’s“DinerBeware”articleinTheAtlantic’s“StudyofStudies”column. Thisisnotsurprising giventhat the goal of the “Study of Studies” is to introduce provocative or idiosyncratic research findings and not to comprehensively revieworassessthem. Time-permitting, the instructor might spend some time debunking misplaced criticism, ensuring that the students have a thorough understanding of the original research, can acknowledge credible published findings,andnotdevelop“knee-jerk” skepticism. Overall, this activity was successfully implemented. It raised awareness about study design as well as secondary representations of original research. The activity can be undertaken with introductory and intermediate statistics students in a single class period and may help improve communication skills by fostering discussion about experimental design. We recommend that the study be undertaken after one or 6 more lectures in study design. Conducting the study after few lectures would provide an informal student assessment andintheprocess, helpreinforce previously-learned studydesignconcepts. We believe numerous other articles published in the “Study of Studies” column could be utilized in the same way as the “Diner Beware” article. Depending on student interest, other suitable articles include “GullibleBrains: Howoursensesinfluenceourthoughts,”“CEOsBehavingBadly: Whatachiefexecutive’s golfgameandhandwritingsayabouthiscompensationand hisleadership,”“StatusAnxiety: Whatthelogos you’re wearing really say,” and“TheScience ofBeerGoggles: Alcohol makespeople impulsive, vain, and uncharitableand itjustmighthelpthemmaintaincommittedrelationships” (seeTable1foracomprehensive listofcandidate articles). Acknowledgements Wewouldlike toacknowledge support from theGregory CallFundfrom theAmherst CollegeDeanofthe Faculty. WethankTasheenaNarraidoo forherassistance. References ASA (2014), ‘Curriculum guidelines for undergraduate programs in statistical science’, https://www.amstat.org/asa/education/Curriculum-Guidelines-for-Undergraduate-Programs-in- Statistical-Science.aspx. ASA (2016), ‘Revised guidelines for assessment and instruction in statistics education (GAISE) college report’, http://www.amstat.org/education/gaise. Baumer, B., C¸etinkaya Rundel, M., Bray, A., Loi, L. & Horton, N. J. (2014), ‘R markdown: Integrating a reproducible analysis toolintointroductory statistics’, Technology Innovations inStatistics Education 8,1–29. DeVeaux,D.,Velleman,P.F.&Bock,D.E.(2013),IntroStats(4thedition), Pearson. Diez,D.M.,Barr,C.D.&C¸etinkaya Rundel,M.(2015), OpenIntroStatistics (3rdedition), OpenIntro. Gue´guen, N. & Petr, C. (2006), ‘Odors and consumer behavior in a restaurant’, International Journal of Hospitality Management25,335–339. Kimes, S. E. & Robson, S. K. A. (2004), ‘The impact of restaurant table characteristics on meal duration andspending’, CornellHotelandRestaurant Administration Quarterly45,333–346. Lam,B.(2015),‘Dinerbeware: Howrestaurantstrickyouintoeatinglessandspendingmore’,TheAtlantic April,29–29. 7