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The Relations between Defence and Civil Technologies PDF

308 Pages·1988·9.67 MB·English
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The Relations between Defence and Civil Technologies NATO ASI Series Advanced Science Institutes Series ASeriespresenting theresultsof activitiessponsored by the NATOScience Committee. which aims at the dissemination ofadvancedscientific and technologicalknowledge. with a view tostrengthening links between scientific communities. TheSeriesispublished by an international board of publishersinconjunctionwith the NATOScientificAffairsDivision A Life Sciences PlenumPublishing Corporation B Physics London and NewYork C Mathematical KluwerAcademic Publishers and Physical Sciences Dordrecht, Bostonand London D Behavioural and Social Sciences E Applied Sciences F Computer and Systems Sciences Springer-Yerlag G Ecological Sciences Berlin, Heidelberg. NewYork,London, H Cell Biology ParisandTokyo Series D: Behavioural and Social Sciences -Vol, 46 The Relations between Defence and Civil Technologies edited by Philip Gummett DepartmentofScienceandTechnologyPolicy, UniversityofManchester,U.K. and Judith Reppy Peace StudiesProgramme, Cornell University, U.S.A. "~. Springer-Science-Business Media, B.Y. PublishedincooperationwithNATOScientificAffairs Division Proceedings of the NATO Advanced ResearchWorkshop on The Relationship between Defence and CivilTechnologies Wiston House,Sussex, U.K. 21-25 September, 1987 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data NATO Advanced Research Workshop on the Relat:nnship between Defence and Civil Technologies (1987 : Steyning. England) The relations between defence and civil technologies ! edIted by Philip Gummett and Jud ith Reppy. p. em. -- (NATO ASI series. Series D. Behavioural and social sciences ; vol . 46) "Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on the Relationship between Defence and Civi l Technologies. Wiston House. Sussex. UK. 21-25 September. 1987"--T.p. verso. "Published in cooperation with NATO Scientific Affairs Division." IncIudes bibIiographies and jndex. 1. Research. Industrial--Congresses. 2. r~iIitary research -Congresses. 1. Gummett. Philip. II. Reppy. Judith. 1937 III. North Atlantic Treaty Organization. ScientifIc Affairs Division. IV. Title. V. SerIes: NATO ASI series. Series D. Behavioural and social sciences ; no. 46. T175.N296 1987 355 .07--dcI9 88-13473 CIP ISBN978-90-481-8312-8 ISBN978-94-015-7803-5(eBook) DOl 10.1007/978-94-015-7803-5 All Rights Reserved ©Springer Science+BusinessMediaDordrecht 1988 OriginallypublishedbyK1uwerAcademicPublishersin1988. Softcoverreprintofthehardcover1stedition1988 No part ofthe materialprotected by thiscopyright noticemay be reproduced orutilized inanyformorbyanymeans,electronicormechanical,includingphotocopying,recording or by any information storage and retrievalsystem,without written permission from the copyright owner. CONTENTS Preface vii Introduction 1 Philip Gummett and Judith Reppy PART 1: CONCEPTS, APPROACHES, MEASUREMENT 15 CHAPTER 1. From components to integrated systems: 17 Technological diversity and integrations between the military and civilian sectors. William Walker, Mac Graham and Bernard Harbor. CHAPTER 2. Spin-off: a fundamentalist approach. 38 Ulrich Albrecht. CHAPTER 3. Some views on industry perspectives on 58 civil and military R&D. Antony Clementson. CHAPTER 4. Assessing the impact of federal 68 industrial R&D expenditure on private R&D activity in the United States. Frank R. Lichtenberg. CHAPTER 5. Technology and Trade: Does military 88 R&D make a difference? Judith Reppy. CHAPTER 6. The relationship between military and 106 civil technology: a historical perspective. David Edgerton. PART 2: COUNTRY STUDIES 115 CHAPTER 7. Interdiffusion of military and civil 117 technologies in the United States of America. Alexander H. Flax CHAPTER 8. The need - and opportunity - for greater 138 integration of defence and civil technologies in the United States. Jacques S. Gansler CHAPTER 9. Civilian exploitation of defence R&D in 159 the UK. N. H. Hughes. CHAPTER 10. A UK initiative for the transfer of 166 technologies from defence to civil sector. Bernard Herdan. emphasisingthe dimensionsthat civiltechnology. CHAPTER 11. The relationship between defence and 180 civil technologies: policy of the French Ministry of Defence. S. Bindel CHAPTER 12. Foreign technology and local innovation: 190 some lessons from Spanish defence industry experience. Jose Molero. CHAPTER 13. Recent trends in R&D in Italy and in 213 military R&D in particular G. Graziola and M. Nones CHAPTER 14. A small country perspective: military- 227 civil technological relations in the Netherlands. Michiel Schwarz and Luc Soete PART 3. INDIVIDUAL TECHNOLOGIES 241 CHAPTER 15. Determinants of spin-off in the context 243 of SDI: the VHSIC programme. Bernd W. Kubbig CHAPTER 16. Adaptation of new technology: the case 259 of servo technology in Norway 1947-1956. Olav Wicken CHAPTER 17. Defence - civil relations in the 277 development of new materials technology in Britain. Philip Gummett and lain Bate PARTICIPANTS 296 INDEX 301 PREFACE This book arises from a meeting held at Wiston House, Sussex, UK, in September 1987. The meeting brought together academic, governmental and industrial experts from eight countries to discuss the increasingly important sUbject of the relations between civil and defence technologies. It was primarily funded under the Advanced Research Workshops Programme of NATO's Scientific Affairs Division, and was the first science policy workshop funded by the Programme. Additional financial support came from the Leverhulme Trust. The choice of topic, of speakers and, finally, of papers to be published was entirely ours. The conclusions reached were our own and those of the partIcipants. They were not in any way guided by NATO; nor do they represent NATO policy. We speak for all the participants in offering our thanks to the NATO SCIentific Affairs Division, especially Secretary General Durand and Dr. Craig Sinclair, for rnei r- generosity and encouragement. WIthout them this book would not exist. We thank the Leverhulme Trust for enabling assistance to be provided to the Workshop Directors, in the form of lain Bate, who himself played a major part in the success of the meeting. The staff of Wiston House must also be thanked for prOViding an admirable environment for the meeting. For secretarial support prior to the meeting we thank Gill Miller and Lesley Price. Finally, we offer special thanks to Mrs. Yvonne Aspinall for converting all the papers, in whatever state they were presented, into camera-ready copy with such professionalism and gOOd humour. Philip Gummett Judith Reppy vii INTRODUCTION PHILIP GUMMETT, MANCHESTER UNIVERSITY, UK: and JUDITH REPPY, CORNELL UNIVERSITY, USA. THE CONTEXT Technology is becoming ever more crucial for economic competitiveness. While earlier European fears of the "Amert ca.n challenge" were being replaced on both sides of the Atlantic by concern over Japanese industrial performance, awareness was growing in all industrialised countries about the need for a healthy, growing technology base. An important element of this awareness has been the attention paid to the relationship between civil and defence technology. The relationship is problematic for several reasons, not least the fact that whereas most large industrialised nations spend heavily on military research and development programmes, Japan spends very little. The issues raised tend to have particular force in relation to certain generic technologies, that is, technologies that have broad applicability across many industries. Examples are electronics, information technology, and new materials such as composites and ceramics. In some countries there is concern that the strong military interest in these technologies, and other technologies of strategic importance, has impeded the development of a commercially successful technology base. The concern is sometimes expressed in terms of the direction that technological development has followed when funded by military rather than commercially-oriented institutions. In other cases the focus of concern has been the alleged drain of scarce skilled people into military work. Yet another focus has been the claim that, in a period of economic restraint, government spending on research and development (R&D) has to be organised to yield the maximum possible national economic benefit . Counter-arguments have emphasised the benefits to the civil economy of military support of certain technologies. These questions have all been on the agenda of, for example, the British Cabinet's Advisory Council on Science and Technology and led in 1987 to steps to constrain, albeit modestly, spending on UK defence R&D. At the same time, there has been increased military concern about how to manage the rising cost and complexity of military equipment. The rate of inflation for military gOOds is well known to be higher than that for the rest of the economy. emphasisingthe dimensionsthat civiltechnology. P.GwnmettandJ,Reppy(eds.),TheRelationsbetweenDefenceandCivilTechnologies.1-14. ©1988byKluwerAcademicPublishers. 2 Each gener-at t on of equipmen"t cost s more "than at s predecessor (in par-t because of great.er comptexat y and sophistica"tion) , and in consequence is purchased in smaller numbers. The long lead-times of major milit.ary svst ems st t uneasily wi"th "the rapid rate of obsolescence of modern eLect ronLcs , with "the resul"t "tha"t new weapons pla"tforms either suffer delays because of re-design, or risk deploymen"t with elec"tronic and compu"ter ayst ema t nat lag nent nd "the st at e of "the art in civilian terms. Pressure has grown, espec1ally in Europe, for ant er> company and in"ternational collabora"tion in defence developmen"t and procuremen"t, part Ly to spread "the cost s and risks, and par"tly "to gain access "to a wider se"t of skills "than any single company can hope "to have wi"thin i"tself. This in "turn raises ques"tions abou"t "the managemen"t of an increasingly complex defence indus"trial base. These ques"tions, coupled With "the issues of compe"titiveness and of domination of particular civilian mar-ket s by Japan, have led "to concern about "the maant.enance of sound defence industrial capaci"ties. This concern may it set r st em from doub"tS abou"t "the s"treng"th of "the civ11 indus"trial and technological base wi"thin which defence activi"ty is embedded. ThUS, in "the Uni"ted Sta"tes, there has been much deba"te abou"t "the possible influence of "the defence indus"trial base upon "the economy as a Whole, and also abou"t "the problems of main"taining an independen"t US elec"tronics indus"try, able "to guaran"tee support "to "the defence sec"tor, in "the face of increasing Japanese domination of electronics. From this perspective, the question is not so much one of the impact of defence interests upon civil technology, bu"t ra"ther of how to safeguard the civil teChnological base as a necessary founda"tlon for defence purposes. It was against this background that we held the meeting from which this book stems. Participants were carefully chosen to be able to present governmental, industrial and academic perspectives from a number of countries. The aim of the meeting was to explore, in a reasonably systematic and non polemical fashion, the links between defence and civil technological advance, and the policy questions that these links raise. We hoped to escape from the polarisation and over-simplification that have dogged much of this debate in the past, and to aim instead for a more synoptic view, one rich in its attention to detail and in its recognition of the compleXity of the SUbject, but that would be seriously analytical at a number of levels and would indicate some directions for further work. We present in the remainder of this Introduction our own conclusions from the meet ang, We have tried to summarise important points of common unders"tanding as well as the many dimensions of the issue that require careful differentiation. We must emphasise that these are our conclusions as organisers and editors; they do not necessarily represent the views of any indiVidual participant. For those, readers must consult 3 the succeeding Chapters, which are revised versions of papers presented at the meeting. CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES Most analyses of the relationship between defence and civil technology have focused largely on the questions of the opportunity cost to the civil economy of allocating resources to military R&D programmes and on the extent of diffusion or "spin-off" of technology from military to civil applications. As Albrecht points out in his chapter, however, these analyses have been inconclusive, owing to conceptual and methodological inadequacies and to the difficulty of providing empirical verification. Strictly speaking, there is an opportunity cost associated with any use of a resource, given full employment and an alternative use for the resource. But this general statement, drawn from economics, is not particularly helpful in analysing policy questions concerning military and civil R&D. Private firms may adopt investment strategies that shift resources between defence and ciVil R&D programmes, but the same is not true for government departments. For institutional and political reasons budgetary trade-offs are mUCh more likely to be between R&D and other programmes in the same department, rather than between R&D programmes across departments. ThUS, although the concept of opportunity cost expresses one truth about military R&D spending, it does not in itself lead to realistic pollcy prescriptions: money not spent for weapons development is not readily available for civil R&D programmes. Spin-off is the other concept that has structured the debate over spending on military technology. If the civil sector reaps benefits from military R&D through the infusion of new technologies from the military sector, then the costs of the mi1i tary programmes are to some degree, pernaps to a large degree, offset. But spin-off, which pOSits a simple dichotomy between military and civil sectors, does not capture the complexities of the relationship between defence ana civil technologies. It is not just that technology flows may take place in either direction - that is widely recognised in the literature - but that a more detailed taxonomy is needed if we are to make any sense of the varIegated pattern of technology transfer. In addition to the cases of 'pure' military or 'pure' civil technologies, there is a large class of mixed or dual-use technologies, which are nourished by a common technology base. Indeed, the variety of institutional and market structures in the civil sector may make it more appropriate to refer to "multiple-use" technologies. Most new technology at the generic level falls into this class, as well as most of society's existing stock of technical knowledge, accrued over time. The difficulty of differentiating miHtary from ciVil

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